I don't even think it's the Assist Trophy character deal. I think it's just the timing.
The timing and the buildup right now just seems perfect for a few years from now.
The Nintendo-owned character pool is absolutely small right now. I listed all the characters I felt had even minor chances of being Smash newcomers, and only 20 Nintendo-owned characters made the cut. Even amongst those, a few feel like big time reaches at best and many will wash away with time.
On top of that, you look at the retro Nintendo-owned character potential newcomer pool, and there's nothing really left. It's so small the first alternative I thought of was a freaking Tetris block!
But really who are the next options?
- Balloon Fighter: Had his balloons stolen by The Villager.
- Lip: Less exposure and even more niche.
- Sukapon: Virtually no exposure.
- Mach Rider: His game is garbage and you basically have to just make a motorcycle moveset for a random guy on a bike with guns.
- Prince Sable: Minimal exposure.
- Excite Biker: Game got more exposure, but few think of the Biker as a character. And even if they do, you gotta be crazy inventive with the moveset. You would probably have to go the Duck Hunt play as the controller/player route with the character to make it work, and even then, it probably isn't worth the effort.
So really... it just feels like the red carpet is slowly getting pulled out for Takamaru. It has taken a long, long, long time (some people here weren't even born when it started!), but we are getting there.