The fighters pass vol 2 will supposedly run up to the end of next year. That's a long time! Vol 1 was finished in less than a year, starting with Joker in... April was it?
Anyway, unless dev resources for DLC is being cut hard, that should be ample time to... you know... hopefully change some spirit descriptions, add a AT toggle off, or make new ones. lol
But really, a thought that has recently struck me is Banjo and Kazooie and when plans for that character and FP vol 1 were solidfied.
https://www.reddit.com/r/smashbros/comments/9s9sy1/phil_spencer_apparently_went_to_lunch_with/
The tweet itself is down, but Phil Spencer was meeting with Nintendo on behalf of Microsoft as a third party publisher as early as e3 2018. Papa Genos' "source" has long cited Banjo Kazooie as the reason he had thought the infamous Grinch Leak would turn out to be true since that's the big character they had heard rumblings about. It was on November 1st of 2018 that Sakurai revealed FP vol 1 and that the DLC characters were locked in and chosen by Nintendo and all that jazz.
My point is that DLC plans for Ultimate were likely a go from the beginning before E3 2018, and characters like Piranha Plant show development on DLC fighters were running well before the main game's release. It's with this in mind that I want to consider how FP vol. 2 is being developed. Right now, Sakurai has indicated that the plans for FP 2 are DONE. Solidified. However, just how far back was FP 2 being considered? If we were to assume Banjo talks were underway as early as E3 2018, the character was revealed a full year later at e3 2019. FP 2 was revealed last month, 2020 HOWEVER, the video of Byleth was recorded in November of 2019. So the plans for this next set of DLC were finished before that month.
My big point here is simple. If we consider that Nintendo were working on getting Banjo into Smash at E3 2018, while being surprised by the backlash of angry Waluigi fans who were upset he was back as an AT that very same time, the DLC fighters were perhaps already nearing lock around this period. No time to gauge immediate fan requests for FP 1. For FP 2, Nintendo already knows the characters we remain most passionate about and may have had a good idea how they want to proceed with that as early as Summer of 2019, give or take. I remember we had some user on here with inside connections (A Geno fan) saying to put the pressure on Nintendo for an FP 2, near the end of 2018 (same guy who said Nintendo was surprised by the angry/sad Isaac AT reactions. I don't remember his username). Nintendo/Sakurai may have been thinking about FP 2 before FP 1's Joker even came out.
I guess another point I'm trying to make here is that the Banjo fanservice may have been the result of the Smash Ballot as much as K. Rool was, but that character needed special negotiation and would perhaps take too much dev time away from other content for Smash Ultimate that needed to be finished for the base game. However, I think DLC to keep the game alive long term was long in the cards, and is something Nintendo has been pushing with Splatoon, Arms, Mario Tennis Aces, among other games for some time now.
In summary, our hopes for some of our current fan request, such as Isaac rests with FP 2, and that FP 1 was never going to service fan requests because it was essentially done before the Grinch Leak, feverish speculation, and everything leading up to Ultimates release. FP 2 will have the luxury of having all those elements considered for who the upcoming fighters will be.
Now all that said... I can't say I know why exactly Nintendo pushed for characters like Joker and Terry. Trying to convince Atlus and SNK to put P5 and KoF on Switch? Or maybe the big N has fanboys of these characters that they wanted to see added? lol, I don't know. Maybe they were plans for P5 Royal and KoF on switch that didn't quite pan out between 2018-2019. Who knows. Hero was marketed alongside Dragon Quest XI, and Byleth was planned well before Fire Emblem Three Houses was released in July of 2019, going by Sakurai's Byleth presentation that suggested he played some incomplete early build of the game to learn about the character and that Byleth was being made while FE: TH was still in development. Three Houses could have gone gold as soon as June of 2019, so maybe we're looking at Sakurai playing this early build as early as May of 2019. Maybe earlier! In fact, he could've been talking about 2018. That far back!
As has been mentioned countless times, our best hope is FP 2. It was never FP 1. And with a new Golden Sun trademark being registered (perhaps it will be a world wide name now, retiring or listed alongside the Japanese name, Ougen no Taiyo, in Japan?) in 2019, maybe Nintendo has Smash, Golden Sun, and cross promotion in mind. That is our hope right now, and these tidbits above is the fuel for that.
I imagine we'll learn about the first FP 2 fighter sometime this year. They'll have been in development at some point last year and will tell us what direction Nintendo is taking FP 2 DLC. Will it be a fanservice filled DLC with characters long requested by Smash fans, such as Waluigi, Geno, and that like? Or is cross promotion with upcoming games the DLC's primary function (new IP characters, upcoming Fire Emblem games, new Golden Sun promo, Kingdom Hearts coming to Switch, etc).
Banjo looks like a fan request being granted today, with no upcoming Banjo game coming to Switch, though Microsoft has since given Switch surprising support with Ori and Cuphead. Byleth is obviously promotion. There were a lot of P5 on Switch rumors that didn't pan out, so Joker's inclusion is a question. Hero had DQ 11. Terry's anyones guess, so in the end FP 2 may be more of FP 1. Maybe one... or two Smash fan requests. Some promotional characters, and perhaps a favorite from Sakurai or Nintendo as well. Time will tell I guess.
But I do wonder... who are the arguably two biggest characters, niche or otherwise, that Smash fans want right now with K. Rool, Ridley, and Banjo gone from speculation now? Are we (Isaac) up there? Geno's fans have been making there presence known for some time since FP 1's announcement (though they didn't have the kinda hard "de-confirm" we got). I guess time till tell.
Look alive and stay hopeful, fellow Adepts! :D