Going tbh, it;s not really a good way to see it.
Because really, not much changed to doubt everything. We know the ballot would end, we knew dlc would end at one point, we knew that speculation would end at one point.
The only thing that is different is we have a set month in which it would probably end.
In fact, doubting now is a proof of inconsistency because before, we did only have 2 slots left, we still have 2 slots left so having a different belief then and now to me doesn't make much sense.
What should be different however is this is now the time to be prepared if your character ISN'T in. Because you only have a month before it becomes pointless to hope either because it's over or because he's in and hope becomes pointless.
it's like me, I am still positive on Paper Mario chances, but the thing is, I have been prepared to not see him since a long time