So today I wanted to share something from
@PushDustIn of Source Gaming. A few days ago I was given a list that he compiled using various requests across the internet and logibility. I finished the list, which compiled the most likely characters for Smash DLC. So without further ado, here's the list.
Pre-ballot:
Wolf
Shovel Knight
Post-ballot:
Dixie Kong
Waddle Dee (aka: Bandana Dee)
Professor Layton
Arle Nadja (Puyo Puyo) (Second SEGA rep)
These results are obviously unexpected, so if there are any questions or thoughts feel free to share.
Yeah I just don't see it. Wolf makes sense, but the rest are really iffy to me.
Shovel Knight- Sakurai likes to add characters in themes, so I wouldn't be surprised if he wanted an indie rep, but Shovel Knight? Granted, he's popular, but what about Shantae who actually has a Japan release, or Quote who's more of a legacy indie? Shovel Knight might be the most relevant of the group, but I don't know, he still seems like a stretch.
Dixie Kong- All she has really going for her right now is that whole, "Forbidden 7" thing. Outside of that, her popularity has dropped off like a rock, and she's never been the most popular choice in the DK series anyway (obviously K.Rool). She seems to be seen as a unanimous "safe" pick, and I'll never understand why.
Bandanna(Waddle) Dee- I can see this character being a huge beacon for casual votes (casual-friendly character design from a casual-friendly series), but I still don't see it as a likely pick. The character just seems to be too... generic for Sakurai to consider as DLC right now. I know that's bound to get some negative attention, but Waddle Dee is just a common enemy character, and I don't think that's what he's going to go for when he considers DLC. Bandanna Dee can fix this, but with big names like Isaac, Wonder Red, and the Inklings, it's not like he exactly outclasses many of the other choices in terms of importance.
Professor Layton- This is a weird one, and if the likeliness is based off of the VA on IMDB, I'd drop this altogether. Anyone can edit that, it's almost certainly fake. Layton is popular, but so is many more important 3rd parties like Rayman, and Bomberman, and I don't see him taking precedence over them. He may not even be the most likely choice from his own company, I mean Jibanyan is huge in Japan, and is the face of a much bigger series. Layton would be cool, but I don't see him being at all likely.
Arle Nadja- I'm a supporter, so it hurts me to say this, but really? Once again, it'd be amazing, but we're talking about likeliness here right? Outside of Japan, she has little to no presence, and once again it's not like she's doesn't have any company as far as other 3rd party choices are concerned, who happen to have popularity in both the West AND Japan (seriously Bomberman people). When did 3rd parties become uber likely anyway? Half of the choices are third party on this list, Nintendo isn't just doing DLC to make fans happy (or else it would be free), nope they do it to make money, and borrowing outside IP's is sure to cut into their profit margin. The only way I see ANY 3rd party as likely is if: A) Advertisement for a new game coming to Nintendo exclusively, B) Sakurai wants to "represent" something (traditional fighting games, indies, etc...), or C) the company is paying Nintendo to put their character in the game. I don't see how Arle Nadja would fit in any of these categories.
So yeah, I think that their will be 4 more characters, and if I'm being honest with myself, they won't all be great.
-I see Wolf because there is literally no reason not to. He fits literally every reason to pick a DLC character, the only reason he wouldn't make it is Sakurai bias. I don't see Sakurai being THAT petty, so I'm almost certain Wolf will make it.
-I feel like the Chorus Kids are the last pre-planned characters that will make it. There's evidence they were planned, and I doubt they'd just scrap all that work for no reason. I'm very meh on this one, but DLC is likely.
-I'd probably say Isaac will be one of the "ballot winners". He can be easy to make, because his model is very similar to FE characters, so he can borrow animations. He's from a previously unrepresented series, and has been a consistently popular pick for years now who's sure to be near the top of the ballot, while also having a move set that can bring something new to the game, which is apparently important in Sakurai's eyes. Almost a lock.
-The other "ballot winner" will probably be Paper Mario. He comes from (debatably) the biggest unrepresented series Nintendo has, and has a large fan base to back him up. Not only that, but he has a new release coming out in M&L Paper Jam which makes him all the more relevant. The only pick out of the bunch I personally am truly against.