Chance: 15%
I just can't give the Inklings anything higher.
Pros:
+
Popularity: People just
fell in love when they saw the Inklings for the first time. I'm still finding fanarts all over the place.
+
Exposure: Nintendo is promoting them for all they're worth, with DLC and Amiibos already advertised before
Splatoon even hit shelves. They're clearly expecting great things.
Cons:
-
Lifetime: Splatoon is in its infancy right now, having been worked on for quite a while but not having been released yet.
-
Legacy: None whatsoever.
-Playability: I'm having trouble coming up with a functional moveset for the Inklings, most of which stems from their game being a shooter with no showcased melee alternative. Mega Man had the advantage of having literally 100+ weapons to make his moveset out of, whereas the Inkling's options are not only severely limited, they're also unknown and can't really be explored until the game comes out in May.
-
Jumping the gun: As I stated before, this isn't like with Roy;
Fire Emblem was already a successful series in Japan so there was no trouble using him to promote the next unreleased game.
Splatoon, on the other hand, hasn't fully entered the gaming scene yet, and including the Inklings in
Smash is going to look
really stupid if
Splatoon itself bombs. Their one saving grace is that
Splatoon will be out before the Ballot finishes so people have time to decide.
Want: 0%
C'mon, I like the Inklings as much as everyone else, but there are surely other, better-established characters that actually
deserve the roster spots more than these squidbillies that aren't even a year old. I might be more receptive if we're getting something like 16-22 DLC characters like
that one theory stated, but if we're getting a relatively low number of DLC characters then I honestly think them taking up a spot would be a
huge shameless plug, and by extension - and I do
not say this lightly -
a waste.
----------
Rayman
Prediction: 45%
If the mountains of salt due to that fake leak proved anything, it's that Rayman still has quite a strong fan following.
Origins and
Legends certainly helped, and let's not forget
The Great Escape which pretty much established him as a character. As far as third party characters go, he has a pretty good shot.
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Nominations: Shovel Knight x5 (might as well finish the "Indie" discussion that Shantae started)