Rate Their Chances Returns! Day 194: "Predicting the Direct"

[Groose]

Villager: 86.16% Satisfaction
Mega Man: 83.68% Satisfaction
Rosalina: 80.74% Satisfaction
Wii Fit Trainer: 74.74% Satisfaction

One does not simply mess with an axe-wielding psychopath. The Villager topped all of the newcomers so far in satisfaction; his combination of uniqueness, unexpectedness, and the popularity of his series gave him the edge. The ever-popular Mega Man came in second; he suffered because of his third-party status and relative expectedness. Rosalina's incredibly unique moveset allowed her to also break the 80% barrier and Wii Fit Trainer wasn't far behind; her sheer WTF nature and insane moveset won a good deal of fans, too. Satisfaction is now listed under the Results tab. Please take note: we will only rate satisfaction when a Newcomer is revealed. I think we'll do this two-day break process every time we get a newcomer, OK?

Today we're getting back to what we do best: RATING THEIR CHANCES. Nintendog is up at the plate today. Does having one breed be an AT and one breed be a Stage Hazard completely deconfirm him? Please rate the Nintendog in chance and want today.

WARNING! CHALLENGER RE-APPROACHING! Roy is our boy... but Tingle beat him out by one nomination, so we're rerating everyone's favorite fairy today. Roy tomorrow. Last time, Tingle managed 15% chance and 25% want; since then, Toon Link has been announced and Skull Kid has been deconfirmed. How do these to developments affect Tingle? Please rate Tingle in chance and want today.

Finally, tomorrow we will be rating Ganon. Basically, what's the chance that there will be a complete moveset dedicated to the monstrous form of Ganon? Please predict how Ganon will fare in tomorrow's game. Extra nominations will be awarded again starting tomorrow.

 

[BluePikmin11]

Nintendog Chance: 5% I'm just going to be generous to Nintendog, due to how much I love Nintendog and the potential and fun for his moveset. Unfortunately, I think his chances have struck down thanks to the AT. It is a big series to Nintendo, I think Sakurai chose to keep Nintendog as an AT due to animal right issues. I would be real surprised if the puppy comes back as playable though, but I feel like it's unlikely at this point. But until then; R.I.P. Nintendog's chances.. had to have the same fate as Toad had.
(Originally I wanted to give Nintendog's chances to 35% before the AT incident occurred.)
Nintendog Want: 95% Still love for Nintendog to happen though.
Tingle Chance: 15%
Tingle Want: 50%
Ganon Prediction: 14%
Nominations:
x5 Cranky Kong

 

[Groose]

Nintendog Chance: 5% I'm just going to be generous to Nintendog, due to how much I love Nintendog.

It's important to be as objective as possible in your ratings. If you feel that your support for Nintendog is significantly raising his chances, it may be a good idea to lower them.

 

[BluePikmin11]

I know mate, but after going through wisdom teeth surgery I feel as if I may not be able to be as descriptive today. D:

 

[LoneKonWolf]

Tingle . . . you win this round . . .
Nintendog - 0.24%
many people believe that Nintendog is deconfirmed, this would be false, but we do need to remember that he is an stage AND an assist trophy, despite them two different breeds, there isn't much point for a Nintendog to make it being playable, along with peta and well, you know the story . . .
want - 70%
I want to play as a dog dangit!
The. . . urg . . .fairy - 23.93%
there are three points that bring up in tingles favor,
one is toon link, showing that toon like characters are getting more representation, and he is a toon like character (or more famous to be one), but yet at the same time toon link takes up the 4th spot on the roster, well I will explain this later . . .
skull kid being deconfirmed: with him out of the way increases the chance of the other Zelda characters, true he wasn't' much, but every competition counts still
Rosalina being confirmed: this is probably his biggest selling point with her being shown, it shows that A. sakurai is not going after the most important characters in a series, B. if they can be unique in his mind, he will add them, and C. there is no 4th spot myth anymore which means a series can hold 5 spots, all of this adds up in his favor,
and before anyone says this Hate bases do not matter! so all in all he actually got a strong chance, but he does got some strong competition too.
Want - 20%
urg . . . no thanks . . .
the original Ganondorf - 3.15%
"Ganondorf is in, he's a too time veteran, so there can't be two Gannon's" I think we'll be hearing a lot of this tomorrow . . .
nominations:
Roy all done and good, time to move on to the next one
IkeX5

 

[Gunla]

HAHAHAHAHHAH!!!!!! FINALLY! And I just set up Miiverse on my 3DS too! o3o

You guys thought I was negative before?

Nintendog. Seriously?

Pros!
+Multiple Breeds Theory (?!)
Cons, Cons, Cons CONS!
-STAGE HAZARD!
-ASSIST TROPHY!
-HE'S NOT A SPACIE!
-...Can A dog really have a moveset?
-I mean, seriously? Supporting this thing is setting yourself up for disappointment. We aren't getting a full-scale dog invasion. Not without Cats.
-How many negatives can I think of? A lot, to say the least. This is to me the day that will be known as the day we rate a disconfirmed character. Skull Kidd gets the same treatment. Why doesn't a dog?

Overall... Groose, why are we doing this? Honestly, Nintendog has actually NO chance. I'm bold enough to say it. If a character is already a stage hazard and an AT, it's deconfirmed. Multiple breeds is because having two dogs of the same kind on one screen is weird. Anyone can throw any single arguement they have at me, but I'm not changing my mind here. I'm giving a straight up 00.00%. I'm calling a deconfirmation right here, that's me drawing the line in the sand.

Want: Let me express it to you in picture form:

I absolutely do not like dogs. I have my personal reasons for doing so. I don't want a pooch stealing a spot off the roster for anyone. I'll take Cranky. I'll take freaking Tingle. And I'm saying it right here, guys. I WILL TAKE MIIS OVER A FREAKING NINTENDOG. 00.00% Again!
Blue, feel free to quote that.


Tingle, Kooloo-leeelueeeeeee LIMPAH!

Pros!
+5th Zelda Character is imminent.
+Kinda unique, I dunno.
Cons!
-Creepy. Look at those eyes, man.
-Vaati? Impa? Tetra?


Overall... I'll admit it. Yeah, Tingle has a shot. A MINIMAL SHOT. By dividing the slot for a 5th Rep between 4 contestants, he's got a big fight. Vaati and Impa make lots of sense. The Wind Sage has potential to have a crazy moveset. Tingle doesn't as much, however. I see him as being a background character, while the other 3 play bigger roles.
The Fat, Skinny, can't keep a straight appearance Fairy Impersonator gets a 04.67% in my book.

Want: BigAxle used recycle!

Spoiler

Spoiler

It was super effective! Again!

I've got my boats for the other 3. Vaati is slick, and has some really cool potential. I don't need to go into why I'm backing Impa again. Done it 3 times now. Tetra is the character (To me) that can play the most like characters like Kidd from Chrono Cross, or Strider Hiryu. [Come to think of it... that outfit of hers does resemble the two.] Speed, low weight and more speed. Sorry Tingle lovers, but he recieves a 00.00% in my book.

Ganon. Make your face the greatest in Koridai.

Prediction: I'm not feeling very optimistic about alternate versions of characters. Besides, Ganon is G-Dorf's Final Smash already. Giving him the prediction of 3.56%, however- it's not too unlikely. (BEFORE ANYONE ATTEMPTS TO HAMMER IT INTO ME THAT BLUE GANON IS TOMMORROW: I know. I personally just see them as one and the same. If he gets in though, I prefer the classic design.)

Who Gets My Nominations Today?
Me, with Extensive Alternate Costumes X5

Guess I'm out for this rating... But Hey Look, who cares?

-BigAxle

 

[BluePikmin11]

Hey Groose, make sure you get the picture of Ganon holding a trident tomorrow, his trident basically sums up what makes Classic Ganon unique. I feel like people are misunderstanding the big beast.

 

[Gunla]

Hey Groose, make sure you get the picture of Ganon holding a trident tomorrow, his trident basically sums up what makes Classic Ganon unique. I feel like people are misunderstanding the big beast.

It's a similar incarnation. I see them as one and the same. But when I think of Ganon, this image comes to mind. I understand that you are referring to me likely in this point, but I understand. Actually, my want for Classic Ganon will be quite a surprise to some .

 

[BluePikmin11]

It's a similar incarnation. I see them as one and the same. But when I think of Ganon, this image comes to mind.

Not the right Ganon to look at.

 

[Starbound]

Doggie chances: 0.01%
Sure it's unique because it's a dog, but I don't see it getting past the ESRB ratings, let alone animal rights activist. I can guarantee that if Nintendog were a playable fighter in the game, NoA won't release it over here.

Want: 0%
Because I don't want to beat up a puppy.

Tingle chances: 10%
A lot of what he does (balloons) is already done by villager. I doubt you can make a whole moveset revolving around throwing rupees too.

Want: 5%
ewwwwwwwwwwwwww

5x Phantom Zelda

 

[YoshiandToad]

Nintendog:

Chance: 0%
Yeah, sorry Blue. Like Toad, Nintendog was shot down by Sakurai(but unlike Toad, not also by Link).

Want: 0%
Also unlike Toad I can't say I wanted him. Maybe if Nintendog was a designed dog rather than a photo realistic puppy, something akin to Akamaru in some of the Naruto fighting games, or a stylised quadruped dog I'd be down with him, but if I'm honest I've only wanted to play as characters from the get go. Not sure if Nintendog counts as a character.

Kooo-LIM-PAH!
Tingle time again!
Chance: 16%
This may seem low but considering Toad has been unable to escape his eternal Smash fate as Peach's meatshield and Nintendog likewise is stuck being a summonable assist trophy character, I'm not feeling Tingle's got any better chances than those two. He's had two previous roles in Smash now, one as a Stage...well not a hazard, persay, but as an interactive character who uses balloons in Melee and as an Assist Trophy in Brawl.
In his favour, the role has been different each time, but I'm currently struggling to see what he brings to the table if Villager has already claimed balloon fighter's schtick, which Tingle's spinoff series was about.

Want: 55%
I would laugh. Hard. I'd probably even use him quite a bit as he'd seem pretty fun to annoy others with. Out of all the possible Zelda reps(ones with half a snowballs chance in hell) he's probably joint with Vaati for me as my number 1 Zelda newcomer. But considering I'd be satisfied with no Zelda newcomer, that's not saying a lot.

Ganon prediction: 9%? Tough to call. Recently people seem happy to include him in rosters.

Nominations...
Blaziken X 5

 

[Starcutter]

Realistic puppy in a fighting game: 0%
want: 10% bluepikmin has had worse ideas.

Tingle: 35%
Want: 50%

Ganon is going to make your face the greatest in koridi: 11.7%

Noms: um Eevee I guess? x5

 

[Sid-cada]

Nintendog

Chance - 0% - The Animal rights activists are probably going to go crazy if he was unveiled. I'd say Nintendo is unwilling to give Nintendo a chance as a fighter, especially sense that dog fighting is a banned blood-sport in several areas of the world with negative connotations. according to Wikipedia, "Dog fighting is not banned at a nationwide level, but the prefectures of Tokyo, Kanagawa, Fukui, Ishikawa, Toyama and Hokkaidō all ban the practice," so I'm guessing the associations also exist there.

Want - 0% - I actually used to own "Chihuahua and Friends," before I lost the card. While I had some fun with it, I'd say that they're better off not playable. In addition to the whole "beating on defenseless animals" thing they have, they're not interesting as a fighter and have noting really in particular that could not already be represented by the assist Trophy they already have along with the stage.

Tingle

Chance - 30% - I'm sticking with my original vote, here. He's got a chance, but there is a lot of completion between folks in his home series. I've mostly got a feeling that he's going to be back as an Assist Trophy.

Want - 20% - He still feels very "bottom-of-the-barrel"-ish to me, but my original score feels a bit harsh.


Ganon Prediction - 1.15% - I'd think that most, but not all, people would rather stick with Ganondorf than have Ganon.

Nominations
Dark Matter X5

 

[Gunla]

Doggie chances: 0.01%
Sure it's unique because it's a dog, but I don't see it getting past the ESRB ratings, let alone animal rights activist. I can guarantee that if Nintendog were a playable fighter in the game, NoA won't release it over here.

Nintendog

Chance - 0% - The Animal rights activists are probably going to go crazy if he was unveiled. I'd say Nintendo is unwilling to give Nintendo a chance as a fighter, especially sense that dog fighting is a banned blood-sport in several areas of the world with negative connotations. according to Wikipedia, "Dog fighting is not banned at a nationwide level, but the prefectures of Tokyo, Kanagawa, Fukui, Ishikawa, Toyama and Hokkaidō all ban the practice," so I'm guessing the associations also exist there.

Forgot about this, too. Having a dog that looks like an actual dog is borderlining dog-fighting. And it's been seen many times before that this act goes punished. A lot.

 

[Deleted member]

Ugh… my power went out… so I went to sleep… and now that it's back, I feel very, very tired. So, please excuse if my post is not explained very well. I'll most likely edit this (EDIT: I did).
Nintendog and Tingle have been added to this post.

Nintendog
Chance: 0%
I am a very firm believer that it has been disconfirmed. Yeah, there are other breeds, but why bother? I mentioned that Groose and Pauline have limited moveset potential… but I find it to be at its worst here. What kind of moveset would the Nintendog have? It's just… limited… very limited. You need an extremely creative person to create a moveset for the Nintendog. While Nintendogs appeal to the casual crowd, they aren't making noise for it nor is there an iconic Nintendog that Sakurai can really go with. I can't see them be playable under any circumstance and I bet that Nintendo and Sakurai would receive harsh criticisms for including them in a fighting game as characters. Yeah, you fight princesses and little kids, but they are cartoony and have powers. The Nintendogs… they are real dogs. I bet that someone will complain about them being playable… call up PETA or some other animal activist group for if, for some reason, it becomes playable.
Want: -50%
Negatives are mean and I gave one to Cloud before. I just find this to be a horrible idea. I am against this idea and I can't see myself use Nintendog under any circumstance. (unless I am playing on the Random box)
Look, I love dogs. But, that doesn't make me want Nintendogs in Smash. I am just fully against the idea of having a realistic dog fighting against Nintendo's all-stars. It's not only unfitting, but it just doesn't suit well with me and I would find it to be a waste of a slot no matter how unique it is.
That said, I will take a Nintendog over Cloud or Miis. However, I would highly question Sakurai if he made the Nintendog a character… especially when it's an Assist Trophy and a stage hazard.

Tingle
Chance: 10%
I gave him an extra 5% than my previous rating. He is a popular character, but he is infamous at the same time. He has his own games, but Nintendo knows how much people hate Tingle as his games were not released in America. While not everything revolves around America, it's still rather important to show how much he is disliked by the Nintendo community. I think what works for him is his prominence. He is seen in multiple upon multiple Zelda games and he seems to be one of the most likely candidates for a 5th Zelda character, the other 2 being Ghirahim and Toon Zelda. However, he is the least likely out of them and I find him to stick as an Assist Trophy.
Want: 50%
I don't like Tingle. However, since I am the map guy for this thread, I had to give him a boosted want score.

Ganon Prediction: 8.51%
GAN-ON-DORF! GAN-ON-DORF!

Nominations: Decloned Ganondorf 5x

 

[Glaciacott]

Oh boy, what a change of pace

Nintendog
Chance: 0%
After Rosalina being revealed I decided to be more open-minded, but this is too much. Not only the animal abuse problem, but now also the fact it's still an AT and a Stage ... um, distraction? Yea, hell no. NO character should get to be all three.

Want 0%
NO. BAD DOG.

Almost forgot ...

Tingle
Chances: 3%
Again, trying to be open-minded, but nope, I just can't see it. With the likes of Tetra a possibility, I truly, really, stupendously fail to see why Tingle would merit inclusion. Having his own game doesn't make him less of a really weird side character that is nevertheless just a side character, like Malon or Mask Guy or that owl.

Want: 0%
There's too many great Zelda characters with more meaning and impact (Tetra, Vaati, Impa) to the point it'd be stupid (IMO) to have Tingle. I'm sorry Groose ... I'm huge on fairies, and weirdness, but I still haven't ever been able to like this guy. Why he got blown so much out of proportion beats me.
I doubt even a great Sakurai unique moveset boost would even make me like this guy.

Prediction
Ganon - 3.67
Some people will overestimate because of trident, but there's not enough impact, draw or uniqueness for it to ever make sense. That will probably bring him down a lot.

Nominations
x5 Blaziken

 

[loganhogan]

Nintendog? Are we talking about the cute one in Uprising? Didn't you recognize him he was the AT from Brawl all grown up!

Chance 90%

chance: 2%
Anyways a Nintendog, we saw one in a stage and another as an assist. I think the only dog to be allowed in a fighting game are the Twinbellows, Laughing dog, and Fox .
Want: 30% They are cute but I would feel bad attacking them.

Nintendo Dogs is a very important series though but that's probably why they get stage and assist trophies.

Tingle

Chance: 40% He's got his own line of games, he's recurring, and well known.
want 5% I don't know he's scary.

x5 Funky Kong

 

[Toxicroaker]

Nintendog: 0.00% I need to stop using this so much
Want: 0.00% This number pops up too much for comfort.

Tingle: 3.91%
Want: 5.92% The old me would say 0.00% but I decided that if that were the case then I would never like the character no matter what and I hate him with all of my hear. But I could come to liking him.

Ganon: 2.99%

x5 Bowser Jr. R.I.P. fellow friend... R.I.P.

 

[Smasher 101]

Nintendog's chances: 0% - Nope.
Want: 0% - More nope.

Tingle's chances: 10% - I think he's one of the more likely Zelda choices. I'm still not really sure if we'll actually get a Zelda newcomer at all, though.
Want: 10% - I don't actually dislike him, but I'm still not that interested.

Ganon: 2.48%

Prince Sable x5

 

[PK_Wonder]

Nintendog - 0%
Tingle - 5%

predict - 0.4%

Ryu x5

 

[colder_than_ice]

Nintendog
Chance: 0% - Giving how they're already stage hazards and assist trophies, I'd say this dogs already been put to sleep.
Want: 84% - They're so cuuuute!!!! Who wouldn't want to beat up their favorite Nintendo characters using an adorable little puppy holding a beam sword in it's mouth. Those of you who are giving Nintendog a low want percentage clearly have no sense of imagination or humour. JUST THINK OF THE COMICAL POSSIBILITIES PEOPLE.

Tingle
Chance: 16% He has both a cult fan base and his own games, but not everyone likes him very much.
Want: 0% I've never been a fan.

Gannon prediction: 1.5%

Nominations: Eevee x5

 

[Xenigma]

Nintendog - 0%
Maybe if the assist trophy weren't confirmed there would be an appreciable chance. With the assist trophy it's basically deconfirmed unless you really want to argue changing the breed is intended to make way for a playable Nintendog. Honestly, though, do we really think Sakurai wants to make a generic puppy playable? Heck, how would he even get approval for that? Just seems too crazy a proposition.
Want - 0% - No thank you.

Tingle - 5%
I still feel like Tingle is not liked nearly enough to be able to stand out among Zelda competition, but Rosalina's reveal seems to suggest that Sakurai is willing to look past obvious picks for more unique characters, and Tingle could certainly qualify for that, not to mention he is a recurring character. Probably fits into the top 5 or so among possible Zelda picks, but I think he still loses out hard to Tetra/Toon Zelda, Impa, and possibly Ganon, never mind all the popular one-off characters and Link variations out there that Sakurai may want to give a nod to. Skull Kid being deconfirmed is also notable, but considering the seemingly inevitable Majora's Mask 3D remake has yet to be announced, it doesn't seem to do much beyond eliminate one of those one-off characters whose individual chances aren't that notable anyway.
Want - 0% - Would be a sorely disappointing Zelda addition.

Ganon Prediction - 7.5%
I'm thinking he has a decent shot, but I imagine the ratings will be all over the map.

Nominations
Cranky Kong 5x (aka by far the most interesting possibility not really considered till recently)

 

[KingofPhantoms]

Nintendog - 0%

PETA would give Nintendo unwanted negative publicity and attention no matter what would happen. As if that weren't enough, the Nintendog (albeit, a different breed) is an Assist Trophy once again.

Not gonna happen.

Want - 0%

I don't want to beat have up a realistic dog, and I don't see any potential in it.

Tingle - 37%

With Mario getting a newcomer, I won't be too surprised if we get a Zelda newcomer as well. Tingle? Well, he gets a lot of hate from America, and Sakurai may want to revisit the idea of Toon Zelda in Smash as well. He has a chance, just not a great one.

Want - 45%

I would be indifferent on his iclusion, if I didn't prefer Toon Zelda/Tetra.

Ganon prediction - 9.2

Personally, I'm certain he has no chance. The ratings will be varied though.

x5 Count Bleck.

 

[Erimir]

Nintendog

-It's a stage element. Oh, but Toon Link is too, sort of. It's Engineer Link. Nintendog supporter wins this round.
-It's an AT. And no other character appears as both a playable character and an AT, alternate version or not.
-It's BOTH a stage element and an AT. Seems like quite enough representation already.
-In both of those appearances, and in Brawl, the Nintendog does nothing fighter-like either.
-It's a freaking puppy. Not a cartoon puppy or robot puppy or magical puppy or anything like that either. Just a normal, damn puppy. Villager might not be a fighter, but he's still a cartoonish character with lots of thingamajigs and hammerspace and so forth. Duck Hunt Dog is more likely, and I think that one's chances are crap. Not a fighter, and boring as well.
-The game itself doesn't offer much in the way of fighting mechanics either

I don't see the need to bring up ASPCA or dog fighting or whatever, everything else already kills Nintendog's chances. But it certainly doesn't help either.

Nintendog chances: 0%
I rounded down, because I think it's less than 0.005%.

Nintendog want: 0%
This is one of my most disliked ideas for a character.

Spoiler

Tingle re-rate:

What's changed since when I rated him before?

Toon Link and Skull Kid's confirmations as a playable character and AT respectively are the biggest news. I rated Skull Kid very low, so that doesn't affect things much. Unless we're getting more ATs this time, it does likely indicate that Tingle won't be doing the same thing this time. Skull Kid being from Majora's Mask does show that it won't be only Skyward Sword and other recent content.

My model is not optimistic on Zelda getting another slot. I thinks Zelda is about where it should be relative to its sales. I'm a little more optimistic though, especially after Rosalina's reveal showed that the big series can still get more reps.

The bad news for Tingle is that I think that Toon Link helps Tetra/Toon Zelda's chances (relative to other Zelda reps) while simultaneously eliminating the possibility that Toon Link would be replaced by another Zelda character.

As I've thought about it, America's hatred for the character makes me think his chances are lower. He's not as wanted by Japanese fans as Toon Zelda either, and Japan is where his base of support should be.

Tingle chances: 4%
I rated him 7% before, but yeah.

Tingle want: 35%
I wouldn't hate it, but I'd rather see some other characters.

(Beast) Ganon prediction: 3.5%
As cool as I think the idea is...

Also, I think Beast Ganon can have a human form. But only if it's his Final Smash

Nominations:
Pichu x5

I'm gonna get us through those veterans someday! Then we can eliminate that category at the top...

But ironically whilst others have become more accepting of her inclusion I'm now finding myself wondering exactly what she offers that's so damn unique, considering uniqueness seems to be the criteria this time.

Except... maybe it's not the only criteria. I think Mega Man is more notable for other reasons, and the Villager is from a high-selling series that wasn't represented yet. Yes, Sakurai made them unique, but that's not necessarily the only reason they got in. Even Rosalina is pretty popular, although you could make an argument that she got in over Bowser Jr or Waluigi or whoever on the basis of uniqueness. All three of the Nintendo newcomers come from high-selling series, and two of them are the most obvious inclusions from that series. You could argue that it's only sales that really matter and uniqueness only matters for deciding how to give a series an addition, but I'm not convinced that's true either. I don't think it's to the point where I'd say everything we did before was wrong.

Additionally, moveset uniqueness is not only a function of the characters themselves. Rosalina easily could've had a more conventional moveset, in fact a lot of people were against her because they thought she would be boring. So we shouldn't assume someone is ruled out because they don't seem that interesting, or vice versa.

 

[Swamp Sensei]

Nintendog: 0%

Not happening. Too many problems.

And they are BIG problems...

Plus he's deconfirmed. Like twice now.

Want: 5%

Inner troll in me says lol. Be glad that I even gave him that. Other than that **** NO! I don't want to beat up a realistic dog! Especially a puppy!

Tingle: 10%

Possible. But Villager kinda took his main shtick when he took Balloon Fighter's. His hatebase and middling popularity doesn't help either.

Want: 65%

He'd actually be pretty cool and he represents something pretty big. Plus inner troll.

Beast Ganon Prediction: 8%

He ain't replacing Ganondorf but people will give him more credit than he probably deserves.

Nominations:

Brawl Pokemon + Mewtwo

 

[Aqua Rock X]

NINTENDOG

Chance: 0% - Assist Trophy means instant deconfirmation/disconfirmation/denial/death!

Want: 0% - No interest whatsoever. I nominated it mostly entirely as a favor to Bluepikmin.

TINGLE

Chance: 1% - Though very prominent in the Zelda-verse, I don't think he has the...worth to catch Sakurai's interest as a playable.

Want: 0% - As I said before, I think it is best for such a controversial character to remain in the background or as an AT.

Ganon Prediction: 1.21% - Most think Ganondorf is enough on his own.

Nominations:
Cranky Kong x5 (I'll use those extra noms someday.)

 

[Jubileus57]

Nintendog Chances: 0% Obliterated by Assist Trophy status. And a realistic dog in a fighting game...
Nintendog Want: 0% Hate the idea. Oh, and I strongly dislike dogs, too.

Tingle Chances: 3%: Pretty unlikely.
Tingle Want: 0%: ... Just NOPE

Beast Ganon prediction: 2%

Nominations: Bayonetta x5

 

[BlitznBurst]

Nintendog: 0%.
Want: 0%.

Tingle: 10%. The Western Zelda fanbase absolutely despises him, and has virtually zero requests in Japan, despite how often people will cite his "Japanese popularity." People just don't want him for Smash over there. He probably has more requests in the West than he does in Japan. Officials at Nintendo have publicly commented on how much people in the West hate Tingle, and I'm pretty sure Sakurai himselfcited this as a reason Tingle wouldn't be playable. There's also the debate over whether or not Zelda will even get a fifth character.

Want: 0%. Uuuuuugggggghhhhhh

Ganon prediction: 10%.

Cranky X5

 

[FalKoopa]

Nintendog:
Likelihood: 0%
He has been discomfirmed. Get over it.

Want: 0%
Given how realistic he looks on the Wii U, beating him up will be all the more painful and cruel.

Tingle:
Likelihood: 19%
He has a chance, only losing out to Tetra and Toon Zelda. Toon Link's confirmation gives him a boost, as his Smash appearance is based on Wind Waker, but it also is a boost for Toon Zelda and Tetra.

Want: 100%
Pretty much any Zelda newcomer except Ghirahim and Groose is fine with me.

Beast Ganon prediction: 5%
He definitely will be in the game.... as Ganondorf's Final Smash.

Cranky Kong x 5
I think I'll join the bandwagon.

 

[DarkKry4]

Nintendog

Chance - 0%
i don't see it happening

Want - 0%
I HATE DOGS.... except Mr. Peepers of course.

Tingle

Chance - 2%

Want - 0%

Ganon prediction - 3.2%

x5 Tiny Kong

 

[BluePikmin11]

So far I see lots of 0%s here. xD
People just want to torture Nintendog's chances.

 

[Gunla]

So far I see lots of 0%s here. xD
People just want to torture Nintendog's chances.

I'm not torturing, really. I hate dogs. And the whole dogfighting arguement is a real problem, if Nintendo has that they'll get a ton of pressure and hate from certain groups in society. Now some of us could care less, but then people could attempt to bring in legal systems.

 

[BluePikmin11]

Might've realized that, since Super Smash Bros. Is such a recognizable series, they could get easily sued due to the inclusion of the puppy.
Oh well though.. :9

 

[SmasherMaster]

Nintendog
Chance-.15%
There a multiple Nintendogs, so unless Sakurai releases a pic of the day with all of the breeds playing in the background of the 3DS stage, then it is possible. (I think that I am being too generious.)

Want- 0%
Sorry, but I would rather have almost any other character. Besides, I would like Smash Bros to come to the US.

Tingle
Chance- 15%
Toon Zelda/ Tetra and Impa both seem like a better choices as a fighter and Tingle just is hated.

Want-3%
Toon Zelda/ Tetra or bust. Wouldn't mind Impa though.

Ganon: 6%

Nominations:
Blaziken x5

 

[Louie G.]

NINTENDOG:

Chance: 2%
Wow Pikmin. You tried to get Nintendog into RTC, but unfortunately this is the worst time to do so. Nintendog seems to be disconfirmed, as he is confirmed as an assist trophy (though a different breed). That being said, the change of breed can reflect Golden Retriever being playable, but eh...

Want: 25%
I don't hate the idea. Sure, PETA may rampage, but the uniqueness of the character alone and the fact that you're playing as a puppy is satisfying.

TINGLE:

Chance: 20%
Tingle has a better shot than most give him credit for. He is still a very important character in the Zelda franchise, even gaining a spin-off series, although his hate-base is quite large. His assist trophy may also prove that Sakurai at least gave thought to the character. I think that Tingle would honestly be the best choice for a 5th Zelda character, like it or not.

Want: 50%
I'm sort of indifferent, but I'm sure Tingle could have a pretty fun moveset.

Ganon Prediction: 7.25%
That dumb "leak" may affect voting. Just taking a shot here.

Noms:
Starfy x5

 

[NickerBocker]

Nintendog
Chance: 0%
Want: 5%
Assist trophy, practically deconfirmed and there wont be 2 types of dogs; one playable and one AT. A realistic Dog in smash? I would much rather have an unrealistic one that has potential for a better moveset. Plus PETA.

Tingle
Chance: 17%
Want: 5%
I will acknowledge his *ahem*.... popularity. But with that popularity comes a hate base, and its noticeable. He does have a decent chance, actually, based off of his recurring role and popularity. That being said, I am against his inclusion, his attitude is greedy and really strange, and every game hes in gives me pain seeing him.

Ganon: 4.6%

Nominations:
DLC characters x5

 

[MasterOfKnees]

Nintendog:

Chance: 0% - You're dead son!

Want: 0%

Tingle:

Chance: 16%

Want: 0%

Ganon Prediction: 13%

Nominations:
5x Brawl Pokémon and Mewtwo

 

[Erimir]

So far I see lots of 0%s here. xD
People just want to torture Nintendog's chances.

Nintendogs are in a stage (and for all we know, there's more than one that appears in the stage background) and they have an AT.

Multiple breeds only means it's theoretically possible, not at all likely. I could revise my score upward to 0.01% if you really think I'm being unfair. I gave 0% because I was rounding.

 

[BluePikmin11]

Nah it's fine, I'll let people do whatever they want to Nintendog's chances. It's alot of fun to watch people not take this game seriously. xD

 

[OcarinaOfDoom]

nintendog: 0%
want: 0%
tingle: 20%
want: 0%