Sera Smash
Smash Rookie
- Joined
- Sep 24, 2014
- Messages
- 19
I'm in a few skype smash groups and frequent the forums a lot, and about 90%+ of the people I talk to typically brag about a 50%+ winrate, about 80% of them brag and say it's above 75%. Of course there's many reasons that this could be the case, like some of the best smashers mostly being ones who would frequent the forums, or they only play bad people lots and leave vs good people, or the system is just randomly pairing people up...
but I don't buy those, I have a theory that there's a working system in the game and it's goal is to force you to a 50% winrate via the hidden MMR system (that some people don't believe exists).
So the theory being that if you're over 50% it's going to match you with more difficult opponents until you're bumped down, and will repeatedly do so until you even out, because in theory if it matches the best players vs the best players they WON'T be able to maintain high winrates unless one person dominates everyone and that's not what I am seeing on the forums.
So the theory is:
1) the match-making is broken... or
2) people are exaggerating their ridiculous winrates (over so many games).
So out of curiosity, whether your 'uber proud of your winrate' or not, I am curious as to what people's experiences in online 1v1 have been, particularly those of your with 100+ games.
I've put in 200+ games the past couple days and my first... ~30ish games was about 90% and then I started facing ridiculously good people and have been bumbling around the 50-60%. It seems that if I face someone mediocre ~10 games (and get 10 wins) then it gives me a very hard match after that, and vice versa--if I lose to someone 15-20 times the next match will be easy and this is indicative of an MMR system that's aiming to get people to 50%
So while I concede there are ways to game the system (playing someone bad ~100 games in a row) eventually the system will force you down to the 50% equilibrium based on the huge population of online players to support a hidden MMR.
So for my own curiosity if you have ~100+ games I'd be interested in seeing pictures of records because I am looking for something a bit more credible than people's self-proclaimed street cred.
On these forums I have seen several people claiming 95%+ winrate with over 200 games. I'd love to see a picture of that.
So here's the data from my end. I'm interested in seeing other people's data and if you have time then add some info about your experience (did you have a high win% at first? Did you find that after losing several in a row the opponents got easier? etc etc etc).
but I don't buy those, I have a theory that there's a working system in the game and it's goal is to force you to a 50% winrate via the hidden MMR system (that some people don't believe exists).
So the theory being that if you're over 50% it's going to match you with more difficult opponents until you're bumped down, and will repeatedly do so until you even out, because in theory if it matches the best players vs the best players they WON'T be able to maintain high winrates unless one person dominates everyone and that's not what I am seeing on the forums.
So the theory is:
1) the match-making is broken... or
2) people are exaggerating their ridiculous winrates (over so many games).
So out of curiosity, whether your 'uber proud of your winrate' or not, I am curious as to what people's experiences in online 1v1 have been, particularly those of your with 100+ games.
I've put in 200+ games the past couple days and my first... ~30ish games was about 90% and then I started facing ridiculously good people and have been bumbling around the 50-60%. It seems that if I face someone mediocre ~10 games (and get 10 wins) then it gives me a very hard match after that, and vice versa--if I lose to someone 15-20 times the next match will be easy and this is indicative of an MMR system that's aiming to get people to 50%
So while I concede there are ways to game the system (playing someone bad ~100 games in a row) eventually the system will force you down to the 50% equilibrium based on the huge population of online players to support a hidden MMR.
So for my own curiosity if you have ~100+ games I'd be interested in seeing pictures of records because I am looking for something a bit more credible than people's self-proclaimed street cred.
On these forums I have seen several people claiming 95%+ winrate with over 200 games. I'd love to see a picture of that.
So here's the data from my end. I'm interested in seeing other people's data and if you have time then add some info about your experience (did you have a high win% at first? Did you find that after losing several in a row the opponents got easier? etc etc etc).
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