Alright, so I already made a list a few days before, so here it is if you want to see the old;
https://smashboards.com/threads/a-c...ction-returning-and-new.455259/#post-22109614
To highlight the content of that list I went over every characters’ chances of making it in, new or veteran, as well as any changes. To give the the gist of how much is correct here’s a list;
1. I thought Wolf had a chance of coming back and he did
2. I thought Ridley had a good chance of joining the roster, and that was proven correct.
3. I thought Link would have new moves from BOTW, and got that correct with the remote bombs and arrow final smash
4. I thought Cappy would be part of Mario’s move set, and while I thought his integration would be higher, he was still there.
5. I thought Daisy would be in, and while she is, her being a costume was incorrect. (I did throw in the potential of her being a clone)
6. I predicted that all Star Fox characters would have designs from Zero
As for what I got wrong;
1. Waluigi and Lyn as playable characters
2. No previously excluded characters outside of Wolf and Ice Climbers returning.
3. Lucina and Dr. Mario being costumes
4. Any move set changes outside of Mario and Link, not including final smashes
5. Zelda characters having Hyrule Warriors designs besides Link
6. Character cuts (Corrin, Roy, Wii Fit Trainer, Capcom characters, etc.)
So with that out of the way I want to set up how I decided upon the new characters. I mainly go off the idea that Smash is a way to get newer characters out into the public, or advertise Nintendo’s franchises. While there usually is one retro/ weird choice, most characters get in due to Nintendo wanting to market the newest titles they have from the current and previous generation. (Basically the games that came out between Smashes.) To put it bluntly, Smash’s newcomers are made to represent the newest generation. I say this because all my choices are from games between the Wii U to Switch era (including 3DS), so don’t expect characters like Krool who haven’t really had a major role since the SNES because those characters are outdated and don’t really help in boosting up Smash’s or Donkey Kong’s popularity to the mainstream audience.
I will go through Franchise by franchise to assume what the New comers will be.
Super Mario Bros.
Captain Toad is easily the best choice, being a new main character with his own game and a decently sized role in Odessey. His inability to jump would make him an interesting fighter, and Toadette could easily be a costume.
I don’t need to explain further as this should explain how he fights;
https://youtu.be/sqk0vlKgu2c
Donkey Kong Country
Dixie Kong would make the most sense as she was a popular character from the latest title that is now on Switch. In Tropical Freeze, her hair was shown to do multiple things, which could lead to different attacks. She also has a bubble gum gun to use on enemies, so she could be a semi-clone if Diddy, akin to someone like Falco. She can have Diddy’s Neutral B and Down, but use her hair for an up D and maybe use her hair to propel herself for a side.
The Legend of Zelda
Zelda is a hard franchise to find characters for as BOTW should get a character as it is the new Ocarina, changing up the formula for the future. The problem is that BOTW has no characters that were significant enough to build a move set around or really imagine one. For Zelda, I believe Impa will be a new character, and while it may seem to go off the rule, Impa was a significant character in the newly re-released game Hyrule Warriors and was in BOTW, albeit older than she would be. Impa can use her Giant Blade or Naginnata to fight leading to some new play styles. Her design would most likely be based on Ocarina as they are going back for Ganon, but other designs could be Skyward Sword (which may get a remaster soon) or some sort of Pya, Impa mash up from BOTW. Hyrule Warriors seems to have no impact, so Impa probably won’t take moves from that sub-franchise.
Pokémon
Whatever the new big Pokémon during development was, that will be the new comer, so either Decidueye or the new Let’s Go mystery Pokémon.
Kirby
Bandana Dee is the most logical choice as he has become a new main stay to the franchise and offers a unique move set as he uses his spear. Many moves can be pulled straight from the Kirby titles as they are designed similarly to Smash.
Fire Emblem
Similar to Pokémon, whatever the new big lord was during development will get in. The character will either be Celica who can use magic that could inflict damage upon her, or Edelgard who has the ability to be either another generic swordsman or maybe give us our first axe play style. It could also be the male protagonists like Alm or who ever the Three Houses guy is. Either way, someone from either Echoes or Three Houses is getting in.
Star Fox
With a recent come back, I believe Slippy has the highest chance of being a new fighter as not only would he represent Star Fox, but he could also be a joke character. His moves can also be original as his recent title Star Fox Guard gives him new turrets to use.
Metroid
Their is a possibility for a second Metroid new comer, being a Federation Trooper as their game connects to Prime 4, and they could have a unique move set using both a blast ball and the standard game’s power ups for moves.
I would also like to throw in Dark Samus as a possible Echo Fighter due to her absence as an assist.
Pikmin
The Pikmin 4 protagonist could be a new fighter, if there is one? We know Pikmin 4 is almost done if not done with development as said 2 years ago (fitting with Smash’s time frame), so Pikmin 4 may have a bearing on the new title. The new character will most likely be a clone using a few new Pikmin, or just a straight up echo fighter.
Xenoblade
Rex and Pyra because they are the newest protagonists in the Xenoblade series and have lots of moveset potential being a driver and blade duo.
Sonic The Hedgehog
Shadow because now Knuckles has his assist Trophy spot, and since Echo Fighters are a thing, he could be a clone of Sonic.
Chibi-Robo
Sakurai loves odd, joke characters, and with Chibi having two 3DS titles, one that gives him a move set. I feel Chibi may make it in this time around. Chibi could use his plug for attacks and an interesting mechanic could be that he needs to charge in battle to be at full power and have stronger attacks.
Ubisoft
Let’s face it, Ubisoft and Nintendo are partners now, so the idea of one of their characters getting in is more of an inevitablility than a possibility. Sakurai has two choices, Rayman or Rabbids. While Rabbids just had a successful crossover with Mario giving them an edge, I’m going to side with Rayman though, as Bomberman was made an assist trophy despite his come back giving him more credibility than Snake. I believe Rabbids will be an assist trophy as Rayman becomes playable.
ARMS
I’m still going with the idea that Spring man will be in and have a Ribbon Girl costume or Echo fighter. The ARMs characters are very unique and have plenty of potential, plus Smash can help boost sales or interest in the new IP.
Splatoon
Octolings will be Echo fighters for Inklings as they are now getting a DLC Story expansion, and are overall easy characters to implement and are main antagonists.
Nindie
Nintendo is making huge strides to corner the Indie market, so a Smash character seems highly likely. I feel the most likely is Shovel Knight due to his insane popularity with Smash players and the fact that Yaht Club Games have proven their loyalty to Nintendo with the best releases on Nintendo consoles and even having the first Indie Amiibo. If Shovel Knight doesn’t make it in, it’s easy to assume that Commander Video of Bit Trip would have a shot as he already had a trophy in Smash, or Shantae due to a similar loyalty to Nintendo and a high demand.
Retro Character (NES or Older)
The retro pick usually follows a similar mold of being part of the NES era or predating it, and they are a mascot of the franchise, so it could be any unrepresented franchise from that era. Here are a few possibilities though;
1. Mike from Star Tropics
2. The Urban Champion from Urban Champion
3. Bubbles from Clu Clu Land
4. Excite Biker from Excitebike
5. Mach Rider from Mach Rider
What do you think of my predictions. Comment below to say anything I missed.