I genuinely don't see that number as a stretch.
But a brief breakdown because theres a a lot of content to pull from for that.
Let's start early with day one,
48 is a brief post that outlines a few reads, does not overstep things, make bad assumptions(Like my top read in Laser's opening read on NSG) and it comes off very natural. They proceeded to sort naturally by asking you about past games and the meta of other players. 442 Ialso give points for, for not leaning into the easy 3ds yeet and realizing that his behavior didn't mean scum. Sure you could argue scum would do this to look good, but yeeting 3ds wouldn't have drawn suspicion and work way more in their favor. So they feel very town motivated day one. The rest of their posts day one involved answering and asking questions which kept a very strong activity. I can't really see anything wrong with their content there .
Day Two: They open talking about how they want Boom and 1,046 paints a good reasoning that makes more sense to come from town perspective then scum. Its a solid natural progression. 1,196 showcases them calling out EX on the drunk posting. Which is even more interesting when you realize Trisscar called them out on this earlier that day and mentioned how trying to bait masons was anti town. A slip by Triss that I think Scum Chaco would have noticed if they were piggybacking off of Triss's dislike of the drunk posting. Which leads me to they likely were not and those were actual thoughts on Triss by Chaco that comes from a townie perspective more then a scum one imo. 1,432 again shows strong town intent where they put together a lot of content by Frozen to prove why a Boom connection makes sense. Thats a lot of scum hunting, that that early in a game, scum won't usually go for. Then a few posts down, he mentions the possibilities of pocketing, keeping things open minded. At that point, most scum would just push for the Boom lynch under one mindset, not multiple. Most of the actual content that day comes from you, fonti, and chaco. With a lot of discussion coming from you three on the state of the game while everyone else comes off a little back seating. His reaction to your claim retraction also feels like frustrated town rather then an angry scum, because I can't see why scum would react like that.
Day Three: 2,131 is another post mentioning them rereading the thread. Something they seem to have done multiple times based on posts. Which seems backed upon by their reads and changing in views that I've mentioned. 2,203 brings up an intriguing point, that while it wound up being wrong, is a point I doubt scum thinks of, let alone aims to use to push a lynch when Rajam was another sketchy slot based on a lot of things Rajam had done. For example after a re read, they are much more accepting of Zen and look elsewhere to try and find scum. Which is again a very open mind you won't usually find in scum. 2,311 further shows they took lessons from the re read and made a change in their reads and mindset. This effort doesn't come so much from scum. Its something I find to come from a townie perspective, those changes feel nature and reading them, it feels like it came from a re read, not actually pre meditated. His literally next post is also a great rebuttal to that Laser post. A few posts later, he goes in on his thoughts on Jack Vs Triss, which is a response to Triss asking in 2,385 that shows a basis for why he had thought this because again, his re read led to this conclusion.
This is why I believe the slot is very likely Town. They have natural progression in reads, good content, have been active, stand with their points rather then folding and playing into the shenanigans this game has had. Hes clearly been actively invested in trying to solve and help. It makes him very unlikely to flip scum imo when I distrust other slots more. That's why I think the town core for sure right now are Zen, Chaco, DP. The rest I believe by process of elimination have better shots at flipping scum imo. With Laser I still think could be a good yeet today as he does work with teams, or if he does flip scum, it shouldn't be hard to figure out his partner.
Maybe I'm wrong on Chaco and if anyone has any scum points against him, I'm open for hearing it, but I don't think I make a play on yeeting this slot without the yeet from another shot first.
