The argument for the scum team is as follows:
LaserGuy
Fact: LaserGuy is a player that thinks deeply about motivations and intent. He also is cognizant of certain newbie behaviors that cause them to be incorrectly scum read, and has voiced being against pushing them for such behaviors.
Fact: LaserGuy is pushing a newbie player for a statement that is very likely to come from a newbie. It is also a statement that would be absurd for scum to state in public even if they did believe it.
Fact: Scum have to push players for things that are not genuine scum tells because they are informed of who is and who isn't scum.
Assumption: The only motivations a town player at this point in the game would have for pushing a player based on tells they don't believe in are a) seeing how that player responds to pressure, b) seeing how others react.
Fact: LaserGuy reaffirmed his suspicions of NSG in #
45 after his inquiry ended.
Inference: LaserGuy is not pushing NSG to see how he responds to pressure.
Fact: LaserGuy has not asked any questions from anyone else with regard to NSG.
Inference: LaserGuy is not looking to see how others react to his pressure.
Conclusion: LaserGuy is not pushing NGS based on tells he doesn't believe for town motivated reasons.
Inference:
LaserGuy is scum.
NonSpecificGuy
Observation: Scum!LaserGuy is reluctant to push town players for newbie tells. This was seen in his previous scum game (Oasis Mafia) where he fence sat on his read of 3DS Ninja, who had been a popular wagon based on newbie statements, before ultimately declaring he would vote there.
Fact: LaserGuy is pushing NSG for a newbie statement.
Assumption: If LaserGuy knew the newbie player was actually scum, he wouldn't feel worried about pushing that player.
Inference:
LaserGuy knows NSG is scum.
BoomFrog
Fact: BoomFrog stated that he does not find LaserGuy suspicious.
Assertion: BoomFrog has all of the experiences and capability necessary to have come to the same conclusion that I have on LaserGuy. Therefore, if BoomFrog was town, he would have the same suspicions of LaserGuy as I do.
Inference: BoomFrog is deliberately keeping his read on LaserGuy concealed for
town motivated reasons or
BoomFrog is scum.
FrozenFlame
Fact: Frozen had mentioned every player who had been involved in a game relevant event so far other than LaserGuy and NGS.
Fact: I have been pushing LaserGuy and NGS.
Hypothesis: If LaserGuy and NGS are partners, and a town player was pushing them, the third scummate would be inclined to avoid engaging in that discussion and wait things out before commenting.
Justification: I've previously pushed a scum player and their partner did just this.
Inference:
FrozenFlame is possibly LaserGuy's and NSG's scummate.
At minimum, 1 of these is correct (LaserGuy). It is highly likely that at least 2 of them are correct. And somewhat likely at least 3 of them are correct. It also assumes that LaserGuy is mafia and not a traitor. In the event that he traitor, the case on FrozenFlame would be invalidated. It would also increase the chance that BoomFrog is mafia because him not perceiving LaserGuy as scummy would likely be coming from being informed that LaserGuy is not mafia.
Xivii
, just control f for "Chaco" in Frozen's posts. The pocketing attempt is obvious.
