Clowsui's right, we are really over thinking this. We can out attack, out speed, and definitely out live an Olimar.
...did you read his post? he said its 50/50. I agree.
Since I used to play Olimar before I switched to Falco, I suppose ill give my full opinion rather than just the small parts. although its pretty much going to look like Clowsui's post.
This match is all about punishing mistakes and spacing.
Falcos best ways to kill are Bair, Dair (from CG usually), Fsmash and Usmash (usually boost smash)
Olimars kills are dependant on pikmin the majority of the time unless its at high percents. Blue Bthrow, Purple Uthrow, Purple Usmash and Red Fair are all early kill moves. Regular smashes will kill us as well, especially Dsmash when they sweet spot it.
Olimars jab SUCKS! Falcos is good, and hurts olimar..he gets very sad.
We can CG olimar, but he can CG us as well, chances are whoever gets grabbed first is ending up getting at least 60%. Falco out camps Olimar at far distances (FD is still a good CP if they dont ban Japes)
Olimar can wrack damage like you would not believe, the problem is that people just sit and take it. if you get a red or a blue thrown at you, dont bother using your shine, they will use the ending lag to grab you, just take the damage to get in close and take the advantage. the only pikmin you should really be"trying" to shine are purps and whites.
Olimar does not have a problem killing at all, Falco does...So thats a point for Olimar
The main advantage that we have on Olimar is the advantage everyone has on Olimar...he gets gimped really bad. Once he is off the edge you SHOULD be able to take a stock. Our lazers will seriously mess Olimar up off stage unless they are crazy good with whistle canceling.
Falco can also be gimped. If we are some how unable to phantasm back to the ledge and have to firebird, olimar with Dair spike us and we will loose a stock, so its a very situational match up.
For neutral stages, avoid taking him to levels with platforms, he will use his Uair and wrack damage quick. FD or smashville would be your best bets.
BAN LUIGI'S MANSION! I cant stress this enough, not only is it bad for Falco, but Olimar ***** on this stage.
Take him to Japes if he doesnt ban it, if he does then take him to FD.
As I said, 50/50 match up. dont get grabbed, done walk into the **** (smashes)