Apparently, you can pretend like we DO. Please name two Smash DLC characters that have ever been as physically and thematically similar as Master Chief and Doomslayer. Yeah. Didn't think so. And obviously those two would never be echoes, I was just using the notion as an example of how absurd it would be to have both of them together. Say what you want, but to argue that we could get them both as fighters in the same game is a far more nonsensical position.
Doom and Halo are not thematically similar series beyond the fact that they're both incredibly important first person shooters with protagonists that have dressed in green power armor. Their similarities pretty much end there. Also Roy and Corrin? They were both DLC during Smash 4's DLC cycle. We also have Joker and Hero, who have about as much in common as traditional turned based JRPGs as Halo and Doom (and a number of people specifically argue that all anime blade wielders look the exact same anyway). Doom Guy can look very different from Chief depending on how you implement him too, he doesn't have to me in the power armor look of Doom (2016) and Doom Eternal. He can look more like he did in the original games.
This goes without saying that Doom and Halo are two huge additions that would be added for different reasons and have different circumstances in their inclusions. Halo with Microsoft partnership and for a big gaming crossover moment again, Doom for its importance as industry defining release and for the Bethesda relationship. When we could be looking at as many as another 11 characters, similarities between the series isn't much of a problem and it's not like Sakurai is just going to give up implementing characters because, "Ah damn, already got one influential FPS character in."
You totally missed what I was trying to say about a character being notable. EXISTING does not automatically = notable. If you honestly think that ALL characters in existence have an equal chance, then your logic is horribly flawed and beyond reasoning. While I will admit that the chances are more open than ever, I can tell you with 100% certainty that Marcus Phoenix from Gears of War is not getting in. But wait! Isn't he from a notable series??!!! Doesn't matter. The fans aren't there, Nintendo's not there, Sakurai's not there. Period. Fight me if you want, but if you do, I assure you that I will archive your response just so I can force-feed you crow when he doesn't get in.
No, existing doesn't mean notable. But there's a lot of competition for DLC characters is what I was saying and the point you managed to miss of my posting. There's a lot of competition for spots that all characters will experience regardless of their individual merits because there are so many good options for inclusion in Smash. I'm not saying all characters have an equal chance, I'm saying they're all in the same competition. All characters have loads of competition is what I'm saying. I'm not claiming anything about Marcus Phoenix, so why bring him up?
Sorry to break it to you but "relevance" is often decided by the people. You keep talking about the "core Smash fans" or the "core Smash bubble" like it's some trivial cult, but news flash, it got us the previously IRRELEVANT Banjo-Kazooie! We MAKE characters relevant! Fan demand is how to get a new Megaman game after several years of neglect. Fan demand is how Geno ended up as a splash-screen Mii costume in the first place. Even if you want to argue that Nintendo sees him as irrelevant, that doesn't mean we can't change their minds. We've done it AT LEAST once (Ridley, Krool, B-K, etc.), we can do it again. It's not a "narrative". It's the truth whether you want to believe it or not. Let's not object for the sake of objection. For a so-called supporter of Geno, it never ceases to jar me how adamantly you stomp on his chances.
Relevance is already decided by the people and has been. Geno isn't relevant on a wider scale because he's got one actual appearance from 23 years ago under his belt. That's not saying anything about his chances as a character or any other characters for that matter. You can separate relevance and character popularity as individual pieces of information to work through. King K. Rool and Banjo & Kazooie are still irrelevant in any context outside of Smash right now and were at the times of their inclusion. That doesn't preclude their inclusion, but it's just a reality they had to face to get into Smash, the same as Geno. Relevancy has traditionally referred to a wider definition than just the Smash bubble and seeing which characters are peforming in noteable ways in other realms of the industry. A character can get in despite not being relevant as is proven by other characters. Fan demand has a place in deciding some characters choices for Smash.
I keep talking about the "core Smash fans" and the "core Smash bubble" because that 100% is a thing. There's a group of very vocal people who take to the internet to support their characters and ideas within the Smash community. That probably accounts for like 1,000,000 or less fans or so who more religiously approach the game and its speculation and also have a tendency to be an incredibly insulated community with certain biases towards and against certain characters with even bigger blindspots in some areas. Only 1.8 million votes were recorded (which are not necessarily all unique people, we know people used multiple IPs because they've self-admitted to it) in the Smash ballot, which only accounts for 12% of the Smash population (of 15 million sells of Ultimate). There are a huge number of voices beyond that number and fans who want to see other things or don't share the same biases we do as part of the core. Most of the online polls we conduct have a tendency to just keep polling the same population of people without expanding out in to the more broad audience of Smash consumers. This is a group that you'll appeal to with marketing like you will all other groups, but it
absolutely does not speak for all Smash players or even most of them. I'm saying that Geno makes a lot of sense as an inclusion to appeal to this group of people and that he aligns with Sakurai's personal interest and thus has a good shot for that reason. Again, fan demand has a place in Smash, that's pretty obvious. But Geno doesn't really appeal to people beyond this group, which is fine. Master Chief, for example, may not necessarily appeal to the "core Smash bubble," but he can appeal to new fans of Smash or some of the other 13 million people beyond the traditional ballot. Characters have different appeals to different people, and that's a good thing that should be celebrated throughout the community as it results in a more diverse and unpredictable roster for us. The "narrative" I refer to is acting like Geno has this just huge appeal beyond the specific subset of the population I'm referring to and making him sound more likely than he is as a front runner that can inherently be in a better position than other characters who do have wider appeals than Geno and are characters that show up more in the public consciousness (and unsurprisingly often find themselves with large fan bases within the Smash bubble too).
I don't know why you're coming after me so hard like I'm going against Geno here. I'm not and I even make a point to say that I think he has a great chance as a character made to appeal to the "core Smash bubble." I've been nothing but supportive of him since we got the announcement of more characters and I have maintained for months that he had a great opportunity whenever Sakurai was next choosing characters. I'm a Geno fan who thinks he's a really cool and popular character within a group of people, and that has always been plenty for him to potentially get into Smash, especially with Sakurai's support and approval. I'm not stomping on his chances in the least bit, I'm just heavily disagreeing with how you characterize his overall appeal and overall chances for Ultimate's DLC.