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Kenith
After E3, I pretty much went full on Gematsu.
Mii Fighters and Sneaky Spirit kind of sealed the deal for me. I've just become more doubtful in other characters because of Sakurai's comments in the past (more emphasis on balance and Sakurai's specific mention of a 50 character roster). 48 slots and 50 characters just seems really likely to me, and at this point I'm pretty convinced that's what'll happen.
I guess the reason my opinion has changed is because of my view on the roster. Ridley is looking less likely than before, Ghirahim I'm not really sure what to think of... We already have characters based off of this theory but it doesn't mean that every character involved would be included.
I'm sorry for my change in demeanor; you're still a good friend of mine. Our views just differ drastically.
Personally I don't know how much room Gematsu would leave for other newcomers. My faith is increasing in K. Rool, and I'll probably have a little confidence boost in Ridley sooner or later.
But I'm pretty confident in a 50 character roster (given that Miis count as 3 characters, that is). I'd much rather talk about how potential candidates could play: not fan theories or "deservingness". I really want people to bring up what a character could do in the game: why they should be in Smash due to what abilities they possess.
I know I was talking about how there are many minor characters in the Zelda universe that probably won't be chosen, but I also believe that there is a certain importance that a character must reach to be considered, exceptions being Pokemon and Fire Emblem. Zelda usually isn't one to choose characters based on the most recent game, but we'll see.