I agree with the Ridley part, but I think the whole Dark Samus argument is silly.
Silly? Sakurai even showed interest in Dark Samus according to Nintendo Power, which is a reliable source for things related to Nintendo.
What are you talking about? Icons count for nothing, Yoshi, DK, and Wario all derived from the Mario series. It doesn't matter what series of their own they have now, they're still products of Mario. It's really overkill if they add more than 1 Mario character (other than Luigi), if any.
Laughable. DK got his start in a Mario game? Sorry, but I am pretty sure that the name of that game was "Donkey Kong." Mario started in the DK series and is the embodiment of Jumpman.
With that argument, since characters like Yoshi, Wario, and anyone else who has managed to get their own game after starting out in a Mario game would technically be a member of the DK series, not Mario series. It's a ridiculous claim to make. Once a character is in their own franchise of games, they are their own star. It doesn't matter where they came from.
If anything it sounds like bias from you rather than the general population because you don't want to see characters from these franchises overtake Brawl, which is understandable, but making claims like "All of these characters are just members of the Mario series and it's over reped" is going too far. I doubt a single representative from Nintendo would ever agree with you on those points that you made.
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5.00. Donkey Kong
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5.01.a. Other Donkey Kong Characters
Conclusion: No
Reason: The Donkey Kong title, as far as Smash Bros. is concerned, could easily be conceived as, in fact, part of the Mario title, which would mean quite a few characters for one title. But, even without this factor, there are already two characters from Donkey Kong that, together, represent both a new and unique character as well as a classic one. Also, other Donkey Kong characters would probably be too similar to D.K. and Diddy Kong to prove original enough for inclusion.
Again, the above about different franchises apply. And you somehow overlooked K. Rool, who may not have the best shot at getting in, but he has been in more DK games than Donkey Kong himself, and is the Bowser of that series. If he is not "important" enough for you, then there is a problem, especially since you refuse to take popularity into account.
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5.03. Fire Emblem
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5.03.a. Marth and Roy
Conclusion: No
Reason: Despite the fact that Marth will be in an upcoming game for DS, the similarities between he and Ike appear to great. For the same reason, Roy will probably not be returning either. They were also both only unlockables in Melee, meaning there is no stable history that dictates their perpetuation.
I agree on Roy, he lacks in every area that would get him into another Smash Brothers game with the exception of popularity from Melee itself, which doesn't count for much in terms of Fire Emblem itself.
Marth similar to Ike? Do you know anything about Ike at all? They share a grand total of two moves I believe, and both have a chargeable B attack, but then again, so does Samus, DK, and various other characters, so that is not a valid argument. They looks similar? Look again, the only similarity is the blue hair and a sword, and even on that level they are completely different.
5.03.b. Other Fire Emblem Characters
Conclusion: Yes
Reason: Ike will be an immediately playable character and has no other characters yet from his title. This makes Fire Emblem a likely candidate on its own. But there is also the fact that there are two Fire Emblem games scheduled for release in the near future, as well as an immense roster of characters that would easily meet any prerequisite required to become a Smash Bros. character.
Not no, Inconclusive. Fire Emblem has not been as popular as it was when it was at it roots, and none of the games have been as proclaimed as the originals. Does this mean it cannot get a third representative? It all depends on what Sakurai wants, he likes the series, we might see a third rep.
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5.04. F-Zero
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5.04.a. Other F-Zero characters
Conclusion: No
Reason: While F-Zero does have characters that could be used in Brawl, but it would probably bring nothing new or unique to the game. There is also already an F-Zero assist trophy.
Because a single assist trophy completely makes up for lack of character representation, right? While F-Zero probably does deserve a second rep, I don't see it happening.
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5.08. Mario
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Hey now, you already went over Mario characters, since they are in the DK franchise by your logic. Oh well...
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5.10. Metroid
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5.10.a. Other Metroid Characters
Conclusion: No
Reason: The only confirmed way to play Zero Suit it by using Samus' final smash, However, Samus and Zero Suit Samus are listed as two different characters on Smash Bros Dojo, and they will be considers different characters for the purposes of predicting other Metroid characters. A trend showing in Brawl: titles that previously had only one character are getting a seconds or thirds (Donkey Kong, Kirby). Metroid, from a point of view, has already gotten it's second. It also has few characters that could be considered usable in the Smash Bros. games, and even those are almost to novel to put in.
Sakurai himself mentioned on his blog he saw that Metroid became increasingly popular after it was revived from it's 8 year depression of no games, and said he wanted to better represent the franchise. Adding half a character that cannot even be used for an entire match is hardly more representation. Again, your logic fails since you believe that an AT would completely cover for the lack of a playable representative.
I do believe that Metroid will get another playable rep. Not novel to put in? Have you PLAYED a Metroid game? Ridley is incredibly important and completely unique, even looking beyond his popularity, he is a viable character. And even on top of that Dark Samus is a great villain who, albeit shares a name with her enemy, could easily be completely unique. Sakurai also showed interest in her, as I mentioned above.
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5.11. Pokémon
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5.11.d. Other Pokémon Characters
Conclusion: Yes
Reason: Pokémon has always had a strong presence in the Smash Bros. games, and it is not difficult to find a fitting Pokémon to use. Considering the plethora potentials, it's status as foundation title in Melee, and the almost definite removal of Pichu, a new Pokémon character is to be expected.
For some reason everyone seems to overlook the Pokemon trainer. Mewtwo is likely staying due to his popularity, whether you wish to believe that or not. I really think they could get a different Pokemon rep each time, and drop Pikachu, Jigglypuff and the works, but that would never happen. Either way, I doubt Pokemon will overtake the roster and get more than five spots, including the overlooked trainer who could have very well replaced Pichu.
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5.12. Sonic
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5.12.a. Other Sonic Characters
Conclusion: Inconclusive
Reason: Sonic was an unexpected character to see in the game in the first place, and the circumstances behind his inclusion are peculiar. To have an unlockable character to accompany Sonic would make sense, but, as stated, the conditions under which Sonic was admitted may not allow any other characters from his title.
Inconclusive? What the hell? Sonic was not unexpected. If you were not expecting Sonic after the proven inclusion of third party characters, that would be like not expecting Mario to be in Smash Bros. To get a second rep from a third party series and take that away from much more deserving, much more popular, and much more interesting characters would make practically no sense. Remember that even though Sakurai's word may have changed, third party characters will still be kept at a minimum.
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5.13. StarFox
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5.13.a. Falco
Conclusion: Inconclusive
Reason: Falco wasn't in the first Smash Bros. and was a clone in the second as well as an unlockable. However, in recent StarFox games, Falco has been revamped and could be placed in Brawl as an entirely different character from Melee's Falco.
5.13.b. Other StarFox Characters
Conclusion: Yes
Reason: StarFox definitely has the potential characters, and there's room for them in Brawl. Also, Falco's return is not definite, and in the case of his removal, a replacement would be compulsory. But even in the case of Falco's return, chances of a new StarFox characters appear high.
Sounds biased. "Was not in the first game, and was a clone in the second." So he would be incapable of getting a new moveset? Sounds more like you just want Falco removed. I figure it will get a third rep, probably Krystal.
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5.14. Zelda
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5.14.a. Shiek
Conclusion: No
Reason: While Zelda is returning, her and Link both are their Twilight Princess versions. Unstable history. Odd in that you had to transform into her from Zelda.
The fact that Zelda still has OoT magic in her arsenal completely negates that statement.
5.14.c Young Link
Conclusion: No
Reason: Young Link was a clone. He was only an unlockable and only in Melee. Also, as we've seen with Zelda and Link, the Twilight Princess versions of the Zelda characters are being used in Brawl and there was no Young Link in Twilight Princess.
5.14.d. Other Zelda Characters
Conclusion: Yes
Reason: Young Links removal cuts the Zelda character list down from four (excluding Sheik) to three. This fact, combined with the number of potential Zelda characters, is incentive enough for a new edition from the Zelda title in Brawl.
You are using fan-made rules to argue this. First of all, I agree with any form of "Young Link" be it WW, Deku, or anything else. However, that does not mean he would require a replacement. Nowhere was it said that a series had to have the same amount or more representation. With or without Sheik, you have the entire history of the Zelda franchise built on those same three characters who are the only major reoccurring characters (Tingle is debatable, I suppose, but his importance could be as well).
This didn't sound like any type of unbiased deduction based on the Dojo, it sounded like your opinions for characters you want to see/don't want to see.