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Success and Popularity of all Characters

D

Deleted member

Guest
Yeah, sorry. School has been really taking the reigns lately, but I'll get back on this. I'm a few months behind, but I'll catch up.
 

Dr. Tuen

Smash Lord
Joined
Apr 26, 2009
Messages
1,396
3DS FC
0559-7294-8323
"The fate of two data sets" would be more accurate, since no statistical tests were run. Sorry... the use of the word 'statistics' with respect to these projects really bugs me, despite the useful data that has been accumulated.
 

Dr. Tuen

Smash Lord
Joined
Apr 26, 2009
Messages
1,396
3DS FC
0559-7294-8323
Can't the word "statistic" simply be used to denote a form of numerical data? Kinda like stats in professional sports or stats in Pokemon...
While the formal definition includes the collection of data, a statistician is generally known as an expert in statistical data analysis not data collection. The data collection bit is often important to statisticians because they collect the data with a certain statistical test in mind.

The data here doesn't tell a full story by itself, not in a statistically sound way at least. I'd have done something about that if it weren't for past interactions with the community and statistical tests. The community has it's own idea of what is 'significant' and what is not significant, while general scientific standards have a much more sound idea of what is statistically significant.

Unfortunately, any tests done on a data set like this is likely to turn up many significant results because of the number of characters and their spread. If we isolate two characters, then the interaction between characters isn't taken into consideration... which given our knowledge about MU interactions isn't very good.

Anyways. I might take up a project related to this at some point, but I would need more time and motivation than I currently have. When people collect data and I find interest in a particular topic, I try to present something for the community to chew on.

The funny part is that after all this blah about statistics, my last community endeavor didn't actually use statistical tests! Woohoo, irony!
 

Vinylic.

Woke?
Joined
Jul 15, 2010
Messages
15,864
Location
New York, New York
Switch FC
SW-5214-5959-4787
I'm not a smash ambassador, but possibly, yes.

I'm mostly thinking like SSBB tourneys with other fighting games like skullgirls and such.
 

BSP

Smash Legend
Joined
May 23, 2009
Messages
10,246
Location
Louisiana
I don't think it was talked about in this thread, but since it was brought up in the Tier List thread, is something going to be done about popularity correction? Having the lowest players influencing characters isn't a good thing.
 

John12346

Smash Master
Joined
Jan 24, 2009
Messages
3,534
Location
New York, NY
NNID
JohnNumbers
How about when I'm done with finals? >___>

I've been writing down all the logs, but I still need some time to tap it all into Excel. I'm gonna get onto it, so don't worry.
 

DeLux

Player that used to be Lux
Joined
Jun 3, 2010
Messages
9,303
Beginning to do a ruleset count for 3.0 and wanted to get some numbers checked from you:

Total MK Banned Tournaments vs. Total MK Legal Tournaments

And if possible a break down of each week's total MK Banned Tournament Event and MK Legal Events of each for the last 3 months :D

If the second request is too much work, the first one is the most important to me though
 

DeLux

Player that used to be Lux
Joined
Jun 3, 2010
Messages
9,303
more or less. I'm going to do my own count, but it's helpful to have a guideline or ball park of what my numbers might end up being as confirmation when I can
 

DeLux

Player that used to be Lux
Joined
Jun 3, 2010
Messages
9,303
That's something you'll have to ask the head of the BBR lol
 

John12346

Smash Master
Joined
Jan 24, 2009
Messages
3,534
Location
New York, NY
NNID
JohnNumbers
Alright, an update for all four weeks at once!

Not much has really changed, though; there's diversity in MK Banned tournaments, and MK's busy raking in so much dough in MK Legal ones, so...

Anyway, this update covers the weekends of 4/21, 4/28, 5/5, and 5/12. Any column referring to "This Week" is of course referring to the weekend of 5/12, since that's the most recent one.

Raw Data

[collapse=4/21/12]Character
Ike: 101
Pikachu : 13.5
Snake: 13.5
Lucario: 9
Wario: 215
Diddy: 144
Ness: 10.5
Olimar: 96
Fox: 16
Falco: 67
Sonic: 66
Zamus: 8
ICs: 8
Mario: 5
PT: 62.5
Marth: 28.5
TLink: 12.5
Pit: 24
Link: 19.5
Zelda: 6.5
R.O.B.: 100
Peach: 50

User
Ike: 101
Pikachu : 27
Snake: 27
Lucario: 9
Wario: 320
Diddy: 144
Ness: 21
Olimar: 96
Fox: 48
Falco: 99
Sonic: 66
Zamus: 16
ICs: 16
Mario: 5
PT: 320
Marth: 41
TLink: 25
Pit: 24
Link: 19.5
Zelda: 6.5
R.O.B.: 100
Peach: 50

Player
San Ike: 54
PikaPika! Pikachu: 27
PikaPika! Snake: 27
JamesG Lucario: 9
Blue Rogue Wario: 126
AlphaZealot Diddy: 63
Jiffyboob Wario: 21
Jiffyboob Ness: 21
Tin Man Olimar: 96
Toronto Joe Fox: 48
Toronto Joe Wario: 48
Toronto Joe Falco: 48
MeekSpeedy Sonic: 16
Ryo Ike: 47
GDX Diddy: 21
Mink Zamus: 16
Mink ICs: 16
True Blue Sonic: 11
Sensei Mario: 5
2-D Jeff Falco: 5
TheReflexWonder Wario: 125
TheReflexWonder PT: 125
Player-1 Diddy: 60
Spade Marth: 25
Spade TLink: 25
Billy Falco: 10
MegaFox Falco: 36
Espy Kasrani Pit: 18
K Prime Pit: 6
KC 24 Sonic: 39
X Link: 19.5
Tiger Zelda: 6.5
stingers R.O.B.: 100
Kyon Peach: 50
Kadaj Marth: 16

Tournaments Used
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321456
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321469
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321544
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321445
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321431
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321453
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321451
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321449
.
.
.
.
.
MK Legal Tournaments

Character
ICs: 156.07
Snake: 13.07
MK: 266.57
Ganon: 9.8
Olimar: 89.5
Pit: 19.5
Fox: 6.5
Diddy: 48.75
GaW: 9.75
Lucario: 130
Dedede: 19.5

User
ICs: 182.2
Snake: 39.2
MK: 289.45
Ganon: 9.8
Olimar: 109
Pit: 39
Fox: 13
Diddy: 48.75
GaW: 9.75
Lucario: 130
Dedede: 39

Tournaments Used
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321463
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321432
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321539
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321435[/collapse]
[collapse=4/28/12]MK Banned and 30+ Entrant Tournaments

Character
Pit: 45
R.O.B.: 45
Peach: 40
Falco: 32.5
Diddy: 192.5
Marth: 87.5
GaW: 17.5
Pikachu: 27.5
ICs: 5.83
Wario: 5.83
Snake: 5.83
Olimar: 10

User
Pit: 90
R.O.B.: 90
Peach: 40
Falco: 67.5
Diddy: 192.5
Marth: 87.5
GaW: 52.5
Pikachu: 62.5
ICs: 17.5
Wario: 17.5
Snake: 17.5
Olimar: 10

Player
KiraFlax Pit: 90
KiraFlax R.O.B.: 90
Kyle Peach: 40
K9 Falco: 15
Felix Diddy: 192.5
KillLock Marth: 87.5
Alphicans GaW: 52.5
Alphicans Pikachu: 52.5
Alphicans Falco: 52.5
Big D ICs: 17.5
Big D Wario: 17.5
Big D Snake: 17.5
Asa Olimar: 10
Captain L Pikachu: 10

Tournaments Used
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321781
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321784
.
.
.
.
.
MK Legal Tournaments

Character
Lucas: 36
MK: 212.88
Falco: 6.63
Marth: 3
Snake: 40.63
Fox: 12.5
Diddy: 74.75
Dedede: 3.63
ICs: 12
Lucario: 8

User
Lucas: 36
MK: 247.75
Falco: 20.5
Marth: 6
Snake: 63.5
Fox: 12.5
Diddy: 98.75
Dedede: 14.5
ICs: 24
Lucario: 8

Tournaments Used
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321975
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321863
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321771
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=321772[/collapse]
[collapse=5/5/12]Character
Dedede: 36
Wolf: 36
Falco: 67
DK: 18
Marth: 12
Pit: 100
Fox: 25
Snake: 75.8
GaW: 24
Diddy: 159.5
R.O.B.: 36
Luigi: 49
Zamus: 9.5
Mario: 1.8
Peach: 1.8
Boswer: 1.8
Ganon: 1.8

User
Dedede: 72
Wolf: 72
Falco: 158
DK: 36
Marth: 12
Pit: 100
Fox: 50
Snake: 167
GaW: 72
Diddy: 308
R.O.B.: 36
Luigi: 147
Zamus: 26
Mario: 9
Peach: 9
Bowser: 9
Ganon: 9

Player
Omega Tyrant Dedede: 72
Omega Tyrant Wolf: 72
CAC Falco: 36
CAC DK: 36
No_Skillz Marth: 12
Koolaid Pit: 100
Pelca Falco: 50
Pelca Fox: 50
Bizkit Snake: 20
Taste GaW: 72
Taste Diddy: 72
Taste Falco: 72
DumberChild R.O.B.: 36
Hansel Snake: 12
BigLou Diddy: 126
BigLou Snake: 126
BigLou Luigi: 126
Player-1 Diddy: 63
DRN Zamus: 21
DRN Luigi: 21
DRN Diddy: 21
Tyger Diddy: 21
KOKingpin Mario: 9
KOKingpin Peach: 9
KOKingpin Bowser: 9
KOKingpin Ganon: 9
KOKingpin Snake: 9
ProtomanVX Diddy: 5
ProtomanVX Zamus: 5

Tournaments Used
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322151
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322068
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322038
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322085
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322080
.
.
.
.
.
MK Legal Tournaments

Character
Lucario: 47.5
MK: 78.75
TLink: 5
Wario: 12.25
Sonic: 3.25
Mario: 3.25
ICs: 13.75
Pit: 115
Diddy: 57
Z-Sheik: 20
Yoshi: 2.5
Peach: 10

User
Lucario: 55
MK: 111.75
TLink: 10
Wario: 29.5
Sonic: 6.5
Mario: 6.5
ICs: 34.25
Pit: 115
Diddy: 57
Z-Sheik: 20
Yoshi: 10
Peach: 10

Tournaments Used
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322251
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322075
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322082[/collapse]
[collapse=5/12/12]Character
Lucario: 47
ICs: 24
Sonic: 29.75
Pikachu: 10
Ike: 2.25
Sheik: 2.25
Dedede: 2.25

User
Lucario: 47
ICs: 24
Sonic: 29.75
Pikachu: 10
Ike: 4.5
Sheik: 4.5
Dedede: 2.25

Player
Trela Lucario: 47
Dojo ICs: 24
Espy Kasrani Sonic: 14
K Prime Pikachu: 10
JMan Sonic: 15.75
Selodin Ike: 4.5
Selodin Sheik: 4.5
Jeremy Dedede: 2.25

Tournaments Used
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322398
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322376
.
.
.
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.
MK Legal Tournaments

Character
MK: 416.9
ICs: 42
GaW: 47.9
Wolf: 68.3
Olimar: 25.3
Snake: 71.2
Peach: 2
TLink: 16.8
Falco: 100.4
Pit: 59.2
Kirby: 45
Ness: 7.5
Dedede: 7.5

User
MK: 585.6
ICs: 84
GaW: 101.8
Wolf: 84.8
Olimar: 35.8
Snake: 189.6
Peach: 6
TLink: 35.6
Falco: 110.8
Pit: 177.6
Kirby: 45
Ness: 15
Dedede: 15

Tournaments Used
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322393
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322407
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322437
http://www.smashboards.com/showthread.php?t=322389[/collapse]
MK Banned Tournaments



MK Legal Tournaments

 

John12346

Smash Master
Joined
Jan 24, 2009
Messages
3,534
Location
New York, NY
NNID
JohnNumbers
Now, onto DeLux's requests.

First off, for the entirety of 2012, excluding the weekend of Apex, there have been 96 MK Banned tournaments and 60 MK Legal tournaments recorded in my data.

And as far as the second request... I can only do it for the MK Banned data, because I've been specifically saving that to compare it to the progression of 2011's MK Legal data(where in that year, I wasn't really paying any attention to MK Banned data). I haven't really been saving any data whatsoever in regard to MK Legal stuff here in 2012, so... the best I can do for you is give you your request in the form of 2011's MK Legal data and 2012's MK Banned data.

[collapse=2011 MK Legal's "Average" Weekly Gains]


[/collapse]
[collapse=2012 MK Banned's "Average" Weekly Gains]


[/collapse]
...Not exactly sure why 2012's data is bigger(sizewise) than 2011's... w/e. >___>;

Alternatively, if you don't want to sort through all of this, I'll try to catch you on Skype and just shoot my entire Excel file to you there.
 

Tesh

Smash Hero
Joined
Oct 28, 2008
Messages
9,737
Location
TX
Dang Pit looking a whole lot different in the MK banned metagame.
 

John12346

Smash Master
Joined
Jan 24, 2009
Messages
3,534
Location
New York, NY
NNID
JohnNumbers
Pit's gained a lot of popularity lately in tournament play, presumably because Uprising was such a smash hit.

Looking at the MK Banned charts, I would say the Mario Bros. aren't doing too badly either, all things considered regarding their crappy tier list placing...
 

Raziek

Charging Limit All Day
Joined
Oct 14, 2008
Messages
9,626
Location
Halifax, Nova Scotia
NNID
Raziek
3DS FC
3866-8131-5247
Every time I come in here I can't help but wonder how people think it's ok that MK makes more than 40% of the money in MK legal tournaments.

Good work as always, John.
 
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