The more I play this patch, the more I feel that Roy is definitely a much more difficult character to get good results with against strong players. Sethlon's performance is also at an all time low, and I don't think it's coincidental.
Roy's recovery has always been able to be edgeguarded, most people just didn't learn how to time it properly. My roomate Taylor (who recently took Sethlon to game 5 at an LA tournament) basically always got me with the hog even with the float, unless I mixed it up with the edge cancelled drift back up b. (no longer possible or extremely difficult now)
I don't necessarily think that the changes were unreasonable, but man once I'm offstage now I'm DEFINITELY dead vs a competent player. It becomes slightly harder to close out stocks now as well, and the "marth problem" that didn't really exist in previous patches for Roy is real now. So you've got this dichotomy that while if you don't seal your stocks before a certain % finishing it will be difficult, but an opponent can kill you with a stray hit at like 50-60%. Not to mention Roy's tech options and combo weight are perfect for getting destroyed... and that you have to generally take risks in neutral for setups in many matchups.
I'm not convinced Roy is top tier anymore. I think he's probably still top 15, and that's fine. It just seems the risk/reward for the character is pretty wack atm. You're forced to gamble in a lot of situations not only in neutral, but also to close out stocks at high %, and in every one of those situations, you give your opponent just another opportunity to thwap you offstage to your doom.
You can call johns, johns, johns, but frankly I can't really think of a reason to play Roy over my Fox or MK in a serious setting anymore, other than my love for the character. Blanketly saying he's still top 5 while recent results scream otherwise is a little silly.