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Rate Their Chances- Switch Edition! Day 78- Dark Samus and Sylux

Discussion in 'Newcomer Speculation' started by TCT~Phantom, Mar 8, 2018.

  1. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Lord

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    Day 78-Dark Samus and Sylux
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]



    Approved by @NonSpecificGuy

    Welcome to Rate Their Chances! This is a reboot of the game played during Smash 4 and Smash 4 DLC Speculation.

    How to Play
    Each day there will be a focus on a specific character or concept for smash switch. We shall rate these characters both on how likely we view them and how much we desire them from 0-100%. When posting, you also can nominate characters to rate. Each poster is given five nominations per day. The list of nominations will be found in a post below. You also can potentially predict the chance score for the character that will be predicted next, which the closest guess will get an extra 5 noms. An exact guess will get 10 extra noms.

    Rules
    1. Characters must originate from a video game. It is preferred that they must have been featured on at least one Nintendo console.

    2. -You're allowed to debate but please no flame wars. Also please refrain from non explanations, as a spirit of debate is encouraged. Posts lacking at least 2 sentences of reasoning will be invalid and your nominations will be ignored. Abstaining from a rating will not require reasoning, though it would be appreciated.

    3. Please do not discuss a character after their day has ended. If you wish to discuss a character again start nominating them for a rerate, however please wait at least two weeks before renominating a character.

    4. Please avoid counter votes. You are free to disagree but do not rate something negatively to be a jerk.

    5. Character deconfirmation means a character will not be rated again.

    6. Any of the following veterans should not be discussed as it is likely that they will return.


    Mario (Mario Bros.) Confirmed
    Bowser (Mario Bros.)
    Luigi (Mario Bros.)
    Peach (Mario Bros.)
    Donkey Kong (Donkey Kong)
    Diddy Kong (Donkey Kong)
    Link (The Legend of Zelda) Confirmed
    Zelda (The Legend of Zelda)
    Samus (Metroid)
    Kirby (Kirby)
    Fox (Star Fox)
    Pikachu (Pokemon)
    Pit (Kid Icarus)
    Yoshi (Yoshi)
    Captain Falcon (F-Zero)
    Ness (Mother)
    Wario (Wario)
    Meta-Knight (Kirby)
    King Dedede (Kirby)
    Marth (Fire Emblem)
    Ganondorf (Zelda)
    Zero Suit Samus (Metroid)
    Lucario (Pokemon)
    Charizard (Pokemon)
    Ike (Fire Emblem)
    Olimar (Pikmin)
    Villager (Animal Crossing)
    Little Mac (Punch Out!)
    Mr Game and Watch
    Jigglypuff (Pokemon)

    7. After the day ends, participants will have 60 minutes to get final late votes in. After that point votes will no longer be counted. Nominations will be counted until the new day begins.

    8. Although you are encouraged to be creative with your posts, please make sure the chance and want scores and nominations are distinctly visible. If you are concerned about a basic format, see the example below.

    Basic post model
    Megaman
    90% Chance
    He's a cool vet but he is third party and capcom can be dumb. However, cutting him would seem super weird given how much people love him.
    100% Want
    Thank god he was in 4. He is one of my favorites. Also the soundtrack is tight.

    9. Starting 5/3/18, a character must have a support thread to be nominated. If you want to do a dumb character like Blue Bowser, then at least make a support thread.

    Schedule for the next week​
    25/05: Lip (Panel de Pon)
    26/05: Agumon (Digimon)
    27/05: Dark Samus & Sylux (Metroid)
    28/05: Concept: Decloned Dark Pit
    29/05: Travis Touchdown (No More Heroes)
    30/05: Urban Champion (Urban Champion)
    31/05: Mipha (The Legend of Zelda
    )

    E3 WEEK SCHEDULE
    6/10 Favorite Days of RTC so far
    6/11 Nintendo E3 Predictions
    6/12 Reactions and Cool Down Day
    6/13 Satisfaction ratings of Inklings and any other Newcomers/Cut Veterans they show off
    6/14 Top Four Most Overrated and Underrated Characters We Have Rated (No confirmed Characters or deconfirmed characters)
    6/15 Top Two Most Overrated and Underrated
    6/16 Overrated and Underrated Day 2


    Top Ten of Chance
    [​IMG]
    Top Ten of Want
    [​IMG]
     
    #1 TCT~Phantom, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: May 27, 2018 at 5:38 AM
  2. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Nominations


    Over 200:

    Mipha x263
    Excitebiker x257
    Music: Final Destination (Ver. 2) x255
    Pyra/Mythra x247
    Masked Link x230
    Concept: Skyrim representation x225
    Cranky Kong x222
    Wonder Red x222
    Steve x211
    Gengar x205
    Kamek x203
    Concept: Fire Emblem Heroes Summoner x200

    199-150

    Tingle x184
    Linkle x180
    Lloyd Irving x180
    Concept: Decloned Ganondorf x180
    Parabo & Satebo x174
    Papyrus x173
    Concept: Masked Dedede Final Smash x165
    Lara Croft x165
    Sakura Shinguji x163
    Sable Prince x155
    Concept: Octopath Traveller Character x150

    149-100

    Tetra x147
    Snip & Clip (Snipperclips) x145
    Neku Sakuraba x144
    Ryu Hayabusa x140
    Thwomp x134
    Django x130
    Tsubasa Oribe x125
    Slippy Toad x125
    Katrielle Layton x120
    Scorpion x120
    Fawful x116
    Octoling x110
    Labo Guy/Robot x110
    Veteran: Corrin x108
    Balloon Fighter x107
    DeMille x103
    2B x101

    99-75

    Concept: Canon Bowser/DK/Diddy voice clips x99
    Barbara x95
    Primarina x95
    Leon Kennedy x95
    Ray x93
    Concept: Fire Emblem Spear User x88
    Concept: Ken Masters alt Costume for Ryu x86
    Susie x86
    Smash Run x86
    Arcade Bunny x80
    [Rerate] King K. Rool x80
    Klonoa x77
    Dragonite x77
    Fjorm x75
    Concept: Monster Hunter character x75
    Fire Emblem Switch Protagonist x75
    Eevee x75

    74-50

    Veronica x73
    Pokemon Trainer (Gen 2) x73
    Stage: New Donk City x70
    Concept: Pikmin newcomer x70
    Gooey x69
    Starfy x64
    Zeraora (Pokémon) x63
    Breidablik Item x60
    Louie x60
    Meowth x58
    Tails x55
    Toon Zelda x55
    Tora & Poppi x54
    Veteran: Roy x51
    Veteran: Dr. Mario x51


    49-30:

    [Rerate] Rex & Pyra x46
    Rick/Coo/Kine x45
    9-Volt x44
    Concept: Wars character x43
    Slime x40
    Veteran: Bayonetta x37
    Ayumi Tachibana x36
    Concept: Mother Newcomer x35
    Callie and Marie (Splatoon) x35
    Neptune x35
    Nia and Dromarch (Xenoblade) x34
    Concept: Style Savvy character x34
    Yu Narakumi x34
    Viridi x33
    Doshin the Giant x32
    Concept: Transformation characters x30
    Concept: Female Announcer x30
    Snorlax x29
    Leo (FE Fates) x28
    Takumi (Fire Emblem) x28
    Concept: Indie Character x28
    Mach Rider x28
    Endou Mamoru x28
    Hector (Fire Emblem) x 26
    Medusa (Kid Icarus) x 26
    Ghirahim x26
    Tiki x26
    Solaire x26
    Sophitia (Soulcalibur) x25
    Double Day: Sheriff / Diskun x25
    Prince Fluff (Kirby) x25
    T-Rex x25
    Nikki x25

    24 and less:

    Concept: No Mega Evolutions x20
    Rowlet x20
    Ninten x17
    Concept: Boss Battles x15
    Concept: Battlefield Stages x10
    Joker x10
    Concept: Multiple Voice Acting Options x10
    Concept: Pac Man World-based Moveset x10
    Black Mage x6
    Alex Kidd x5
    [Rerate] Daisy x5
    Shadow x5
    Lark x5
    Saber x5
    Orbulon x5
    Zangoose x5
    Kumatora x5
    Blastoise x5
    Ashley Miziku Robbins x5
    Mushashi x5
    Concept: 16-Player Smash x5
    Concept: DLC Announcers x5
    Fiora x5
    Masked Man x3
    [Rerate] Squirtle x2
    Stage: Metal Caverns x2
     
    #2 TCT~Phantom, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: May 23, 2018 at 7:37 PM
  3. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Chance and Want Rankings


    Newcomers
    Chance
    1. Rex and Pyra (64.69%)
    2. Decidueye (57.87%)
    3. Takamaru (57.56%)
    4. Dixie Kong (57.51%)
    5. Bandana Dee (56.64%)
    6. Captain Toad (48.60%)
    7. King K. Rool (48.49%)
    8. Rayman (48.29%)
    9. Isabelle (46.09%)
    10. Elma (42.60%)
    11. Celica (37.93%)
    12. Mimikyu (37.61%)
    13. Lycanroc (37.42%)
    14. Waluigi (34. 21%)
    15. Ashley (34.00%)
    16. Paper Mario (32.74%)
    17. Crash Bandicoot (31.04%)
    18. Dillon (28.22%)
    19. Geno (27.31%)
    20. Impa (26.94% Chance)
    21. Shovel Knight (22.88%)
    22. Bomberman (22.10%)
    23. Chibi Robo (21.26%)
    24. Ridley (18.68%)
    25. Lyn (18.23%)
    26. Professor Layton (18.11%)
    27. Isaac (17.73%)
    28. Qbby (17.57%)
    29. Banjo and Kazooie (17.35%)
    30. Simon Belmont (16.67%)
    31. Jibanyan (15.79%)
    32. Spyro the Dragon (15.72%)
    33. Tom Nook (15.48%)
    34. Arle Nadja (15.47%)
    35. Daisy (15.04%)
    36. Shantae (14.71%)
    37. Phoenix Wright (14.49%)
    38. Skull Kid (13.86%)
    39. Marx (13.80%)
    40. Funky Kong (13.25%)
    41. Dr. Eggman (11.81%)
    42. Midna (11.70%)
    43. Pauline (10.80%)
    44. Krystal (9.99%)
    45. Ganon (9.78%)
    46. Anna (9.49%)
    47. Andy (8.87%)
    48. Doomguy (8.82%)
    49. Sora (8.38%)
    50. Chrom (8.18%)
    51. Hades (8.09%)
    52. KOS-MOS (7.05%)
    53. Dark Matter (6.63%)
    54. Azura (6.28%)
    55. Lana (5.91%)
    56. Tethu (5.51%)
    57. Henry Fleming (4.14%)
    58. Mike Jones (4.02%)
    59. Black Shadow (3.80%)
    60. Micaiah (2.66%)
    61. Sans (2.34%)
    62. Blue Bowser (0.12%)
    63. Lucas - The Wizard (0.11%)

    Want
    1. King K. Rool (73.57%)
    2. Bandana Dee (71.11%)
    3. Ridley (67.36%)
    4. Decidueye (65.20%)
    5. Dixie Kong (62.93%)
    6. Banjo and Kazooie (61.29%)
    7. Elma (60.18%)
    8. Waluigi (60.00%)
    9. Takamaru (58.93%)
    10. Isaac (58.60%)
    11. Rayman (58.25%)
    12. Ashley (58.19%)
    13. Captain Toad (58.15%)
    14. Bomberman (57.11%)
    15. Simon Belmont (55.70%)
    16. Chibi Robo (55.47%)
    17. Crash Bandicoot (51.15%)
    18. Dillon (50.34%)
    19. Andy (50.20%)
    20. Impa (49.08%)
    21. Phoenix Wright (49.07%)
    22. Skull Kid (48.87%)
    23. Spyro the Dragon (47.46%)
    24. Mimikyu (46.91%)
    25. Marx (46.16%)
    26. Rex and Pyra (46.10%)
    27. Shovel Knight (45.94%)
    28. Sora (45.63%)
    29. Funky Kong (46.37%)
    30. Midna (45.48%)
    31. Paper Mario (44.51%)
    32. Shatnae (43.94%)
    33. Geno (43.75%)
    34. Lyn (42.76%)
    35. Dr. Eggman (42.74%)
    36. Lycanroc (41.85%)
    37. Isabelle (41.76%)
    38. Hades (40.88%)
    39. Arle Nadja (39.07%)
    40. Ganon (38.97%)
    41. Professor Layton (38.41%)
    42. Tom Nook (37.87%)
    43. Celica (37.31%)
    44 Qbby (35.80%)
    45. Azura (34.56%)
    46. Krystal (36.54%)
    47. KOS-MOS (34.24%)
    48. Black Shadow (33.37%)
    49. Micaiah (32.24%)
    50. Mike Jones (30.91%)
    51. Daisy (29.94%)
    52. Anna (28.31%)
    53. Doomguy (28.28%)
    54. Tethu (27.75%)
    55. Chrom (27.51%)
    56. Dark Matter (27.50%)
    57. Henry Fleming (26.76%)
    58. Lana (25.21%)
    59. Sans (23.91%)
    60. Pauline (20.03%)
    61. Jibanyan (17. 88%)
    62. Lucas - The Wizard (9.93%)
    63. Blue Bowser (3.22%)

    Veterans
    Chance
    1. Shulk (97.65%)
    2. Mewtwo (91.43%)
    3. Ice Climbers (90.69%)
    4. Greninja (90.11%)
    5. Lucas (78.44%)
    6. Lucina (68.89%)
    7. Wolf (62.21%)
    8. Snake (19.57%)
    9. Squirtle (13.52%)
    10. Ivysaur (11.74%)
    11. Pichu (6.15%)
    12. Young Link (4.83%)

    Want
    1. Mewtwo (91.43%)
    2. Shulk (88.85%)
    3. Greninja (77.98%)
    4. Ice Climbers (77.65%)
    5. Lucas (77.42%)
    6. Wolf (77.20%)
    7. Snake (69.13%)
    8. Lucina (58.38%)
    9. Squirtle (50.90%)
    10. Ivysaur (50.63%)
    11. Pichu (30.06%)
    12. Young Link (17.02%)

    Concepts
    Chance
    1. Gen 7 Pokemon Newcomer (84.54%)
    2. Arms Newcomer (70.45%)
    3. Rhythm Heaven Newcomer (49.94%)
    4. Zelda Newcomer (49.33%)
    5. Marth/Roy Speak English in Smash 5 (43.62%)
    6. No Cuts (30.73%)
    7. New Story Mode (25.60%)
    8. Reused Veteran Art (11.09%)
    Want
    1. Zelda Newcomer (74.48%)
    2. New Story Mode (72.81%)
    3. No Cuts (68.36%)
    4. Gen 7 Pokemon Newcomer (66.92%)
    5. Arms Newcomer (58.12%)
    6. Marth/Roy Speak English in Smash 5 (55.90%)
    7. Rhythm Heaven Newcomer (52.88%)
    8. Reused Veteran Art (13.18%)
     
    #3 TCT~Phantom, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: May 25, 2018 at 2:50 AM
  4. Lampy

    Lampy
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    Smash Master

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    3DS FC:
    0963-0942-7168
    We back at it already?
    HYPE

    \(°|°)/
    (Maybe I should drop this emoji... copying it is getting tedious)
     
  5. Blue_Sword_Edge

    Blue_Sword_Edge
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    Smash Lord

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    I wasn't intending on things being this way, but I'll leave the RTC thread to you, @TCT~Phantom . Good luck running this thing. As for participating, I won't do that much, sorry.
     
  6. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Lord

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    This post was initially about the default schedule, but has been re purposed into an archive for previous days.

    1. King K. Rool
    2. Ridley
    3. Snake
    4. Ice Climbers
    5. Wolf
    6. Isaac
    7. Bandanna Dee
    8. Captain Toad and Pauline (Double Day)
    9. Takamaru
    10. Rayman
    11. Krystal
    12. Rex and Pyra
    13. Squirtle and Ivysaur (Double Day)
    14. Shantae
    15. Dixie Kong
    16. Concept: Gen 7 Pokemon Newcomer
    17. Chrom
    18. Concept: Arms Character and Concept: Rhythm Heaven Character (Double Day)
    19. Daisy and Paper Mario (Double Day)
    20. Pichu and Young Link (Double Day)
    21. Crash
    22. Lyndis
    23. Andy and Celica
    24. DUNKEY SMASH ANALYSIS APRIL FOOLS
    25. Dillon
    26. Midna
    27. Professor Layton
    28. Waluigi
    29. Chibi Robo
    30. Shovel Knight
    31. Concept: Zelda Newcomer
    32. Decidueye
    33. Shulk
    34. Skull Kid
    35. Doomguy
    36. Anna
    37. Phoenix Wright
    38. Dr. Eggman
    39. Jibanyan
    40. Marx
    41. Lucina
    42. Concept:No Cuts
    43. Elma
    44. Concept: New Story Mode
    45. Hades
    46. Banjo and Kazooie
    47. Sora
    48. Dark Matter (Blade)
    49. Henry Fleming
    50. Ashley
    51. Geno
    52. Isabelle
    52. Micaiah
    53. Lana
    54. Blue Bowser
    55. Tethu
    56. Arle Nadja
    57. Lucas...and Lucas
    58. Greninja
    59. Mewtwo
    60. Impa
    61. Concept: Reused Veteran Art
    62. Ganon
    63. Bomberman
    64. Black Shadow and Marth/Roy Speaking English
    65. Lycanroc
    66. Mike Jones
    67. Simon Belmont
    68. Qbby (Boxboy)
    69. Spyro
    70. Mimikyu
    71. Funky Kong
    72. KOS-MOS
    73. Azura (Fire Emblem)
    74. Sans
    75. Tom Nook
    76. Lip
    77. Agumon
    78. Dark Samus & Sylux
    79. Concept: Decloned Dark Pit
    80. Travis Touchdown
    81. Urban Champion
    82. Mipha
     
    #6 TCT~Phantom, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: May 25, 2018 at 2:53 AM
    DaUsername, andimidna and -crump- like this.
  7. Lampy

    Lampy
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    Smash Master

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    Are we starting now?
     
    -crump- likes this.
  8. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Lord

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    Yes.
     
    -crump- and Lampy like this.
  9. Lampy

    Lampy
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    King K. Rool

    Chance: 60%
    I feel that he's heavily underestimated. Sakurai is aware of the kharacter's popularity and the Mii kostume was defnetly a major bone thrown at his supporters.
    Relevance is the only thing that's holding him back.

    Want: 95%
    I love King K. Rool and I think he could be a very interesting kharakter to play as. However, there are other kharakters I want more, so he's not 100%.

    Nominating Waluigi x5

    Prediction for Ridley: 30% chance, 60% want
    (You'd be surprised at how many people are still holding out hope for him. I feel kinda sorry for them)
     
  10. Xenigma

    Xenigma
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    Excited to see this back! I'll draft my first post in a bit (at work), but want to comment on the safe list. Can anyone confirm if the following are silhouetted in the trailer: Pit, Lucario, Ike, and Little Mac. I think they are all plausibly not safe: the former if Sakurai isn't leading, and the rest due to potential replacements and/or lack of relevance. I'm also admittedly kind of iffy on Olimar, but there's been enough Pikmin over the years that I think that fear is probably unfounded.

    EDIT: Never mind on ZSS, just remembered Metroid Switch is supposed to be a thing.
     
    #10 Xenigma, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    CrusherMania1592 likes this.
  11. Icedragonadam

    Icedragonadam
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    King K. Rool

    70% Chance

    95% Want

    I really like him and he's in my top wanted. He's still got a decent shot.

    Nomination: Lucas x5

    Ridley Prediction: 47.86%
     
    #11 Icedragonadam, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
  12. CrusherMania1592

    CrusherMania1592
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    Chances: 55%

    I'm iffy here but if he got ignored in Brawl and Wii U/3DS, there's a possibility he's gonna get it again unless he comes out of nowhere


    Want: 100%

    More reps for the DK series along with a popular villain and heavyweight? YES PLEASE!


    Nomination: Crash Bandicoot x5


    Prediciton for Ridley: 25% chance, 85% want
     
    -crump- and TCT~Phantom like this.
  13. IanTheGamer

    IanTheGamer
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    Chance: 50%: Sakurai is aware of how popular Rool is, just by the Mii costume. But relevance hurts him

    Want: 75%: Rool has also been a popular request, he could add something unique and Smash needs more baddies anyway.

    Nominations:
    Doomguy/Doom Slayer X5
     
    #13 IanTheGamer, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    -crump- and TCT~Phantom like this.
  14. SonicSmasher1

    SonicSmasher1
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    King K. Rool

    Chance: 80 percent.
    Despite relevance and and being a Mii Costume last game, among some other things, I have great faith that he has a chance to get in.

    Want: 100%
    He is my most wanted newcomer for Smash Bros, and I would love to see him in the next Smash Bros game all the way.

    Nomination: Geno x5
     
    #14 SonicSmasher1, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    -crump- and TCT~Phantom like this.
  15. Troykv

    Troykv
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    Oh wow! I love these threads, it's time to try again... I need to check more opinions before doing my guess, but K. Rool would be in a better position this time.
     
    CrusherMania1592 likes this.
  16. Lampy

    Lampy
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    You're not supposed to rate him right now.
    It's supposed to be a prediction for his overall want and chance.
     
  17. Ghirahilda

    Ghirahilda
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    ♥Smash Beauty♥

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    King K. Rool
    Chances: 80%
    Want: 100%

    My votes:
    Crash Bandicoot x5
     
    #17 Ghirahilda, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
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  18. ShinyLegendary

    ShinyLegendary
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    I dream to be a true mastermind genius!

    • Premium
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    Switch FC:
    SW-5600-9194-0917
    King K Rool:
    Chance: 50%
    Mmm.... It is hard to see him likely or unlikely. Sakurai did include a Mii-costume to replace him, and he did lose his chance in the 3DS. Sakurai even heard King K. Rool fans and based him off a Mii costume. So I am sure he has some chance to make it in.

    Want: 65%
    King K. Rool may not be my most favorite pick of them all. King K. Rool does offer uniqueness with a good potential move-set, a nice veteran that deserves more love, and a nice touch to the DK series in Smash for Switch.

    Nomination:
    Waluigi *3
    Crash Bandicoot *2
     
    #18 ShinyLegendary, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
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  19. Xeno VII

    Xeno VII
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    Fierce Deity

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    King K. Rool

    Chance: 30%

    A rather popular kharacter from one of Nintendo's most beloved franchises, who even got the Mii kostume treatment in Smash 4, possibly due to his popularity. Minus points for his lack of relevance in the DK series and Mario spin-offs in the past decade or so. That, and unpredictability in general.

    Want: 100%



    Prediction: Ridley - 6.5%

    There will be overrating.

    Nomination: Shulk time! x5
     
  20. Lampy

    Lampy
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    Smash Master

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    You need to be specific
     
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  21. Deathlightning21

    Deathlightning21
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    Smash Lord

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    1779-0225-2026
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    Chance: 50%-ish

    Realistically, I can't really see him coming in just yet, maybe as DLC later down the line. I do see a new DK character coming in if this is a whole new version of the game, maybe not King K.

    Want: 75%

    Coming from the old days of Smash 4 predictions, King K is very much wanted by a large section of the smash fanbase, both casually and some of the hardcore players. There is a demand.

    Nominations:
    Lyndis x 3
    Impa x 1
    Dark Samus x 1
     
    #21 Deathlightning21, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
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  22. KingofPhantoms

    KingofPhantoms
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    The Spook Factor

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    Just like old times. It feels great to be back!

    King K. Rool

    Chance: 65%

    K. Rool's kind of in an odd spot right now. On one hand, he hasn't appeared in a game since about 2008, missing out an opportunity to join the last Smash game as well. On the other hand, he's certainly iconic enough as DK's main antagonist, references to the character have been appearing more often in the form a costume (and a trophy of course) and the Kritters returning as enemies in Smash 4, his name being referenced in Super Mario Odyssey, has a high fan demand (don't quote me on this, but I recall some people sharing evidence that he placed rather high on the ballot) and he's also got boatloads of weapons and abilities, so it's not like making a good, unique moveset for him would be impossible.

    I do feel that a lot of things are in his favor this time, and that he may finally get his chance to join the fight. However, and perhaps this is just how I see it, but it does feel a little odd to think that a character who hasn't been in a game in over 10 years would suddenly make a return in Smash of all things, but who knows. Maybe this will be a first in that regard. If we do assume Sakurai is directing the game again, I highly doubt he will ignore or disregard the character at this point. The question then would just be whether he sees something fun and unique in the character that would work well in Smash.

    Want: 100%

    My most wanted newcomer, by far.

    Ridley Prediction: 3%

    Given Sakurai's previous statements on Ridley and the fact that we know hardly anything about the new game so far, I don't expect most people here to think the odds are in his favor, to say the least.

    Nominations: Shovel Knight x5
     
    -crump-, Mogu and TCT~Phantom like this.
  23. Zeb~

    Zeb~
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    Knight in Red

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    Switch FC:
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    Reminders for RTC because it happens every time

    1. Chances are subjective. So 20% might be 40% for someone else

    2. Argue over chances, but never call someone out over want. That just makes you a jerk.

    3. RTC is always wrong anyway and it's all about popularity bandwagons so none of this is super relevan to anything.


    With that out of the way
    K rool
    frankly, I think it's too early for this since we dont even have gameplay and dont know the extent of what smash for switch is, but whatever.

    Chance: 10%
    Popularity is all he has going for him. Lot's of other factors are in play and it's hard to get by with jsut one.

    Want: 10%
    Prefer Funky and Dixie WAY more.

    Nomination: Palutena x5

    EDIT
    "20% might be 40$"
    No one called me out over this typo? Y'all are too used to me.
    :061:
     
    #23 Zeb~, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
  24. ShinyLegendary

    ShinyLegendary
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    I dream to be a true mastermind genius!

    • Premium
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    Fixed my post, try reading it again.
    Sorry if I continue to make any more errors.
    I kind of agree with this actually.
     
    #24 ShinyLegendary, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
  25. Lampy

    Lampy
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    Smash Master

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    You can only use 5 nominations
     
    ShinyLegendary likes this.
  26. Dan

    Dan
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    Smash Ace

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    713
  27. Zero Soul

    Zero Soul
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    Smash Master

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    King K. Rool

    Chances: 30%
    I unironically think Sakurai dislikes him for whatever reason and has been avoiding him, if he didn't have anything against him I think he would have gotten in by now and if he's the director (seems likely given the tweet) I don't think he's likely. Still, he's so important that I can't really give him any less of a score than 20 and Sakurai might not actually be the director and if he isn't then I think King K. Rool becomes way likelier.
    Want: 80%
    I don't personally care for the character but he's from a under-represented series and has plenty of fans who've been waiting forever, and it'd make me happy if they got what they wanted.

    Predictions: Ridley 18%
    Nominations: Dark Matter (Kirby) x5
     
    #27 Zero Soul, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
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  28. N. Onymous

    N. Onymous
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    Smash Lord

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    Midnuh
    K. Rool
    Chance - 45%
    The DK series is in dire need of more representation, but I don't see it happening for various reasons. He's popular with the fanbase, but with the dev team, who can say?

    Want - 70%
    I like him, I think he'd make an interesting fighter, but there are other characters I'd like in more than him. (Lip, please, this is all I ask.)
     
    andimidna and TCT~Phantom like this.
  29. Dudery and FAITH forever

    Dudery and FAITH forever
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    Smash Ace

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    king k.rool

    chance 70%
    feel like nintendo got the message with the mii costume/mario oddysey street name..

    want 100%
    because why not
     
    Llort A. Ton and TCT~Phantom like this.
  30. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Lord

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    But this does put a smile on my face...
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    1. Wrong day, Ridley is tomorrow
    2. Wrong Format, please check the example format
    3. Please avoid one liners, if you are gonna rate someone as a zero please state why.
     
    Swampasaur likes this.
  31. Sid-cada

    Sid-cada
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    Smash Lord

    Joined:
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    Woo, this is back! Let's hope that I can keep my perfect attendance ratting here.

    King K. Rool

    Chance - 40% - A classic, but no relevancy hurts his chances. Unless he comes back soon, I don't see him as even a coin-flip.

    Want - 75% - He's cool, but a lack of connection makes me support him less than most.


    Predicitons

    Ridley - 67.52% - Oh boy... While he's popular, doubt is starting to creep in.



    Nominations

    Anna X5
     
    #31 Sid-cada, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    TCT~Phantom and -crump- like this.
  32. Kirbeh

    Kirbeh
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    Smash Ace

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    Somewhere Else
    King K. Rool

    Want: 100% - I'd love to see more villains overall, and King K. also happens to be my most wanted DK newcomer, though I believe someone like Dixie (who I'd gladly take as well) is more likely.

    Chance: 50% - At this point I think it's known how much many would like to see him, but I just have a feeling that it probably won't happen. I want it to, but I think Sakurai will end up with a lot on his plate as usual and focus on other, newer and/or more relevant characters instead. Given K. Rool's popularity and Sakurai's penchant for surprises though, I'm settling on the 50/50 scenario.

    Ridley Prediction

    Want: 75% - Not big enough
    Chance: 5% - Too small

    Nominations

    Waluigi x1
    Crash x1
    Sophitia x1
    Sol Badguy x1
    Kyo Kusanagi x1
     
    #32 Kirbeh, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    TCT~Phantom likes this.
  33. -crump-

    -crump-
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    Smash Lord

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    On your left
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    Nothing like good old character speculation to put me in a good mood :b::b:

    King K. Rool:


    Chance: 40%
    I’m being generous here. King K. Rool hasn’t seen the light of day since Super Sluggers in 2009, and that was a sports spinoff. He isn’t nearly as relevant as he once was, and he’s nowhere near close enough to be on the level of Bowser, Ganon, or even Dedede.

    However, he’s popular, especially among the Smash fan base, and thanks to the little old Smash Ballot, Sakurai and his crew know this. That alone gives him a chance, and it can’t be ignored.

    Want: 100%
    I. LOVE. THIS. CHARACTER.

    I voted for the kroc so many times on that Ballot, and I don’t regret a single vote. If there’s any shred of hope that K. Rool could show up as a fighter this time around, I’m riding it to the very end.

    Predictions: Ridley: Chance 50%, Want 85%

    Nominations: Hector (Fire Emblem) x5
     
    #33 -crump-, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    Lampy and TCT~Phantom like this.
  34. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Lord

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    But this does put a smile on my face...
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    Just going to throw this out since I have seen plenty of people make this mistake, but the schedule for March has been posted in OP, please do not nominate anyone from there.
     
  35. Xhampi

    Xhampi
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    Smash Ace

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    K Rool
    Chance : 40 %
    He has the moveset and the popularity but he has been missing from his home series for a long time and get to compete with Dixie Kong who would be easier to add with her body shape similar to Diddy, is just as iconic and is more relevent.

    Want : 65 %
    I don't really care about his inclusion myself but I'd like him if at least for his fans.

    Ridley Prediction : 7 %

    Nomination : Marx (Kirby series) X 5
     
    #35 Xhampi, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
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  36. Fuzzy Pickles!

    Fuzzy Pickles!
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    Say, FUZZY PICKLES!!!

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    I actually ran this thread before back during Smash 3DS & Wii U speculation. Twice in fact.

    Since this is a thing, I'm going to introduce a model that I will use for rating chances. It's arbitrary but hey, nothing preventing us from rating whatever, right?

    A: 100%
    B: 75%
    C: 50%
    D: 25%
    F: 0%

    So let's get down to our first character.

    King K. Rool

    Chance
    : D (25%)

    Unless he gets a new game, he's got a large uphill battle to fight for inclusion. By the time the new game comes out, he won't have appeared in ten years and I doubt the sign at Super Mario Odyssey matters much. His only hope is that he ends up performing among the Top 3 Ballot characters (including Bayonetta) and Sakurai actually uses the ballot this time. Otherwise he's out.

    That's said, it's him or no one for a 3rd DK character.

    Want: B (75%)

    Smash should have more villains and K. Rool is a really cool baddie with amazing move set potentials.

    x5 Bomberman

    cuz he's the best.
     
    #36 Fuzzy Pickles!, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
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  37. Deathcarter

    Deathcarter
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    Smash Lord

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    Want: 90% Long live the king!

    Chance: 20% Dixie Kong pretty much has any third DK spot on lockdown at this point. It will be up to DLC for the King to get a shot.
     
    TCT~Phantom likes this.
  38. Aussie the Naturist

    Aussie the Naturist
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    Hugging Pandas in the Flesh

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    King K. Rool

    Chance: 60%

    King K Rool is not only one of DK's most famous foes, but a consistently wanted character for Super Smash Bros. But relevance holds him back in the end of the day and he still has that Mii Fighter costume too. Either way, he would have a chance if Sakurai takes his Smash Ballot popularity in consideration.

    Want: 100%

    Easily my most wanted Smash fighter. Once a Kuttthroat, always a Kuttthroat.

    Prediction for Ridley:

    Chance: 18%

    Want: 65%
     
  39. AwesomeCauliflower68

    AwesomeCauliflower68
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    Smash Ace

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    Chance - 45% - K. Rool is a strange character in that Sakurai and Nintendo have referenced and acknowledged him in the past couple of years (Mii Costume and Street Sign) but he hasn't appeared in anything substantially since 2008 and that was a Mario Sports Spinoff. I feel like he has some kind of a chance due to how the Mii Costume proves that Sakurai does know about his popularity (and inklings getting bumped from Costume to character shows that as well) but I think the relevancy really hurts him and I can't really see them adding a character like that. And even if he does get past the relevancy issue we'd have to rely on Sakurai finding him interesting enough to actually put in the game.

    Want - 100% - I will not be buying Smash on Switch if K. Rool isn't in it. It's the only reason I'm sticking around the smash speculation scene and he's been my most wanted character for years. His moveset has sooo much potential and DKC desperately needs more representation based on how popular it is and how big of an impact it has had on gaming. I need K. Rool in this game.
     
    TCT~Phantom likes this.
  40. Yomi's Biggest Fan

    Yomi's Biggest Fan
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    See You Next Year, Baby

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    1375-7346-9605
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    King K. Rool

    Chance: 55%

    I am still not super optimistic on his chances since he has many thinsg again him (relevancy, Sakurai's strange view on Donkey Kong Country, etc), but I won't ignore that he is very popular.

    Want: 90%

    Damn right would love to have him there. Because I am one of him. ~~I won't sing that song here~~

    Prediction for Ridley

    Chance: 9%

    Oooo boy...

    Want: 79%
     
    TCT~Phantom likes this.

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  1. Indefinite Minimum,
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