I have to disagree because you are outright denying core fans who have already put in their votes.
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So I find it fascinating that people think Krystal has just disappeared off the map. What is the new 'ist' term people are throwing out now...revisionist? Is that it?
Basically, everyone keeps talking about how popular Jonesy or 2B or Hollow Knight are...and yet they forget these characters didn't exist during the Smash Ballot. Did you know that Undertale was only out for about a month of the duration of the Smash Ballot? What about the fact that hype for Kratos only rose up with his new PS4 game, not that he wasn't popular already, but that most of his push was post-ballot?
You guys need to keep these things in mind, that if they are still using picks from the Smash Ballot, which they are because they would have given us the results if they weren't, that some of these things you are pushing did not have the support or even existed at all during that time. Charts like this would imply she did much better than you would think, and the fact that she went from nothing to an AT is a big enough deal in her own right.
Also keep in mind Ultimate was rushed: work started sometime in early 2016 and the game was golden in October of 2018. This isn't as bad as Melee which was only 13 months, but it is a very similar situation given it was roughly 30 months (give or take) and had to be made for a brand-new console that didn't debut until 2017 as well as the pressure to bring back as much as they could while adding new AND being the best Smash to honor the late Iwata. Remember than most AAA games that come out very polished tend to have 3-5 year dev cycle, whereas Ultimate only had around 2 and a half. There is a good chance many more characters were planned or at least considered during that time, especially with ARMS and XBC2, but there just wasn't enough time and releases didn't match up.
In other words, just because some characters got really popular or semi-popular during Ultimate's dev time doesn't mean they are somehow getting in to the next Smash. This is also true for characters that got a lot of push during Ultimate's actual life cycle, although I would suggest that someone like Dante has an incredibly good shot.
Also, we are doing this weird thing again where we think only popular characters have a chance, and by popular, I mean mainstream and crossing into Non-Smash community. Did the base additions to Ultimate teach you nothing? Since when was Ridley popular in the main gaming sphere? Did K. Rool get a game that was insanely popular yet magically never talked about? Wasn't old school Castlevania dead and Konami cared about pachinko more than actual games? That doesn't even go into Banjo or Terry who definitely do not fit this bill due to where they were at in terms of popularity when they were added.
I think what happened is that Joker, Steve and Sora got in and now people have this weird take where only really popular characters have a chance. Yeah, Sakurai DEFINITELY seems to be the kind of guy to throw away years of evidence for claims of characters people want just to go from what is mainstream. If we are honest with ourselves, I think we know why we got the DLC we did: Nintendo was a big player and Sakurai lost some of the control he had over these choices, while also fulfilling promises to himself and others that he didn't fulfill in Smash 4. I doubt we have to worry about that too much going into a Furakawa-lead Nintendo.
Krystal honestly likely has taken a hit because even while she was a popular pick since Brawl,
even in Brawl she was a divisive pick.
Now I do not want to make anyone think I am going to say Krystal was never a popular request. Even during the Brawl era she was a super popular pick, and her fanbase never really went away. To this day she still has an active, engaged fanbase. Sure, its not the Isaac fanbase for instance, but it was always there. But Krystal was always a divisive character. As popular as she was, her fanbase was notably...intense. Check out Brawl speculation and the fallout of Krystal not being in if you want to see some of the hottest debates out there. Poor Wolf, he got caught in the crossfire.
Now, Krystal has had a dedicated fanbase since Brawl, but she also has been very divisive. Smash 4 had Krystal as a super divisive character post Brawl, if you want any evidence for that check out that game's RTC. Krystal often cracked below a 50% for want. While a lot of people wanted Krystal, a lot actively did not. Despite this, the ballot did help her out a little...until she got ATd in Ultimate and her slowly resurgence of support got strangled in the cradle.
You are making a huge false equivalency by comparing K Rool and Ridley to Krystal. Those two were by far the largest first party requests going into Ultimate alongside the obvious Inklings. Those two kept their fanbases large and in charge since Brawl. Krystal did not and only became more divisive when she needed to expand her fanbase the most. If you want to compare characters to those two, Waluigi, Isaac, and Dee are the closest. They have the largest, broadest spectrum of fans and are the biggest first party fan favorites out there. If you want to compare Krystal to anything, compare her to Geno: a relic of Brawl speculation that while still having their fans, was not the most mainstream addition and missed the cut. The only reasons the Geno fanbase did not die out like Krystals are that the lack of a Geno costume with Hero and Banjos reveal gave them false hope and the Geno fanbase had a false prophet telling them everything would be ok in that hopeful environment.
I also take issue of you using the ballot as an end all be all for speculation. While the ballot might still play a roll in the future, it is equally possible that they might not rely on the ballot solely going forward. The ballot was finished up almost 6 years ago when speculation was a different beast. Some popular picks got in, like Bayo, Sora, Snake and the other cut vets, K Rool, Banjo, Ridley, Belmonts, Final Fantasy, Chrom, and Dark Samus. We have evidence based on Sakurai's comments that these all were included due to fan demand. At the same time, ballot popularity is not something that makes a character likely in and of itself. If it was, Rayman, Krystal, and Bandana Dee likely would have gotten in. We got plenty of picks that Sakurai did not cite for the Ballot as well. With how much fan demand has shifted, it would seem weird gatekeeping picks like Crash or Hayabusa out just because they did not have a ballot push.
If you want evidence that Smash speculation has moved on from just being popular picks within the smash community and onto gaming as a whole, look at the picks we got as DLC. The biggest JRPG of the past decade, the biggest JRPG series not in Smash, two strong institutions in the fighting game community that both have stronger connections to Nintendo's competition than Nintendo's systems, the biggest video game of all time, and the biggest video game villain not in Smash who was from one of the PS1's most iconic games. Sure, we got a few first party picks and two huge fan favorites, but at the end of the day the picks chosen were all relevant series. SNK was on an upswing since 2015 or so in relevancy again, Tekken and FF are always relevant, Dragon Quest is massive, Persona 5 was as I said the biggest JRPG of the past decade, and Minecraft I do not even need to explain. If you want to go even deeper, Smash's base game also went with either relevant picks in Inkling, Isabelle, and Incineroar, or popular picks like the Belmonts, K Rool, and Ridley. Relevancy and Popularity have always been king. I could go back as far as Brawl and show you that popular and relevant picks are what end up getting in the game overwhelmingly.
The fact that speculation has opened up means that being popular with the gaming community goes a long way. Look at some of the third party picks that have seen a groundswell of support in the past few years. Dante, Crash, Master Chief, and Hayabusa all are super popular picks that have taken up a lot of oxygen within Smash speculation and the Nintendo connections for 3 of them are paltry compared to their connections to gaming as a whole. Sure, popular first party requests and third parties with a stronger connection to Nintendo exist. Picks like Shantae, Lloyd Irving, and Arle are proof that there are less mainstream picks that are popular on Nintendo systems still are popular enough. But when picks like Sol Badguy or Dovakhin become fan favorites, you can tell there is a reason smash speculation is trending towards third parties: the gates are out there, and within reason you can request anyone. When within reason any gaming character has a shot for Smash, it makes sense people are requesting big characters like Dante and Crash.
so what does everyone want to see in the next smash game if it happens. I should also ask who does everyone think the next mario rep will be since Mario is probably guaranteed to get a new character in base roster.
In terms of want, I would love to see Crash Bandicoot, Adol Cristian, Neku, Eggman, Isaac, and Officer Howard the most.
If you want to know who I think the next Mario reps might be, I would say keep an eye on Waluigi and Pauline for obvious reasons. Waluigi I do not think I need to explain why, but from Pauline I can see Nintendo is starting to add her into the core Mario cast the same way that Rosalina was after Galaxy. I know some people might question moveset potential, but Sakurai can make anything out of a bucket of scraps. If Pauline keeps getting the treatment she has in Mario spinoffs, I could see her making the jump and crossing the line for the next smash.
Keep an eye out for Pauline to snag a Cappy based moveset for the next game. She is a super dark horse pick and with how Nintendo has handled her post Odyssey, I think she is super slept on. If she continues to get the spinoff treatment similar to Rosa, I think she makes a lot of sense to make it in.