My biggest counterpoint, for which I have yet to see any real response since even the most vehement supporters ignores it is "if there were still 5/6 characters left instead of 2, would they really have left 5/6 empty slots on that placeholder boxart that was meant to be shown between the Smash Direct and the September Direct, well before the final roster was unveiled, since it lacks Isabelle?".
Going back to Verge he himself stated that the Square Enix character comes from a source he trusts, but he is now digging more about this box thing which most likely will be just another dumb theory were people tried to guess a number by looking at materials that in the end didn't mattered. Verge is trying his best to be sure about what he leaks since if he succeds in this then very few will still call him a fraud like many did.
If the roster really ends with Ken and Inceneroar, he has to change his stance on the Sqiare Enix character before it is too late or otherwise he will lost all his credibility. Even if he himself thinks it is wrong, he has to be sure of every single thing for his future as a leaker.
(also a little OT but what's up with the hate for Vergeben in the general tread? My goodness some people seems to despise the guy to an atrocius level, calling him an unpleasent human being because he dared responding to the 1001th user who blatantly insulted him. Also they call him arrogant, but they have ever seen Liam Robertson and Laura Kate Dale? The first just used an edited leaked picture of Mario+Rabbids and when it was revealed he just went "I had this for a month and none of you noticed lol, I'm such a genius XD" and the later expected to be PRAISED by the community when she spoiled the big surprise of the long awaited January Direct, Dark Souls, just a couple hours it actually aired! Vergeben might be as bad as it might get, but TBH I didn't really see this demon in his messages)
But yeah, Elma still has a very strong chance of making in it. I should probably compile a huge list of every hint she has and maybe spread it online in order to see the response...might be interesting, and at least spice things up for the final months of speculation.