What are your guys thoughts on the Shovel Knight amiibo? Now that it's been confirmed, does this help or hurt his chances? I say they hurt, since I can't fathom a 3rd party getting 2 different amiibo.
If you mean by "how do I feel about the amiibo" it'd obviously be "WHY THE HECK IS NINTENDO DOING THIS THEY DON'T EVEN DESERVE IT" but if you mean by how it affects its chance...
I seriously don't know. (duh)
This is like the King K Rool costume thing (in shocking factor and in affect factor) except the situation is in reverse. This really helps Shovel Knight, but we won't know how much.
In one way you can say now Nintendo does care about them and give them Indies free stuff, but we can't say the same for Smash. Smash is a very big stage for the Nintendo (and friends) stars, and if Indie reps really got in, I'd personally say it's freaking messed up. Amiibo is, well just some toy that unlocks feature. There are already many amiibo outside those in Smash, to the extent that mediocre NPCs can have them too (Animal Crossing for example), but speaking of these third party indie getting one... it's really shocking.
The amiibo itself might hint into Nintendo giving Indies chances, and that's probably it. It really doesn't work in a way that it will make a certain character instantly confirmed or the other way round, since for confirmation's side, the release before actual announcement is way to suspicious to begin with, while for the deconfirmation's side, the amiibo not in Smash's line only means it's not planned (like Inklings' costume as I said way earlier in RTC), but not it's decided against.
While Smash news stars like PushDustIn and Etika are so hyped about Shovel Knight happening (Same happened with the "End of Ballot" and the "Mii Costume deconfirms K Rool" arguments), Etika went one step further and asked: "Who is more likely, Shovel Knight or King K Rool?"
I again,... I'm not too sure.
One side is someone who's extremely popular and got a big hit on their possibility, and one side is someone who's regarded negligible for Smash but got a sudden prove of significance. While K Rool's side it got a 30% cut in chance according to the oh-so-balanced RTC, I'd say Shovel Knight wouldn't boost up the same amount, of course. Now that Indies are receiving some... mention, I'd say their chance is same as insert-mediocre-support-3rd-party-here, or something around 7%. A real boost. woohoo.
But here's the deal. It's not exactly the numbers that matters. While these might reflect the possibility of a certain thing happening, what's to see is the possibilities we have. We don't know what either the costume or the amiibo means, either that "They know the popularity of the characters so they made a preparation", or "They won't go further so here's a consolation". Or maybe the possibilities in between: "They know the popularity of the characters and that's it", or "They are not planning to have them at the moment", which doesn't contribute to the chance change at all.
One extra thing to consider though, is that it's Yacht Club who made this whole thing, Nintendo just approved it. Not sure why this even can end up as an amiibo, so there you go.
If you know me enough I wouldn't like to see either of these happening. So when chances are to be talked about, I'm just here, fearing that these happen over what I think would be better. But sure, the fear might just covered my judging abilities, over-projecting the possibilities of unlikely-yet-scary things happening.
Any offense not intended.