I would have liked to see somi respond to my points under pressure, but looking through his posts, he's not scum with DP. And he's obvtown in general.
So the solve in
#226,
#293, and
#559 was actually correct. I should have stuck with this initially, but I didn't anticipate osie's approach to the game. That threw things out of whack and forced me to change playstyles. The issue with this game is having to navigate poorly playing town while also trying to build cases on / yeet scum that are as difficult to yeet as it is wading through quicksand.
Eliminating Merc and Osie shifted the game back in town's favor, but it is being balanced on a needle. Currently, the state of the game is as follows:
Chaco Xivii Frozen
somitomi
UP
Darkpit Boom
Xivii is scum's target for today. UP is scum-siding, which makes somi the swing vote. Considering that he was reluctant to yeet DP yesterday and was more than willing to yeet me, he's more than likely to go that way, and that's what scum will be banking of for today.
Boom, however, can't suddenly shift off DP onto me without making himself known. He's trying to find a way to make the transition
#928,
#937,
#938, utilizing the Merc yeet and osie kill, but I don't think he'll be able to make the jump without alerting Chaco. I think initially they were probably banking on wooing Chaco over to a Xivii yeet so the wagon would consist of [Darkpit, UP, somi, Chaco], while Boom himself remained off of it, but they didn't anticipate Chaco would see the night kill for what it is, hence why Boom is trying to fight it in
#937. (It wouldn't make sense for Boom to do this if he was really sold on DP scum). I think the goal was for the osie kill to be used as momentum for Chaco/UP/somi to get on board with the Xivii yeet, but Chaco didn't fall into it.
So overall, I think Boom will have to stay the course on yeeting Darkpit. Jumping onto me would be too telling post-flip. So we will have [Chaco, Xivii, Frozen, Boom] on the DP yeet vs [somi, UP, and DP] on the Xivii wagon. The real risk, however, is what comes after:
Boom has established himself into a solid position. No one is scum reading him aside from myself, and he is being highly town read by our strongest townie as well as the dead townie. His DP bus will provide him enough credit to live through and win in endgame. As things are set now, somitomi and UP are lined up as the mislynches after the Darkpit yeet. Boom only needs those two yeets to win. Here is an outline:
Darpit yeeted D2
Xivii nightkilled N2
Chaco town reading Boom, scumreading UP and Somi. Frozen scumreading UP and somi. Either of these are easy misyeets and Boom doesn't have to push for either of them to go through.
Somi (or UP) yeeted D3
Chaco killed N3
Final three is Boom, Frozen, UP (or somi). Frozen highly scumreading UP since D1.
UP yeeted D4: Scum wins.
So my goal today is to town case somi and UP. I think the evidence is pretty strong that somi isn't DP's partner. I'll also try to show the intricacies of why Boom is scum, but again it's like wading through quicksand.