Louie G.
Smash Legend
So many new rosters lately, but after today's update I really wanted to do this.
Nothing too out of the ordinary, but Paper Mario is back on my roster. At long last, I can bring back one of my most wanted and most loved potential newcomers.
Now I know what you may be thinking. "DUHRR LOUIE G YOU BANDWAGONER. YOU ONLY THINK PAPER MARIO IS LIKELY BECAUSE OF THE NEW STAGE." Well it certainly helps Paper Mario's case, but that isn't all that's going in his favor. Here's my thought process as to why I find Paper Mario a little more likely than before.
1. The Stage
Obviously the new stage brought Paper Mario back into my radar, and if we're going by past evidence (such as the Boxing Ring and Mario Galaxy) it's common for a character's home stage to be revealed prior to the character's reveal; foreshadowing, if you will. Most stages Smash 4 are home stages for specific characters or, if not, representative of a character's franchise. Oddly enough, Sakurai referred to this stage as "the first Paper Mario stage". Sakurai referred to Paper Mario as a separate franchise, interestingly. In addition, the stage doesn't just represent the most current game in the series, Paper Mario Sticker Star, but also TTYD, which makes this stage representative of the series in general rather than just one game. I don't know, it just seems like the perfect home stage for Paper Mario, whether he represents Mario or Paper Mario.
2. Originality
Paper Mario is exploding with potential, and I'm positive that if Sakurai seriously considered Paper Mario at some point that he would realize how much could be done with the character. Attacks based on RPG-like timing, partners, shape shifting into different forms, stylish moves, etc. There's so much that Paper Mario has to offer and I believe that he lines up perfectly with what Sakurai is looking for in newcomers this time around.
3. Relevance/"Recency"
"BOOOOO..."
Ah shut up. Relevance and "recency" do have an effect on the roster, no matter what you guys want to believe. It makes Sakurai fully aware of characters after looking at recent releases. Every newcomer thus far lines up with the past generation or the present generation of Nintendo consoles (for example, Wii Fit, Punch Out!!, Animal Crossing, and Kid Icarus all have newcomers to represent their growth between Brawl and Smash 4). With Sakurai looking at the Wii/DS/3DS, Paper Mario shows up twice; Super Paper Mario, and Sticker Star. Sticker Star's release is right around the time that Sakurai was deciding the roster for Smash 4, so I'd be surprised if Paper Mario didn't at least come up in a character discussion.
So I personally think Paper Mario is a pretty good bet.
I also cut Dark Pit from last time, but that isn't for the reasons many of you brought up, it's because of this.
At the top left corner, it says "Boss HP: 100.00" in Japanese. With the way Dark Pit was teased in Palutena's trailer, I personally find him to be the most likely boss on the stage. It could very well be Medusa, Hades, Chaos Kin, or somebody completely different, but I think Dark Pit will happen. At least I was right that he's not an alternate costume.
Nothing too out of the ordinary, but Paper Mario is back on my roster. At long last, I can bring back one of my most wanted and most loved potential newcomers.
Now I know what you may be thinking. "DUHRR LOUIE G YOU BANDWAGONER. YOU ONLY THINK PAPER MARIO IS LIKELY BECAUSE OF THE NEW STAGE." Well it certainly helps Paper Mario's case, but that isn't all that's going in his favor. Here's my thought process as to why I find Paper Mario a little more likely than before.
1. The Stage
Obviously the new stage brought Paper Mario back into my radar, and if we're going by past evidence (such as the Boxing Ring and Mario Galaxy) it's common for a character's home stage to be revealed prior to the character's reveal; foreshadowing, if you will. Most stages Smash 4 are home stages for specific characters or, if not, representative of a character's franchise. Oddly enough, Sakurai referred to this stage as "the first Paper Mario stage". Sakurai referred to Paper Mario as a separate franchise, interestingly. In addition, the stage doesn't just represent the most current game in the series, Paper Mario Sticker Star, but also TTYD, which makes this stage representative of the series in general rather than just one game. I don't know, it just seems like the perfect home stage for Paper Mario, whether he represents Mario or Paper Mario.
2. Originality
Paper Mario is exploding with potential, and I'm positive that if Sakurai seriously considered Paper Mario at some point that he would realize how much could be done with the character. Attacks based on RPG-like timing, partners, shape shifting into different forms, stylish moves, etc. There's so much that Paper Mario has to offer and I believe that he lines up perfectly with what Sakurai is looking for in newcomers this time around.
3. Relevance/"Recency"
"BOOOOO..."
Ah shut up. Relevance and "recency" do have an effect on the roster, no matter what you guys want to believe. It makes Sakurai fully aware of characters after looking at recent releases. Every newcomer thus far lines up with the past generation or the present generation of Nintendo consoles (for example, Wii Fit, Punch Out!!, Animal Crossing, and Kid Icarus all have newcomers to represent their growth between Brawl and Smash 4). With Sakurai looking at the Wii/DS/3DS, Paper Mario shows up twice; Super Paper Mario, and Sticker Star. Sticker Star's release is right around the time that Sakurai was deciding the roster for Smash 4, so I'd be surprised if Paper Mario didn't at least come up in a character discussion.
So I personally think Paper Mario is a pretty good bet.
I also cut Dark Pit from last time, but that isn't for the reasons many of you brought up, it's because of this.
At the top left corner, it says "Boss HP: 100.00" in Japanese. With the way Dark Pit was teased in Palutena's trailer, I personally find him to be the most likely boss on the stage. It could very well be Medusa, Hades, Chaos Kin, or somebody completely different, but I think Dark Pit will happen. At least I was right that he's not an alternate costume.