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Darkpit54

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Oh yeah, and today's international women's day. Sounds like a good day for THAT episode

Howd you feel about the med evac
 

Hat N' Clogs

John Tavares is a Leaf
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That's true. Plus Peter's a doctor and he didnt help Debby at all.

I think Neil has a chance to win. If not Debby. I don't think Jason will win. That requires having more than 2 people like you.
He may have been hated by Alecia, but he has no other haters other than that in-game at this point. He's super tight with Scot, and Cydney likes him as well. We may hate him, but at this point his tribe mates sure don't. That's why he could still win, because he's not hated by his tribemates perse. If anything, people are close to him.

With Neil, I would say that he has a chance, although it's small. A common pattern in Survivor editing is that the winner gets a fair amount of screen time. Neil, however, has been flying under the radar for the majority of episodes. He was even borderline invisible in this episode since he only had one line (and it was super forgettable as well). The only winner in Survivor history to have that small of an edit and still win is Vecepia from season 4.

As far as people with bigger edits, Debbie, Tai, Jason, Scot, and to an extent Cydney have all received large-enough edits to have a chance at winning from an editing standpoint, or at least make it far in the game (though in Tai's case, he's getting more of a fan-favorite edit due to his lackluster strategic game).

Med-evac wise, this was one of the most heart-wrenching episodes in the history of the show. Never, ever, ever, has there been a point in time where three contestants fall victim to the conditions at once during a challenge. I'm super glad that Debbie, Cydney, and Caleb are ok, especially Caleb!

It was a crazy episode, that's for sure.
 
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Darkpit54

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Whoa! I didn't even think about air time. However, Jason Scott and cydney are really only getting air time bc they keep losing challenges
 
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Hat N' Clogs

John Tavares is a Leaf
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Whoa! I didn't even think about air time. However, Jason Scott and cydney are really only getting air time bc they keep losing challenges
Warning Darkpit54 Darkpit54 This post is long.

True, but Jason has an underlying edit that makes him stand out above the other two. Besides, Scot and Cydney are smart enough to win. The editing acts as a security blanket, and for viewers to predict the winner. However, I do think Jason has a better chance than Cydney or Scot. Here's why:

it's because he has a winner edit. Not only does he get a lot of air time, but he has the personality for it. I'm a semi-inactive member of a Survivor fan site known as "survivorsucks" so I have an idea of what the editing formula is. The members there have this edit formula all figured out. Here's a basic rundown:

OTT- Stands for Over The Top. The edit in which a contestant gets a lot of air time showing one character trait they have. This contestant is normally a goof ball, a crazy person, or perhaps a fan favorite. They normally distract viewers from the winner due to their overly blatant and basic edit.

CP- Stands for Complex Personality. This is the edit a contestant gets when they give a lot of confessionals, show more than one personality trait on a normal basis, have a deep story arc, are normally strategic masterminds, etc. This edit is one of the two edits that hints at the winner.

UTR- Stands for Under The Radar. This contestant will barely show up in an episode and serves the purpose of furthering the character of the contestants around them. They very rarely win any season.

MOR- Stands for Middle of Road. This contestant has a balance between all three other major edits, or is simply the "only sane man/woman." This is the second edit that normally gives away the winner.

INV- Stands for Invisible. This contestant has zero confessionals, zero lines, or may not even appear on camera aside from a short few seconds. One INV edit episode could ruin their chances of winning from an editing standpoint.

Winning priority goes: CP/MOR > OTT > UTR >>>>> INV

Based on the edits, Jason has a CP edit. He's not overly simple like other contestants, but he gets enough screen time to show off some character. You see: he's a jerk to Alecia but is still kind to Cyndey. He's has potential to be ruthless in the game, but shows that he's loyal to his team mates to an extent, etc.

His edit helps me predict that he's a good winner candidate. Here's how every person still in the game stacks up as far as edits go:

Anna- Between CP and UTR
Aubry- UTR
Cydney- MOR
Debbie- Between OTT and CP
Jason- CP
Joe- Between MOR and UTR
Julia- UTR
Michelle- UTR, with a dash of CP
Neil- UTR, with a dash of CP
Nick- UTR
Peter- OTT
Scot- MOR
Tai- OTT

When looking at the edits, Debbie, Jason, Scot, and Cydney have the best chances of winning from an editing angle. Anna, Joe, Michelle, Neil, Peter, and Tai have a chance although it's slim. With Aubry, Julia, and Nick, they have no chance of winning unless their edits make a U-turn.

On a side note, characters can also receive a positive, negative, mixed, or neutral edit. For example: Jason's basic editing type is CP, but he acts like a jerk to Alecia. Thus, he's closer to a CPN edit (with N standing for Negative). On the other hand, Tai is very likeable and is a fan favorite right off the bat. His final edit would be OTTP (with P standing for Positive). A mixed tone of edit is represented by M, and neutral lacks a letter.

Howdies and greetings to A10theHero A10theHero and The Stoopid Unikorn The Stoopid Unikorn !
 
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Darkpit54

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You weren't kidding. That was long! I still don't know though. He could win, but he'll have to make more friends/allies. I guess we'll see, though.
 

Darkpit54

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Of all time?

294 Ruperts
How could you not love him?
He's never going to win though
Gotta go for now, but I'll be back later
 

Hat N' Clogs

John Tavares is a Leaf
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Of all time?

294 Ruperts
How could you not love him?
He's never going to win though
Gotta go for now, but I'll be back later
Good pick!

My fav is Boston Rob Mariano <3
Although Sue Hawk, Sandra Diaz-Twine, and Malcolm Freberg are up there as well...

See ya later then.
 
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Kneutronic

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I'm finally watching the new Survivor episode...

Off to a GREAT start...
 

Kneutronic

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Well... Have to admit, actually... I didn't really like Alecia that much... But I don't know what to think about that vote.
 

Whiz

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I think the time has come for me to sign-off for the night as well. Farewell all!
 
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