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Doc Monocle
Doc Monocle
If only we could say that without a doubt! These are trying times, but I would not have prematurely set hopes dashed by the appearance of a next mutation, or worse, a deadlier pathogen from who knows where.
Oz o:
Oz o:
They'll make up all sorts of excuses at this point. If this virus where really as deadly, there'd be far more dead people.

I won't say any more than that.
Doc Monocle
Doc Monocle
Far more dead people? Have you been keeping up with recent events? We are at RECORD death rates. Look it up on any credible source. It is very important to know the truth.
Goomboi
Goomboi
Unless you're old and/or have underlying conditions. Corona is basically a cold 99% of the time, but I'm not saying stop taking precautions. There are people at risk out there and lets keep them as safe as we can, even if it means wearing a mask and social distancing.
Doc Monocle
Doc Monocle
Goomboi Goomboi , I would invite you to do an extensive search online from many sources on the Covid 19 death rates (past, present, and projected), the number of people who have been crippled and disabled for life, and the mortality statistics. Tell me what you find.
Goomboi
Goomboi
Okay so 23 million people have got it in the US and 300k have died from it. With 95% of deaths being people over 50. 5% of people have lasting complications. This what I found anyway, I would like to see your sources because this is just a Google search.
Doc Monocle
Doc Monocle
I would not have any more access than an online search either, but from the statistics I saw, the current average cases per day are about 250K, while the average deaths per day are about 3.5K. Dividing the latter by the former, we have a 1.4 % average death rate. Adding this to the 5% lasting complications percentage you gave, we have a 6.4 % devastation rate using these two figures ALONE. Put this in perspective by first calling it 5%, as a friendly negotiation figure to make up for discrepancies by this rude estimation. If you were to hurt the U.S. just 20 more times like this, almost everyone would be directly traumatized by the virus, military and all; you know what that means.

20 times... It took us less than one year to exhaust ONE of these 'lives.' Imagine having a child. This child is the last one to be born for say 10 years, and by the time they are working/driving age (say 20), the whole country is of compromised health. This could happen by a single, inbound flight, and a multitude of people who are constantly within transmission proximity of each other, most without masks and other protective equipment.

Of course, the above is something of a stretch, but it is perspective.

I was thinking about my computation all night. My results were wrong, but the raw data should show that the corona virus is far more deadly than a cold. My mathematics are often fragmented these days😟.
Goomboi
Goomboi
I know that's it is deadly. I believe cold was the wrong thing to compare it to perhaps the flu is a more suitable rough comparison?
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