Most of the conceptual stuff and stuff from the first part of my post are from the following (though they are general principles of insurance/economics).
Health Economics : Theories, Insights, and Industry Studies. 2000
(
http://www.amazon.com/Health-Economics-Theories-Insights-Industry/dp/0030256291/)
You mean like taxes? Like how modern people pay for health care?
No, this is a very important distinction. Premiums are not the same as taxes. As Santerre and Neun explain it:
"Premiums and taxes differ in the way risk is treated and the voluntary nature of the payment. Premiums are paid voluntarily and often depend on the risk category of the buyer of health insurance. Tax payments are mandatory and represent a single fee without reference to risk category." (Santerre and Neun, 76-77)
Also, most healthcare coverage in the US is employer sponsored, which is tax-exempt.
The entire practice of insurance in the US has devolved into gouging and cutting corners to make sure people don't get the coverage they are paying for. Pre-existing conditions don't just mean you have diabetes while physically signing insurance forms. The insurance companies can decide that a pre-existing condition constitutes other things. You could be insured, fall ill to diabetes, request coverage, and they deny you because you failed to report the fact that your family has had a history of diabetes.
Not denying that this happens. I agree that a lot of insurance companies use underhanded tactics. Make no mistake, I am not some defender of insurers. I think we need overhaul and new rules, but some of the sweeping bans and changes made in this new bill do not efficiently target the problems.
It doesn't defeat the purpose of having insurance, it just allows more people to GET insurance. It prevents the insurance companies from cutting corners and denies them the possibility of rejecting your insurance claims. The purpose of health care is to keep people healthy, not contribute to the wallets of insurance CEOs.
Agreed, but the purpose of
insurance is:
"Insurance, in law and economics, is a form of risk management primarily used to hedge against the risk of a contingent loss. Insurance is defined as the equitable transfer of the risk of a loss, from one entity to another, in exchange for a premium, and can be thought of as a guaranteed and known small loss to prevent a large, possibly devastating loss." (Wikipedia)
The purpose of insurance is to manage
risk. Pre-existing conditions are the opposite of risk; they are certainties. It does not make economic sense to pay for certainties in a risk pool. Doing so simply drives up premiums.
I do believe that pre-existing conditions should be covered by
something, but it does not make sense to force private insurers to disregard them. That's defeating the purpose of having a risk pool in the first place:
to spread the risk of uncertain losses over a large group or population of people so that their average expected loss is
less than if they were not in that pool.
Look at it this way:
Suppose we have two people, John and Bob. Let's say that the probability of falling ill is 0.10 (ie 10%), and that the cost of treating when ill is $100. So if John is all alone, his expected cost is 0.10 x $100 =
$10. Same with Bob. The
standard deviation of this individual risk is sqrt[(0.90 chance of remaining healthy)*($0 cost of remaining healthy - $10 average expected cost)^2 + (0.10 chance of getting sick)*($100 cost of becoming sick - $10 average expected cost)^2] =
$30 SD
Now let's say they decide to pool together to spread the risk:
There are four different outcomes here.
1) Neither John nor Bob falls ill (probability = 0.90 x 0.90 =
0.81; expected cost = 0.81 x $0 =
$0); cost for each individual if it does happen is $0
2) John falls ill but Bob does not (probability = 0.10 x 0.90 =
0.09; expected cost = 0.09 x $100 =
$9); cost for each individual if it does happen is $50
3) Bob falls ill but John does not (probability = 0.90 x 0.10 =
0.09; expected cost = 0.09 x $100 =
$9) cost for each individual if it does happen is $50
4) Both John and Bob fall ill (probability = 0.10 x 0.10 =
0.01; expected cost = 0.01 x $200 =
$2) cost for each individual if it does happen is $100
We add up the expected costs and find that it is $20, divided by two people to give us $10. So the average expected cost per person is the same. The reason this setup is beneficial, though, is because it decreases the variance of the risk. The standard deviation for this two person risk pool is sqrt[(0.81 chance of both staying healthy)($0 - $10)^2 + (0.18 chance of one becoming sick)($50 - $10)^2 + (0.01 chance of both becoming sick)($100 - $10)^2] =
$21.2 SD
Now what if we have the same two person pool, but Bob is guaranteed to be sick (p=1); John still has a 0.9 chance of staying healthy and 0.1 of being sick. There are two outcomes:
1) Bob is sick. John remains healthy. (1 x 0.9 =
0.9; expected cost = 0.9 x $100 =
$9); cost for each individual if it does happen is $50
2) Bob is sick. John gets sick too. (1 x 0.1 =
0.1; expected cost = 0.1 x $200 =
$20); cost for each individual if it does happen is $100.
We add up expected costs to get $29, divided by two people to give $14.50 per person. In other words, the expected cost per person has gone up.
Let's also look at the standard deviation. It is sqrt[(0.9)($50 - $14.50)^2 + (0.1)($100 - $14.50)^2] =
$43.19 SD
Because of Bob's pre-existing condition, the pool is worse off. The overall expected cost
and variance are higher. Soon, John will realize he is better off on his own rather than in this pool because his expected cost and variance of costs (risk) is lower if he is on his own. Bob will be left to shoulder the full cost of his illness as a result.
You have similar systems, but not what you NEED, which is a system where insurance plans cover pre-existing conditions. Yes, PECs are essentially liabilities to insurance companies. Why should we care? These are lives we're talking about. Money should cease to become relevant.
Again, this is being enacted to prevent insurance companies from denying you coverage. The idea of the bill is to OPEN up health care and get more people covered, and less people screwed. Yes, the government is regulating them, but health care is not and should not be associated with the free market.
Alternately, consider that the pool is much larger. The entire purpose of insurance is to
manage risk,
NOT certainty. It quickly becomes unprofitable forcing the insurer to exit the market, or declare bankruptcy, etc. We're not just talking CEOs having to take pay cuts from their ridiculously high salaries (I'm against CEOs taking more than is necessary too). We're talking
unsustainable business model. Soon,
no one has insurance because there are no more insurance companies left. Low risk individuals will switch to plans with other low risk individuals; this will drive up the premiums for the plans they left (which are now full of high risk individuals); the high risk individuals will leave the plan as well (this is known as a death spiral) because the premiums are too high. Since companies cannot practice experience rating, high risk individuals will just join the other plans with low premiums, drive up premiums, low risks leave, premiums go up further, high risk leave, company exits the market, repeat.
Obviously, it would not play out so dramatically in real life. But it would follow the same general model.
I can see why people might think all this math is irrelevant and that it has little to do with the bill or health insurance coverage or healthcare, but
all that math is the basis of the concept of insurance. It absolutely explains the basic principle of health insurance and premiums, and why people choose to buy insurance in the first place. If you want to discuss pre-existing conditions, you have to consider these basic principles.
We should care about PECs because if insurers are forced to ignore them, the very purpose of insurance is moot. That's why I think PECs and the like should be covered by alternate sources of funding,
not insurance. Again, I've already mentioned that social security and Medicaid already do this for certain long term and chronic conditions. That way, insurance companies wouldn't have to try and practice cream skimming or denying coverage for PECs, since those conditions would already be covered by another source.
Again, I don't want to seem like I'm trying to defend insurance companies or something. Definitely not. I hate many of the disgusting practices that insurance companies are associated with, and I'm not a fan of insurance companies in general. Unfortunately, due to inevitable rises in the cost of healtchare, insurance is here to stay. We should, therefore, come up with appropriate, economically viable solutions that actually and accurately target the problems; sweeping bans are not the way to go about this. They rarely ever are.
Nice slippery slope...
You realize that if illegal immigrants left America your economy would be ruined, right? RUINED. Americans love cheap labour - why boot out the people willing to do it? Why deny them health care? Lmao, you guys want to eat your cake and deny it health coverage too.
If you want to discuss illegal immigration, please make another topic on it. I don't want to derail this topic, but you'll find that illegal immigrants are actually quite a major burden on the US healthcare system due to overutilization of free care such as emergency departments in hospitals:
"Under the Emergency Medical Treatment and Active Labor Act of 1985 (EMTALA), all American hospitals must provide emergency medical treatment to any who may come to their facility (Cosman). This includes those who are uninsured, are not citizens, and cannot pay. While the government obliges the hospitals to treat these patients, no refunding of their unpaid services must ever occur under the bill�s duties. In other words, hospitals must give unpaid services to their communities, without any guarantee of repayment by a government facility that made it do so. Although a very sensible idea (it is unethical for hospitals to deny care to an uninsured gunshot victim), certain areas of the nation have become overwhelmed by an abuse of this system. As a prime example, between 1993 and present day, over 60 hospitals have closed down in the state of California due to the surge in critical care given to those without insurance, mainly illegal immigrants (WND). While some may blame this simply on business fluctuations, since hospitals are usually run by private firms, one cannot deny a problem in the system when many of these closed hospitals reported no payment for over 50% of their services."
http://ww2.jhu.edu/hurj/issue7/focus-draoua.html
(The Effect of Illegal Immigration on the US Healthcare System, Mehdi Draoua)
Moreover, the US economy would hardly be ruined:
"The CIS finds that in 2002 illegal immigrants on net received $10 billion more in government benefits than they paid in taxes, a value equal to 0.1 percent of U.S. GDP in that year.44 With unauthorized immigrants accounting for 5 percent of the U.S. labor force, U.S. residents would receive a surplus from illegal immigration of about 0.03 percent of GDP. Combining these two numbers, it appears that as of 2002 illegal immigration caused an annual income loss of 0.07 percent of U.S. GDP. Again, given the uncertainties surrounding this sort of calculation, one could not say with much confidence that this impact is statistically distinguishable from zero."
"States pay most of the costs of providing public services to immigrants, which include public education to immigrant children and Medicaid to poor immigrant households (whose U.S.-born children and naturalized members are eligible to receive such assistance)."
http://irps.ucsd.edu/assets/022/8797.pdf (The Economic Logic of Illegal Immigration, Gordon H. Hanson)
You mean like how it is now? It honestly can't get much worse in terms of insurance companies and their heartless, callous, evil practices.
Again, I don't want to sound like I'm defending some of the terrible things that insurance companies do. I'm with you on this. But I think that wide bans on things like the use of PECs and experience rating are not the right solution. What Alt described is a terrible situation that highlights some major problems in our current healthcare system. If we want to stop insurance companies from misusing PECs, or considering certain things to be PECs that are not really PECs, and generally mistreating people, then yes, we should absolutely target those things specifically. That would be more efficient than an industry wide ban on the very thing that insurance depends on: consideration of risk. I want to change how healthcare works too, but it should be done in the right way. This bill does not amount to that.
Insurance should be non-profit anyway. Hell, it USE TO BE. When trying to pull a profit out of the system, insurers are going to not cover the maximum amount possible. Its one thing to not one a government run option but to promote insurance (be it health, automobile, or any kind of legally required insurance which this bill has a mandate last time I checked up on it) that runs for profit is like privatizing taxes. There is NO economic sense to having such a thing be a profit business.
Keep in mind that no system is perfect. Government insurance can improve access (due to taxation), but government and not-for-profits do not tend to minimize costs (because there is no profit margin incentive), whereas for-profits do result in lower costs.
In addition, keep in mind that insuring everybody comes with its own costs
Note: I am not suggesting that insuring everybody is a bad thing! That would be heartless! I'm just saying that with everything, there is a cost to consider. Having a government run, everybody insured option would not be all ponies and rainbows, as many people tend to suggest. Everybody should have healthcare coverage, but we should tailor the approach to ensure that the negatives are minimized:
"As mentioned in the introduction, moral hazard theory suggests that insured status may influence the growth of medical prices because individuals with insurance are no longer responsible for the full cost of medical care consumed. Moreover, rising medical prices may create an incentive for individuals to attain insured status because medical losses become more severe, as suggested by insurance demand theory. As a result, an inverse relation should exist between the uninsurance and excess medical price inflation rates."
"In support of the moral hazard but not the insurance demand theory, the results of the Granger-Causality indicate that the causation likely runs from the uninsurance rate to excess medical price inflation rather than the reverse."
http://www.business.uconn.edu/healt... and Inflation in the U.S. Health Economy.pdf
(Tracking Uninsurance and Inflation in the U.S. Health Economy)
"A strength of the Canadian NHI is comprehensive coverage of the population. A major weakness of the system is that, with respect to economic efficiency, the hospital, the physician, and the patient have no incentive to be economical in the use of health care resources. The dependency on central control and lack of incentives at the individual level result in inefficient use of health resources. Patients consider medical care as free public goods or services. They have no incentive to choose cost-effective forms of care. There is no incentive for a patient to use community health centers rather than rush directly to the emergency department when he or she is in need of urgent care. Waiting replaces financial cost as a regulator of demand."
ECONOMIC ASPECT OF HEALTH CARE SYSTEMS: Advantage and Disadvantage Incentives in Different Systems
(Chen, Feldman)