I really don't believe this thread nor OP are stupid nor bad. I for once don't want to see Nintendo fall, and hope that with Smash 4, the Wii U will lift up. But things may not look nice for Nintendo if the Nextboxestation4-720 are a success. This in the face of 4K TV. Sure it is still new and expensive, but some Chinese company did a 4K TV at budget price (still expensive though; and who knows if other brand name companies will quickly follow.
Players would want to enjoy their 4K games on 4K TVs. Of course this is new, and expensive but the experience and prices might go down quickly than BluRay and HD so the average consumer can reach it, Still the downfall would be that the MS and Sony consoles would be too expensive. And I doubt they would drop prices quickly unlike I see it on 4K TVs. Today, the Super Slim PS3 is not cheaper than a Slim PS3 which many believe is the best of the 3 models in design; and right now there are better and cheaper BluRay players. So only unaware people buy PS3s thinking they are buying the best BluRay player in the market.
So where I see it is that once again Nintendo will succeed by not sticking to the latest definition quality, and high prices from rival consoles (despite Nintendo says they are not in competition against them). But could go down if the Third Party conspiracy is true, SSB4 is a failure, and Sony and MS give their consoles at afforable prices, maybe a bit more expensive than the Wii U, but still there.
Really, am worried for Nintendo for this generation. Also something to consider. Sony finally has a franchise to rival Smash, but it was not quite successful. I have played the game, and I would have to recognize it is actually a fun game! But Sony is something weird for me. They are a Japanese company, but most of their best known franchises are from the west, and popular in the west. PSASBR was developed in the west and tried to pander it despite having Japanese characters in it. I was amazed they handled characters like Toro, Heihachi and Kat well. Some say that PSASBR is dead as the developer is dead, but what if the sequel is developed by someone else or even in Japan (where the game was a bigger failure due to the heavy wetsern influence)?
If made in Japan, the game would most likely have Japanese game mechanics and would probably be even more similar to Smash rather than trying to emulate it (we all saw the pics, that at Superbot they have Wiis with SSBB). And it would be a hit in Japan and most likely in the west too. But if a possible PSASBR sequel is made in Japan, would they handle the western characters and elements properly? Or overwhelm Japanese ones? If they do it would be unfair as Sony has plenty of characters worldwide which desere equal good treatment. It would be more likely that Japanese players would not pick western characters so they will need something to motivate playing with them.
Where I am getting with this? Well that if Sony decides for the PSASBR franchise to live on, then Smash really has to place more effort to compete and show differences between the franchises. Nintendo doesn't have much of the issues Sony does have. Most of its characters and franchises are Japanese, with few western ones (Eternal Darkness, Geist); though they had more but lost them all when they sold Rare (Banjo, Conker, Killer Instinct), so their characters have better reception, proof is when Roy and Marth appeared at Melee. (Japanese players have a hard time accepting Kratos, Sweet Tooth and even Nariko who is Japanese but made in the west. Not sure if they would accept Alexandra Rovias, Pious Augustus and/or John Raimi). Nintendo with the Smash franchise now has to work extra hard, which is good in this competitive market but if the PSASBR franchise is dead and they work hard to compete against it... would it be worth it? For us players of course, but for the development team? They may feel they worked too hard for nothing.
Oh and then there is Microsoft. We know they don't have their "All-Stars Smash" series. But lately, I imagine they could get in the game despite they say they would not do it. However even if they did, I am sure the game would be an epic fail in Japan where the characters are not even popular. Unless they get good support from the Blue Dragon series, and maybe add all the characters from Idolmaster. But the west is bigger than Japan and MS basically owns the west; which would buy the game as they would look at it as the "hardcore" Smash game. Maybe MS might go as far as even placing violence and gore in it. Not kidding by not even placing characters like Banjo (maybe Conker).
Wow I wrote a lot.