17 Weeks...

[GraniteJJ]

Okay. So, I pulled out my calendar and took a look to see how many weeks remain until Super Smash Bros. Brawl is out of my dreams and into my Wii. It looks like, if we don't count the week of the release and the week we're in now, there is 17 weeks left.

They are the weeks of:

August 6, 2007
August 13, 2007
August 20, 2007
August 27, 2007
September 3, 2007
September 10, 2007
September 17, 2007
September 24, 2007
October 1, 2007
October 8, 2007
October 15, 2007
October 22, 2007
October 29, 2007
November 5, 2007
November 12, 2007
November 19, 2007
November 26, 2007
Brawl Releases: December 3rd, 2007

Now, since we appear to be getting fed a single character confirmation per week (not counting the ones we already know about), we can do a little mental math to clearly see that we can expect 17 more characters (at most). Now, if we subtract from this:

- the 2 characters we know about that have yet to be re-confirmed (Snake, Metaknight)
- the 4 secret characters from the original game (Jigglypuff, Ness, Captain Falcon, and Luigi)
- now, if we also subtract the maximum number of characters who can return with new movesets, we get anything between 0 (if you think none are coming back) and 9 (Dr. Mario, Peach, Ganondorf, Falco, Ice Climbers, Young Link, Pichu, Mewtwo, G&W)

So, depending on your own personal gut feeling, there could be anywhere from 11 (17 - 2 - 4 - 0) to 2 (17 - 2 - 4 - 9) potential new characters left down the road.

Personally, I'm of the opinion that all the blatant clones (Dr. Mario, Young Link and Pichu) will get the axe, along with G&W (a gimmicky character as far as aesthetics are concerned). Which adds another four spots, bringing it up to six. I could go on either way on Mewtwo.

The point is, we can see that if they follow their current pattern of information release (which I believe they will), we can expect - at most - the announcement of 11 new characters.

Now, to get to the purpose of my post, who do you think will fill these 11 spots? With such limitations placed on your choices, it might be interesting to see who everyone picks.

Personally, I think Mewtwo will get the axe as well as Dr. Mario, Young Link, Pichu and G&W.

This leaves me with seven spaces, which I filled with:

1. Captain Olimar (Pikmin series)
2. Little Mac (Punch-Out!!)
3. Chibi Robo (Chibi Robo series)
4. Isaac (Golden Sun series)
5. Diddy Kong (Donkey Kong series)
6. Krystal (Star Fox series) *
7. Stafy (Legend of Stafy series)

I choose to leave out third party characters in my selection because Sakurai said there would be a maximum of 2 or 3, not a minimum. That being said, Snake might be the only third-party character. And frankly, I'd like to see representation from the five series that some of my choices represent. I guess I could stand to lose Krystal if it meant playing as someone like Simon Belmont. And I know I'm setting myself up for a world of hurt, but I don't really care about Sonic or Megaman.

What are your choices, if we follow this logic?

Also, bear in mind that I'm not saying this is exactly right or exactly how it will happen. It is just interesting to note that - statistically - if they follow their current method of information release, we will get 17 more character announcements (plus the fourteen that already exist which brings us to a total of 31).

NOTE: I'm willing to believe it may also be 18 available characters if Solid Snake and Metaknight get coupled into the same week as another character announcement, since that only happens with characters that have already been announced:
ex.
- Mario, Link and Pit were all revealed in the E3 trailer, and were announced in the same week to get the site off the ground.
- Pikachu and Kirby, also announced in the E3 trailer, were announced in the same week.
- Fox and Samus were announced in the same week, but Fox had already been revealed in a trailer

After that, the only trailer characters not already re-announced are Metaknight and Solid Snake, who could easily be coupled into any other characters week (since the news isn't that big, and I doubt they'd lead with it).

Notice that the only time they've re-announced a trailer character alone has been with Wario and Zero Suit Samus. Wario's week they loaded with Final Smash info, making it that much juicier (so we didn't have to sift through crap like how to walk, or whatever) and Zero Suit Samus' week gave us a preview of what appears to be some sort of story mode (This World...).

Anyway, comment on your seven (or eight).

 

[Pieman0920]

=_=

Chibi Robo?

And Game & Watch is the first Nintendo character. He's not getting axed. >_>

 

[GraniteJJ]

He isn't really a character. He is a placeholder. He was something that was aesthetically simple for a basic game. He was more of a gimmick than a genuine character.

And Chibi Robo has charm. Plus, making him a character provides for a unique experience. I tried to make sure I included as few swordsman or gunusers on my list as possible. Chibi Robo's tools are a toothbrush and a power cord, and whatnot.

If you think about it, Captain Olimar will be unique because they can incorporate Pikmin. Little Mac will be a fast, physical fighter, like a monk in DnD. Chibi Robo has his mechanical doodads. Isaac, although a swordsman, has the use of Psynergy (which means he can use all sorts of cool Earth based attacks). Diddy Kong is another fast, purely physical fighter (doesn't seem like there is enough of those). Krystal can use her staff from Star Fox Adventures. And Stafy is just awesome.

 

[Phaazoid]

you assume too much. G@W is staying, yl could be reincarnated as ww link (as much as i hate it) and you are missing one valuable piece of information. sakurai said he would release all the characters before the game was released. chibi robo has a small chance, when characters like ridley and king dedede are practically confirmed. and no sonic? you have a lot to ponder before
making another thread.

 

[ArticulateT]

hm... well, i would think that if it was another Starfox character, then Wolf would be more of a possibility than Kyrstal. although she is a staple part of the series now, Wolf has been around for longer and shows a significant rivalry against Fox.. as for game and watch, it does seem likley that he might be axed, as he seemed like a super secret gimmic character.

the other characters (apart from olmar and diddy) I can't really recall.

but anyway, if I had one choice, I would pick... (don't hate me for this) Lloyd Irving from Tales of Symphonia. it may not seem likley, but he does look like a good candidate and his game was a nintendo exclusive for a short while.

anyway, that's me done

 

[the grim lizard]

This theory is completely flawed. First, you assume Sakurai will reveal all of the characters before the release. (Many people believe he will save the unlockables until after.) Second, you assume that even if he does reveal all of the characters that he will only do one per week. Sakurai isn't that consistent. He's done two in one day twice already.

There will be more newcomers than that I can assure you, otherwise...we only get what? 33 characters? Not gonna happen.

 

[S_B]

I find it amusing when people blast each other for assuming things on a board which exists solely for the purpose of assuming things.

 

[the grim lizard]

Therein lies the problem The sole purpose of this board isn't to assume things. And anyway, if someone hasn't thought something out all the way, we point it out. If someone clearly hasn't even considered if the assumptions were reasonable, yes they deserve to get ripped. We aren't having 33 characters.

Besides, he didn't even have King Dedede on there, and he is the only character who has 99.99% likelihood of being in, where the .01% is if the world explodes, in which case there won't be a game, and none of us would care because we'd all be dead.

 

[PrettyGoodYear]

Well, Sakurai could run out of time and reveal two characters per week, or he could also finish before release and just stop doing characters altogether.