nah guys, ken's ****ed. can't help but feel like the "decision" part of the finale preview involves ken though. he's by far the most desperate right now.
sugar's got all the power, she can tell everyone (well, matty and susie at the least) who to vote for. meaning that it may not be reasonable or strategic. ie ken going before either matty or bob.
i told you guys waaaaaay back...sugar is going to be the key, it all rests on sugar, ken needs sugar, he can't keep lying to her...
anyway, i think ken got a lot of lucky breaks in his way for the game.
1. remember way back to like episode 4. right before the first swap. remember how susie, dan, matty, and randy had come together and agreed that crystal, ken, and GC needed to leave? without that swap, ken would have lost either an alliance member or been voted out himself.
2. sugar being naive enough to believe ken's lie about ace. crystal was clearly on the chopping block there, and ken would have lost his only true alliance member from the whole game.
3. the fake merge. before the fake merge, fang was outnumbered and would have been picked off by kota, one by one. sugar would have had to correctly play the HII in order to give that alliance a fighting chance.
4. marcus slipping up and trying to convince crystal to side with him. had marcus stuck to the plan and gained susie's trust, either ken or crystal (probably ken) would have been eliminated.
ken's played a decent game so far...mainly coordinating the ace ouster and picking kelly in the swap...but by no means is he even close to survivor's best strategic player. i haven't even watched any other seasons and i can already make that judgment. ken played this game too dishonestly and alienated himself from everyone but crystal. crystal was far too much of a liability for ken to depend on her. it was smart to align himself with her because she was such a target but he needed someone else in his group. sugar should have been the answer, but ken was too focused on matty to see that sugar was weak and could easily flip to matty, due to her "compassionate" nature.
anyway, i want to talk about what would have happened if ken hadn't of put matty's name down during corinne's vote. corinne's out by a vote of 5-2. no one in the fang alliance has flipped. assume bob wins the last challenge since challenges are already planned by the time the contestants begin the game. bob has immunity, ken doesn't hatch the ******** plan of getting bob's necklace. ken and crystal are both clearly on board with voting matty out as he is the biggest physical threat. sugar, presumptiously, stays on board with ken and crystal, as long as ken and crystal play it cool and don't act so defensive against matty...then they vote bob and susie out, depending on whenever bob loses an immunity challenge. f3 of ken/sugar/crystal. jury votes at that point are up in the air, but i think sugar would give ken a run for his money. charlie, randy, marcus, and corinne do not vote for crystal by default. corinne votes for ken as she recognizes his intelligence ANYWAY. this is ken's biggest mistake. ken already had corinne's vote as long as bob wasn't in the f3 with him. ken was (VERY RISKILY) playing for a jury vote he could have already had.
tl;dr ken failed at mindgames and now has no friends