If anyone is interested, I am adding appendix which are to expand on the roster. It may help with some of the confusion. I did 4 characters so far, so if anyone is curious why I chose someone, let me know. There will be more including a better explination of third party characters.
I've been wanting to read this for so long, and you posted on my birthday. Thanks for the gift ;P Alright, here we go
Well, Happy Late Birthday
See, I don't quite see the difference between the Wolf and Lucas that we got, and the conceptual clones that Dark Pit and Ninten could be. They, I'm sure, would be created in a slightly different style than their counterparts. Is this just their physical appearance holding them back? (Besides the fact that Dark Pit is like, nothing) What does Wolf, Falco (Melee), Young Link (Melee), Toon Link and Lucas have going for them that makes them "more unique"? I mean Falco is a bird head on Fox's body, with stat changes in Melee, truthfully.
Looks to a small degree. They also fight a lot differently. Fans sometime just see the special moves and think the characters are exactly the same without taking in the other factors. Wolf is very different than Fox with his feral fighting style. Lucas also brings different attacks and tools (like his Rope Snake).
Ridley is a good example as well. Does his fluctuating size help his case or something?
Ridley isn't known for being big. His sizze is very workable and we've seen this in the Melee opening and fan works. Kraid is always seen as a towering boss. Even in Melee, he is bigger than the stage.
What do you think of the notion that......
I have a real hard time defending Samurai Goroh, Krystal, and Dixie Kong over at Wiichat because they all have this mentality. There's a "sales guru" over there I would love for you to meet. He's, ugh. And this is a little different from Jiggs and Shiek, because THEY WERE CURRENT when they were included. Goroh and Dixie (In terms of non-spin off titles) have been out of commission for a long while, and Krystal seven years.
Not sure how people think that. There are so many misconceptions in looking at the roster. Toise's post (which I liked to) does a great job of dispelling the sales myth. As far as current characters, just note that Smash is made around picking characters that run the gambit. Some characters are old. Others aren't. It comes down to the facts that people would like those characters if they saw the game. At least in case of Dixie and Goroh, fans know then and recognize them. So they are not a hard sell and they run the gambit in terms of series.
I will discuss Krystal a bit in my appendix.
So it wouldn't suprise you that FE:A was possibly going to be the last game in the series for a long long while if it didn't sell well?
Not really. The series has been struggling for a while. I'm glad they did well with FE:A
I would like to note that he does do well on my polls, better than Pichu or YL. Pichu doesn't do well, at all.
Interesting. I would like to thank you for you polls. They've helped me a lot.
Okay, now for a break.[/quote]
My critique of your roster:
Ghirahim: Not impossible but no villain or side character of a single game has ever made it into SSB.
He has the same role as the ignored Zant did during Brawl but a bit more popularity. However probably about equal popularity to what Midna had who was also ignored.
Samurai Goroh: I only expect 10 or so newcomers at the most so I'd be surprised if a slot is used on a character like Goroh. Having said that I guess he does have more popularity in Japan and the possible very slight advantage of being rival to the last of the original 12 not to have a counterpart.
Karate Joe/Sheriff: I appreciate trying to be unique and they probably do have a better chance than most people give them, but I don't see them making it in what I believe will be a shorter newcomer list than past games. Definitely not both.
I tried to address these in the update, so check the appendix.
I believe you have contradicted yourself here when you include four Fire Emblem characters who will likely have very similar movesets/fight styles.
I would expect three at most, and wouldn't even be surprised by only two.
Fire Emblem characters are always popular. While it is a lot of characters, they all would be well liked among fans. Like I said before, moveset isn't everything. Chrom does look a good deal different than Ike.
It's a bold prediction that there will be no new third party characters. Not ridiculous like some people say, but I disagree.
I'm a big believer in the Namco connection giving a character like Pac-Man a great chance.
I wouldn't be too surprised if Megaman shows up too but I'm not expecting it.
As far as Namco goes, remember third party characters play by different rules. The Tekken director has said that he does not want Tekken characters in and the Tale producer (I beleive) said that fans should ask Sakurai (rather than ask Sakurai himself). Everyone understand third party characters are going to be limited if included at all. I'll discuss this more in an update. Something to point out is fans expect FAR more than Sakurai delivers in this area. Common knowledge in Brawl was we were to have 3 third party characters.
Lastly, the number 50 is a few more characters than I expect given that Sakurai said there will be less newcomers this time.
The rest of the analysis is quite good and I agree with most of what you say.
He said he though they reached the limit with Brawl. In truth, he always says that. He said something similar with Brawl. The thing is he sees Smash as more than more characters, but he understands fans want more characters. I would be surprised if there was less than 12 new characters.