Preparing the update. Sad to see it wasn't all sunshine and
rainbows while I was gone, but I think tomorrow will fairy a bit better.
People need to remember despite the Japanese not buying his game, he's one of the most wanted characters among them.
My (limited) research has led me to believe that he's pretty popular there (odd considering the game's sales; I suppose the fan bases overlap), but methinks putting him among the most wanted is stretching it a bit.
I honestly feel that Captain Rainbow does not have a good chance. I also thought that 4.46% was too high to begin with. Everyone on this forum disagrees with some ratings, so it's unfair to assume that the previous rating is infallible and needs to be viewed as the absolute standard. Also as Erimer has already pointed out Little Mac is already in the game, so it's no surprise that Sakurai acknowledges the existence of the fat Mac from Captain Rainbow. No hard feelings if I am proven wrong about his chances.
Edit: This new layout had better be an April fools joke.
1) Good attitude. I like how you keep it civil.
2) Thank goodness that the site has been brought back into the right decade. I'm blaming it on why I didn't update yesterday.
Actually it was that I was working on my soundtrack competition entry... but still...
Even though I now put Banjo at the probably insane 2.5% no other Rare character has so much as a shot this game. If the Rare buy-out theory is true (and there's no evidence yet to believe it is, just enough sense and lack of evidence to the contrary that I wouldn't be too surprised if it did happen), then it still may not have happened early enough for Banjo to have a complete move set by e3 (though, what they do have would probably be shown off in the Trailer)... and it's too late to put even more work upon them with more Rare characters... And even then, I don't see Jet Force Gemini getting a new game any time soon. If Rare comes back they'll be making Banjo Threeie, Perfect Dark: Buzzword, HD Banjo/Perfect Dark ports up the wazoo (though I hope they do Conkers as VC instead, the Xbox version was so lifeless) and probably something new before they get to that... heck I think they'd do a new Battle Toads game before that because at least that'd be memetic enough to garner crazy sales (also it'd be cool to get a crazy multiplayer beat 'em up on Wii U).. Jet force Gemini might come back, but not for a long long time!
Stop. Rare is buried. Nothing we say can bring them back. Do NOT get my hopes up.
Wait when did he say he was a fan?
I've been saying for awhile now that I think Sakurai had complimented the game, but I also pointed out that I can't find the source. I can, however, find the source for something else...
Lip Prediction: 12.5% Popularism (which is the incorrect way to rate) will rein over Lip's chances.
...I'd disagree with the statement. The reason I'd give Lip chances higher than any other Retro (bar Takamaru) is that the Voice of God has announced that he likes her and has put items and music relating to her in previous Smash installments. This is what allows her to beat out the likes of Muddy Mole and Prince Sable and Duck Hunt Dog--we've seen that she has been recognized in the past. It's not because I particularly like her--she's OK, but I'd prefer other Retros. Now, I'm one who says that the Retro class is still an open book (35% Takamaru, 15% Lip, 30% other), but I have to give the greatest odds to those that have received recognition and make the largest degree of sense.
He was only in Oracles of Ages. And all he did was float there the whole game, then give you a seed satchel or something like that later in the game... His importance is overstated, but yea, more games than Rainbow.
1) Two spin-off titles and a Balloon Trip reskin
2) Huge role in Wind Waker, large role in Majora's Mask, moderately large role in Four Swords Adventures, cameos in several other games
3) Recognized in both Smash games since his creation
I wouldn't really call that overstated. At the very least, he's on par with the other Zelda characters that serve as his competition.
Hero of Light: 0% chance and want
I wouldn't even put Hero of Light in my top three most likely Square Enix characters. I don't think it's possible for this scenario to be realized, and I'm rather happy about that.
Captain Rainbow:
Captain Rainbow: 7.5%
Well, he has a semi-decent shot, in my opinion. His game is obscure and his franchise seems to be over, but the nature of his game screams WTF character to me; he's tied closely with other Nintendo franchises. I'm not going to say that he's anywhere near likely, but he can't be dismissed out of hand like some of the people we've been rating recently.
Captain Rainbow Want: 20%
He doesn't really appeal to me as a character, you know? He looks too much like Captain Falcon to offer anything from an aesthetic point of view... and I feel he'd be a somewhat wasted slot. Still, I'd like to see his game come to the West because of it's interesting concept; I think I'd probably want a stage, too.
A few thing have changed, but my reasoning remains mostly the same. Captain Rainbow is a game that sold quite poorly and never reached the vast majority of the world, but he's got some things in his advantage, too. He's a fairly popular Japanese request and gamers there know of him regardless of his sales. However, the main thing I see going for him is his entire premise--Captain Rainbow is all about referencing and helping little-known games. Sakurai is a fan of this concept and has used it in Smash before; I think it's very possible that there may be some bias here.
Overall, I'd give Captain Rainbow a 15% chance, but my want score will remain at 20%.
Ghirahim x5
DAY OVER
...I can't think of any puns. Awww. That's a Rare scenario...
...and we're rating a Rare character tomorrow...
Rare? Rare? Get it? Get it? Well, someone getting my puns would be a rare occurrence...
