Yikes. That's a big post...
I'm impressed (and slightly honored) that you devoted so much time to respond to me. However, I disagree with most of what you said.
To the
part, you yourself say two out of three of those are really picky and shallow arguments, which I agree with, so I won't bother with those two. And with Palutena, well, trophies are statues to.
But seriously, in my opinion it doesn't hold much of an argument (To me, obviously it does to you) that people claim a trophy disconfirms a character when Sakurai doesn't specify that they aren't playable.
Good you don't took it as an attack some people take this kind of post so nice.
Well they might be picky but they are true even if the evidence or the fact is so random to even consider they are true.
Toon Link isn't the same person as Spirit Tracks Link
Mii fighters got that name for some reason too, we don't see Mii racers or Mii sporter on other games the distintion is way clear
Palutena, still a statue isn't a person, the character and her characteristics where never shown until reveal.
And I'd like to point out that I clarified that I thought each of the listed characters was unlikely, however, that does not mean they are impossible. I don't think Tiki has a remote chance, Zoroark and Lip have very very slim chances, Isa, Wonder Red and Rayman (Might as well throw Dark Pit into this) are unlikely. (Although I consider Rayman to have the best shot, but I'll go into that argument when I finish nominating him)
"What NEWCOMER has been shown in a trailer and not being confirmed right away? you and I know the answer."
You are right. None have been shown and not immediately confirmed. And once we know the final roster, we will know it is a fact that Sakurai stayed true to this. But as of right now, this is only an assumption and can not be used as a basis of fact.
Well to be fair the assumption Sakurai won't continue this trent has less groud to stand than Sakurai keeping the trend, and I prefer to stay on the site of evidence, every newcomer has been revealed at a trailer so far is a fact, if a character changes that, then and only then said character will set the precedent.
What I want to say is, UNTIL now we have a pattern and with every reveal that pattern has more credibility, while the assumption Sakurai would behave different in reveals so far has zero evidence in its favor as in "hey remember Dark Pit, he is actually his own character, we only wanted to troll you". That day has yet to come, and the probability it could actually happen is really really really really slim.
In my eyes the evidence against this premise is so strong right now and any character shown without a proper reveal has the same chances of being playable as Master Chief, and the launch date is only a month and a half, the time to make this BIG move grows even shorter. And a big trailer revealing all of those characters is also unrealistic. Dark Pit, Rayman, Wonder Red, Tiki, Lip and every other character that I might be missing. We can expect them to by revealed separately because Sakurai already said TRAILERS are running off and the slots on the roster too.
I think at this point the more likely characters to be revealed are: Ridley, Rool or Dixie and Shulk and we are still missing the almost confirmed Wario, Ice Climbers, Mr. Game and Watch, Ness, Meta Knight and almost every character in Brawl safe some, with the characters revealed already, the veterans still very likely to return and Sakurai saying trailers are ending, it is really hard to believe that every of these characters not right out confimed stand a realistic chance
This message was supossed to be posted yesterday buyt Smashboards went on maintanance.
My scores
Ridley:
Chance 50%
Want: 75%
Chibi Robo
Chance: 1%
Want: 0%
Nominations
Amazon Pandora x 5
I am not feeling really good right know that is way I am not explaining my scores
