What Are the Odds of Pulling Two Bob-ombs In a Row?

[clydeaker]

What are the odds of pulling two Bob-ombs in a row?

Not to long ago I was lucky enough to pull two Bob-ombs in a row from the start of a For Glory match. At the time I was amazed by this so I saved a replay of the match and uploaded it to YouTube.

Peach Pulls Two Bob-ombs in a Row
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HeJJ81Dt7Hg.

List of Everything Peach Can Pull

Spoiler: List of Everything Peach Can Pull

• Normal Vegetable:
  • Smiley Face
  • Eyebrows
  • Closed Eyes
  • Wide Eyes
  • Happy Eyes
• Winky Face
• Dot Eyes
• Stitch Face
• Mr. Saturn
• Bob-omb
• Beem Sword *Removed in Smash 4*

Here are the chances of turnip pulls from Brawl, although the odds in Smash 4 may be slightly different.

Spoiler

The odds of pulling a Bob-omb in Super Smash Bros. Brawl is three hundred eighty-four to one (1/384).
( ( 1 / 384 ) * ( 1 / 384 ) ) = ( 1 / 147,456 )
Therefore in Super Smash Bros. Brawl the odds of Peach pulling two Bob-ombs in a row should be about one hundred forty-seven thousand four hundred fifty-six to one (1 / 147,456).

According to Kurogane Hammer the odds of Peach pulling a Bob-omb in Super Smash Bros. for Wii U and Nintendo 3DS is two hundred fifty to one (1/250). Please keep in mind this is the only know source of the odds so it may be unreliable.
( ( 1 / 250 ) * (1 / 250 ) ) = ( 1 / 62,500 )
Therefore in Super Smash Bros. for Nintendo 3DS and Wii U the odds of Peach pulling two Bob-ombs in a row should be about sixty-two thousand five hundred to one (1 / 62,500).

Please let me know if I made any mistakes.

Bibliography:

Spoiler: Bibliography

"Peach Pulls Two Bob-ombs in a Row." YouTube. Clyde Guide, 17 Dec. 2015. Web. <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HeJJ81Dt7Hg>.

Master0fHyrule. "All Peach's Down B Turnips (Vegetables) in Super Smash Bros Wii U | ^_^ | O_O | =_=." YouTube. 26 Mar. 2015. Web. <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2EIGsgxLR6M>.

CaramelCenter. "Peach's Turnip Pull Odds." Reddit. Mar. 2015. Web. <https://www.reddit.com/r/smashbros/comments/30e8bl/peachs_turnip_pull_odds/>.

"Vegetable." SmashWiki. Web. <http://www.ssbwiki.com/Vegetable>.

"Peach (SSB4)." SmashWiki. Web. <http://www.ssbwiki.com/Peach_(SSB4)>.

"Vegetable." Smashpedia. Web. <http://supersmashbros.wikia.com/wiki/Vegetable>.

"Peach's Frame Data [1.1.3]." Kurogane Hammer. Web. <http://kuroganehammer.com/Smash4/Peach>.

 

[Trainer_Nate]

Honestly with so many people playing the game it happens. It would be more interesting if someone had great pulls during tournament. If you are playing consecutive FG matches things are bound to happen. In closing, the Shulk player more than likely did not understand what was going on haha. Kudos on the good pulls!

 

[Key313]

Had that happen a long time ago. The Link could not take it.

https://youtu.be/Gw4vTTDU1nI

In another one I pulled 2 bombs, a stitch, and Saturn in 17 pulls. I have good luck with pulls often but seem to drop them quite easily as well.

 

[Theosmeo]

According to Kurogane Hammer the odds of Peach pulling a Bob-omb in Super Smash Bros. for Wii U and Nintendo 3DS is two hundred fifty to one (1/250). Please keep in mind this is the only know source of the odds so it may be unreliable.

The other source is that it says it on a loading screen XD. KH just saw it and copied it, same for the Mr. Saturn. That's why we can't find the stitch pull data anywhere. If everyone on the forum did a test where they pulled a thousand, and then took and average we could find it eventually tho.

 

[Trainer_Nate]

The other source is that it says it on a loading screen XD. KH just saw it and copied it, same for the Mr. Saturn. That's why we can't find the stitch pull data anywhere. If everyone on the forum did a test where they pulled a thousand, and then took and average we could find it eventually tho.

Maybe that is something Peach boards should do as a community effort lmao. "Calling all Peach mains! Go pull out 100 turnips and document it!"
The validity would be low though haha

 

[Theosmeo]

Well here:

1. 
   DEFINITION of 'Law Of Large Numbers' A principle of probability and statistics which states that as a sample size grows, its mean will get closer and closer to the average of the whole population.

So it's not going to be 100% accurate but if you can convince people to it might work

 

[Trainer_Nate]

Well here:

1. 
   DEFINITION of 'Law Of Large Numbers' A principle of probability and statistics which states that as a sample size grows, its mean will get closer and closer to the average of the whole population.

So it's not going to be 100% accurate but if you can convince people to it might work

I took statistics in High School. It would be close enough but meh. As a Peach main I do not necessarily need to know the pull rates. I would say knowing what to do and how to use it is more important. (It would be nice to know though)