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The Next-Gen war is over ^^ *1-up*

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Sandy

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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=amWmy6_JG
16U&refer=home

April 9 (Bloomberg) -- Video-game designer Nick Earl spent eight months holed up with his development team rushing to adapt ``The Godfather'' for Nintendo Co.'s Wii.

The reason for the long hours: Earl's employer, Electronic Arts Inc., like some of its competitors, underestimated demand for the Wii, whose motion-activated wand lets players wield a virtual sword, mimic real golf swings or strangle a victim. Instead, game makers put most of their resources into Sony Corp.'s PlayStation 3, which was released two days earlier in November with a more conventional hand controller.

Now, publishers are scrambling to get titles to the 3.56 million U.S. and Japanese Wii owners who have made the machine the top-selling game console this year.

``Those companies are backtracking,'' said Anthony Gikas, an analyst at Piper Jaffray & Co. in Minneapolis.

``They're going to need to get their best-branded product on that platform.

That will take a good nine to 12 months.''

A shortage of Wii games contributed to a 25 percent drop in sales in February from a year earlier at Redwood City, California-based Electronic Arts, the world's largest video-game publisher, said Todd Greenwald, an analyst at Nollenberger Capital Partners in San Francisco. Industry sales in February rose 28 percent.

Shares of Electronic Arts have risen 3.1 percent this year, the smallest gain among the four biggest publishers.

Top Games

U.S. and Japanese sales of Wii players totaled 1.47 million in January and February, said market researchers NPD Group Inc. and Enterbrain. PlayStation 3 tallied 604,331, while stores sold 584,329 of Microsoft Corp.'s Xbox 360 consoles. Wii is also leading in Europe, said London-based researcher Screen Digest.

Wii games, all produced by Kyoto, Japan-based Nintendo, took three of the top 10 sales spots in the U.S. in February, said NPD, based in Port Washington, New York. Not a single U.S. publisher had a Wii game in the top 20 in February.

Nintendo's lead will widen, pressuring companies even more. Researcher IDC predicts Nintendo will ship 16.1 million players this year, outpacing Microsoft's 9.87 million Xbox 360s and Sony's 9.1 million PlayStation 3s. Wii game sales will total $2.2 billion, trailing only Xbox 360, said IDC, based in Framingham, Massachusetts.

Electronic Arts wasn't the only publisher slow to see Wii's appeal.

New York-based Take-Two Interactive Software Inc., maker of ``Grand Theft Auto'' games, had no Wii titles when the player was released and now plans to have three this year, said spokesman Jim Ankner.

Activision Inc., based in Santa Monica, California, plans to release six Wii games this year, giving the second-largest publisher a total of 11, said spokeswoman Maryanne Lataif.

Miscalculation

Game companies had expected PlayStation 3 to dominate based on the success of PlayStation 2, said John Taylor, an analyst with Arcadia Investment Corp. in Portland, Oregon. Sony has sold more than 100 million PlayStation 2s since 2001, including 37.7 million in the U.S., making it the top-seller. Nintendo's previous console, GameCube, sold 11.7 million units in the U.S.

Perceptions changed when Nintendo unveiled Wii last May in Los Angeles. Demonstration consoles attracted long lines of developers waiting to swing a virtual tennis racquet.

``People got their hands on that controller and started playing games and said, `This is fun, this is going to do better than we expected,''' Electronic Arts Chief Executive Officer Lawrence Probst said at a Morgan Stanley conference on March 5.

With six months to go before Wii's release and games requiring a year or more to develop, publishers knew they were in trouble.

Redeploying

Electronic Arts bought Bountiful, Utah-based Headgate Studios Inc. in November to bolster Wii development. With ``Godfather Black Hand Edition'' and ``Tiger Woods Golf 07'' in stores,

Electronic Arts has six Wii titles and plans to have about a dozen in total this year.

``We came back and redeployed a lot of our resources,'' said Earl, who heads Electronic Arts' Redwood Shores studio.

The results are seen in ``Godfather,'' where players use their hands to shake the wand and an attachment, dubbed a nunchuk, back and forth as if strangling or jostling someone. The wand also can be used to punch or shoot victims.

``You really feel like you grab someone,'' Earl said.

The Wii may prove to be a windfall, since games cost just $2 million to $5 million to create, a fraction of the $20 million to $30 million spent on PlayStation 3 or Xbox 360 titles, analyst Taylor said. In addition,

Wii appears to be expanding the market, rather than stealing sales from rivals, he said.

Ubisoft

Ubisoft Entertainment SA, maker of ``Rayman'' and ``Tom Clancy,'' was the quickest to recognize Wii's appeal and is reaping the rewards.

Wii games helped increase sales for the December quarter by 24 percent to $405 million. In January, the company raised its 2007 forecast for revenue growth to 16 percent from 10 percent to 12 percent previously.

Ubisoft, based in the Paris suburb of Montreuil-Sous-Bois, had seven Wii games out by December and plans six more by June, said Tony Key, vice president of marketing.

``It's not really a bet anymore,'' he said. ``It's a viable system that's going to make us money.''
 

maelstrom218

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. . .I'm having a hard time suppressing my contempt. Not because the article is wrong, but because the title of the thread is quite possibly one of the most egregiously erroneous, blatantly fanboy-driven arrogant statements that I've read in quite a while. I could start on a major rant describing in exquisite detail just how wrong your stance is, that the "The Next-Gen war is over," but instead, I'll just say this:

When President Bush announced on an aircraft carrier some years ago the end of military combat in Iraq with the phrase "mission accomplished," he thought that he and the US had won. Time has proven otherwise.

Replace Bush with Nintendo/Wii, and Iraq with the Next-Gen wars, and you can see how dangerous premature statements like the one you just made really are. It's never over until it's over. . .and to be honest, the Next-Gen Wars haven't really started in earnest yet.
 

Crimson King

I am become death
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A. Good, now maybe the Wii will get a game worth buying a console for.
B. Don't really care as I avoid EA titles and most of the PS3 games I am getting are exclusives.
C. Why does it even concern you? You have your Wii, what does it matter if one company outsells another?
 

Mr.GAW

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A. and C. kinda contridict each other Crimson.

I want Wii to outsell Microsoft and Sony because I don't have a 360 or PS3 ( as much as I want a 360) and I want 3rd Party developers to spend time making a good game for Wii.
 

Crimson King

I am become death
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How do they contradict each other? I see no worthwhile titles on the Wii that make me want to spend the money for it. Why does it matter to you if another console is outselling another. You gain nothing out of it.

3rd Party support will not change based on launch numbers alone. They usually re-evaluate their games at the beginning of the year after Christmas. Expect if any changes to occur to be after Christmas.
 

Mr.GAW

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Well, why would you say "good maybe the Wii will get a game worth buying now" if it wasn't in reference to the article, and more developer gaining interest in Wii? I figured that the reason developers were gaining interest in the Wii was because they saw how well it was doing, in terms of popularity, and income.

If something I'm saying is stupid then forgive me, I do that sometimes.
 

Chill

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Let's see, discussion in this topic will either center heavily on the Wii which we already have a topic for.

Or it will turn into a console debate which we already have a topic for.

Did you know the Gamecube outsold both the Xbox and PS2 in it's initial release? It ended up selling the least of the three. The wii is not a Gamecube but the point is you really can't tell how things are going to turn out. Frank Fly, you're too old for this kind of thing.
 

PowerFox

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How can you say the wii is not a gamecube, It is a next gen system with a gamecube added to the side. The only thing for the wii that I wish would improve is the abitlity to play DVDs and improve the extreme sensitivity of the wii controllers (you cant use it if you are immediately in front of the sensor bar. Most of this can be fixed in game options though. I am really dissapointed in Red Steel, if they had put a little more effort in the game it would have been excellent, but hey, it is the most innovative system ever right? Maybe nintendo will get it right next time. Thats why the NDS is such a great system, they made it to play any genre of gameplay, while the PSPs lack of a second analog stick, almost entirely ruins it.
 

Red Exodus

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It'll be pointless to dwell too much on this but don't expect to be over before 10 years [how long Sony plans to use PS3].
 
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