Xygonn
Smash Ace
Using the statistics on the character usage and rank list I decided I would make a list comparing the (16) and the (1) usage statistics. I assumed (16) meant top 16 and 1 meant wins the whole thing, but that doesn't seem to be the case because the sum of (16) over the sum of (1) is 8.56 which doesn't make any sense. (Notably sum of 8 over sum of 1 is 5.94, so I don't have much confidence in the numbers). All data was pulled from the SWF "rankings" tab today.
But who really cares, let's just assume they have some sort of meaning. Ok, to get into the (16 bracket) we'll assume you can overcome scrubs with any character using skill. So we'll assume everyone in the to 16 is approximately of equal skill. This means the prevalence in the top 16 really has to do with popularity, not how good the character is. To win the tournament out of the top 16 could mean you just have an edge from your "better" character. Let's look at the results (initial sort is based on the "all" use number)
Character | All | Top 16 | Champ 1 | Use Ratio 16/All | Win Ratio 1st/16
Diddy Kong | 783 | 682 | 140 | 0.871009 | 0.205279
Sheik | 557 | 465 | 52 | 0.834829 | 0.111828
Captain Falcon | 442 | 351 | 30 | 0.794118 | 0.08547
Ness | 347 | 275 | 29 | 0.792507 | 0.105455
Sonic | 295 | 252 | 47 | 0.854237 | 0.186508
Mario | 293 | 238 | 32 | 0.812287 | 0.134454
Yoshi | 286 | 214 | 13 | 0.748252 | 0.060748
Fox | 252 | 195 | 29 | 0.77381 | 0.148718
Zero Suit Samus | 245 | 194 | 24 | 0.791837 | 0.123711
Luigi | 238 | 193 | 32 | 0.810924 | 0.165803
Rosalina | 214 | 179 | 26 | 0.836449 | 0.145251
Pikachu | 212 | 162 | 11 | 0.764151 | 0.067901
R.O.B | 202 | 164 | 14 | 0.811881 | 0.085366
Villager | 179 | 137 | 14 | 0.765363 | 0.10219
Megaman | 177 | 132 | 10 | 0.745763 | 0.075758
Little Mac | 173 | 141 | 21 | 0.815029 | 0.148936
Shulk | 172 | 131 | 16 | 0.761628 | 0.122137
Greninja | 151 | 119 | 10 | 0.788079 | 0.084034
Link | 151 | 111 | 4 | 0.735099 | 0.036036
Bowser | 150 | 116 | 7 | 0.773333 | 0.060345
King Dedede | 141 | 118 | 7 | 0.836879 | 0.059322
Kirby | 138 | 114 | 5 | 0.826087 | 0.04386
Bowser Jr. | 135 | 95 | 9 | 0.703704 | 0.094737
Donkey Kong | 135 | 112 | 6 | 0.82963 | 0.053571
Ganondorf | 132 | 110 | 13 | 0.833333 | 0.118182
Pikmin & Olimar | 121 | 106 | 20 | 0.876033 | 0.188679
Toon Link | 121 | 98 | 5 | 0.809917 | 0.05102
Lucario | 109 | 84 | 9 | 0.770642 | 0.107143
Robin | 108 | 98 | 19 | 0.907407 | 0.193878
Ike | 108 | 78 | 9 | 0.722222 | 0.115385
Peach | 103 | 74 | 2 | 0.718447 | 0.027027
Jigglypuff | 96 | 71 | 6 | 0.739583 | 0.084507
Marth | 93 | 75 | 8 | 0.806452 | 0.106667
Wario | 92 | 61 | 7 | 0.663043 | 0.114754
Duck Hunt | 87 | 66 | 4 | 0.758621 | 0.060606
Palutena | 85 | 67 | 7 | 0.788235 | 0.104478
Falco | 82 | 58 | 3 | 0.707317 | 0.051724
Meta Knight | 75 | 61 | 10 | 0.813333 | 0.163934
Lucina | 73 | 51 | 10 | 0.69863 | 0.196078
Wii Fit Trainer | 73 | 60 | 4 | 0.821918 | 0.066667
Charizard | 72 | 55 | 1 | 0.763889 | 0.018182
Samus | 67 | 53 | 1 | 0.791045 | 0.018868
Dark Pit | 66 | 49 | 9 | 0.742424 | 0.183673
Pit | 60 | 45 | 3 | 0.75 | 0.066667
Dr. Mario | 56 | 49 | 6 | 0.875 | 0.122449
Pac-Man | 54 | 39 | 5 | 0.722222 | 0.128205
Zelda | 46 | 38 | 2 | 0.826087 | 0.052632
Mr. Game & Watch | 45 | 29 | 1 | 0.644444 | 0.034483
Mii Brawler | 23 | 21 | 4 | 0.913043 | 0.190476
Mii Gunner | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.428571 | 0
Mii Swordfighter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0
Diddy is ranked first in both use and 1st/16 fraction. This is kinda nice in that at least it passes the sniff test that diddy should be top tier.
What stands out toward the top (sort 1st/16): Lucina, Metaknight, Robin, Dark Pit, Little Mac. Maybe it's just a matter of who is reporting what tournaments but these characters seem to be winning with a high fraction when they reach the top 16 despite being considered bottom tier. Extremely unusual may be the difference between Pit (generally considered a bit better) and Dark Pit (much better reported tournament results). The expected value for a "mid tier" is 0.116 based on the data. Ganon and above meet that mark. Ike and below miss the mark.
What stands out toward the bottom: Yoshi, Captain Falcon, Ness, and Pikachu do pretty badly upon hitting the top 16 despite being considered top tier. Sheik is way underperforming compared to her perceived tier same goes for Peach and Rosalina. These characters are basically overrated and are just very popular.
Y'all are aparently sleeping hard on Lucina.
I have made another table with most recent top 16 and 1st place results. I added typical statistical confidence intervals. The sample size and 0 results for mii gunner make that entry basically meaningless. The rest make some sense
Character | 16 | 1 | 1st out of 16 | 5th Percentile | 95th Percentile
Mii Brawler| 56| 18 | 0.321428571 | 0.218766 | 0.383837
Robin| 141| 28 | 0.19858156 | 0.143316 | 0.232178
Diddy Kong| 1085| 214 | 0.197235023 | 0.177363 | 0.209315
Dark Pit| 79| 14 | 0.17721519 | 0.106543 | 0.220177
Luigi| 429| 76 | 0.177156177 | 0.146833 | 0.19559
Mewtwo| 29| 5 | 0.172413793 | 0.057026 | 0.242558
Sonic| 443| 73 | 0.164785553 | 0.135791 | 0.182412
Little Mac| 224| 36 | 0.160714286 | 0.120348 | 0.185253
Fox| 420| 67 | 0.15952381 | 0.130133 | 0.177391
Mii Swordfighter| 13| 2 | 0.153846154 | -0.01077 | 0.253914
Meta Knight| 134| 20 | 0.149253731 | 0.098616 | 0.180037
Pikmin & Olimar| 199| 29 | 0.145728643 | 0.104584 | 0.17074
Wario| 119| 16 | 0.134453782 | 0.083011 | 0.165726
Sheik| 797| 106 | 0.132998745 | 0.113212 | 0.145027
Zero Suit Samus| 318| 39 | 0.122641509 | 0.092382 | 0.141036
Shulk| 206| 25 | 0.121359223 | 0.083933 | 0.144111
Mario| 501| 59 | 0.117764471 | 0.094075 | 0.132165
Palutena| 137| 16 | 0.116788321 | 0.071651 | 0.144228
Rosalina| 349| 40 | 0.114613181 | 0.086563 | 0.131665
Captain Falcon| 661| 74 | 0.111951589 | 0.091777 | 0.124216
Pac-Man| 72| 8 | 0.111111111 | 0.050185 | 0.148148
Lucina| 91| 10 | 0.10989011 | 0.055958 | 0.142676
Ganondorf| 190| 20 | 0.105263158 | 0.068638 | 0.127527
Dr. Mario| 77| 8 | 0.103896104 | 0.046696 | 0.138668
Lucario| 143| 14 | 0.097902098 | 0.057021 | 0.122754
Marth| 143| 14 | 0.097902098 | 0.057021 | 0.122754
Ike| 133| 13 | 0.097744361 | 0.055385 | 0.123495
Bowser Jr.| 135| 13 | 0.096296296 | 0.054531 | 0.121686
Ness| 480| 45 | 0.09375 | 0.071865 | 0.107054
Greninja| 209| 18 | 0.086124402 | 0.054202 | 0.10553
Villager| 264| 21 | 0.079545455 | 0.05215 | 0.096199
Duck Hunt| 114| 9 | 0.078947368 | 0.037402 | 0.104203
Kirby| 216| 16 | 0.074074074 | 0.044761 | 0.091894
R.O.B| 314| 23 | 0.073248408 | 0.049061 | 0.087952
Falco| 85| 6 | 0.070588235 | 0.024887 | 0.09837
King Dedede| 207| 14 | 0.06763285 | 0.038922 | 0.085087
Yoshi| 400| 27 | 0.0675 | 0.046865 | 0.080044
Megaman| 234| 15 | 0.064102564 | 0.037763 | 0.080115
Donkey Kong| 189| 12 | 0.063492063 | 0.034314 | 0.081229
Jigglypuff| 114| 7 | 0.061403509 | 0.024416 | 0.083888
Bowser| 180| 11 | 0.061111111 | 0.031742 | 0.078965
Mr. Game & Watch| 82| 5 | 0.06097561 | 0.017507 | 0.0874
Wii Fit Trainer| 99| 6 | 0.060606061 | 0.021158 | 0.084587
Samus| 103| 6 | 0.058252427 | 0.020288 | 0.081331
Pit| 88| 5 | 0.056818182 | 0.016224 | 0.081496
Pikachu| 319| 17 | 0.053291536 | 0.032604 | 0.065868
Toon Link| 185| 9 | 0.048648649 | 0.02263 | 0.064465
Peach| 148| 6 | 0.040540541 | 0.013872 | 0.056752
Zelda| 60| 2 | 0.033333333 | -0.00479 | 0.056507
Link| 200| 6 | 0.03 | 0.010157 | 0.042062
Charizard| 96| 2 | 0.020833333 | -0.00315 | 0.03541
Mii Gunner| 9| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
The total 1/16 is 0.11477 (presumably because a single player counts for multiple characters).
10/20/2015 Raw data update
Character | All | Top 16 | Top 8 | Wins | Top 16/All | Top 8/All | Win/All | Top 8/Top 16 | Win/Top 16 | Win/Top 8
Bowser | 420 | 315 | 199 | 17 | 0.75 | 0.47381 | 0.040476 | 0.631746 | 0.053968 | 0.085427
Bowser Jr. | 343 | 249 | 167 | 25 | 0.725948 | 0.48688 | 0.072886 | 0.670683 | 0.100402 | 0.149701
Captain Falcon | 2045 | 1545 | 1003 | 163 | 0.755501 | 0.490465 | 0.079707 | 0.649191 | 0.105502 | 0.162512
Charizard | 304 | 238 | 173 | 6 | 0.782895 | 0.569079 | 0.019737 | 0.726891 | 0.02521 | 0.034682
Dark Pit | 185 | 134 | 87 | 20 | 0.724324 | 0.47027 | 0.108108 | 0.649254 | 0.149254 | 0.229885
Diddy Kong | 2113 | 1791 | 1385 | 359 | 0.84761 | 0.655466 | 0.169901 | 0.773311 | 0.200447 | 0.259206
Donkey Kong | 524 | 407 | 288 | 34 | 0.776718 | 0.549618 | 0.064885 | 0.707617 | 0.083538 | 0.118056
Dr. Mario | 193 | 156 | 104 | 18 | 0.80829 | 0.53886 | 0.093264 | 0.666667 | 0.115385 | 0.173077
Duck Hunt | 301 | 235 | 165 | 17 | 0.780731 | 0.548173 | 0.056478 | 0.702128 | 0.07234 | 0.10303
Falco | 368 | 240 | 136 | 20 | 0.652174 | 0.369565 | 0.054348 | 0.566667 | 0.083333 | 0.147059
Fox | 1415 | 1103 | 784 | 138 | 0.779505 | 0.554064 | 0.097527 | 0.710789 | 0.125113 | 0.17602
Ganondorf | 465 | 354 | 216 | 29 | 0.76129 | 0.464516 | 0.062366 | 0.610169 | 0.081921 | 0.134259
Greninja | 574 | 437 | 269 | 33 | 0.761324 | 0.468641 | 0.057491 | 0.615561 | 0.075515 | 0.122677
Ike | 416 | 319 | 207 | 41 | 0.766827 | 0.497596 | 0.098558 | 0.648903 | 0.128527 | 0.198068
Jigglypuff | 359 | 243 | 149 | 19 | 0.67688 | 0.415042 | 0.052925 | 0.613169 | 0.078189 | 0.127517
King Dedede | 540 | 424 | 273 | 26 | 0.785185 | 0.505556 | 0.048148 | 0.643868 | 0.061321 | 0.095238
Kirby | 575 | 438 | 299 | 30 | 0.761739 | 0.52 | 0.052174 | 0.682648 | 0.068493 | 0.100334
Link | 645 | 462 | 263 | 19 | 0.716279 | 0.407752 | 0.029457 | 0.569264 | 0.041126 | 0.072243
Little Mac | 652 | 500 | 338 | 64 | 0.766871 | 0.518405 | 0.09816 | 0.676 | 0.128 | 0.189349
Lucario | 403 | 303 | 184 | 29 | 0.751861 | 0.456576 | 0.07196 | 0.607261 | 0.09571 | 0.157609
Lucas | 152 | 110 | 71 | 7 | 0.723684 | 0.467105 | 0.046053 | 0.645455 | 0.063636 | 0.098592
Lucina | 287 | 184 | 104 | 15 | 0.641115 | 0.362369 | 0.052265 | 0.565217 | 0.081522 | 0.144231
Luigi | 1497 | 1214 | 896 | 214 | 0.810955 | 0.59853 | 0.142953 | 0.738056 | 0.176277 | 0.238839
Mario | 1641 | 1265 | 912 | 147 | 0.770871 | 0.555759 | 0.08958 | 0.720949 | 0.116206 | 0.161184
Marth | 487 | 359 | 237 | 27 | 0.737166 | 0.486653 | 0.055441 | 0.660167 | 0.075209 | 0.113924
Megaman | 683 | 505 | 335 | 36 | 0.739385 | 0.490483 | 0.052709 | 0.663366 | 0.071287 | 0.107463
Meta Knight | 495 | 397 | 284 | 65 | 0.80202 | 0.573737 | 0.131313 | 0.715365 | 0.163728 | 0.228873
Mewtwo | 101 | 69 | 42 | 9 | 0.683168 | 0.415842 | 0.089109 | 0.608696 | 0.130435 | 0.214286
Mii Brawler | 151 | 133 | 107 | 37 | 0.880795 | 0.708609 | 0.245033 | 0.804511 | 0.278195 | 0.345794
Mii Gunner | 49 | 35 | 27 | 3 | 0.714286 | 0.55102 | 0.061224 | 0.771429 | 0.085714 | 0.111111
Mii Swordfighter | 41 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 0.829268 | 0.560976 | 0.170732 | 0.676471 | 0.205882 | 0.304348
Mr. Game & Watch | 311 | 233 | 142 | 17 | 0.749196 | 0.456592 | 0.054662 | 0.609442 | 0.072961 | 0.119718
Ness | 1479 | 1115 | 775 | 91 | 0.753888 | 0.524003 | 0.061528 | 0.695067 | 0.081614 | 0.117419
Pac-Man | 295 | 211 | 120 | 17 | 0.715254 | 0.40678 | 0.057627 | 0.56872 | 0.080569 | 0.141667
Palutena | 359 | 293 | 200 | 26 | 0.816156 | 0.557103 | 0.072423 | 0.682594 | 0.088737 | 0.13
Peach | 554 | 378 | 234 | 20 | 0.68231 | 0.422383 | 0.036101 | 0.619048 | 0.05291 | 0.08547
Pikachu | 1071 | 772 | 505 | 41 | 0.720822 | 0.471522 | 0.038282 | 0.654145 | 0.053109 | 0.081188
Pikmin & Olimar | 478 | 414 | 302 | 44 | 0.866109 | 0.631799 | 0.09205 | 0.729469 | 0.10628 | 0.145695
Pit | 355 | 258 | 167 | 21 | 0.726761 | 0.470423 | 0.059155 | 0.647287 | 0.081395 | 0.125749
R.O.B | 897 | 710 | 471 | 75 | 0.791527 | 0.525084 | 0.083612 | 0.66338 | 0.105634 | 0.159236
Robin | 329 | 263 | 182 | 37 | 0.799392 | 0.553191 | 0.112462 | 0.692015 | 0.140684 | 0.203297
Rosalina | 1093 | 842 | 589 | 99 | 0.770357 | 0.538884 | 0.090576 | 0.699525 | 0.117577 | 0.168081
Roy | 309 | 205 | 130 | 15 | 0.66343 | 0.420712 | 0.048544 | 0.634146 | 0.073171 | 0.115385
Ryu | 164 | 114 | 84 | 12 | 0.695122 | 0.512195 | 0.073171 | 0.736842 | 0.105263 | 0.142857
Samus | 295 | 217 | 134 | 14 | 0.735593 | 0.454237 | 0.047458 | 0.617512 | 0.064516 | 0.104478
Sheik | 2230 | 1816 | 1302 | 268 | 0.81435 | 0.583857 | 0.120179 | 0.71696 | 0.147577 | 0.205837
Shulk | 527 | 380 | 233 | 30 | 0.721063 | 0.442125 | 0.056926 | 0.613158 | 0.078947 | 0.128755
Sonic | 1114 | 935 | 719 | 139 | 0.839318 | 0.645422 | 0.124776 | 0.768984 | 0.148663 | 0.193324
Toon Link | 537 | 401 | 251 | 30 | 0.746741 | 0.467412 | 0.055866 | 0.625935 | 0.074813 | 0.119522
Villager | 818 | 594 | 375 | 46 | 0.726161 | 0.458435 | 0.056235 | 0.631313 | 0.077441 | 0.122667
Wario | 440 | 330 | 227 | 40 | 0.75 | 0.515909 | 0.090909 | 0.687879 | 0.121212 | 0.176211
Wii Fit Trainer | 280 | 216 | 139 | 21 | 0.771429 | 0.496429 | 0.075 | 0.643519 | 0.097222 | 0.151079
Yoshi | 1348 | 989 | 627 | 81 | 0.73368 | 0.465134 | 0.060089 | 0.633974 | 0.081901 | 0.129187
Zelda | 195 | 131 | 80 | 5 | 0.671795 | 0.410256 | 0.025641 | 0.610687 | 0.038168 | 0.0625
Zero Suit Samus | 1066 | 803 | 537 | 98 | 0.753283 | 0.503752 | 0.091932 | 0.668742 | 0.122042 | 0.182495
Win/All Tier list
But who really cares, let's just assume they have some sort of meaning. Ok, to get into the (16 bracket) we'll assume you can overcome scrubs with any character using skill. So we'll assume everyone in the to 16 is approximately of equal skill. This means the prevalence in the top 16 really has to do with popularity, not how good the character is. To win the tournament out of the top 16 could mean you just have an edge from your "better" character. Let's look at the results (initial sort is based on the "all" use number)
Diddy Kong | 783 | 682 | 140 | 0.871009 | 0.205279
Sheik | 557 | 465 | 52 | 0.834829 | 0.111828
Captain Falcon | 442 | 351 | 30 | 0.794118 | 0.08547
Ness | 347 | 275 | 29 | 0.792507 | 0.105455
Sonic | 295 | 252 | 47 | 0.854237 | 0.186508
Mario | 293 | 238 | 32 | 0.812287 | 0.134454
Yoshi | 286 | 214 | 13 | 0.748252 | 0.060748
Fox | 252 | 195 | 29 | 0.77381 | 0.148718
Zero Suit Samus | 245 | 194 | 24 | 0.791837 | 0.123711
Luigi | 238 | 193 | 32 | 0.810924 | 0.165803
Rosalina | 214 | 179 | 26 | 0.836449 | 0.145251
Pikachu | 212 | 162 | 11 | 0.764151 | 0.067901
R.O.B | 202 | 164 | 14 | 0.811881 | 0.085366
Villager | 179 | 137 | 14 | 0.765363 | 0.10219
Megaman | 177 | 132 | 10 | 0.745763 | 0.075758
Little Mac | 173 | 141 | 21 | 0.815029 | 0.148936
Shulk | 172 | 131 | 16 | 0.761628 | 0.122137
Greninja | 151 | 119 | 10 | 0.788079 | 0.084034
Link | 151 | 111 | 4 | 0.735099 | 0.036036
Bowser | 150 | 116 | 7 | 0.773333 | 0.060345
King Dedede | 141 | 118 | 7 | 0.836879 | 0.059322
Kirby | 138 | 114 | 5 | 0.826087 | 0.04386
Bowser Jr. | 135 | 95 | 9 | 0.703704 | 0.094737
Donkey Kong | 135 | 112 | 6 | 0.82963 | 0.053571
Ganondorf | 132 | 110 | 13 | 0.833333 | 0.118182
Pikmin & Olimar | 121 | 106 | 20 | 0.876033 | 0.188679
Toon Link | 121 | 98 | 5 | 0.809917 | 0.05102
Lucario | 109 | 84 | 9 | 0.770642 | 0.107143
Robin | 108 | 98 | 19 | 0.907407 | 0.193878
Ike | 108 | 78 | 9 | 0.722222 | 0.115385
Peach | 103 | 74 | 2 | 0.718447 | 0.027027
Jigglypuff | 96 | 71 | 6 | 0.739583 | 0.084507
Marth | 93 | 75 | 8 | 0.806452 | 0.106667
Wario | 92 | 61 | 7 | 0.663043 | 0.114754
Duck Hunt | 87 | 66 | 4 | 0.758621 | 0.060606
Palutena | 85 | 67 | 7 | 0.788235 | 0.104478
Falco | 82 | 58 | 3 | 0.707317 | 0.051724
Meta Knight | 75 | 61 | 10 | 0.813333 | 0.163934
Lucina | 73 | 51 | 10 | 0.69863 | 0.196078
Wii Fit Trainer | 73 | 60 | 4 | 0.821918 | 0.066667
Charizard | 72 | 55 | 1 | 0.763889 | 0.018182
Samus | 67 | 53 | 1 | 0.791045 | 0.018868
Dark Pit | 66 | 49 | 9 | 0.742424 | 0.183673
Pit | 60 | 45 | 3 | 0.75 | 0.066667
Dr. Mario | 56 | 49 | 6 | 0.875 | 0.122449
Pac-Man | 54 | 39 | 5 | 0.722222 | 0.128205
Zelda | 46 | 38 | 2 | 0.826087 | 0.052632
Mr. Game & Watch | 45 | 29 | 1 | 0.644444 | 0.034483
Mii Brawler | 23 | 21 | 4 | 0.913043 | 0.190476
Mii Gunner | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0.428571 | 0
Mii Swordfighter | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0
Diddy is ranked first in both use and 1st/16 fraction. This is kinda nice in that at least it passes the sniff test that diddy should be top tier.
What stands out toward the top (sort 1st/16): Lucina, Metaknight, Robin, Dark Pit, Little Mac. Maybe it's just a matter of who is reporting what tournaments but these characters seem to be winning with a high fraction when they reach the top 16 despite being considered bottom tier. Extremely unusual may be the difference between Pit (generally considered a bit better) and Dark Pit (much better reported tournament results). The expected value for a "mid tier" is 0.116 based on the data. Ganon and above meet that mark. Ike and below miss the mark.
What stands out toward the bottom: Yoshi, Captain Falcon, Ness, and Pikachu do pretty badly upon hitting the top 16 despite being considered top tier. Sheik is way underperforming compared to her perceived tier same goes for Peach and Rosalina. These characters are basically overrated and are just very popular.
Y'all are aparently sleeping hard on Lucina.
I have made another table with most recent top 16 and 1st place results. I added typical statistical confidence intervals. The sample size and 0 results for mii gunner make that entry basically meaningless. The rest make some sense
Character | 16 | 1 | 1st out of 16 | 5th Percentile | 95th Percentile
Mii Brawler| 56| 18 | 0.321428571 | 0.218766 | 0.383837
Robin| 141| 28 | 0.19858156 | 0.143316 | 0.232178
Diddy Kong| 1085| 214 | 0.197235023 | 0.177363 | 0.209315
Dark Pit| 79| 14 | 0.17721519 | 0.106543 | 0.220177
Luigi| 429| 76 | 0.177156177 | 0.146833 | 0.19559
Mewtwo| 29| 5 | 0.172413793 | 0.057026 | 0.242558
Sonic| 443| 73 | 0.164785553 | 0.135791 | 0.182412
Little Mac| 224| 36 | 0.160714286 | 0.120348 | 0.185253
Fox| 420| 67 | 0.15952381 | 0.130133 | 0.177391
Mii Swordfighter| 13| 2 | 0.153846154 | -0.01077 | 0.253914
Meta Knight| 134| 20 | 0.149253731 | 0.098616 | 0.180037
Pikmin & Olimar| 199| 29 | 0.145728643 | 0.104584 | 0.17074
Wario| 119| 16 | 0.134453782 | 0.083011 | 0.165726
Sheik| 797| 106 | 0.132998745 | 0.113212 | 0.145027
Zero Suit Samus| 318| 39 | 0.122641509 | 0.092382 | 0.141036
Shulk| 206| 25 | 0.121359223 | 0.083933 | 0.144111
Mario| 501| 59 | 0.117764471 | 0.094075 | 0.132165
Palutena| 137| 16 | 0.116788321 | 0.071651 | 0.144228
Rosalina| 349| 40 | 0.114613181 | 0.086563 | 0.131665
Captain Falcon| 661| 74 | 0.111951589 | 0.091777 | 0.124216
Pac-Man| 72| 8 | 0.111111111 | 0.050185 | 0.148148
Lucina| 91| 10 | 0.10989011 | 0.055958 | 0.142676
Ganondorf| 190| 20 | 0.105263158 | 0.068638 | 0.127527
Dr. Mario| 77| 8 | 0.103896104 | 0.046696 | 0.138668
Lucario| 143| 14 | 0.097902098 | 0.057021 | 0.122754
Marth| 143| 14 | 0.097902098 | 0.057021 | 0.122754
Ike| 133| 13 | 0.097744361 | 0.055385 | 0.123495
Bowser Jr.| 135| 13 | 0.096296296 | 0.054531 | 0.121686
Ness| 480| 45 | 0.09375 | 0.071865 | 0.107054
Greninja| 209| 18 | 0.086124402 | 0.054202 | 0.10553
Villager| 264| 21 | 0.079545455 | 0.05215 | 0.096199
Duck Hunt| 114| 9 | 0.078947368 | 0.037402 | 0.104203
Kirby| 216| 16 | 0.074074074 | 0.044761 | 0.091894
R.O.B| 314| 23 | 0.073248408 | 0.049061 | 0.087952
Falco| 85| 6 | 0.070588235 | 0.024887 | 0.09837
King Dedede| 207| 14 | 0.06763285 | 0.038922 | 0.085087
Yoshi| 400| 27 | 0.0675 | 0.046865 | 0.080044
Megaman| 234| 15 | 0.064102564 | 0.037763 | 0.080115
Donkey Kong| 189| 12 | 0.063492063 | 0.034314 | 0.081229
Jigglypuff| 114| 7 | 0.061403509 | 0.024416 | 0.083888
Bowser| 180| 11 | 0.061111111 | 0.031742 | 0.078965
Mr. Game & Watch| 82| 5 | 0.06097561 | 0.017507 | 0.0874
Wii Fit Trainer| 99| 6 | 0.060606061 | 0.021158 | 0.084587
Samus| 103| 6 | 0.058252427 | 0.020288 | 0.081331
Pit| 88| 5 | 0.056818182 | 0.016224 | 0.081496
Pikachu| 319| 17 | 0.053291536 | 0.032604 | 0.065868
Toon Link| 185| 9 | 0.048648649 | 0.02263 | 0.064465
Peach| 148| 6 | 0.040540541 | 0.013872 | 0.056752
Zelda| 60| 2 | 0.033333333 | -0.00479 | 0.056507
Link| 200| 6 | 0.03 | 0.010157 | 0.042062
Charizard| 96| 2 | 0.020833333 | -0.00315 | 0.03541
Mii Gunner| 9| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0
The total 1/16 is 0.11477 (presumably because a single player counts for multiple characters).
10/20/2015 Raw data update
Character | All | Top 16 | Top 8 | Wins | Top 16/All | Top 8/All | Win/All | Top 8/Top 16 | Win/Top 16 | Win/Top 8
Bowser | 420 | 315 | 199 | 17 | 0.75 | 0.47381 | 0.040476 | 0.631746 | 0.053968 | 0.085427
Bowser Jr. | 343 | 249 | 167 | 25 | 0.725948 | 0.48688 | 0.072886 | 0.670683 | 0.100402 | 0.149701
Captain Falcon | 2045 | 1545 | 1003 | 163 | 0.755501 | 0.490465 | 0.079707 | 0.649191 | 0.105502 | 0.162512
Charizard | 304 | 238 | 173 | 6 | 0.782895 | 0.569079 | 0.019737 | 0.726891 | 0.02521 | 0.034682
Dark Pit | 185 | 134 | 87 | 20 | 0.724324 | 0.47027 | 0.108108 | 0.649254 | 0.149254 | 0.229885
Diddy Kong | 2113 | 1791 | 1385 | 359 | 0.84761 | 0.655466 | 0.169901 | 0.773311 | 0.200447 | 0.259206
Donkey Kong | 524 | 407 | 288 | 34 | 0.776718 | 0.549618 | 0.064885 | 0.707617 | 0.083538 | 0.118056
Dr. Mario | 193 | 156 | 104 | 18 | 0.80829 | 0.53886 | 0.093264 | 0.666667 | 0.115385 | 0.173077
Duck Hunt | 301 | 235 | 165 | 17 | 0.780731 | 0.548173 | 0.056478 | 0.702128 | 0.07234 | 0.10303
Falco | 368 | 240 | 136 | 20 | 0.652174 | 0.369565 | 0.054348 | 0.566667 | 0.083333 | 0.147059
Fox | 1415 | 1103 | 784 | 138 | 0.779505 | 0.554064 | 0.097527 | 0.710789 | 0.125113 | 0.17602
Ganondorf | 465 | 354 | 216 | 29 | 0.76129 | 0.464516 | 0.062366 | 0.610169 | 0.081921 | 0.134259
Greninja | 574 | 437 | 269 | 33 | 0.761324 | 0.468641 | 0.057491 | 0.615561 | 0.075515 | 0.122677
Ike | 416 | 319 | 207 | 41 | 0.766827 | 0.497596 | 0.098558 | 0.648903 | 0.128527 | 0.198068
Jigglypuff | 359 | 243 | 149 | 19 | 0.67688 | 0.415042 | 0.052925 | 0.613169 | 0.078189 | 0.127517
King Dedede | 540 | 424 | 273 | 26 | 0.785185 | 0.505556 | 0.048148 | 0.643868 | 0.061321 | 0.095238
Kirby | 575 | 438 | 299 | 30 | 0.761739 | 0.52 | 0.052174 | 0.682648 | 0.068493 | 0.100334
Link | 645 | 462 | 263 | 19 | 0.716279 | 0.407752 | 0.029457 | 0.569264 | 0.041126 | 0.072243
Little Mac | 652 | 500 | 338 | 64 | 0.766871 | 0.518405 | 0.09816 | 0.676 | 0.128 | 0.189349
Lucario | 403 | 303 | 184 | 29 | 0.751861 | 0.456576 | 0.07196 | 0.607261 | 0.09571 | 0.157609
Lucas | 152 | 110 | 71 | 7 | 0.723684 | 0.467105 | 0.046053 | 0.645455 | 0.063636 | 0.098592
Lucina | 287 | 184 | 104 | 15 | 0.641115 | 0.362369 | 0.052265 | 0.565217 | 0.081522 | 0.144231
Luigi | 1497 | 1214 | 896 | 214 | 0.810955 | 0.59853 | 0.142953 | 0.738056 | 0.176277 | 0.238839
Mario | 1641 | 1265 | 912 | 147 | 0.770871 | 0.555759 | 0.08958 | 0.720949 | 0.116206 | 0.161184
Marth | 487 | 359 | 237 | 27 | 0.737166 | 0.486653 | 0.055441 | 0.660167 | 0.075209 | 0.113924
Megaman | 683 | 505 | 335 | 36 | 0.739385 | 0.490483 | 0.052709 | 0.663366 | 0.071287 | 0.107463
Meta Knight | 495 | 397 | 284 | 65 | 0.80202 | 0.573737 | 0.131313 | 0.715365 | 0.163728 | 0.228873
Mewtwo | 101 | 69 | 42 | 9 | 0.683168 | 0.415842 | 0.089109 | 0.608696 | 0.130435 | 0.214286
Mii Brawler | 151 | 133 | 107 | 37 | 0.880795 | 0.708609 | 0.245033 | 0.804511 | 0.278195 | 0.345794
Mii Gunner | 49 | 35 | 27 | 3 | 0.714286 | 0.55102 | 0.061224 | 0.771429 | 0.085714 | 0.111111
Mii Swordfighter | 41 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 0.829268 | 0.560976 | 0.170732 | 0.676471 | 0.205882 | 0.304348
Mr. Game & Watch | 311 | 233 | 142 | 17 | 0.749196 | 0.456592 | 0.054662 | 0.609442 | 0.072961 | 0.119718
Ness | 1479 | 1115 | 775 | 91 | 0.753888 | 0.524003 | 0.061528 | 0.695067 | 0.081614 | 0.117419
Pac-Man | 295 | 211 | 120 | 17 | 0.715254 | 0.40678 | 0.057627 | 0.56872 | 0.080569 | 0.141667
Palutena | 359 | 293 | 200 | 26 | 0.816156 | 0.557103 | 0.072423 | 0.682594 | 0.088737 | 0.13
Peach | 554 | 378 | 234 | 20 | 0.68231 | 0.422383 | 0.036101 | 0.619048 | 0.05291 | 0.08547
Pikachu | 1071 | 772 | 505 | 41 | 0.720822 | 0.471522 | 0.038282 | 0.654145 | 0.053109 | 0.081188
Pikmin & Olimar | 478 | 414 | 302 | 44 | 0.866109 | 0.631799 | 0.09205 | 0.729469 | 0.10628 | 0.145695
Pit | 355 | 258 | 167 | 21 | 0.726761 | 0.470423 | 0.059155 | 0.647287 | 0.081395 | 0.125749
R.O.B | 897 | 710 | 471 | 75 | 0.791527 | 0.525084 | 0.083612 | 0.66338 | 0.105634 | 0.159236
Robin | 329 | 263 | 182 | 37 | 0.799392 | 0.553191 | 0.112462 | 0.692015 | 0.140684 | 0.203297
Rosalina | 1093 | 842 | 589 | 99 | 0.770357 | 0.538884 | 0.090576 | 0.699525 | 0.117577 | 0.168081
Roy | 309 | 205 | 130 | 15 | 0.66343 | 0.420712 | 0.048544 | 0.634146 | 0.073171 | 0.115385
Ryu | 164 | 114 | 84 | 12 | 0.695122 | 0.512195 | 0.073171 | 0.736842 | 0.105263 | 0.142857
Samus | 295 | 217 | 134 | 14 | 0.735593 | 0.454237 | 0.047458 | 0.617512 | 0.064516 | 0.104478
Sheik | 2230 | 1816 | 1302 | 268 | 0.81435 | 0.583857 | 0.120179 | 0.71696 | 0.147577 | 0.205837
Shulk | 527 | 380 | 233 | 30 | 0.721063 | 0.442125 | 0.056926 | 0.613158 | 0.078947 | 0.128755
Sonic | 1114 | 935 | 719 | 139 | 0.839318 | 0.645422 | 0.124776 | 0.768984 | 0.148663 | 0.193324
Toon Link | 537 | 401 | 251 | 30 | 0.746741 | 0.467412 | 0.055866 | 0.625935 | 0.074813 | 0.119522
Villager | 818 | 594 | 375 | 46 | 0.726161 | 0.458435 | 0.056235 | 0.631313 | 0.077441 | 0.122667
Wario | 440 | 330 | 227 | 40 | 0.75 | 0.515909 | 0.090909 | 0.687879 | 0.121212 | 0.176211
Wii Fit Trainer | 280 | 216 | 139 | 21 | 0.771429 | 0.496429 | 0.075 | 0.643519 | 0.097222 | 0.151079
Yoshi | 1348 | 989 | 627 | 81 | 0.73368 | 0.465134 | 0.060089 | 0.633974 | 0.081901 | 0.129187
Zelda | 195 | 131 | 80 | 5 | 0.671795 | 0.410256 | 0.025641 | 0.610687 | 0.038168 | 0.0625
Zero Suit Samus | 1066 | 803 | 537 | 98 | 0.753283 | 0.503752 | 0.091932 | 0.668742 | 0.122042 | 0.182495
Win/All Tier list
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