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Rate Their Chances Returns! Day 194: "Predicting the Direct"

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Aqua Rock X

Smash Ace
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Groose

Chance: 2% - Not a big character in Zelda.

Want: 50% - Why not? He could groosenate the other players.

Tails Prediction: 2% - Most agree one Sonic character is enough.

Nominations:
Nintendog x5
 

Groose

Smash Champion
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Noms and rates logged up until this point. Because I updated a bit late yesterday and there are a few votes less than normal, I'll give it a few more hours until I call it a day. Sound alright?

Anywho, I'm pleased to announce I've come up with a very novel idea that will spice things in this game up for a week or two around Christmas. This upcoming week, I'll restore normalcy to my update schedule; the week or two afterwards we'll toss in my "idea;" after the "idea" has run its course and when the new year rolls around, we'll discuss rating stages. Sound like a plan?
 

LoneKonWolf

Lazy Lonely Lurker☕
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Noms and rates logged up until this point. Because I updated a bit late yesterday and there are a few votes less than normal, I'll give it a few more hours until I call it a day. Sound alright?

Anywho, I'm pleased to announce I've come up with a very novel idea that will spice things in this game up for a week or two around Christmas. This upcoming week, I'll restore normalcy to my update schedule; the week or two afterwards we'll toss in my "idea;" after the "idea" has run its course and when the new year rolls around, we'll discuss rating stages. Sound like a plan?
what is this "idea" you speak of?
 

Gunla

wow, gaming!
BRoomer
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Noms and rates logged up until this point. Because I updated a bit late yesterday and there are a few votes less than normal, I'll give it a few more hours until I call it a day. Sound alright?

Anywho, I'm pleased to announce I've come up with a very novel idea that will spice things in this game up for a week or two around Christmas. This upcoming week, I'll restore normalcy to my update schedule; the week or two afterwards we'll toss in my "idea;" after the "idea" has run its course and when the new year rolls around, we'll discuss rating stages. Sound like a plan?
 

McDuckletts

Smash Ace
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duck, duck, GROOSE!
Chance: 1.9%
Want: 70%

Tails prediction: 0.9%

Nom: B-K X5



last minute post i hope you still count this
 

loganhogan

Smash Ace
Joined
Dec 22, 2011
Messages
816
chance 0.1% He's got less than anything Skull Kid had going on for him really other than relevance and even using that argument there are more popular, recurring, or important characters like Tingle, Ghirahim, Impa, Toon Zelda, etc. It also doesn't help he's barely in one game, I consider him trophy material.
want 0% :troll:

x5 Tiny Kong
 

colder_than_ice

Smash Lord
Joined
Jan 7, 2013
Messages
1,331
Groose
Chance: 0% - He's just a plot device.
Want: 9% - I'm not a big fan, but I would probably buy "Legend of Groose" if it were real.

Tails prediction: 3.3%

Nominations: Eevee x5 (Thank you doubling my nominations last week).
 
D

Deleted member

Guest
Anywho, I'm pleased to announce I've come up with a very novel idea that will spice things in this game up for a week or two around Christmas. This upcoming week, I'll restore normalcy to my update schedule; the week or two afterwards we'll toss in my "idea;" after the "idea" has run its course and when the new year rolls around, we'll discuss rating stages. Sound like a plan?
I wonder what the idea is...

Anyways, I would LOVE to discuss and rate on stages! I could think up a few new ones like Bowser's Castle, Cookie Country, Gloomy Manor, Dragon Roost Island, and a couple of others.
 

Groose

Smash Champion
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Villanova
Groose (Legend of Zelda)
1.16% chance (Cole: 0.12%) (Mask Link: 0.70%) (Ghirahim: 9.86%) (Skull Kid: 7.52%) (Tingle: 15.59%) (Impa: 18.81%) (Tetra: 38.69%)
43.58% want (Cole: 7.59%) (Mask Link: 24.91%) (Ghirahim: 33.76%) (Skull Kid: 41.47%) (Tingle: 25.85%) (Impa: 28.61%) (Tetra: 49.60%)


We've rated many Zelda characters over the course of this game, but only Tetra could surpass the Groosenator in sheer popularity. Unfortunately for the man with the slickest 'do in town, his chances are minuscule at best; his score was shattered by the likes of the already-deconfirmed Skull Kid.

Today we're moving from sweet hair to sweet tails. Miles Prower is on hand today; can the fox have enough say to get into Smash, or will he never solve the mystery? Please rate Tails in chance and want today.

TOUCHDOWN! Tomorrow we're rating Travis Touchdown, star of the classic No More Heroes. Please predict how Travis will fare in tomorrow's game. Methinks today's noms go to FalKoopa. Use them wisely.
 

NickerBocker

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Anywho, I'm pleased to announce I've come up with a very novel idea that will spice things in this game up for a week or two around Christmas. This upcoming week, I'll restore normalcy to my update schedule; the week or two afterwards we'll toss in my "idea;" after the "idea" has run its course and when the new year rolls around, we'll discuss rating stages. Sound like a plan?

You're teasing harder than Sakurai :troll:

Tails

Chance: 3.5%
Want: 25%

As far as Sonic characters go, he probably has the best chance of getting in. That being said, that chance is pretty slim because he has the most impact on the series and a long companionship with the Blue Blur. We just don't know if 3rd parties can get 2 characters, let alone from the same 3rd party series. He would make an interesting semi-clone of Sonic, if done correctly.

Travis: 1.1%

Nominations:
DLC characters x5
 

Zhadgon

Smash Lord
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Character
Tails
Chance: 1.00% I hope Sakurai will not think of including another Sonic character over a Nintendo one.
Want: 1.00% Sorry but not interested.

Prediction
Travis Touchdown: 15% Yeah I love the character sue me for that (one of my top ten characters in video games), finally his time has come.

Nomination
Harry (Teleroboxer) x 5

.n_n.
 

LoneKonWolf

Lazy Lonely Lurker☕
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We'll get to that in due time. ;)
fine then . . . i'll wait . . .
Miles "tails" Prower - 0.017%
having two third party's from one company is never going to happen, even one that is as close to Nintendo as Sega
Want - 2%
nope, won't like him that much
Touchdown - 1.17%
blood, cursing, mature rating, mature environment, all that screams bad in smash, the only thing I can see going for him, is that his creator said he wanted him in smash, but that won't push much
Nominations:
Dark pitX1
RoyX4
 

McDuckletts

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Tails
Chance: 0.02%
The chances of a third party getting two reps is about as likely as Goku getting in tbh.
Want: 1%
I kinda like Tails, but only in Sonic 3 (and Knuckles).

Travis Touchdown prediction: 1.61%

Nom: B-K X5
Only a few more nominations to 100!
 
D

Deleted member

Guest
That want score...

I definitely didn't see that coming.

Tails
Chance: 1%
It's safe to assume that we will only get Sonic. Like I said before with Knuckles, the Sonic fanbase is very pollutant and very vocal (which makes the fanbase for Sonic very hated). So, of course they will demand for a second Sonic character. Tails has the advantage of being a character that some will definitely call "legendary." He sticks out as an iconic character to not only Sonic fans, but the gaming community as well. He's Sonic's equivalent to Mario's Luigi, so naturally he could be chosen as the second Sonic character. As I've said before though, no one can agree on what Sonic character they want. A lot of people want Shadow or Knuckles or Tails and the poll on this website just simply says "2nd Sonic character"… that doesn't help Sakurai determine what people prefer to be the second one.
Speaking of Sakurai, he would need to have an immense favoritism towards Sega and Sonic to include a second Sonic character. While I said that Tails can be called "legendary," I doubt Sakurai will put him in as it looks like he would prefer Sega, which I bet that he wants to avoid. If we put Tails in, then why not Proto Man as well for Mega Man?
1% for if the fanbase succeeds. As I've mentioned time and time again, I don't think that Sonic Heroes playing in Sonic's trailer means anything. It's definitely an odd choice for a song if you ask me.
Want: 93%
And yet, I love the little guy. How can I say no? I grew up with Sonic, Tails, and Knuckles; they will always be the main trio of Sonic characters. Besides, Tails is a fun character to play as in Sonic 3 and Sonic Adventure 1, I bet that he could be fun here. I would love it if Tails got in the game, but I know that won't happen. It would be weird for him to be in the game, but it's an inclusion that I would love nonetheless. However, my third party of choice is still Bomberman.
Songs for Tails:
Believe in Myself (SA1)
Believe in Myself (SA2)
Prison Lane
Casino Night Zone
Chemical Plant Zone
Chemical Plant Zone HD
Bonus Stage (Sonic 2)
Sky Chase Zone
Windy Hill Zone 1
Emerald Hill Zone
Emerald Hill Zone HD
OK, I'm done.

EDIT: I noticed that Ninten has no music. Here's some music for him:
Eight Melodies (Mother)
Eight Melodies (EarthBound)
Sixteen Melodies (Mother 3)
Pollyanna
Mother (Melee)
Mother 2 (Melee)
EarthBound (Melee)
Eight Melodies (Brawl)
Smiles and Tears (Brawl)
Eight Melodies (Lyrical Version)
Bein' Friends


Travis Touchdown Prediction: .37%
It would be odd to see him next to Sonic and Mega Man.

Nominations: Decloned Ganondorf 5x

Tails has been added to this post.
I think you should also check back on Knuckles' day and see what you said for him on his day.
 

Starbound

Worlds Apart, But Still Together.
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Tales: 0% Want / 0% Chances

Sonic fanboys are really rabid about their characters. And he's not legendary either.

Chanceller Cole has been on the bottom of the list for a while. Hmm... I wonder who can score less chance than him.
 

Smasher 101

Smash Lord
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Tails' chances: 0.5% - If Sonic somehow gets a second character, it's him.
Want: 10% - What I said during Knuckles' day applies here too.

Travis Touchdown prediction: 1.94%

Muddy Mole x5
 

Glaciacott

Smash Lord
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Mintendo Noodle House
Miles Prower

Chance 0.5%
One character per third party company. Talk to me when Sega has completely merged with Nintendo, if ever.

Want 25%
Meh, I'm ok with Tails. When I would play Sonic 2 I'd always just use Tails and help with destroying bosses using my invincibility, so as a result I can like and respect Tails from that experience.
But I want so many actual Nintendo characters that my heart barely has space for Tails.

Prediction
T-Touchdown - 1.54%
I'm really unsure how low this one will go

Nominations
x5 Blaziken
 

Knight Dude

Keeping it going.
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Tails' Chances: 10%: Tails is pretty much the Luigi of the Sonic series. He's a popular character among not just Sonic fans, but video game fans in general. We don't know if third party series get more than one character, but it isn't impossible as far as we know. If a Sonic character was ever chosen, it'll be him or Eggman.

Want: 60%: I feel like both Knuckles and Tails would be more interesting versions of Sonic, gameplay wise at least. Though I'd still prefer a second Mega Man character. Not much else to say on that I guess.

Nominations: I nominate Kiddy Kong 5 times. Just to see what people think of the character.
 

TempahRelapse

Smash Journeyman
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Messages
227
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When it comes to Tails
5% Chance he will get in. Same goes for all Sonic characters.
0% want

Also could you add Will from Advance Wars to the list. I think he is valid since he is the protagonist of the reboot for Advance Wars
 

jaytalks

Smash Champion
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jaytalks
Tails:
Chances: 0%
No third party franchise will get multiple characters.
Want:0%
I would like to what any good Sonic player does: leave him behind.

Travis Touchdown: 2.5%

When it comes to Tails
5% Chance he will get in. Same goes for all Sonic characters.
0% want

Also could you add Will from Advance Wars to the list. I think he is valid since he is the protagonist of the reboot for Advance Wars
You have to nominate him to put him on the list. I'll help you out:
Nominations:
Will (Advance Wars) x 1
Micaiah x 4
 

KingofPhantoms

The Spook Factor
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Tails - 12%

It's not impossible for one third party to get another character, and Sonic is the most likely third party franchise to get a second character, what with Sega being all "buddy buddy" with Nintendo now, and Tails is practically the Luigi of the Sonic series, so if Sonic does end up getting a newcomer, it'll most likely be him. Still, it's very, very unlikely we'll get more than one character from one third party.

Want - 50%

I'm indifferent towards him. I don't really want him, but I wouldn't mind him getting in either.

x5 Count Bleck.
 

FalKoopa

Rainbow Waifu
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I won the nominations? LOL. My prediction was 1.09, the day's number divided by 100. Well, that was awesome. :laugh:

Tails:
Likelihood: 4%
I doubt we're getting any more Sonic characters, but Tails is at the top if we do get one.

Want: 35%
Tails is my favourite Sonic character. But I'm not too big on adding Sonic characters to Smash yet.

Travis Touchdown prediction: 1.11%
Let's see if the trick works again. :p

Tingle x 5
Lip x 5
 

YoshiandToad

Smash Hero
Joined
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7,123
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Still up Peach's dress.
Tails
Chance: 3%
If any company does receive two 3rd party slots, especially from the same franchise it's going to be Sega with Sonic. Tails is the top choice for that option. Some may argue Eggman is, but going off previous Smashes it's clear the sidekick out-prioritizes the villain; Luigi was added before Bowser, Diddy before K. Rool, Falco before Wolf, etc.

What about Knuckles? He's more a fighter than Tails!
Tails unlike Knuckles also appears and plays a major role in all the current Sonic games, whilst the Red Echidna has been pushed to the side; Generations could of starred a younger Knuckles too, but Sega decided to focus on Sonic and Tails. Tails' also has had major roles within Colours, Sonic 4(episode 2) and even the latest Sonic title Lost Worlds whilst Knuckles roles have been minimal or non existent.

What about Shadow?
Whilst technically slightly more popular than Tails amongst those polled for favourite Sonic characters he's a terrible clone or semi clone material at best. Plus actually has quite a big hate base amongst older Sonic fans considering when he received major roles within the series, Sonic turned perhaps coincidentally to crap. Shadow could be a last minute clone addition, but why would they splurge their second role on what is essentially a carbon copy clone of Sonic?

That said Tails still has no hope in hell due to being the Luigi of a 3rd party series.

Although I will strongly disagree with those who claim Tails not to be legendary; everybody knows of Tails, the two tailed fox from Sonic; he was a gaming icon back in the Sega Vs. Nintendo days and completely outranks anyone on the roster currently that isn't Mario, Luigi, Yoshi, Bowser, Peach, Wario, Donkey Kong, Pikachu, Charizard, Link, Sonic himself or Megaman in terms of sheer recognizability.

Want: 96%
Aside from Yoshi, Tails is my absolute favourite video game character of all time(yep, even more than Toad and you know how much I defended him). He was the very first character I ever played(my friend owned Sonic 2) and his inclusion would be about the only 3rd party character aside from Pac-Man I could give a flying fox about. I'd settle for Assist Trophy though.

Although my want is this high it's purely because I love the character and his inclusion brings out a lot of hype for me personally. I don't think his inclusion is a good idea however, similarly I didn't think Snake, Sonic or Megaman were good ideas.
I'd rather have a roster with Nintendo fillers first before getting any 3rd party characters if I'm totally honest.

But if any of the currently revealed 3rd parties deserve a second character at all, it's Sonic, and if that's the case I sure as hell want only the best option from that series, which I believe Tails is; he uses machinery like Eggman, but can also get down and dirty with fighting like Sonic.
He's also not a shameless attempt to appeal to the teenage market like Shadow or to a far lesser extent Knuckles were.

Travis Touchdown predictin: 1.2%
Too violent, too sweary for this sweet little game. Still one of the best Wii protagonists out there though.

Nominations:
Mario Series Newcomer X 5
 

BluePikmin11

Akko is my dear daughter!
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Tails Chance: 1.4%
Tails Want: 75% He's a cool character in SSF2, though he wouldn't bring anything real unique in the offiicial games.
Travis Touchdown Prediction: 4.3%
Nominations:
Prince Sable x5
 

Sid-cada

Smash Lord
Joined
Jan 19, 2013
Messages
1,784
Tails

Chance - 0% - I don't think were getting a second character from the same third party. No matter who they are, they're getting a flat 0% from me.

Want - 0% - I'll admit that I kind of like Tails. However, a second character from the same third party is just something I can never agree with. While I'd like him in somehow, it's not as a playable character. That's what Assist Trophies are for, after all.


Travis Touchdown Prediction - 1.87% - Clashes a bit much with what most people would associate with Smash Brothers.

Nominations
Hades X3
Dark Matter X2
 

Starcutter

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Tails 5% if sakuri wants another sonic character, or if sega wants another sonic character, or if ANYONE important wants another sonic character, this is the go-to character.

Want: 75% I like him, he's my favorite sonic character.

(also gosh darn it can't find that one pic of tails from sonic lost world after he gets kidnapped. darn it would be the best pic to post here today)

TT - 0.87%

Noms:
Eevee x5
 

BlitznBurst

Smash Ace
Joined
Jun 25, 2013
Messages
723
Tails chances: 1%. He definitely has a far bigger chance than Knuckles, but... that's not exactly saying much. At least unlike Knuckles Sonic Team treat Tails like he actually matters. That's something at least.

Want: 10%. He shouldn't be in the game in the first place, and Tails isn't one of my favourite Sonic characters. I'd much rather have Eggman, but he's more boss material than anything else.

Travis prediction: 1%. Yeah I don't think so
 

Aqua Rock X

Smash Ace
Joined
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Messages
717
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Tennessee
TAILS

Chance: 1% - Sakurai has made it clear that 3rd party characters are a special situation so I don't think we will get many from one 3rd party company

Want: 30% - I'm not opposed to a second Sonic character, but what could he bring to the table?

Travis Prediction: .09% - I think Cole might have to move over...

Nominations:
Nintendog x5
 

loganhogan

Smash Ace
Joined
Dec 22, 2011
Messages
816
Tails
1% chance If they picked a 2nd Sonic character I think it would be him.
0% want I like Tails I just don't like the idea of 2 Sonic characters.

x5 Tiny Kong
 

DarkKry4

Smash Ace
Joined
Oct 16, 2006
Messages
517
Tails

Chance - 0%

Want - 60%
i'm fond of tails more than Sonic

Travis - 1.3%

x5 Tiny Kong
 

colder_than_ice

Smash Lord
Joined
Jan 7, 2013
Messages
1,331
Tails
Chance: 5% - It's very unlikely that a third-party series will get two reps, but Tails would be the most likely choice if it does happen.
Want: 22% - I wouldn't mind to much, but there are many other characters that I'd like to see more.

Travis Touchdown prediction: 1.6%

Nominations: Eevee x5
 

Groose

Smash Champion
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Tails Chance: 10%
Some of you may say that a third-party company could never have two characters. To that, I say...

It's a major licensing issue when third-parties are introduced, right? Nintendo has to not only work out a deal with a third-party character that may or may not involve some exchange of money, but they also have to keep said third-party informed so that they are satisfied with the use of their character. Every company they have to talk to just increases the hassle.​
HOWEVER! It would be easier for Nintendo to get a second character from one third-party company than to get one each from two different companies. Why? They must already be in the process of negotiations; if they really wanted to, it wouldn't be overly difficult to acquire the licence for TWO characters. Now, Capcom and Namco don't have two characters to offer; SEGA does in Tails. He's probably more iconic than any Nintendo character not in the game, and he is still in use today; SEGA could always use the advertising for him. Additionally, the Sonic fanbase, curse their immaturity, is very vocal; Tails would definitely have an audience.​
Tails is not only the obvious second Sonic choice (Robotnik is awkward when it comes to fighting and would make a better boss; Knuckles and the other pals just don't have the recurrence and importance), but the obvious second SEGA choice. Who are you going to add in over him? AiAi or Amigo? They're not legendary--Tails is. I personally doubt we'll see two of any third-party company just because third-party slots are limited as a whole, but Tails is definitely among the most likely third-parties left... even more likely than the one we're rating tomorrow.​
Tails Want: 25%
Eh. I'd prefer this game to focus on Nintendo. While characters that sold Nintendo systems without being owned by Nintendo (Mega Man) or characters that were rivals to Nintendo (Sonic) are welcome, Tails doesn't scream Nintendo to me. Also, while I always did like Tails as a character, I was never a huge fan like I was with Knuckles or the hedgehog himself. Still, I wouldn't be too heartbroken to see him.​
It's interesting: until about two months ago, I was starkly against any second Sonic character, even Knuckles. Now I have to admit: I wouldn't mind Tails too much. Heh. Times and taste change, y'know?​
Tingle x5
Travis Touchdown: 3.42%
We put the smackdown on Solid Snake for being "too mature" despite the fact that he was quite kid-friendly in Brawl. Travis is even more "mature" than Snake, so I'm just not seeing him doing well. Still, he's pretty "Nintendo," so he won't be utterly obliviated.​
DAY OVER

HE'S AT THE 30... THE 20... THE 10... HE'S IN FOR A...
 
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