K Rool:
I guess I'll start with him...
Chance: 29%
I was going to be very pessimistic about his chances, but I've thought about the possibility of some sort of final reveal of hype explosions (and as usual, my opinion on Dixie's chances has decreased a lot right after we rated her). His popularity alone continues to keep him from falling too low. But like I said, popularity alone. Kremlings are in Smash Run? Cool? Remember what we went over on the Chorus Men's day? And the Ice Climbers?
Well it's even worse for K Rool, as those are separate series, and these are just the most iconic DK mini-villains (what's the word for that?), and have the same representation as the Tiki enemies.
So honestly, there are no hints. None.
I'm pretty sure someone tried to call a picture of Yoshi and some villains on the Boxing Arena a hint. And I don't think I need to say anything else about that... So what else was there? Not only is he not getting hinted by Sakurai, despite being such a major candidate, but he's also getting little to no attention from "leakers". Fake leaks, real leaks, text leaks, and undetermined leaks... I haven't seen K Rool anywhere. Mewtwo and Ridley are on every other one. And even Dixie is too. Often I'll see Impa, Chorus Kids, Wolf, Ice Climbers, and even Mach Rider too. He's in a more similar situation to Isaac at this point, if anything. A character who's been living on with what the majority considers to be high chances because of popularity.
Man, I started at 49% when I began to write his section, but kept on convincing myself it wasn't that likely, sorry K Rool, but now it looks like I'm giving you only 29%
Want: 75%
I was going to give him higher, but there are others I want to see first. If we knew there was only one character left, I'd probably be giving him less than 50%... But he seems so... worth it. Characters are popular for reasons. And this is the game that Nintendo characters belong in. It's too bad he hasn't been appearing in other games he's belonged in recently...
Before I go on... man, BluePikmin has another text leak pre-ESRB photos?
Well I don't think others have had access to the final roster, just the one we've seen, for the most part.
But I'm considering it enough that I took off 20% from Mewtwo (I guess DLC does make sense after all) and 10% from Ridley.
Ridley:
Chance: 62%
This isn't your every day maybe 50/50 slightly in his favor.
There's so much going for him, and so much going against him.
So I'll just talk about new stuff. We all know the old stuff. Seriously, it's been 1 year and 2 weeks since Pyrosphere was revealed (unless I'm remembering wrong and it was the 28th instead of the 20th).
It's just... the hype. False hype, or real hype, I don't know right now. But Sakurai has been against false hype before. The 2 most notable recent cases being Takamaru and Ghirahim. Two of my most wanted characters... I thought they were so likely... Ugh, he showed their true fate off perfectly, but that didn't keep me from getting salty. Takamaru was revealed an assist the Pic after (or the one after that) Mysterious Murasame Castle was revealed for the E-shop, their was a lot of excitement that this would lead to him being playable, but Sakurai ended that before the hype could get fully started up. He was even smarter when it came to Ghirahim. That Friday he showed off a pic explaining songs, including new ones/remixes (and updated the website with songs) and the example he used was Skyloft/Ghirahim's Theme iirc. This would have definitely caused a lot of Ghirahim hype, but the day before that... he was confirmed an assist trophy. False hype avoided. Now, let's put this on a much
larger scale, Ridley is the most requested character from the West, where I believe there is more Smash speculation and sales... easily more fans altogether, right? (maybe not, I'm asking) and has been being brought up, teased, given a lot of evidence to support him, etc for over a year now. Many are hyped for Ridley, if he's not in, how should have Sakurai have deconfirmed him? By revealing him as a Stage Hazard during a small clip in the trailer(s) at E3. Even if it looked unfinished like Wily's Castle/Yellow Devil. There was so much excitement over the new game, and getting Mega Man, and all the others. Big 'ol Ridley would have been small news. But he didn't do that. Now, lets say Sakurai was just in a troll mood that day in August, and described him instead of revealing him, what should he have done after that?
1. Almost never show that stage to keep suspicions low
2. Leak Ridley as a Stage Hazard (Yes, Sakurai leaking something
) maybe in a picture that also shows a cool veteran that's obvious but wouldn't be confirmed until the game is out- Ness. Making some want it to be true. Especially if he did something like bring Lucas back and reveal him using one of Ness's moves that were unique to him- which we wouldn't know was only a custom move all along.
2. Or actually deconfirm him during the Smash Direct, or right after, when everybody was still pretty sure that he was a stage hazard and it being a tease hadn't become a popular theory.
2. Or reveal him the same way I said before, just at E3 2014. Many were already disappointed with Smash at E3 2014 though, this wouldn't have gone as well as the others, but many were preparing themselves for it to happen, even Ike.
(hell, after all this, or even just the teasing he's done himself, it would have taken less time to just add him
)
It's not certain that he's not a stage hazard because of this, but it's 100% fact that if he's not playable, Sakurai had a really dirty, ****ty, slutty way of telling us, and had many better opportunities than prolonging the hope/hype. I'd be shocked if he didn't know that many people still are very sure Ridley is in, and are hyped for his inclusion. I just can't see why he wouldn't add him, he's so iconic, has so many boss fights to take moves from, he's so requested, he's everything and he's the main villain from a series that has always been lacking representation, and this is for a game that lacks villains (I'd say always again, but Brawl had a good villain selection imo). Hell, it looks like we're losing a villain, not to mention that's what all 3 of these characters are... considered (Mewtwo isn't usually a villain iirc). He made more sense than anybody. Even Shulk. Even Little Mac. Even Miis. Even my favorites like Rosalina. I'm not biased enough to say she deserved to be playable more than he did. Even many of the veterans, too, and leaked characters, and cut characters, and K Rool! That's just why it's so hard to grasp the possibility that he's not in.
Wait, I have one more thing in his favor. People have been replying to those that say that Ridley could be on the final roster, even though he wasn't on the leak. They say that a character like Ridley, who could be considered scary to little kids, would have to be shown off to the ESRB, and him not being in the leak proves he's not playable. But like when we saw Tom Nook, Dark Pit, and G&W... where some saw it as a possible confirmation and others saw it as a possible deconfirmation, it meant they were in the game somehow 100%. Instead of being playable, Tom Nook was considered likely to be an assist, and Dark Pit was seen likely to be a special alt for Pit, or even a stage hazard. Nobody was saying "nah, they won't even be in the game"
Ridley's Shadow could only result in 2 things.
1. Playable Ridley
2. Stage Hazard Ridley
While you can already see where I'm going, I'm going to expand on it.
Whether Ridley ends up playable or a stage hazard, he'll have a full in-game render. He'll also have a trophy. Maybe even more than 1, but this (assuming he's a stage hazard) render could easily be what they use for his trophy. Now, Pyrosphere isn't in the 3ds version, the one with the leaks, but Ridley would have a trophy in that version too. It's not just obvious because he's the 2nd most important character in Nintendo's 6th most important franchise, but because he's built into the game already. He'd have a trophy anyways, he did in Brawl. And he's only become more iconic, well-known, and necessary since then.
What I want to say is, we see all of those pictures of trophies that were there to idk... decide the rating and possibly make it T, or just add another thing to the list next to the rating that nobody ever looks at (well at least I know I don't) like "possible sexual... trophies" I don't know. But Ridley wasn't there and that settles that. He's not too scary to keep away from the ESRB, I don't really disagree with the theory that Sakurai didn't see a leak coming, he might have expected it. And from what I've heard, it's not necessary to get the game rated by the ESRB at all. I can't remember, but I think I heard it was usually done by major companies for something like making it look more official or some sort of publicity but it probably also does what it seems to be there for, make it easier to select appropriate games for a child, or choose something you'd like. Also heard Indie developers almost never get their games rated. Don't quote me on any of that though.
Also, thinking about that leak, there really does have to be more characters I think. 49 can't be it, the leak was from a video, and you can't unlock characters with a video. It probably wouldn't have had a lock in the leak if they were showing the full selection. I just don't see why they would do that. What would be the point of showing the unfinished all-star screen then showing the full roster right after that? I'm not holding much weight into that anymore. There are a lot of Ninka knock-offs, I'm just surprised it got the attention it seems to have gotten when it was just a text leak. But it was right.
Want: 99%
It feels necessary.
Definitely needed, the quality of this game would multiply. I'm not personally attached, he just needs to be in.
I'd love if he had a flying mechanic that was either like Project M Mewtwo's float, Peach's float, or something similar to R.O.B.'s recovery. This type of fighter hasn't been covered yet. Basically, a heavy aerial fighter. A combination of great recovery, a flying/floating mechanic, far range, slow ground movement, and maybe to take this further, maybe a reverse Little Mac- he'd have powerful, ranged attacks in the air involving stuff like his tail (comparable to Mewtwo and Peach) but weaker attacks on the ground mostly involving projectiles of Fire (comparable to Mega Man). That type of character would be very interesting imo, I love fighting from the air. It'd be nice to have a character where that's what you're supposed to do, and could be a good start for learning aerial fighting in Smash 4 for other characters.
Wow, that was way too big.
Mewtwo:
Phew... I'm tired now.
I'll probably have to make it short.
Along with Link and Zelda, Mewtwo was my favorite character to use for fun in Melee. During the short time I was able to play it... He was easily my most played. He just looked so cool. I couldn't get over how cool he looked. I'd play with items just to see him hold them.
Chance: 63%
I was going to give 75%, then 55%, and now I'm giving 63%
Obviously it's pretty hard to tell what's going on right now, keeping up with all of these different leaks. Some not being connected, some coming later, some before?
But if there's a character that makes more sense than Ridley, it's Mewtwo. He's even more popular. And has Eastern popularity. Hell he might even be more popular there, Pokemon is bigger there I think. And he's easily the 3rd most popular Pokemon, Pikachu being the 1st and Charizard being the 2nd. I'd call Lucario the 4th and Greninja the 5th atm, and while they were already the most popular of their generation, Smash probably helped... a lot.
As for Mewtwo, well, popularity matters. The next big thing matters. Movies matter. Recency matters.
He has everything and that doesn't need to be argued. But to add a point that could go against him, is Greninja getting picked by design. I don't know when the concept of Mega Evolutions even came up in development of X and Y. How could I? I don't know if they'd even ask to look at them. But I guess he'd probably come up no matter what, and what his role would be. Sakurai already has added him to Smash as a full, unique character. He doesn't have some sort of bias against him, and neither would Game Freak or the Pokemon company, he's so advertise-able, his popularity=$$$... what's not to like in their perspective? Returning to Smash would not only help Smash, but would make Mewtwo even more popular than he already is, and GF/Poke company could use that for whatever they want. Really, it's a win-win-win situation.
Pokemon developers win.
Smash developers win.
Fans win.
He should be in the game, and should have been revealed a while ago, before Lucario and Greninja. Once those 2 were confirmed suddenly a bunch of people didn't like him and there were Mewtwo detractors everywhere- I swear, I can't remember seeing one of those before 2014
Want: 99%
And I'm not one of them. Mewtwo really should return, I doubt he'd be like he was in Melee, but I'd be so hyped if he was!
They could just increase his speed and power a little bit and that'd be good enough, c'mon it'd be so easy, developers! You don't need to think of anything new! All that needs to be done is modeling everything in!... which is probably the hardest part that takes the most time. But still, you can't yank such a major character out of Smash like that, not cool, you leave people expecting their return. Many don't expect some of the other major contenders, but almost all of us at some point expected Mewtwo's return to some extent, yes?
Predictions:
RTC Ending: 100%
Rating Satisfaction Soon: 100%
Roster Disappointment: 101%
x666 Hades Satisfaction
Groose should do a Phoenix Wirght post for the final day, for ol' times sake.
and Dark 
(Best I can do for King K. Rool)
