Summer is now over and despite the patch cycle's best efforts thus far to obfuscate, we're starting to have a relatively good indication where most of the cast hails near at this stage of the meta, the range and consistency of selections in the survey this time around has allowed me show a lot more than what a mass of "top fifteen" and "bottom ten" characters would inherently result in. Not much movement or shake up has happened at the polar ends of the scale, the top ten was almost unanimous in appearance, just like last time. Unlike last time though the criteria was a bit clearer; there was strictly a 1111 focus in ratings. This included Miis; for a majority of participants this is the rulings used for events they attend.
Although we're past the busiest season we're still bound to see a continuation of tournaments happening all times of the week, but feasibly with a bit less turnout at local level.The largest and most important tournament of the season was Evo, which although donning a rule set choice a fair portion did not support, showed that we are capable of trialing major rule set changes without damaging our game or community; it will forever be a mostly positive precedent.
Big tournaments are still going to happen, Paragon this weekend and probably a few other Summer wraps up I'm not aware of that could instantly invalidate this~ But looming in the now not too distant future is Apex2016 (you know things are bad when it's getting to look a lot like Christmas... in department stores). It will be the next opportunity for Japan, most auspiciously Ranai with his first visit, and more of Europe and the Americas to attempt to wow and humble us; it would be astounding if more nations came to shake up the North America dominant Smash4 establishment. The likelihood of version three of this project preceding is pretty high so I'll avoid going into other details like how Winter major events should be in California (or places it doesn't snow), but right now for what's the first time since Mewtwo's release we are not too sure of what's over the horizon from Nintendo patching or releasing new content.
We're alone.... for now. But we should stay vigilant for new challenges ahead
As always a HYPER important reminder: I'm covering the entire cast, however who and how the participants were asked to rate things was not for a tier list. While I can confidently say the poles are a solid reflection of consensus, the rest is intended to be for show and for interest's sake, hopefully showing a correlation with our growing understanding of the entire cast's power in relation to others.
Version 1 (July 18th)
Greatest Threats
Inconclusive / Outliers (unordered)
Perceived Underwhelming (unordered)
Result Synopsis
I hope the titling "Inconclusive / Outliers" makes sense, characters here either did not appear, were too infrequent or had small mixtures of both high and low opinions. those which did not appear this time were: Bowser Jr, Mr G&W, Greninja, Ike and Pacman; Pacman being the only character doing this consecutively.
As mentioned, nearly all the top ten appeared unanimously. Yoshi and Falcon appeared in just under 90% of lists and fifteenth ended cleanly with Wario appearing in over half. The reason I did not put the aforementioned two with the top ten was just because of the notable shift of average and median placement from those above. The top ten were mostly bounded within that area, usually seeing a majority of votes within a range of 3 to 4 spots. For the next version I'll likely expand the upper range, as most of it now seems to be a very solidified area at this point of time. The next three characters have featured in both versions, appearing in at least a quarter of lists, this with the combination of Olimar dropping out of 'core' was my justification for expanding the literal spots. The next five(ish) characters, notably Pit who did not maintain the same level of confidence as last time, rounded off infrequent but still clear positive ratings for them within top fifteen.
Bottom ten was clean this time in terms of frequency, unlike last time which tenth was a tie. Those original eleven characters were 71% of the ballot, this time the clear 9 characters were 65%, and although the tenth was slightly closer to the higher eight it wrapped up the ten with 70% of the ballot. There were 8 extra characters in the original that took up 92% (w/19) and this time 93% (w/18). Miis, despite their heavy restrictions were mostly on the lower end of frequency, possibly a result of a lot uncertainty, as they are excessively rare characters in tournament in this "meta". The extra eight in both instances though have been quite different in listed characters, many of them having received buffs in the patch that proceeded or acquired some important exposure that swayed thoughts; this is the most volatile area of opinion between versions thus far, although this chaos isn't painting an accurate picture of much, I hope it's interesting.
Credits
We grew in size of participants and welcome the contributions of Reflex, NAKAT, Cyve, Mr. Concon and Mr.R. Expanded European contribution is great and I have ambitions in seeing if bridges can be built to other regions and nations as well in the future (still low on Midwest within the US!). For all participants though, thank you again =)
Even if I wouldn't call this a tier list, if I were to look at it like one I would be pretty happy with the results of our efforts and hope the community enjoy the progress we're all making with Smash4's metagame. Many of the participants are open about what they think personally and some are putting explanations in videos and other media through their various channels, you should check them out.
As necessary, if you don't know me, I'm Shaya, a long-term Smash community member and and pride myself on meta knowledge and science, and I manage the liaising and logistics of this project~
You also can follow me on Twitter and pass this around there if you like it :D
Dabuz - Seagull Joe - Esam - NAKAT - MrConCon - Mr-R - RichBrown - Xzax Kasrani
LarryLurr - TheReflexWonder - 6WX - Espy Rose - MVD - J.Miller - 8Bitman - CYVE - AeroLink - NickRiddle
and Rayquaza07, who may get a Twitter account sometime :D
Although we're past the busiest season we're still bound to see a continuation of tournaments happening all times of the week, but feasibly with a bit less turnout at local level.The largest and most important tournament of the season was Evo, which although donning a rule set choice a fair portion did not support, showed that we are capable of trialing major rule set changes without damaging our game or community; it will forever be a mostly positive precedent.
Big tournaments are still going to happen, Paragon this weekend and probably a few other Summer wraps up I'm not aware of that could instantly invalidate this~ But looming in the now not too distant future is Apex2016 (you know things are bad when it's getting to look a lot like Christmas... in department stores). It will be the next opportunity for Japan, most auspiciously Ranai with his first visit, and more of Europe and the Americas to attempt to wow and humble us; it would be astounding if more nations came to shake up the North America dominant Smash4 establishment. The likelihood of version three of this project preceding is pretty high so I'll avoid going into other details like how Winter major events should be in California (or places it doesn't snow), but right now for what's the first time since Mewtwo's release we are not too sure of what's over the horizon from Nintendo patching or releasing new content.
We're alone.... for now. But we should stay vigilant for new challenges ahead
As always a HYPER important reminder: I'm covering the entire cast, however who and how the participants were asked to rate things was not for a tier list. While I can confidently say the poles are a solid reflection of consensus, the rest is intended to be for show and for interest's sake, hopefully showing a correlation with our growing understanding of the entire cast's power in relation to others.
Version 1 (July 18th)
Greatest Threats
(±0) (+3) (±0) (±0) (-3) (±0) (±0) (+3) (-1) (-1)
(-1) (+1) (+2) (-2) (+3) (±0) (-3) (-1)
Notable (unordered): (**) (**) (**) [](↓)(**)
(-1) (+1) (+2) (-2) (+3) (±0) (-3) (-1)
Notable (unordered): (**) (**) (**) [](↓)(**)
Inconclusive / Outliers (unordered)
Perceived Underwhelming (unordered)
(↑) (↓)(↑)
(**)
(**)
1. Sheik
2. Zero Suit Samus
3. Pikachu
4. Luigi
5. Rosalina & Luma
6. Fox
7. Sonic
8. Diddy Kong
9. Mario
10. Ness
11. Yoshi
12. Captain Falcon
13. Meta Knight
14. R.O.B.
15. Wario
16. Villager
17. Olimar & Alph & Pikmins
18. Lucario
19≈23. Donkey Kong, Megaman, Peach, Pits, Ryu
24≈34. Bowser Jr., Falco, Mr. Game & Watch, Greninja, Ike, Kirby, Marth, Pacman, Robin, Roy, Toon Link
35≈36. Bowser, Little Mac
37≈44. King Dedede, Charizard, Duck Hunt, Link, Lucas, Mii Brawler, Mii Swordsman, Shulk
45. Lucina
46≈54. Dr. Mario, Ganondorf, Jigglypuff, Mewtwo, Mii Gunner, Palutena, Samus, Wii Fit Trainer, Zelda
2. Zero Suit Samus
3. Pikachu
4. Luigi
5. Rosalina & Luma
6. Fox
7. Sonic
8. Diddy Kong
9. Mario
10. Ness
11. Yoshi
12. Captain Falcon
13. Meta Knight
14. R.O.B.
15. Wario
16. Villager
17. Olimar & Alph & Pikmins
18. Lucario
19≈23. Donkey Kong, Megaman, Peach, Pits, Ryu
24≈34. Bowser Jr., Falco, Mr. Game & Watch, Greninja, Ike, Kirby, Marth, Pacman, Robin, Roy, Toon Link
35≈36. Bowser, Little Mac
37≈44. King Dedede, Charizard, Duck Hunt, Link, Lucas, Mii Brawler, Mii Swordsman, Shulk
45. Lucina
46≈54. Dr. Mario, Ganondorf, Jigglypuff, Mewtwo, Mii Gunner, Palutena, Samus, Wii Fit Trainer, Zelda
Result Synopsis
I hope the titling "Inconclusive / Outliers" makes sense, characters here either did not appear, were too infrequent or had small mixtures of both high and low opinions. those which did not appear this time were: Bowser Jr, Mr G&W, Greninja, Ike and Pacman; Pacman being the only character doing this consecutively.
As mentioned, nearly all the top ten appeared unanimously. Yoshi and Falcon appeared in just under 90% of lists and fifteenth ended cleanly with Wario appearing in over half. The reason I did not put the aforementioned two with the top ten was just because of the notable shift of average and median placement from those above. The top ten were mostly bounded within that area, usually seeing a majority of votes within a range of 3 to 4 spots. For the next version I'll likely expand the upper range, as most of it now seems to be a very solidified area at this point of time. The next three characters have featured in both versions, appearing in at least a quarter of lists, this with the combination of Olimar dropping out of 'core' was my justification for expanding the literal spots. The next five(ish) characters, notably Pit who did not maintain the same level of confidence as last time, rounded off infrequent but still clear positive ratings for them within top fifteen.
Bottom ten was clean this time in terms of frequency, unlike last time which tenth was a tie. Those original eleven characters were 71% of the ballot, this time the clear 9 characters were 65%, and although the tenth was slightly closer to the higher eight it wrapped up the ten with 70% of the ballot. There were 8 extra characters in the original that took up 92% (w/19) and this time 93% (w/18). Miis, despite their heavy restrictions were mostly on the lower end of frequency, possibly a result of a lot uncertainty, as they are excessively rare characters in tournament in this "meta". The extra eight in both instances though have been quite different in listed characters, many of them having received buffs in the patch that proceeded or acquired some important exposure that swayed thoughts; this is the most volatile area of opinion between versions thus far, although this chaos isn't painting an accurate picture of much, I hope it's interesting.
Credits
We grew in size of participants and welcome the contributions of Reflex, NAKAT, Cyve, Mr. Concon and Mr.R. Expanded European contribution is great and I have ambitions in seeing if bridges can be built to other regions and nations as well in the future (still low on Midwest within the US!). For all participants though, thank you again =)
Even if I wouldn't call this a tier list, if I were to look at it like one I would be pretty happy with the results of our efforts and hope the community enjoy the progress we're all making with Smash4's metagame. Many of the participants are open about what they think personally and some are putting explanations in videos and other media through their various channels, you should check them out.
As necessary, if you don't know me, I'm Shaya, a long-term Smash community member and and pride myself on meta knowledge and science, and I manage the liaising and logistics of this project~
You also can follow me on Twitter and pass this around there if you like it :D
Dabuz - Seagull Joe - Esam - NAKAT - MrConCon - Mr-R - RichBrown - Xzax Kasrani
LarryLurr - TheReflexWonder - 6WX - Espy Rose - MVD - J.Miller - 8Bitman - CYVE - AeroLink - NickRiddle
and Rayquaza07, who may get a Twitter account sometime :D
Last edited: