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Rate Their Chances Returns! Day 194: "Predicting the Direct"

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LoneKonWolf

Lazy Lonely Lurker☕
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tiny kong - 0.001%
. . . I have nothing to say
want - 0%
god no, I want a dk newcomer, but not this
spear user - 35.88%
waddle dee chance score minus a few points off for the off chance a fire emblem guy might use one and done
want - 85%
100% for waddle dee
50% for anyone else
= 75%
+ 10% because spears are cool,
done 85 %
young link - 0.05%
huh, were finally doing him huh? took long enough tough too bad he's probably not even going to make 1%
nominations:
insta.gif
X5
 

Mega Bidoof

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Tiny Kong Prediction - 0%
Please no. Just no Sakurai.

Tiny Kong Want - 0%
Sweet Hylia no.

Spear User Prediction - 35%
While it would be cool and bring something new to the table, no one really sticks out as a possible newcomer.
Except Bandana Dee, but Kirby doesnt really need a newcomer this time around.

Spear User Want - 90%
YES! I just don't know who....


Nomination - While seeing how Tiny Kong went from being a small child ape in DK64 to a teenager in recent titles. i would have to wonder how an older Kiddy Kong would be.
So x5 older Kiddy Kong

EDIT: Forgot to do Young Link. Derp :p

Young Link: 5%
Maybe through DLC if Sakurai does some sort of "Melee Cuts" DLC.
Though he would be awesome if he comes back in Masked Link team of Young/Deku/Goron/Zora Link with a Fierce Deity Final Smash!
 
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Starcutter

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7,221
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Viridian Forest
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1908-0357-9077
Tiny: no. Zip. Nothing%

Spear user: 30%
Want 60%

YL: 2.3%

Noms
Stork x5 (little help here plz)
 

Gunla

It's my bit, you see.
Administrator
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Tiny Kong

Pros
-...This is really hard, seriously?
Cons
-Dixie Kong is a far more prevalant version of her. And the original as well.
-King K Rool and Cranky are ahead of her in any poll or any logical statement.
-She's a rehash of Dixie.
How does Tiny Kong lose?
Because there's too many better Kongs. Even Funky.

OVERALL CHANCE:
.5%
Want: 00.00%- I'd want Dixie. I'd be pretty disappointed.

Spear User (You mean Bandana Dee, right? :troll:)
If we get a spear user, it's Bandana Dee. If we don't get Bandana Dee, there's other shots. And BD may not always use his spear (I mean he can represent the whole Dedede army!) but BD is likely. But this is a generalized rating.
For reference, I gave BD a 90% last time, but this time I have to account others like Ephiram.
OVERALL CHANCE:
50%
Want: Bandana Freaking Waddle Dee. And I like spears. 100.00%

A Link to the Nope

I pushed this one on the top on purpose. We have 2 Links already, a third is not only blatantly unique but UNORIGINAL, something Sakurai would not take into account.
.6% for the guy who plays the DLC card.

Nominating Stork X5 because why not?
 

McDuckletts

Smash Ace
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509
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Cloud Cuckooland
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3DS FC
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Chance: 0%
An irrelevant Dixie Kong clone getting in before the original? Yeah, nah.
Want: 0%
You remember what I said about me not being against any DK character yesterday? Yeah, I was thinking about Tiny Kong when I said that. Tiny Kong is without a doubt my least favorite DK character, even more so than even Kiddy! She's too similar to Dixie, her voice was incredibly annoying in DK64, and I hate hate HATE her Diddy Kong Racing DS redesign. So yeah, seeing her in Smash would just make me feel incredibly dead inside, especially if she got in before K. Rool. I might just not even get this game if that was the case...Nah I would probably still get it. BUT I WON'T LIKE IT.

Spear User:
Bandanna Dee chance: 30%
Any other character known for using spears: 10%
So 40% chance it is!
Want: 100%
I'm all up for more weapon variety.

Young Link: 0.74%

Nom: PT Pokemon (no trainer) X5
 

Mega Bidoof

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Tiny Kong

Pros
-...This is really hard, seriously?
Cons
-Dixie Kong is a far more prevalant version of her. And the original as well.
-King K Rool and Cranky are ahead of her in any poll or any logical statement.
-She's a rehash of Dixie.
How does Tiny Kong lose?
Because there's too many better Kongs. Even Funky.

OVERALL CHANCE:
.5%
Want: 00.00%- I'd want Dixie. I'd be pretty disappointed.

Spear User (You mean Bandana Dee, right? :troll:)
If we get a spear user, it's Bandana Dee. If we don't get Bandana Dee, there's other shots. And BD may not always use his spear (I mean he can represent the whole Dedede army!) but BD is likely. But this is a generalized rating.
For reference, I gave BD a 90% last time, but this time I have to account others like Ephiram.
OVERALL CHANCE:
50%
Want: Bandana Freaking Waddle Dee. And I like spears. 100.00%

A Link to the Nope

I pushed this one on the top on purpose. We have 2 Links already, a third is not only blatantly unique but UNORIGINAL, something Sakurai would not take into account.
.6% for the guy who plays the DLC card.

Nominating Stork X5 because why not?
Sorry to tell you this, but King Dedede already represents the entire Dedede army. :troll:
 

KingofPhantoms

The Spook Factor
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Feb 12, 2013
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Southern California
3DS FC
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Tiny Kong - 1%

Even compared to Funky she has a very skinny chance.

Want 40%

Could be cool I guess.

Spear User - 45%

Most likely would Bandana Dee or a character from Fire Emblem.

Want - 80%

Could open up some interesting new playstyle possibilities.

Young Link Prediction - 0.3%

I pray it is no higher than this. Pichu should be happy about it.

Playable Master Hand x5.
 

DarkKry4

Smash Ace
Joined
Oct 16, 2006
Messages
517
Tiny Kong

Chance- 0%



Want - 100%
I've always liked her redesign. It made her more different than her sister. She seems like she would (in theory) be a fast and nimble character and those are my favorite types of characters to play. Nintendo should include her and her sister as a duo at least maybe once. Kinda weird they still haven't made this association more apparent.

I also like characters who wear beanies!




Spear User

Chance - 30%
not too sure it will happen

Want - 50%
I'm very indifferent.




Young Link - 0.5%
 

loganhogan

Smash Ace
Joined
Dec 22, 2011
Messages
816
Tiny
chance 4% Tiny name tiny chance
want 65%

Spear fighter
chance 25%
Want 90%

Sheriffx3
Isa Jo x2

predict 2%
 

Groose

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Villanova
Some of you may have noticed that my location is listed as "Philadelphia."

Some of you may have noticed that a massive snow and ice storm recently hit that specific area. Over 500,000 power outages, I think the number was?

I am, in fact, one of those power outages. All I have is a Gameboy Advance SP, a car, and a Gameboy Advance SP charger. Nuzlocking Sapphire and plowing through DKC2 again is about all I can do; it'll be about all I can die until Saturday or Sunday, which is when I'm supposed to get power back.

In other words, I have no Internet. I'm currently out "borrowing" some. In this state, I cannot update this game--heck, I have problems even viewing it. So, for the next few days, I am declaring a state of emergency. I need another manager to update the day once or thrice.

@ LoneKonWolf LoneKonWolf is our "Emergency Manager," per the Special Thanks of the OP. I'm hoping that he can help take things over for a few days. Aside from him, @Brawler610 should also be capable of pitching in if need be. If neither of these two can step it up, then I give permission to pretty much anyone classified as a "regular" to help out. Whatever happens, I fear we will need a moderator's help, perhaps @ FalKoopa FalKoopa if possible.

Anyway, happy Smashing! I'll be getting back to my Nuzlocke now! If you need to ask any questions... I can't see them! Unhelpful hobo Phoenix gif here
 

LoneKonWolf

Lazy Lonely Lurker☕
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Some of you may have noticed that my location is listed as "Philadelphia."

Some of you may have noticed that a massive snow and ice storm recently hit that specific area. Over 500,000 power outages, I think the number was?

I am, in fact, one of those power outages. All I have is a Gameboy Advance SP, a car, and a Gameboy Advance SP charger. Nuzlocking Sapphire and plowing through DKC2 again is about all I can do; it'll be about all I can die until Saturday or Sunday, which is when I'm supposed to get power back.

In other words, I have no Internet. I'm currently out "borrowing" some. In this state, I cannot update this game--heck, I have problems even viewing it. So, for the next few days, I am declaring a state of emergency. I need another manager to update the day once or thrice.

@ LoneKonWolf LoneKonWolf is our "Emergency Manager," per the Special Thanks of the OP. I'm hoping that he can help take things over for a few days. Aside from him, @Brawler610 should also be capable of pitching in if need be. If neither of these two can step it up, then I give permission to pretty much anyone classified as a "regular" to help out. Whatever happens, I fear we will need a moderator's help, perhaps @ FalKoopa FalKoopa if possible.

Anyway, happy Smashing! I'll be getting back to my Nuzlocke now! If you need to ask any questions... I can't see them! Unhelpful hobo Phoenix gif here
don't worry mate i got ya in your time of need, Just be safe out there alright mate.
will need a mod help with the OP seeing how i can'tupdate it,
i'll just go by groose's update schedule for today, post while you can mates
 
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FalKoopa

Rainbow Waifu
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Don't worry, I'm happy to help, @ Groose Groose and @ LoneKonWolf LoneKonWolf .

I'll take care of updating the OP and the nominations list.

Oh, and be safe, Groose. Hope everything goes back to normal quickly.
 
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FalKoopa

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Oh, I have a bit of a problem.

I won't be able to get in front of my computer for about the next 12 hours, so the update will be late. It's almost impossible to do it from a phone. My apologies.
 
D

Deleted member

Guest
Alright, we have some problems, eh?

Since FalKoopa is unable to edit the OP until tomorrow tonight, then the day will end tomorrow tonight. I will take everyone's chance and want scores and compile them.

As for a time period… hmm… I am unsure when the day will end (8 PM!). @ LoneKonWolf LoneKonWolf and @ FalKoopa FalKoopa , I will PM you guys and see when will be the best time for us to end the day.

I nominated Tiny Kong :D (with LoganHogan's help)

don't know who did Spear User though :(
Chandelure did.
 
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LoneKonWolf

Lazy Lonely Lurker☕
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Alright, we have some problems, eh?

Since FalKoopa is unable to edit the OP until tomorrow, then the day will end tomorrow (unless another moderator wants to step in and help). I will take everyone's chance and want scores tomorrow and compile them.

As for a time period… hmm… I am unsure when the day will end. @ LoneKonWolf LoneKonWolf and @ FalKoopa FalKoopa , I will PM you guys and see when will be the best time for us to end the day.


Chandelure did.
actually I was just planning to go with groose's schedule and end it in about 5 hours, start a new day, and leave the information that needs to be updated (previous day, todays rating, up for prediction, nominations, ect) in a PM for fal so he can update the OP when available
but eh mate, whatever works, lets just get this thing rolling and not lagged behind
 
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D

Deleted member

Guest
Since FalKoopa is unable to edit the OP until tomorrow, then the day will end tomorrow
I must be drowsy. FalKoopa said that he won't be on for the next 12 hours at 10 AM, meaning he won't get on until 10 PM.

So, my mistake.

The day will end tonight at 8 PM!
 
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Gunla

It's my bit, you see.
Administrator
BRoomer
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If you guys need anything, I'm mostly free to help out.
 

Golden Icarus

Smash Lord
Joined
Oct 4, 2013
Messages
1,129
Location
USA
Tiny Kong
Chance 0%
Dixie.
K. Rool
Cranky.
Want 0%
Nope.

Spear User
Chance:
Abstain?
Not too sure how I would rate this.
Want 50% (neutral)
I really have no opinion.

Young Link prediction 0.4%

Nominations
x5 Professor E. Gadd
We need to rate him. We really do.
That reminds me...
King Boo x5
 
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PK_Wonder

Smash Lord
Joined
Jun 19, 2010
Messages
1,179
TK: 0.1%
Spear User: 15% (slightly more than I give Bandana Dee)

Alexandra Roivas x5
 

LoneKonWolf

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Expecting Groose?

Too Bad!
It's Wolf Time!

I am sorry to say, but at exactly 9:25, Groose has ordered a state of emergency,
meaning he is completely unavailable and unable to do anything for a few days,
but fear not, for that we, the emergency team, have returned to keep this thing running , we'll keep this game going till the sand of time ends,

Me Lonekonwolf, the emergency manager will be your announcer, to help you know when and what things are being played,
Brawler610, our directory manager will keep track of the score and count up the votes to keep things going right,
and Falkoopa, our fellow moderator and colleague who's here to update and keep things running smoothly,
we'll keep this thing running just like the sweet and bitter notes of jazz

so continue at your pace, for this game will not be changing,
it will continue to keep going, intil the hands of time have stoped us,
or till old groose has returned to keep this thing loose,
but till that time comes enjoy the sweet depths of where this game would take us,

groose's day ends here mates, and the next one would start soon,
so let us trio do our thing to continue this way til the days of old return upon us once more
so sit back and enjoy the ride that we will continue,
enjoy it just like the fresh fragrance of dark colored coffee

DAY IS OVER!
RETURN OF GROOSE

GODOT
 

Gunla

It's my bit, you see.
Administrator
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So this is where you went after retiring from Roster Evolution... :troll:
 

LoneKonWolf

Lazy Lonely Lurker☕
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Somewhere with Coffee
Tiny Kong:
Chance: .80%
Want: 14.39%

looks like Dixie's sister. . .just got tinier, her chance doesn't even pull her above 1% making her far below the 100th mark along with being very lowly wanted, but look on the bright side, she's still has a bigger chance than owain
Spear User:
Chance: 35.61%
Want: 66.36%

waddle dee's chance score is 38.06 and his want is 64.26, making this very closely related on him, but still a spear user can be seen happening and seems to be a bit popular idea too, who would have thunk?
today we are rating the last of the veterans, please rate young link in chance and want! also this is a notice, we are rating the young link form melee, not MM link, please rate your post accordingly are his chances smeared by his spiritual successor toon link and being the third link, or does he still have some sort of hope for DLC and the like, and today's concept (which I totally didn't forget) is an stage, please rate an Kirby epic yarn stage in chance and want! will the cuddly warmth of the stage warrant enough for it to be decided?
for our prediction, we are leaving the jungle japes to go to a place a bit more obscure, long forgotten on the virtual boy, please predict how Harry the teleroboxer will reach? and also @Xenigma gets 10! extra nominations for guessing it on the dot! nice job mate
whelp i'm gone now mates
i'll be waiting for the results here. . .
 
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D

Deleted member

Guest
Here are the current nominations:

Unrated Newcomers
X94 Harry (Teleroboxer)
x90 Amaterasu (Okami)
X85 The Great Leon (Star Fox)
x83 Black Mage (Final Fantasy)
x77 Bulborb (Pikmin)
X75 Reyn (Xenoblade)
X75 Plasm Wraith (Pikmin)
X75 Master Hand (Super Smash Bros.)
X65 Panther Caruso (Star Fox)
x65 King Boo (Super Mario Bros.)
x63 Sora (Kingdom Hearts)
x62 Eirkia (Fire Emblem)
x61 Isa Jo (Sin & Punishment)
x60 Diskun (Famicom Disk Drive)
X60 Stork (Yoshi’s Island)
x59 Adam “Authorization” Malkovich (Metroid)
x55 Kunio-Kun/Alex (River City Ransom)
x53 Shantae (Shantae)
x50 Grovyle (Pokemon)
x45 Mallo (Pushmo)
X44 Alexandra Roivas (Eternal Darkness)
x40 Daroach (Kirby)
x37 Sheriff (Arcade)
x35 Gaius (Fire Emblem)
X35 Dry Bowser (Super Mario)
x35 Chef Kawasaki (Kirby)
X35 Hero of Light (Final Fantasy)
X30 Athena Cykes (Ace Attorney)
x30 Marina (Mischief Makers)
x30 Alph (Pikmin)
x26 Batallion Wars Rifle Grunts (Batallion Wars)
x25 Isabelle (Animal Crossing)
x24 Mallow (Super Maro)
x24 N (Pokémon)
x21 Godot (Ace Attorney)
x20 Petey Piranha (Super Mario Bros)
x20 Billy Hatcher (The Giant Egg)
X20 Toadsworth (Super Mario)
x18 Tetra [no transformations] (The Legend of Zelda)
x16 Kumatora (Mother/Earthbound)
X15 Tony (Earthbound)
x15 “X” Protagonist (X)
x15 Mr. Resetti (Animal Crossing)
X15 Kiddy Kong (Donkey Kong)
x12 Star Man (Pro Wrestling)
x12 Tiki (Fire Emblem)
x12 Alph, Brittany, and Charlie (Pikmin)
x11 Wreck-It Ralph! (Wreck-It Ralph!)
x10 Doctor Lobe (Big Brain Academy)
x10 Liquid Snake (Metal Gear)
x10 Jack (Harvest Moon)
x10 Toon Ganondorf (Legend of Zelda)
X10 Happy Mask Salesman (Legend of Zelda)
x10 Dunban (Xenoblade)
X8 Will (Advance Wars)
x7 Imajin (Yumi Komo: Doki Doki Panic)
x7 Rundas (Metroid)
x6 Akari Hayami (Wave Race)
x6 Heracross (Pokemon
x5 Professor E. Gadd (Super Mario)
x5 Leon S. Kennedy (Resident Evil)
X5 Alfonzo (Leave it to Me!)
X5 Gooey and Rick (Kirby)
x5 Wonder Pink (Wonderful 101)
x5 Goomba (Super Mario)
x5 Koopa Troopa (Super Mario)
x5 Grandma (Legend of Zelda)
X5 Pyrrhon (Kid Icarus)
x5 Balloon Fighter (Balloon Fight)
x5 Silver the Hedgehog (Sonic)
X5 Neku (The World Ends With You)
x5 Big Boss (Metal Gear)
x5 Nowi (Fire Emblem)
x5 Ruka Minazuki (Fatal Frame)
x5 Demon King Demise (Legend of Zelda)
X5 Protoman (Mega Man)
x5 Spyro (Spyro)
X5 Chrono (Chrono Trigger)
x5 Hector (Fire Emblem)
X5 Prince Fluff (Kirby)
X5 Magalor (Kirby)
X5 Deku Link (Legend of Zelda)
x5 Cless (Tales of Phantasia)
x5 Giovanni (Pokemon)
X5 Frogger (Frogger)
x5 Zoda (Star Tropics)
x5 Knuckle Joe (Kirby)
x5 Albert Wesker (Resident Evil)
x4 Beedrill (Pokemon)
x4 The Old Man (Legend of Zelda)
x3 Louie (Pikmin)
x3 Zip (FlingSmash)
x3 Viridi (Kid Icarus)
x3 Hammer Bros. (Super Mario)
X2 Galacta Knight (Kirby)
x2 Lara Croft (Tomb Raider)
x2 Ryu Hayabusa (Ninja Gaiden)
x2 Soma Cruz (Some Game)
x2 King Hippo (Punch-Out!!)
x2 9-Volt (WarioWare)
x2 Toon Zelda [no transformations] (The Legend of Zelda)
x2 Jill (Drill Dozer)
x2 Elite Beat Agents (Elite Beat Agents)
x1 Midna (The Legend of Zelda)
x1 Tabuu (Super Smash Bros.)
x1 Little Joe (Punch-Out!!)
x1 K. K. Slider (Animal Crossing)
x1 Terra Bradford (Final Fantasy)
x1 Miku Hinasaki (Fatal Frame/Zero)
x1 Jin Kazame (Tekken)
x1 Ultimate Chimera (Mother)
x1 Prince Peasely (Mario and Luigi)
x1 Darkrai (Pokemon)
x1 Gengar (Pokemon)
X1 Monita (Nintendoland)



Concepts, Stages and Revotes
X71 Kirby’s Epic Yarn Stage
X70 Gyromite Stage
x65 Pac-Man (Pac-Man)
X65 Promoted Assist Trophy
X65 Pokemon Trainer’s Pokemon (no Trainer)
x57 Pokemon Trainer (Pokemon)
x50 No Namco Character
x49 Lyn (Fire Emblem)
x40 Takamaru (Ninja Castle)
X40 Super Mario 3D World Stage
X40 Playable Bosses
x36 Rhythm Heaven Stage
X31 Gangplank Galleon
x30 Little Mac (Punch-Out)
x30 Dixie Kong (Donkey Kong)
x30 Mach Rider (Mach Rider)
x30 Zelda Newcomer
x26 F-Zero Newcomer
x25 Professor Layton (Professor Layton)
X25 Bowser Land
X25 Wolf (Star Fox)
X24 Non-Character Hanafuda Representation
X23 Ridley (Metrioid)
x20 Sinnoh Pokemon Trainer
x20 Meowth (Pokemon)
X20 Porky (Mother)
x20 Two “Retro” Newcomers [Little Mac is not Retro]
x17 Three Fire Emblem Characters
X15 Impa (Legend of Zelda)
x15 Fire Emblem Newcomer (Not Chrom)
X15 Fawful (Super Mario)
X15 Bowser Jr. (Super Mario)
X13 Dark Samus (Metroid)
X13 Toon Zelda/Tetra (Legend of Zelda)
x12 Lip (Panel de Pon)
x12 Dillon (Rolling Western)
x10 SS Zelda
X10 Luigi Series Newcomer
x10 Halberd Stage
x10 Vaati (Legend of Zelda)
X10 Hanafuda Character
x10 Solid Snake (Metal Gear)
X9 Bowser’s Castle Stage
X7 Indie Newcomer
x7 Masked Marth Costume
x6 Clone Newcomers
X5 King Harkinian (Wand of Gamelon) (I refuse to call it a Zelda title)
x5 Porky Forms Day
X5 Chrom [Stance-Based Moveset]
x5 Chibi Robo (Chibi Robo)
X5 Pichu (Pokemon)
x5 JRPG Newcomer
X5 Tails (Sonic)
X5 Lor Starcutter
x5 Ashley (WarioWare)
x5 Mike Jones (StarTropics)
X5 Wario Series Newcomer
X5 Wario Land Wario
x5 Six Pokemon Characters
x5 Four or More Third Parties
x5 Mario sub-series Character
x5 Fatal Frame Representation (AT, Stage, etc.)
X5 Nutty Noon Stage
x4 Ten or More Newcomers
x3 Standalone Pokemon Trainer
X2 Medusa (Kid Icarus)
x2 Adventure Mode
x2 Mii (Wii Series)
x1 Unique Starfox Final Smashes
X1 Entire Melee Cast
X1 Wii Fit Board (Item)
X1 Yoshi Series Newcomer
X1 Wario Series Newcomer
x1 Another Unrevealed Third-Party
x1 Pokemon Series Newcomer [Mewtwo not included]
X1 Tourian
X1 Pokemon Stadium 3
X1 Duck Hunt Stage
X1 Luigi’s Mansion 2
X1 Glitz Pitz
X1 Elemental Lighthouse
X1 Smashfloats
X1 Pokefloats
X1 N’s Castle
X1 Lylat Cruise
X1 Nintendo Land
X1 Zoroark (Pokemon)
X1 Boxing Ring is from Punch-Out
X1 Microtransactions

 
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Kenith

Overkill Sarcasm
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RipoffmanXKTG
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Young Link: Chances: 1%. We have Link and Toon Link, it's pointless for Nintendo to include another child Link, as these tow cover the bases Sakurai wants to. If we do get a third Link, it would, of course, be a Wolf Link and Midna duo.

Want:17%. Young Link from Oot, is by far my favorite version of Link. He really captures that sense of childhood wonder and curiosity that Zelda is so great for. That being said, it isn't something that translates well to a fighting game.

Kirby's Epic Yarn:
Chances: 20%. Although another Kirby stage would work better and be easier to translate to Smash, Kirby's Epic Yarn was pretty popular, so it could be done.

Want: 50%. If we get a Kirby stage, which we obviously will, this is my ideal stage. It really screams creativity and life and would be a great addition.

Who's Harry? 2%.

x5 Albert Wesker
 
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Smasher 101

Smash Lord
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Jul 21, 2013
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SW-7628-2111-0913
Young Link's chances: 0% - I really, really don't want to give a veteran a 0% chance, but there's already two Links. Why would there be a third, especially when he's so similar to the others?
Want: 0% - Unlike Dr. Mario and Pichu, I actually liked using him. However, we now have Toon Link, who imo is a better choice anyway. So I don't want him back.

Kirby's Epic Yarn stage: 25% - Oof, stages are always a bit more difficult to rate. As far as Kirby console stages go, one from Return to Dream Land will likely come first, but if there are two Kirby stages, an Epic Yarn stage is a possibility.
Want: 50% - I definitely like this idea more than the first two we rated. Still indifferent though.

Harry prediction: 2.98% - I have no idea!

Mii x5
 
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