23 January 2014:
Changes: +Rosalina, -Lloyd (
)
[collapse="29 Sept. 2013/Post E3 Update:"]
Apparently I made a roster post E3 but forgot to put it here.
I don't agree with everything on this roster right now(I'd probably remove Lloyd), but I'm too lazy to fix it right now.[/collapse]
[collapse="April 2013 Roster"]4/13/2013 Update: New roster
I've actually indicated which character I think might/should be unlockable in red. Falcon and Ness are reverted to starters like in Melee, and Marth is now a starter because he's practically FE's main Lord.[/collapse]
[collapse="October 2012 roster"]
10/23/2012 Update
This is my first attempt at a prediction roster. I'm not happy at all with the way it turned out, and there are a few characters I put in mostly so the end result would look pretty, but anyway, here it is:
[/collapse]
[COLLAPSE="Old Roster(text only)"]Not really sure what thread I should post this in,but anyway...
Here, I'm going to lay out what characters I think are likely to be added in the next game. But here's the twist: I'm going to go in-depth on why I think each character will or won't make it, weighing the pros and cons of including him or her.
[COLLAPSE="My personal criteria"]-All characters not in Brawl(including those from Melee) could be considered for inclusion.
-Appearing in Melee and having been considered for Brawl improves their chances, but does not guarantee a spot.
-The more popular a character, the more likely they are to be included(no derr).
-Being an assist trophy in Brawl improves their chances.
-Must have appeared on a Nintendo console.
-ONLY ONE THIRD PARTY CHARACTER PER FRANCHISE.
-Characters owned by Sony or Microsoft(Like Banjo) and characters form media other than games(like Goku) have zero chance.
-The game needs more villains, so evil/ambiguous characters are more likely.
[/COLLAPSE]
[COLLAPSE="Melee vets"]-All Melee characters have an existing moveset, which improves their chances.
-All Melee vets that were dropped in Brawl are less likely to appear.
Mewtwo
Pros:
-Popular and recognizable character in Pokemon, possibly most popular legendary.
-Was considered for Brawl at one point.
-Commonly seen as a villain.
-Moveset is unique and very popular among most casual fans(this is from personal experience).
Cons:
-May be dropped in favor of newer Pokemon.
-Existing moveset would likely end up needing revision.
Ruling: Very likely he will return.
Roy
Pros:
-Was considered for Brawl at one point.
-Popular among casual smash fans(from my personal experience).
Cons:
-Moveset is cloned from Marth.
-From what I've seen, Roy isn't the most popular of Fire Emblem Lords.
-May be dropped in favor of newer FE characters.
Ruling: Not sure. Has a dedicated following, but don't get your hopes up.
Doctor Mario
Pros:
-Was considered for Brawl at one point.
-If Mario keeps FLUDD, Doc could retain the old moveset.
Cons:
-Blatant Mario clone.
Ruling:Not likely to return
Pichu
Pros:
-Could be Second Gen rep
-Could be series joke character
Cons:
-Blatant Pikachu clone.
-Isn't very popular.
Ruling: VERY unlikely to return.
Young Link
Pros:
-Represents most popular Zelda game(OoT).
-Many prefer him to Toon Link.
Cons:
-Link clone.
-Moveset copied by Toon Link.
-Potential time paradox.
Ruling:VERY unlikely to return.
[/COLLAPSE]
[COLLAPSE="And now, the rest"]
Pusle and Minun
Pros:
-Might have been considered for Brawl at some point.
-Would be good third Gen rep.
-Unique IC-like team gimmick.
Cons:
-Would likely be Pikachu clones.
-Newer Pokemon reps would be favored.
Ruling:Unlikely.
Dixie Kong
Pros:
-Was considered for Brawl at some point.
-Was a trophy in Brawl and Melee.
-Most popular DK character in Japan(?)
Cons:
-Hasn't appeared in a game since DKC3.
-Might be seen as a Diddy Kong clone.
-Was likely considered as a tag partner for Diddy.
Ruling: Not sure.
Toon Zelda/Toon Shiek/Tetra
Pros:
-Were considered for Brawl at some point.
Cons
-Would be seen as Shiek/Zelda clone.
-Cel-shaded games already have rep.
Ruling:Unlikely to appear.
Samurai Goroh
Pros:
-Assist Trophy in Brawl.
-One of the most popular F-zero characters.
-Morally ambiguous character.
Cons:
-Many would prefer a F-zero villain.
Ruling:Very likely to become playable.
Ridley
Pros:
-Recurring villain in Metroid.
-Considered for assist trophy, appeared as boss in Brawl.
-Highly requested character, even before Brawl.
-Large character, would add variety.
Cons:
-Sakurai has said he doesn't think Ridley could work.
Ruling:Somewhat likely, but don't get your hopes up.
King K. Rool
Pros:
-Recurring DK villain
-Frequently appears as trophy.
-Very popular in west.
-Would be heavyweight character, would add roster variety.
Cons:
-Not very popular in Japan.
-Did not return for DKCR.
Pros: Likely to appear.
Megaman
Pros:
-Most requested 3rd party character.
-Both Sakurai and several people at Capcom want him in SSB4
Cons:
-Despite being requested, was not in Brawl for unknown reasons.
Ruling:Almost guaranteed to appear.
Little Mac
Pros:
-Was an Assist Trophy in Brawl
-Very popular retro character
-Had a very recent revival game.
Cons:
-Might be difficult to make a moveset for.
Ruling:Very likely to appear.
Saki
Pros:
-Assist trophy in Brawl.
-S&P is a cult classic, and had a recent sequel.
Cons:
-Does anyone understand the plot of this game?
-Only appeared in one game.
Ruling: Not sure.
Takamaru
Pros:
-Surprisingly popular as potential retro revival character
-Recent cameos in Samurai Warriors 3 and Cap. Rainbow.
-Theme from game appeared in Brawl.
Cons:
-Original game is obscure, especially in the west.
Ruling:somewhat likely.
Black Shadow:
Pros:
-Trophy in Brawl.
-Most well-known F-Zero villain.
-Voiced by friggin' Norio Wakamoto.
Cons:
-Still somewhat obscure outside of F-Zero fanbase.
-Mostly known for being in that one clip from the F-Zero anime.
Ruling: Somewhat likely
Krom/Chrom
Pros:
-Main character from most recent FE.
-Building a steady fanbase, especially in Japan(?)
Cons:
-Many casual fans would likely prefer Roy.
Ruling: Very likely to appear. However, I'm not very familiar with the Fire emblem fanbase, so I have no idea how popular he really is.
[/COLLAPSE]
My final prediction:
-Sakurai has said the roster size will not increase as much as it has previously. There will likely be about 5 newcomers, but no more than 10.
-Most characters from Brawl will return.
-Mewtwo will return.
-Assuming there will only be 5 new characters, I predict: Megaman, Little Mac, K. Rool, Krom, and Samurai Goroh.
-If there are more, then Black Shadow, Ridley, and Dixie Kong will likely appear. Saki and Takamaru might also appear, and Roy might return.
[/COLLAPSE]
