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Smash Journeyman
Alrighty then.
Lucas:
Chance: 75%
I wouldn't ever have doubted him if it wasn't for the gematsu leak which which now is an unreliable source. Clones and semi-clones are back and Sakurai had wanted him in since Melee so he has Sakurai's support. So yeah, I don't see him going anymore.
Want:70%
I've always liked playing him more than Ness so I think it'd be a shame to see him gone.
Dixie:
Chance: 80%
Okay, so the arguments against Dixie:
Then there's K Rool. Frankly, I don't think Dixie and K Rool are competing anymore. I believe both will get in now due to the gematsu death and Fire Emblem getting 4. If FE can get 4, I have no doubt DK can't and as I said before, it wouldn't be too hard to make her playable.
I'll admit the 'too new' argument does hold some merit as so far all the DK representation revealed has been from Returns or the classic titles but I really don't think we should count it out yet. DK is getting very little representation as is which is weird for one of Nintendo's biggest franchises. And I think we're all forgetting how new X and Y is and it got it's own rep. TF was planned to be released less than a month after X and Y but was delayed until next year. It wouldn't be a stretch to say Sakurai new about Dixie's inclusion.
But the main reason I think she has a very solid shot is because she was meant to be in Brawl. Now one can argue that Sakurai doesn't g back to every character h considers but at the very least he's done it before multiple times. Lucas in Melee, Mewtwo in 64 and Brawl (though he is yet to be announced this time), DeDeDe for Melee. Dixie I think is important enough to the DK franchise like Mewtwo or Lucas is the their respective franchises that I can easily see Sakurai revisiting her.
But then, oh dear, unlike the others she was supposed to be with Diddy. I can't see this being a big detractor of her chances. It is unlear why Saurai dropped her after they couldn't get the partner mechanic to work properly, perhaps it was time constraints or maybe Sakurai didin't think she was worthy of being playable without Diidy to back her up. If that were the case then why has Sakurai change his mind on Villager when he was "unfit to battle". Pac-Man was also considered by Sakurai (though it was Miyamoto tried to push Pac's inclusion but failed). So yeah, I think the fact that Dixie was considered greatly boosts her chances.
Lastly, she's another female which are definitely getting more attention this time and Dixie is an obvious choice for female representation.
Want: 100%
What were you expecting? I wrote a freaking essay!
Predictions:
Mewtwo - 89.45%
K Rool - 67.56%
(Yeah, I don't know either)
Noms
5 x tell me Groose what your nomination is going to be
Lucas:
Chance: 75%
I wouldn't ever have doubted him if it wasn't for the gematsu leak which which now is an unreliable source. Clones and semi-clones are back and Sakurai had wanted him in since Melee so he has Sakurai's support. So yeah, I don't see him going anymore.
Want:70%
I've always liked playing him more than Ness so I think it'd be a shame to see him gone.
Dixie:
Chance: 80%
Okay, so the arguments against Dixie:
- Tropical Freeze is too new
- Would be a clone
- K Rool
Then there's K Rool. Frankly, I don't think Dixie and K Rool are competing anymore. I believe both will get in now due to the gematsu death and Fire Emblem getting 4. If FE can get 4, I have no doubt DK can't and as I said before, it wouldn't be too hard to make her playable.
I'll admit the 'too new' argument does hold some merit as so far all the DK representation revealed has been from Returns or the classic titles but I really don't think we should count it out yet. DK is getting very little representation as is which is weird for one of Nintendo's biggest franchises. And I think we're all forgetting how new X and Y is and it got it's own rep. TF was planned to be released less than a month after X and Y but was delayed until next year. It wouldn't be a stretch to say Sakurai new about Dixie's inclusion.
But the main reason I think she has a very solid shot is because she was meant to be in Brawl. Now one can argue that Sakurai doesn't g back to every character h considers but at the very least he's done it before multiple times. Lucas in Melee, Mewtwo in 64 and Brawl (though he is yet to be announced this time), DeDeDe for Melee. Dixie I think is important enough to the DK franchise like Mewtwo or Lucas is the their respective franchises that I can easily see Sakurai revisiting her.
But then, oh dear, unlike the others she was supposed to be with Diddy. I can't see this being a big detractor of her chances. It is unlear why Saurai dropped her after they couldn't get the partner mechanic to work properly, perhaps it was time constraints or maybe Sakurai didin't think she was worthy of being playable without Diidy to back her up. If that were the case then why has Sakurai change his mind on Villager when he was "unfit to battle". Pac-Man was also considered by Sakurai (though it was Miyamoto tried to push Pac's inclusion but failed). So yeah, I think the fact that Dixie was considered greatly boosts her chances.
Lastly, she's another female which are definitely getting more attention this time and Dixie is an obvious choice for female representation.
Want: 100%
What were you expecting? I wrote a freaking essay!
Predictions:
Mewtwo - 89.45%
K Rool - 67.56%
(Yeah, I don't know either)
I don't mean to tell you your ratings are wrong or something like that but the general assumption for 'pretty likely' is over 50% chance. Are you sure you don't want to rethink your wording here.Dixie Kong: 40% I see her as pretty likely considering newcomer clones are confirmed to be back.
Want: 0% I want King K. Rool in so bad.
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