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Day 329: GAME OVER!
Yesterday: One Fun Year of Speculation
Today: Japanese Launch
Tomorrow: Many Fun Years of Playing
IF YOU CAN'T JOIN, PM GROOSE OR POST ON HIS WALL--HE'LL ADD YOU ASAP!
Day 329: GAME OVER!
Yesterday: One Fun Year of Speculation
Today: Japanese Launch
Tomorrow: Many Fun Years of Playing
[collapse=How to Play]
Every day we discuss two things: 1) a newcomer we haven't talked about, and 2) a concept, a potential stage, or a character we've talked about before. We rate both how likely they are and how much we want them on a scale of 0% to 100%. In addition, it's always a good idea to write an explanation, the length of which is up to you. For a visual example, let's say we're rating Groose for the first time and a Bowser's Castle stage. Your post should resemble the following:
[collapse=Brief Example Posts]Every day we discuss two things: 1) a newcomer we haven't talked about, and 2) a concept, a potential stage, or a character we've talked about before. We rate both how likely they are and how much we want them on a scale of 0% to 100%. In addition, it's always a good idea to write an explanation, the length of which is up to you. For a visual example, let's say we're rating Groose for the first time and a Bowser's Castle stage. Your post should resemble the following:
Groose Chance: 1%
He just isn't important enough to make the cut. I'll give him greater than a zero, though, as his is possible.
Groose Want: 100%
DAT POMPADOUR! How could you not want this guy in?
Bowser's Castle Stage Chance: 45%
Well, it looks like it's the most likely Mario stage. I think it has a great chance of happening, but I'm not expecting it.
Bowser Castle Stage Want: 20%
It wouldn't be too awful, but I would really prefer seeing other Mario stages.
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[collapse=Suggested Benchmarks]
It's not necessary that you use these, but they are a good place to start.
100% chance--confirmed or an absolute certainty
75% chance---very likely, but a solid chance of it not happening
50% chance--it has a great shot and it could go either way.
25% chance--a very solid shot, but probably not happening.
0% chance---deconfirmed or not a chance.
100% want--you'd absolutely love for this to happen and have no objections
75% want--you'd really like this, but you do have some minor misgivings
50% want--part of you would like this, but part of you wouldn't like this
25% want-- you'd prefer this not happen, but you think there could be merits
0% want---you don't care for this idea at all
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You may be wondering--how does what we're rating get decided? Well, you also have the chance to nominate characters to rate. You get five nominations per day; use them to nominate characters as you see fit. We rate whatever has the most nominations in each category at the end of the day the following day. The nominations count can be found in the second post of this thread.
Finally, at the beginning of every day I announce what characters we will rate the following day. You have the option to predict what theaverage chance score will be for these characters. After we rate these characters the following day, @@Smasher 101 will announce what people guessed the closest to the actual score. These people will win five extra nominations.
So, your post may end up looking something like the following. Please not: you don't have to do everything in the following example; you could just as easily give one score and leave.
[collapse=Expanded Example Post]
Groose Chance: 1%
He just isn't important enough to make the cut. I'll give him greater than a zero, though, as his is possible.
Groose Want: 100%
DAT POMPADOUR! How could you not want this guy in?
Bowser's Castle Stage Chance: 45%
Well, it looks like it's the most likely Mario stage. I think it has a great chane of happening, but I'm not expecting it.
Bowser Castle Stage Want: 20%
It wouldn't be too awful, but I would really prefer seeing other Mario stages.
Nominate Waluigi x5
I think we need some Waluigi time!
Godot Prediction: .05%
He's not the main character in his series, so I don't think people will take him seriously
.
Tingle Prediction: 14.76%
One one hand, people will say hatebase. On the other, they'll mention his own series.
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Got it? Good! If not, ask someone for an explanation; we'll be glad to welcome you to the game! Also, feel free to check out our Music Section; it's quite comprehensive and may have you addicted for hours. Finally, you coan use our Directroy to search for specific days in that we've already covered. Links to both our Music Section and Directory can be found later in this post.
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[collapse=Rules]
There are some rules though.
First off, all rules on this site must be respected and exceptions are not made just because this is a forum game. Should be obvious, but worth repeating just in case. Here are some additions rules for this game:
1. Characters must originate from a video game OR be closely tied to video games. Also, they must have appeared on a Nintendo console. Please: no Batman, Goku, Master Chief, etc. Maybe closer to realease we'll lift this and have some fun, but we still have some good characters to rate first.
2. Counter votes are absolutely prohibited. It's okay to be influenced by the other's ratings. Just don't try to spite them, okay? There are thirty plus votes a day and it balances out.
3. Flame wars are not allowed. Please feel free to debate. Debate is great! But keep it civil and don't let an argument go far beyond its given day.
4. Never use this thread as an attempt to argue that a character is more likely/less likely because of this game. This is, in the end, a forum game and should be treated as such. It should not be taken into account when discussing character's odds. Again, winning arguments on the Internet doesn't magically make a character more likely.
5. If a character gets deconfirmed, they won't get rated again, no exception. Note that a character must be outright deconfirmed in order for this to happen; if there is still a measure of debate, the character is not banned.
6. The following characters will not be voted on: They'd only be a waste of a day; we determined on day one that they're basically confirmed. If one of these characters is deconfirmed... well, we're really dumb!
Mario (Mario Bros.)
Bowser (Mario Bros.)
Donkey Kong (Donkey Kong)
Link (The Legend of Zelda)
Samus (Metroid)
Kirby (Kirby)
Fox (Star Fox)
Pikachu (Pokemon)
Pit (Kid Icarus)
*Villager (Animal Crossing)
*Wii Fit Trainer (Wii Fit)
*Mega Man (Mega Man)
Yoshi (Yoshi)
Captain Falcon (F-Zero)
Ness (Mother)
Peach (Mario Bros.)
Zelda (The Legend of Zelda)
Diddy Kong (Donkey Kong)
Wario (Wario)
Meta-Knight (Kirby)
King Dedede (Kirby)
Marth (Fire Emblem)
Zero Suit Samus (Metroid)
Failure to adhere to these rules will result in your ability to participate in this thread being removed. Maybe. We're flexible here.
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[collapse=FAQ]I don't know anything in regards to Sakurai's process to characters? Can I still participate?
Sure, but just make sure you know what you're talking about and get informed. If you've never heard of a character we're rating, see what others say about him and do some research.
Once we put in our vote/prediction for a character, can we change them?
Of course, but only until that day ends. When the deadline has been met, all votes are permanent. However, it would much appreciated if you are going to edit that you make me aware of it so I don't miss it.
Can I nominate both a concept and a character?
You get five nominations per day. They can be divided however you see fit. If you want to use three on a concept and two on a character, go for it.
Are concepts and characters voted at the same time?
Every day, we rate one character we haven't previously rated and score either a rerate, concept, or stage
Is there a limit to how many time a characters is re-voted?
A character can be re-voted at any time for as many times are necessary. Please use your brain, though--there's no sense re-rating a character assuming nothing has changed.
How long does this game last?
Until release of Super Smash Bros. Wii-U and 3DS. The game ends there. But... I'm sure that we'll get the bandwagon going again for SSB5.
What if DLC characters happen? Does the game continue?
Erm... maybe? It'll probably end, but we'll see when we get there.
Are we just rating characters? How about other things like stages, items, etc.?
We have a thing called "concepts." Concepts can range from anything like having a certain character get decloned to getting a newcomer in a certain franchise... to having a certain stage to having a certain item.
Anything I can do to help?
Be familiar with the rules. Also, Ii you have music for a character that's up for rating, feel free to post it in the thread for Toxicroaker.
Look this character did great in Rate Their Chances! It's totally getting in!
Hahaha, no. The point of this game is to laugh about how miserably wrong we were... for example, we gave Rosalina a 15% chance, and she made it. In a Rate Their Chances game for Brawl, GameFAQs gave Ridley and Krystal scores in the 80% range... and they didn't get in.
How do you count up votes?
Graphing calculator, ladies and gentlemen. I just plug in your numbers and hit frappe. Before I did things by hand, but the calculator makes things moremanageable. Also, I tally nominations on a Word program, then paste them into the OP, but I am looking for a more efficient method.
I need help with what to do? Can you give me a format that I could use?
See the"brief sample post" or the "expanded sample post" in the How to Play section two spoiler tags up.
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TOP 10 OF CHANCE
TOP 10 OF WANT
TOP 10 OF WANT
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