#HBC | Amidamaru
Zen|Ranmaru
- Joined
- Jun 12, 2014
- Messages
- 680
Dabooze Analysis (All Posts)
Page 3
Page 3: He questions JexS about his read on us meta wise, backs up when JexS gives a valid answer, but still states that it is bad/suspicious but can't determine which. I find this to be simply his justification to back away from jexS, even though JexS answer was valid.
Page 8: Evo.
Page 9: He comes in with opposition to the Protein- wagon, stating that it is arguably bad play, but it isn't suspicious coming from the position of town. He doesn't go over the actual points made on Protein-, he just waves it off as bad play. He asks some questions to Gova/Levi/J.
Page 13: Not liking his vote on Leviathan here. He parrots reasoning already said by Ryker (I assume) instead of actually giving an analysis himself about it. He also wants to talk to me about JexS, as he feels his play is confusedTown. He gives reasoning and I refute it, and he simply 'takes it down' but I do not think it really affects his read on JexS. In the spoiler, WL talks to Dabuz on how he is wrong on Jexx. Especially the reasoning for JexS being confused town, he wrongly read from WL and used it as reasoning but I don't think he responded to this, so I don't know how it affected his read. (Update: He does reply to the first quote but not the second)
Page 14: When Levi replies, this is all he posts.
Page 17: Questioning J/Gova others.
Page 21: Some questioning, and him making a case on Levi. I'll be talking about the summary:
Him shutting down discussion outside of Protean/Dabooze makes sense playstyle/meta wise.
This point also doesn't mean he is scum, due to focusing on scumreads only.
He explains that his case on Dabuz is weak because Dabuze doesn't post as much as WL/Gorf and isn't as proactive.
That doesn't make him scum. (Calling me VI)
Reaching.
As you can see, this is why at a glance I don't support a Levi lynch.
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So in conclusion, he opens with questioning to the JexS slot, as to which he backs down with a wishy washy stance, but has no reason to be wishy washy. Later on, he comes with questioning. He also comes with a vote on Levi, but it's short and parrots reasoning said in thread already. I do not find his 'case' on Levi that he brings up pages later to be convincing. Levi analysis seperate from my Dabuz read, coming up.
Page 3
Anything finished?
This
TY Ami, this coalition shall go through and we will have fun pillow fights =^.^=
@ JeXs Did you have any reason to follow the wagon when voting me aside from it seeming slightly town?
@Protean Do you think JeXs' posts so far are telling of alignment?
@Alakaslam Do you have a posting restriction?
Explain this to me, so was it scummy when you thought Zen was pushing you? Is Ran's current play really non-alignment telling?
Then it was townie?
NO. You claimed the play is null after you found out Ran was posting, but that implies you had another thought prior to that.
Well Protean answered that question.
JeXs, you were town leaning the Amidamaru slot early. However once it was made clear that Ranmaru was doing all the posting for Amidamaru, your read on Amidamaru became null. Why did your read on Amidamaru change?
You've only played with Zen once so how do you know if it's different from his scum play?
Page 3: He questions JexS about his read on us meta wise, backs up when JexS gives a valid answer, but still states that it is bad/suspicious but can't determine which. I find this to be simply his justification to back away from jexS, even though JexS answer was valid.
Been skimming while watching Evo, will make a post once Evo is done.
Page 8: Evo.
Cue the music girls, i'm back and I brought a dozen donuts enough for each one of us for this wonderful slumber party!~ <3 IT will help keep us awake alllll night. Oh, is there some bickering going on? Heavens no, we can't have that happening, well as the host I can settle all this bickering : D
Oh you, always so mean, I read this and choose to ignore it, for a host cannot be stood up by her guests, don't you talk to me like this again!~ <3
Protean seems to be under a lot of pressure and a good amount of people accuse him of being a big ole party pooper, meanies! After looking through all the evidence, I can't see good reason to believe he is as you girls would term it, scummy, however, I wouldn't surprised if some of us here weeeeeere so dastardly.
*Ahem* I was gonna make my whole post like this, but it's annoying so w/e. First of all, WTF @ this Protean wagon. I read everything and there's like, nothing incriminating, arguably bad play to have challenged Ami so early but that was a conscious decision and I can't see how it's most likely scummy over well, not being scummy. Protean's reasoning and explanations to the accusations of scumminess all make sense and look reasonable for a player in his position, as town, to do. So yeah, just not seeing what makes Protean scummy. I basically skimmed pages 7 and 8 cause it looked like a lot of back and forth, so if there was something super important there, that'd be good to know.
The reactions this wagon has garnered is amazing, but two players have caught my eye
@Gova, give me some thoughts on the more active players like Murderbush and Ami, I don't want to see you just sitting on Protean and harassing him.
@ Leviathan Give me a bit more to chew on, I consider you the person who started this wagon, yet in your initial push on this wagon (205) part of your reason for scum reading Protean is mud slinging (lmfao), and the other is that it's scummy that Protean thought Ami might be trying to make Jex, a noobish player, slip which I don't see being alignment telling. Then in 238 you claim Protean was trying to make Ami look bad with scum intent...which I just don't agree with based on what you presented to back this up. So deeper analysis (and maybe shorter posts) would be appreciated. I also want more interactivity out of you, tell me where else you're looking and why, how you feel about slots like J just latching onto what you say?
@J Ignoring your dislike of Protean when answering, do you still like Amidaramu's play?
If anyone wants specific reads, just ask, reading and taking notes took longer than expected so I didn't want to make it too long.
Also I forgot to answer Ami's question towards me, I should probs go to bed soon >.>
I mean, I guess that's fair reason to scum lean read me, but it was admittedly bad note taking as opposed to laziness. I did reread the first 3 pages since my notes didn't look adequate and even when posting, Protean pointed out an answer to a question I asked so :l
JeXs, there has to be something that makes you think he's town as opposed to null though, right now you're saying he's not looking scummy, you're not saying why he's looking townie. Don't hold onto that Protean gut read this whole game.
In that case, it's time for this hostess to take a nap unless you have questions~<3
Page 9: He comes in with opposition to the Protein- wagon, stating that it is arguably bad play, but it isn't suspicious coming from the position of town. He doesn't go over the actual points made on Protein-, he just waves it off as bad play. He asks some questions to Gova/Levi/J.
In other words you don't want to get your hands dirty and you want to set up the lynches of me and Protean under suspicion one of us is scum in less than 400 posts.
Vote: Leviathan
Ami, talk to me about Jex, I can see him being scum with Levi but without the flip/ on a town flip, I can kind of see Jex being town.
Well then, i wasn't expecting that. Just to add some Jex stuff, he hasn't had any sort of agenda and his constant nulls + unsures and mulling of opinions while finding cases he agrees with and supporting them is indicative of confused townie. Where I feel if he was on a scum team, his actions would look more goal oriented cause at the very least i'd expect experienced players to try and direct him.
Anyway, I do have notes and stuff, but IDK, there just isn't enough content for me to make a wall out of, the game is only 480 posts.
Just expecting you to be scum-leaning him considering how much pressure you've thrown his way.
Not exactly surprising, I believe it was Protean in posts 54 and 66 where he explained this is just how JeXs is and I don't expect that to change until JeXs is more experienced. In fact one of the things which stood out most to me was in 382 where he lightly pushed you after you pushed Levi.
*Nods head* Ok then, i'll take note of that.
What are you making of his current posts? He's not really getting pressured but there's a lot of **** where he just seems inconsistent and afraid to make a push.
No, I made a point of saying that he doesn't respond to pressure that well but that's an entirely different point. Comparing what I saw in the mini to what I'm seeing now, there's little movement in his words and a lot of times that I'm just scratching my head and wondering if he's actually this shallow or if he's scum.
Page 13: Not liking his vote on Leviathan here. He parrots reasoning already said by Ryker (I assume) instead of actually giving an analysis himself about it. He also wants to talk to me about JexS, as he feels his play is confusedTown. He gives reasoning and I refute it, and he simply 'takes it down' but I do not think it really affects his read on JexS. In the spoiler, WL talks to Dabuz on how he is wrong on Jexx. Especially the reasoning for JexS being confused town, he wrongly read from WL and used it as reasoning but I don't think he responded to this, so I don't know how it affected his read. (Update: He does reply to the first quote but not the second)
Oh, please go on.
Wouldn't it make more sense to say stuff now in order to break this wagon?
Page 14: When Levi replies, this is all he posts.
I think he's playing really bad so I understand the dislike on him. It just looks newb-confused town to me because I can't see from a newb-scum POV why he would play the way he is.
It's risky to express how unsure he is on like everything, yes?
Can you explain the discussion that's been going on to 635 between you and Arcane and if you've gotten any reads from it?
Tell me then, is there anywhere you want to look? Is there anyone on the Jex and Levi wagons that bring up red flags?
Why are you defending Jex in 612 if you're null on him but fine with lynching him as shown in 624?
Also, i'm gonna be making a post explaining why exactly I think Levi is scum later today or tomorrow.
Page 17: Questioning J/Gova others.
@Arcane Inferno What do you think about the current wagons?
@Gova You listed two recent games of J where he played very differently and he was a different alignment in both games, between those games, which compares more to his play toDay if either compares?
@ BarDulL What's your current opinion on Jex?
Looking at Protean's case on J now
@J (Asked in 654) Tell me then, is there anywhere you want to look? Is there anyone on the Jex and Levi wagons that bring up red flags?
Protean's case on J:
Point A, J has been avoiding Protean's questions this game, then J puts Protean in her lynch pool seemingly without reason for him being scummy. (actually in 330 it's confirmed that J just doesn't like Protean and vaguely thinks Protean's flip would help with connections -_-) IIRC this is around the time the Protean wagon was forming. Agreed this is scummy play.
Agree with Protean that J's 714 is a bad post, but not scummy bad moreso than just bad because it coincides with J being fine with your lynch early but not necessarily saying you're scummy. However that in itself was scummy so if these kind of posts become a pattern, there is a problem.
Don't see anything wrong with just not having hard scum reads at this point in the game and I think you're making this point under the assumption he's scum and trying to avoid the hard scum reads. I would find a stronger point to be the simple fact that he comments on how he thinks scum is in the sidelines, but doesn't do anything about that, even a few directed questions at inactives would help.
Concerning he isn't actually looking for scum on wagons for players he is town leaning, not concerned about how he tries to shoot down the levi/ jex wagons unless either of them flips scum.
Basically rewording the previous part in your case, so the same thing applies here as I mentioned above. The only thing extra is him lynching you because he doesn't like you, but the existence of that was established in an earlier post on J.
The only strong point in your case on ScumJ is that he's not attempting to do anything. It's a good point and I would like to see your thoughts in D2 when we have more info to work with and J has had a bit more time to well, do stuff. Right now it's
one mark against him which is enough to make me want to watch him, but not enough to make me want to lynch him on D1.NVM then, it's not a big deal.<3~
ISO of Leviathan, every single post in this thread. To make it easy i'll highlight parts of the posts I am specifically referring to.
RVS, nothing interesting.
Pretty much the only important part of his post, he shows a dislike of me and hints he dislikes someone else, but everything else is unimportant.
The first point is essentially Protean is scum for thinking Ami was trying to make JeXs slip. I don't agree it's alignment telling but w/e. The second point Levi admits is weaker but still brings up as a point; Protean is mud slinging and those posts aren't constructive. WTF kind of reasoning is that, how is Levi so experienced apparently but his reasoning is so weak? "Hey Leviathan I think your posts are too long, worded in weird ways, and annoying" Does that make me scummy because that's the essence of Levi's second point and it's gaaaaaaarbage to even be a slight reason to scum read Protean.
Then at the end he's already working towards setting up lynches by saying he wants to see me and Protean lynched consecutively because it's unlikely we are both town. Red flag red flag screams of scum setting up MLs, and this just gets worse.
Talking to Protean and pushing him in the first paragraph, w/e he's doing stuff. The second paragraph though...he's already trying to get a lynch. I don't remember the exact post # this is, but it's still early, he explains in the next post to werekill that he wanted to see reactions because he knows he won't get the lynch yet so w/e, i'll buy it. So the other problem with this; he's still trying to set up my lynch after Protean's if Protean flips town. Keep in mind we have yet to see a connection between me and Protean, in fact i'm pretty sure I still have yet to post since PG. 3 so it doesn't make any sense.
Important parts of the post.
1: Amidamaru is null, Levi is only interested in Ami pushing Protean more, doesn't care about Ami pressuring werekill and is annoyed Ami is asking Levi more questions in 24 hours. I don't like how Levi is trying to shut down everything that isn't more Protean pressure.
2: I gave Levi the perfect chance to analyze his Protean read and go deeper into why it is, as a townie this is the perfect chance for him to show his towniess through a logical interpretation of scumProtean, but he brushes it off completely, it's working against not only me trying to get reads, but against furthering town as a whole whether it means having more reason to believe scumProtean, or realizing the case on Protean isn't good enough to push for a lynch. Completely ignores not only me asking about J, but me asking for ANY other direction or thoughts, I believe this is scum tunneling. Then he has the audacity to say i'm reeking of fake contribution when I just asked him stuff that would contribute greatly and help me contribute. THIS IS WORKING AGAINST TOWN.
3: Continues reinforcing the idea there is scum between me and Protean. WHY? WHY WHY WHY WHY WHY WHY WHY WHY?!
I forget who Levi is talking to here, not important.
Response to me, not important except for the fact that he's moved to wanting to lynch me foremost it seems.
Says Amidamaru is the village idiot because he seems genuine despite his play helping scum. What I don't like about this is he doesn't say HOW Ami's play helps scum (unless it's a shallow reason like pushing the Levi wagon). By not trying to tell Ami what he's doing wrong and you know, help Ami stop helping scum, he's indirectly letting Ami help scum. OFC Levi could have just been referring to the wagon on him which is a disgustingly shallow reason for Ami to be the village idiot.
For some reason he's playing hard to get with JeXs read, Amidamaru is a player who has laid all his thoughts in the open. I guess this isn't scummy by itself, but it's not helping town to be so hard to get reads out of.
Finally, he's going to try to get me lynched once the wagon on him breaks, from a town POV why is he waiting? I even told him it'd make sense for him as town to do that now, but he's being stubborn and isn't actually presenting his case on why i'm scum. Makes me think he doesn't have a well thought out case.
His JeX read and a bonus Murder read, I don't have any problems with his reads, I just think it's anti-town for him to be so hard to get about these reads on active players.
Not important.
-This- is his case on me, the epitome of the entire game him calling me scum is this. I expected more, much more, I also expected him not to contradict himself like he did in the blue highlighted part. Is this really it Levi? Is a part of your case really that you don't get the "vibe" I truly care about what i'm pursuing? I expected more.
Then some of this post is actually quite good until the next red segment. If i'm reading this right, he admits that he just found both me and Protean individually scummy. He was acting like there was some major connection between why one of the two of us is scum, either that still exists but he just won't share the reasoning, or he really just never had a good reason for that to begin with. This is scummy, no doubts about it either way this is scummy and looks like Levi made a huge slip-up.
Blah blah blah more lynch me.
Oh look, seems like my lynch isn't popular, now he's jumping to Arcane without reasons explained. Looks like he's trying to see how much interest there is in Arcane before pushing the slot, reeks of self preservation.
Pointless question because Potassium will post once he's caught up.
725 Tells me Protean is still cool with your wagon, so your biggest point is a result of ignorance.
I smell Levi trying to create an Arcane wagon quickly.
So in summary, the points against Levi are (in order of importance)
-The entirety of him trying to connect Protean and me at TvS for some reason, only for it to be we are individually scummy. (I think that's the point Levi tried making).
--Him shutting down discussion not along the lines of Protean or me for most of the game.
---Avoids explanation on various things throughout the game EX: when I asked for a deeper analysis of his Protean case and when I asked him for thoughts on any other players.
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-----His case on me being weak
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--------Various instances where he did small anti-town things. Ex: The whole deal with him calling Ami the village idiot.
----------Recent push to Arcane Inferno which looks like pure self preservation.
@MOD May the hostess with the mostess edit to fix the spoiler tag?~<3
Also, i'm down to kick out Leviathan the party pooper any day. If you girls can't agree to that, I am OK with J going home only so we can scale down the party size<3~
Page 21: Some questioning, and him making a case on Levi. I'll be talking about the summary:
Him shutting down discussion outside of Protean/Dabooze makes sense playstyle/meta wise.
This point also doesn't mean he is scum, due to focusing on scumreads only.
He explains that his case on Dabuz is weak because Dabuze doesn't post as much as WL/Gorf and isn't as proactive.
That doesn't make him scum. (Calling me VI)
Reaching.
As you can see, this is why at a glance I don't support a Levi lynch.
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So in conclusion, he opens with questioning to the JexS slot, as to which he backs down with a wishy washy stance, but has no reason to be wishy washy. Later on, he comes with questioning. He also comes with a vote on Levi, but it's short and parrots reasoning said in thread already. I do not find his 'case' on Levi that he brings up pages later to be convincing. Levi analysis seperate from my Dabuz read, coming up.