D
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Character: Wario
Current BBR MU Rating: -2
What to watch out for: Grab-release to F-Smash. The priority of Wario's U-air (our D-air isn't safe)
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Stages
-Strike: Yoshi's Island, Lylat Cruise, Smashville
-Ban: Rainbow Cruise, Battleship Halberd
-Counterpicks: Pokemon Stadium 2, Frigate
Lucas Boards Matchup Rating: -1
[collapse="Summaries"]
Past matchup summary posted by J: http://www.smashboards.com/showpost.php?p=13148998&postcount=2
Having the multi-hit aerials helps but dair depends on us being under you and our bike allows us to be pretty high in the air most of the time. Nair depends on you actually touching/being near us and if we are in the air and force you to come up high, then it will be pretty easy to dodge/read the nair and then punish your landing with a shield grab or something.
I dont have too much experience with this matchup although there are a few things that can be said just from knowing the two characters.
1) Lucas doesnt have a GR on wario. Thus its a lot harder for you guys to kill us unless you get a hard read and upsmash us or something. We kill you at earlier % with f-smash/fart/up-air.
2) You can out prioritize/outrange us in the air with dair( if your above) or fair. Nairs will trade I believe.
3) Pivot grabs could be good depending on how much lag there is if you miss or not. Im not familiar with lucas' pivot grab afterlag. Its a tether so if there isnt too much lag it can be solid.
4) Its a lot easier for us to gimp you than it is for you to gimp us. We can throw tires/bikes, nair, fair, fart etc. If we recover low, its a pretty high risk for you to come off stage and try to gimp us. I think pk thundering us off our bike would be your best bet or waiting till after we just off the bike.
I dont really have much else to say about this MU since Ive never personally played a good lucas offline. I would guess the mu is 55:45 or 60:40 wario's advantage.
[/collapse]Stages ({Plus means good for Lucas, Minus means bad for Lucas, Nothing implies equality})
Note: Equality on stages does not neccessarily mean the matchup is even there, nor does a plus mean Lucas is in favor. It just means the stage favors Lucas or the other way around, which changes the raw match up. I believe the match up is +2 still, about a 60-40 / 65-35 matchup for Wario in whatever way you interpret that. Since Lucas does better overall on the unity stage list than most low tiers imo, I'd say Lucas has a lot going for him. He can at most make this a +1 for Wario.
I've played FAE's lucas on wifi and Tyr's Lucas offline. That's about it. FAE's is incredible compared to Tyr's, but still it's only wifi experience. Not enough Lucas mains in the MW. I did however practice with my friend at Purdue, who "mained" Lucas for a bit, looking for a low tier other than Jiggs (Jayford).
Final Destination
+Yoshi's Island
-Lylat
+Pokemon Stadium 1
-Smashville
Battlefield
+Castle Siege
-Brinstar
+Frigate
-Rainbow Cruise
-Battleship Halberd
Delfino Plaza
+Pokemon Stadium 2
I put a negative on Brinstar. Because. I absolutely destroyed Tyr's Lucas there, if I'm not mistaken. Still, the metagame changes. You could be right. But it's still Wario's domain, that CP list. Lucas does super well on neutrals and the other classy CP's though imo. Mix ups galore on PS2, Frigate he has all kinds of control (FAE <3) and Delfino has some good safe-havens for the boy, but due to Wario dominating the air primarily, it makes this stage more equal. Halberd, oh boy, Wario just loves bike throwing here, along with early clap kills and such.