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UpThrow kill-% estimates

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Smash Apprentice
Joined
Jan 3, 2013
Messages
186
Same thing I did for Lucas: Since Mewtwo's UpThrow sends strictly vertically, it's relatively easy to let a computer calculate the percentage it kills at against each character on each stage - and so I did. My formula is still slightly off at some points, meaning the numbers given here are not exact and should only be taken as estimates.

Each number is for perfect DI (straight left/right), lists the damage before throwing, unstaled (add 12 to get the damage after the throw) and assumes Mewtwo to be standing on the main platform (at a height that makes sense for uneven terrain: the higher part for YS/Lylat, an average height for YI etc.) For now expect the numbers to be off by about 2 points in either direction - some more, some less.

Character | Battlefield | Distant Planet | Dreamland | Final Destination | Fountain of Dreams | Green Hill Zone | Lylat Cruise | Norfair | Pokemon Stadium 2 | Skyworld | Smashville | Wario Ware Inc. | Yoshi's Island | Yoshi's Story | Character
:bowser2: | 133% | 129% | 162% | 126% | 134% | 135% | 129% | 122% | 119% | 138% | 129% | 114% | 129% | 110% | :bowser2:
:falcon: | 171% | 168% | 203% | 163% | 173% | 175% | 168% | 161% | 157% | 178% | 168% | 152% | 168% | 148% | :falcon:
:charizard: | 121% | 118% | 151% | 113% | 122% | 124% | 118% | 111% | 107% | 127% | 117% | 103% | 118% | 99% | :charizard:
:dedede: | 142% | 138% | 173% | 133% | 143% | 145% | 138% | 131% | 128% | 148% | 138% | 123% | 138% | 119% | :dedede:
:diddy: | 157% | 154% | 188% | 149% | 159% | 160% | 154% | 146% | 143% | 163% | 153% | 138% | 154% | 134% | :diddy:
:dk2: | 148% | 145% | 179% | 140% | 150% | 151% | 145% | 137% | 134% | 155% | 145% | 129% | 145% | 125% | :dk2:
:falco: | 185% | 181% | 216% | 176% | 186% | 188% | 181% | 174% | 171% | 191% | 181% | 166% | 181% | 162% | :falco:
:fox: | 176% | 173% | 203% | 168% | 178% | 180% | 173% | 166% | 163% | 183% | 173% | 158% | 173% | 154% | :fox:
:gw: | 121% | 118% | 151% | 113% | 122% | 124% | 118% | 111% | 107% | 127% | 117% | 103% | 118% | 99% | :gw:
:ganondorf: | 136% | 133% | 166% | 128% | 138% | 139% | 133% | 126% | 123% | 143% | 133% | 118% | 133% | 114% | :ganondorf:
Character | Battlefield | Distant Planet | Dreamland | Final Destination | Fountain of Dreams | Green Hill Zone | Lylat Cruise | Norfair | Pokemon Stadium 2 | Skyworld | Smashville | Wario Ware Inc. | Yoshi's Island | Yoshi's Story | Character
:popo: | 117% | 114% | 147% | 109% | 119% | 120% | 114% | 107% | 104% | 124% | 114% | 99% | 114% | 96% | :popo:
:ike: | 136% | 132% | 166% | 127% | 137% | 139% | 132% | 125% | 122% | 142% | 132% | 117% | 132% | 113% | :ike:
:ivysaur: | 118% | 115% | 149% | 110% | 120% | 121% | 115% | 108% | 105% | 125% | 115% | 100% | 115% | 96% | :ivysaur:
:jigglypuff: | 101% | 98% | 131% | 94% | 103% | 105% | 98% | 91% | 88% | 108% | 98% | 84% | 98% | 80% | :jigglypuff:
:kirby2: | 115% | 112% | 145% | 107% | 117% | 118% | 112% | 105% | 102% | 122% | 112% | 96% | 112% | 93% | :kirby2:
:link2: | 139% | 136% | 170% | 131% | 141% | 143% | 136% | 129% | 126% | 146% | 136% | 121% | 136% | 117% | :link2:
:lucario: | 136% | 133% | 166% | 128% | 137% | 139% | 133% | 126% | 122% | 142% | 132% | 118% | 133% | 114% | :lucario:
:lucas: | 148% | 145% | 179% | 140% | 150% | 151% | 145% | 138% | 134% | 154% | 145% | 130% | 145% | 126% | :lucas:
:luigi2: | 113% | 110% | 144% | 105% | 115% | 117% | 110% | 103% | 100% | 120% | 110% | 95% | 110% | 91% | :luigi2:
:metaknight: | 152% | 148% | 183% | 143% | 153% | 155% | 148% | 141% | 138% | 158% | 148% | 133% | 148% | 129% | :metaknight:
Character | Battlefield | Distant Planet | Dreamland | Final Destination | Fountain of Dreams | Green Hill Zone | Lylat Cruise | Norfair | Pokemon Stadium 2 | Skyworld | Smashville | Wario Ware Inc. | Yoshi's Island | Yoshi's Story | Character
:mario2: | 121% | 118% | 151% | 113% | 122% | 124% | 118% | 111% | 107% | 127% | 117% | 103% | 118% | 99% | :mario2:
:marth: | 138% | 134% | 169% | 130% | 140% | 141% | 134% | 127% | 124% | 145% | 134% | 119% | 134% | 115% | :marth:
:mewtwopm: | 111% | 108% | 141% | 104% | 117% | 115% | 108% | 106% | 98% | 118% | 108% | 94% | 108% | 90% | :mewtwopm:
:ness2: | 125% | 122% | 156% | 117% | 127% | 129% | 118% | 115% | 112% | 132% | 122% | 107% | 122% | 103% | :ness2:
:olimar: | 128% | 125% | 159% | 120% | 130% | 131% | 125% | 118% | 114% | 134% | 125% | 110% | 125% | 106% | :olimar:
:peach: | 111% | 108% | 141% | 103% | 113% | 114% | 108% | 101% | 98% | 118% | 108% | 93% | 108% | 89% | :peach:
:pikachu2: | 130% | 127% | 161% | 122% | 132% | 134% | 127% | 120% | 117% | 137% | 127% | 112% | 127% | 108% | :pikachu2:
:pit: | 129% | 125% | 159% | 121% | 130% | 132% | 125% | 118% | 115% | 135% | 125% | 110% | 125% | 107% | :pit:
:rob: | 118% | 115% | 148% | 110% | 120% | 121% | 115% | 108% | 105% | 125% | 115% | 100% | 115% | 96% | :rob:
:roypm: | 150% | 147% | 181% | 142% | 152% | 154% | 147% | 140% | 137% | 157% | 147% | 132% | 147% | 128% | :roypm:
Character | Battlefield | Distant Planet | Dreamland | Final Destination | Fountain of Dreams | Green Hill Zone | Lylat Cruise | Norfair | Pokemon Stadium 2 | Skyworld | Smashville | Wario Ware Inc. | Yoshi's Island | Yoshi's Story | Character
:samus2: | 106% | 102% | 136% | 98% | 107% | 109% | 102% | 95% | 92% | 112% | 102% | 88% | 102% | 84% | :samus2:
:sheik: | 141% | 137% | 171% | 133% | 142% | 144% | 137% | 130% | 127% | 147% | 137% | 122% | 137% | 118% | :sheik:
:snake: | 137% | 134% | 168% | 129% | 139% | 141% | 134% | 127% | 124% | 144% | 134% | 119% | 134% | 115% | :snake:
:sonic: | 130% | 127% | 161% | 122% | 132% | 134% | 127% | 120% | 117% | 137% | 127% | 112% | 127% | 108% | :sonic:
:squirtle: | 123% | 120% | 153% | 115% | 125% | 126% | 120% | 113% | 109% | 130% | 120% | 105% | 120% | 102% | :squirtle:
:toonlink: | 139% | 136% | 170% | 131% | 141% | 143% | 136% | 129% | 126% | 146% | 136% | 121% | 136% | 117% | :toonlink:
:warioc: | 129% | 125% | 159% | 121% | 130% | 132% | 125% | 118% | 115% | 135% | 125% | 111% | 125% | 107% | :warioc:
:wolf: | 187% | 184% | 219% | 179% | 189% | 191% | 184% | 176% | 173% | 194% | 184% | 168% | 184% | 164% | :wolf:
:yoshi2: | 130% | 126% | 160% | 122% | 131% | 133% | 126% | 119% | 116% | 136% | 126% | 111% | 126% | 107% | :yoshi2:
:zerosuitsamus: | 139% | 135% | 169% | 131% | 140% | 142% | 135% | 128% | 125% | 145% | 135% | 121% | 135% | 117% | :zerosuitsamus:
:zelda: | 106% | 103% | 136% | 99% | 108% | 110% | 103% | 96% | 93% | 113% | 103% | 89% | 103% | 85% | :zelda:
Character | Battlefield | Distant Planet | Dreamland | Final Destination | Fountain of Dreams | Green Hill Zone | Lylat Cruise | Norfair | Pokemon Stadium 2 | Skyworld | Smashville | Wario Ware Inc. | Yoshi's Island | Yoshi's Story | Character

I did random tests with a sample size of 10 (few, but I'm too lazy to do more) to test the accurateness of my results and averaged a difference of 2 between the actual kill percentage and the estimate. The tested character/stage combinations have been corrected in the table above.
[collapse="test data"]

Character | Stage | Prediction | Actual | Difference
Bowser | BF | 132 | 133 | 1
Kirby | WW | 97 | 96 | 1
Fox | DL | 207 | 203 | 4
Squirtle | PS2 | 110 | 109 | 1
Ness | Lylat | 122 | 118 | 4
Mario | DP | 118 | 118 | 0
Mewtwo | FoD | 113 | 117 | 4
Ganon | BF | 136 | 136 | 0
Mewtwo | Norfair | 101 | 106 | 5
Lucario | FD | 128 | 128 | 0
[/collapse]

This should at least give a good idea of when you can kill with Mewtwo's UpThrow. If you have any corrections, suggestions or requests feel free to ask and I'll see what I can do.
 
Last edited:

Shadow Huan

Smash Champion
Joined
Oct 31, 2008
Messages
2,224
Location
Springfield, MA
good job on this chart, I'm not so sure about some of the numbers through. just of the top of my head I think that Bowser dies a smidgen later on FD.

but this list will be very helpful
 

Badge

Smash Apprentice
Joined
Jan 3, 2013
Messages
186
good job on this chart, I'm not so sure about some of the numbers through. just of the top of my head I think that Bowser dies a smidgen later on FD.

but this list will be very helpful
Bowser on FD dies at 126%, which is 2 later than estimated. If something is completely off (i.e. singular 10%+ error or a accumulation of 5% deviations at a certain character/stage) there may be an undetected error in my script I have to fix, but a character being off by 2 points/less than 2% is completely expected. Keep in mind that I didn't test this myself and the script/formula still has shortcomings I didn't manage to fix yet.
Sorry if this comes off as dismissive, but I'm wary of people overreading my warnings of these only being estimates and wrongly interpreting the data, if I don't sufficiently insist on that fact.

Thanks for the encouragment and help, though! I fixed the number in question fwiw.
 

~Frozen~

Smash Apprentice
Joined
Jan 4, 2013
Messages
157
Location
NY
NNID
Frozen491
3DS FC
3909-8017-8600
From experience, this is incredibly useful to memorize for every character. In my case, I had a list a long time ago with kill %'s on FD only, but would note the ceiling sizes on every other stage and try to estimate a kill % on them. Generally, it would end up working well for me :p

But yea, knowing when to Uthrow for the kill or Bthrow when you can't is something every Mewtwo player should be able to do well.

Thanks for the very detailed chart 8adge! This'll help me get even more consistent results rather than guesstimating kill %'s on other stages :D
 
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