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Rate Their Chances- Switch Edition! Day 45 - Hades

Discussion in 'Newcomer Speculation' started by TCT~Phantom, Mar 8, 2018.

  1. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Ace

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    Day 45: Hades

    [​IMG]



    Approved by @NonSpecificGuy

    Welcome to Rate Their Chances! This is a reboot of the game played during Smash 4 and Smash 4 DLC Speculation.

    How to Play
    Each day there will be a focus on a specific character or concept for smash switch. We shall rate these characters both on how likely we view them and how much we desire them from 0-100%. When posting, you also can nominate characters to rate. Each poster is given five nominations per day. The list of nominations will be found in a post below. You also can potentially predict the chance score for the character that will be predicted next, which the closest guess will get an extra 5 noms. An exact guess will get 10 extra noms.

    Rules
    1. Characters must originate from a video game. It is preferred that they must have been featured on at least one Nintendo console.

    2. You're allowed to debate but please no flame wars. Also please refrain from non explanations, as a spirit of debate is encouraged.

    3. Please do not discuss a character after their day has ended. If you wish to discuss a character again start nominating them for a rerate, however please wait at least two weeks before renominating a character.

    4. Please avoid counter votes. You are free to disagree but do not rate something negatively to be a jerk.

    5. Character deconfirmation means a character will not be rated again.

    6. Any of the following veterans should not be discussed as it is likely that they will return.


    Mario (Mario Bros.) Confirmed
    Bowser (Mario Bros.)
    Luigi (Mario Bros.)
    Peach (Mario Bros.)
    Donkey Kong (Donkey Kong)
    Diddy Kong (Donkey Kong)
    Link (The Legend of Zelda) Confirmed
    Zelda (The Legend of Zelda)
    Samus (Metroid)
    Kirby (Kirby)
    Fox (Star Fox)
    Pikachu (Pokemon)
    Pit (Kid Icarus)
    Yoshi (Yoshi)
    Captain Falcon (F-Zero)
    Ness (Mother)
    Wario (Wario)
    Meta-Knight (Kirby)
    King Dedede (Kirby)
    Marth (Fire Emblem)
    Ganondorf (Zelda)
    Zero Suit Samus (Metroid)
    Lucario (Pokemon)
    Charizard (Pokemon)
    Ike (Fire Emblem)
    Olimar (Pikmin)
    Villager (Animal Crossing)
    Little Mac (Punch Out!)
    Mr Game and Watch
    Jigglypuff (Pokemon)

    7. After the day ends, participants will have 60 minutes to get final late votes in. After that point votes will no longer be counted. Nominations will be counted until the new day begins.

    8. Although you are encouraged to be creative with your posts, please make sure the chance and want scores and nominations are distinctly visible. If you are concerned about a basic format, see the example below.

    Basic post model
    Megaman
    90% Chance
    He's a cool vet but he is third party and capcom can be dumb
    100% Want
    Thank god he was in 4. He is one of my favorites

    Schedule for the next week
    4/20 Elma
    4/21 New Story Mode
    4/22 Hades
    4/23 Banjo and Kazooie
    4/24 Sora
    4/25 Dark Matter (Blade)
    4/26 Henry Flemming
     
    #1 TCT~Phantom, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Apr 22, 2018 at 1:42 PM
  2. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Ace

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    Nominations

    Geno x247
    Ashley (WarioWare) x243
    Micaiah x235
    Blue Bowser x227
    Arle Nadje (Puyo Puyo) x222
    Lana (Hyrule Warriors) x222
    Tethu (EverOasis) x222

    Over 200:
    Isabelle x220

    199-150

    Veteran: Lucas x197
    Concept: veteran character artworks recycled from Smash 3DS/Wii U x182
    Veteran: Mewtwo x180
    Agumon x170
    Ganon x166
    Mike Jones (StarTropics) x165

    Black Shadow x156
    Bomberman x155


    150-100

    Music: Final Destination (Ver. 2) x145

    Urban Champion x145
    Impa x142
    Lycanroc x141
    Sans (Undertale) x133
    Travis Touchdown x132
    Funky Kong x132

    Veteran: Greninja x131
    Kamek x129
    Dark Samus x129
    Qbby (BoxBoy!) x128
    Concept: Decloned Dark Pit x126
    Pyra/Mythra (without Rex) x118

    Spyro x114
    Snip & Clip (Snipperclips) x111
    Tsubasa Oribe (Tokyo Mirage Sessions ♯FE) x100

    99-75

    Ryu Hayabusa x95
    Concept: Octopath Traveller Character x95
    Simon Belmont x95

    Azura (Fire Emblem) x91
    Masked Link x90
    Lip (Panel de Pon) x90
    Neku Sakuraba (The World Ends with You) x88
    Concept: Ken Masters alt Costume for Ryu x86

    Linkle x85
    Concept: Marth and Roy given their English VAs x85
    Concept: Decloned Ganondorf x83

    Mipha x83
    Excitebiker x82
    Concept: Skyrim representation x80
    Octoling x80

    2B (Nier: Automata) x78

    74-50

    Fjorm (Fire Emblem) x72
    Sylux x71
    Cranky Kong x69

    Labo related character x68
    Klonoa x60
    Tetra (The Legend of Zelda) x57
    Parabo and Satebo x57
    Gengar x57
    Fawful (Mario & Luigi) x56
    Zeraora (Pokémon) x54
    Thwomp x52

    Concept: Fire Emblem Spear User x50


    49-30:

    Veteran: Roy x48
    Lara Croft x47
    Katrielle Layton x46
    Veronica (Fire Emblem) x44
    Lloyd Irving x42
    Wonder Red (The Wonderful 101) x41
    Papyrus (Undertale) x40
    Concept: Mother Newcomer x35
    Callie and Marie (Splatoon) x35
    Susie (Kirby) x35
    Concept: Fire Emblem Heroes Summoner x35
    Concept: Wars character x33
    Doshin the Giant x32
    Veteran: Bayonetta x32
    Balloon Fighter x31

    29-15

    Snorlax x29
    Dragonite x27
    Ray (Custom Robo) x27
    Gooey (Kirby) x27
    Hector (Fire Emblem) x 26
    Medusa (Kid Icarus) x 26
    Leo (FE Fates) x26
    Returning game mode: Smash Run x25
    Takumi (Fire Emblem) x25
    Sophitia (Soulcalibur) x25
    Django (Boktai) x25
    Double Day: Sheriff / Diskun x25
    Prince Fluff (Kirby) x25
    Tiki (Fire Emblem) x25
    Concept: Style Savvy Character x25
    Steve (Minecraft) x25
    Mimikyu x25

    Nia and Dromarch (Xenoblade) x24
    Barbara The Bat x23
    Concept: Indie Character x 22
    Tingle x21
    Scizor x 21
    Veteran: Palutena x 21
    Sable Prince x21
    9-Volt x21
    Stage: New Donk City x21
    Arcade Bunny x 20
    Concept: Historical Nintendo character (Similar to Game and Watch or R.O.B.) x20
    Viridi x20
    Tom Nook x18
    Tails x18
    Sakura Shinguji x18
    Veteran: Dr. Mario x18

    Mach Rider x17
    Poipole (Pokemon) x17
    Toon Zelda x17
    Endou Mamaru x16
    Primarina x15
    Pokemon Trainer (Gen 2) x15
    Concept: Masked Dedede Final Smash x15


    14 and less:

    Starfy x14
    Veteran: Robin x 14
    Petey Piranha x13
    Concept: Canon Bowser/DK/Diddy voice clips x13
    Concept: Custom Moves Return x12
    Mallo (Pushmo) x 12
    Concept: Sonic Mania Stage x12
    Concept: Capcom Character x12
    Ghirahim x12
    Veteran: Cloud x11
    Toad x11
    Veteran: Dark Pit x11
    Rick/Coo/Kine (Kirby) x11
    Samurai Goroh x10
    Stanley the Bugman (Donkey Kong) x10
    Donkey Kong Jr. x10
    Concept: Custom Final Smashes x10
    Slippy Toad x10
    Quote x10

    Concept: F-Zero Newcomer x9
    Veteran: Pac-Man x9
    Scorpion (Mortal Kombat) x9
    Dragonborn x9
    Veteran: Sonic x 7
    Incineroar x7
    Tora and Poppi x7
    Zangoose (Pokemon) x6
    Black Mage (Final Fantasy) x6
    Sukapon (Joy Mech Fight) x6
    Kozukata Yori (Fatal Frame) x5
    Concept: Decloned Lucina x5
    Galacta Knight (Kirby) x5
    Morag and Brighid (Xenoblade) x5
    Master Chief x 5
    Ninten (Mother) x 5
    Concept: Mega Man 11 stage x5
    Concept: Return of transformation characters x5
    Concept - Melee/Brawl style Classic mode x5
    Ayane x5
    Alm (Fire Emblem) x 5
    Concept: Metroid: Samus Returns Stage x5
    Asuka x5
    Abraham Lincoln (Codename STEAM) x5
    Masked Man (Mother 3) x5
    Ayumi Tachibana x5
    Itsuki Aoi x5
    Concept: Shin Megami Tensei Protagonist x5
    Monita (NintendoLand) x5
    Cross/Rook/Avatar (Xenoblade Chronicles X) x5
    Toon Link x5
    Yooka & Laylee x5
    Caeda x5
    Concept: Charizard Remerged with Pokemon Trainer+complete movesets x5
    King Hippo x5
    Glass Joe x5
    Master Hand x5
    Solaire (Dark Souls) x5
    Reinhardt (Fire Emblem) x5
    Dr. Kawashima x5
    Concept: Core Crystal Item (XC2) x5
    Hyness (Kirby Star Allies) x4
    Rick the Hamster x4
    Shadow the Hedgehog x4
    Mii Fighters x 4
    KOS-MOS x4
    King Boo x4
    Geese Howard (Fatal Fury/ King of Fighters) x3
    Mario RPG representation (Including Paper Mario and M&L) x3
    Poochy (Yoshi series) x3
    Veteran: Corrin x 3
    Porky Minch x3
    Veteran: Wii Fit Trainer x3
    Specter Knight x3
    Saki x3
    Weavile x3
    [Rerate] Isaac (Golden Sun) x2
    Vaati x2
    Nightmare (SoulCalibur) x2
    Joker (Persona 5) x2
    Concept: The Sims character x2
    Toadette x2
    Jack Frost (Shin Megami Tensei) x2
    Concept: Snipperclips representation x2
    Jeanne (Bayonetta) x2
    Garon x1
    Rosalina & Luma x1
    Bowser Jr. x1
    Knuckles the Echidna x1
    New Mii Fighter types (concept) x 1
    Harry (Teleroboxer) x 1
    Sheik x1
    Undertale Representation x1
    Revali x1
    Daruk x1
    Urbosa x1
    Jack (Harvest Moon) x1
    Sol Badguy x1
    Kyo Kusanagi x1
    Ryoma (FE Fates) x1
    Falco x1
    Vivian (Paper Mario) x1
    Mallow (SMRPG) x1
    Concept: Playable Master/Crazy Hand x1
    Blastoise x1
    Alph x1
    Marshal (Rhythm Heaven) x1
    Tapu Koko x1
    Hyper Light Drifter x1
    Dark Falz x1
    Silvally x1
    Hat Kid (A Hat in Time) x1
    Slime (Dragon Quest) x1
    Captain Syrup x1
    Concept: Tetris Stage or Assist Trophy x1
    Concept: Ms.Pac Man alt costume for Pac Man x1
    Concept: Entire roster revealed at E3 x1
    Stage: Sheikah Shrine x1 (NEW)
    Stage: Ultra Space x1 (NEW)
    Stage: Miitopia Stage x1 (NEW)
    Stage: Happy Home Designer x1 (NEW)
     
    #2 TCT~Phantom, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Apr 22, 2018 at 1:32 PM
  3. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Ace

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    Chance and Want Rankings


    Newcomers
    Chance
    1. Rex and Pyra (64.69%)
    2. Decidueye (57.87%)
    3. Takamaru (57.56%)
    4. Dixie Kong (57.51%)
    5. Bandana Dee (56.64%)
    6. Captain Toad (48.60%)
    7. King K. Rool (48.49%)
    8. Rayman (48.29%)
    9. Elma (42.60%)
    10. Celica (37.93%)
    11. Waluigi (34. 21%)
    12. Paper Mario (32.74%)
    13. Crash Bandicoot (31.04%)
    14. Dillon (28.22%)
    15. Shovel Knight (22.88%)
    16. Chibi Robo (21.26%)
    17. Ridley (18.68%)
    18. Lyn (18.23%)
    19. Professor Layton (18.11%)
    20. Isaac (17.73%)
    21. Jibanyan (15.79%)
    22. Daisy (15.04%)
    23. Shantae (14.71%)
    24. Phoenix Wright (14.49%)
    25. Skull Kid (13.86%)
    26. Marx (13.80%)
    27. Dr. Eggman (11.81%)
    28. Midna (11.70%)
    29. Pauline (10.80%)
    30. Krystal (9.99%)
    31. Anna (9.49%)
    32. Andy (8.87%)
    33. Doomguy (8.82%)
    34. Chrom (8.18%)

    Want
    1. King K. Rool (73.57%)
    2. Bandana Dee (71.11%)
    3. Ridley (67.36%)
    4. Decidueye (65.20%)
    5. Dixie Kong (62.93%)
    6. Elma (60.18%)
    7. Waluigi (60.00%)
    8. Takamaru (58.93%)
    9. Isaac (58.60%)
    10. Rayman (58.25%)
    11. Captain Toad (58.15%)
    12. Chibi Robo (55.47%)
    13. Crash Bandicoot (51.15%)
    14. Dillon (50.34%)
    15. Andy (50.20%)
    16. Phoenix Wright (49.07%)
    17. Skull Kid (48.87%)
    18. Marx (46.16%)
    19. Rex and Pyra (46.10%)
    20. Shovel Knight (45.94%)
    21. Midna (45.48%)
    22. Paper Mario (44.51%)
    23. Shatnae (43.94%)
    24. Lyn (42.76%)
    25. Dr. Eggman (42.74%)
    26. Professor Layton (38.41%)
    27. Celica (37.31%)
    28. Krystal (36.54%)
    29. Daisy (29.94%)
    30. Anna (28.31%)
    31. Doomguy (28.28%)
    32. Chrom (27.51%)
    33. Pauline (20.03%)
    34. Jibanyan (17. 88%)

    Veterans
    Chance
    1. Shulk (97.65%)
    2. Ice Climbers (90.69%)
    3. Lucina (68.89%)
    4. Wolf (62.21%)
    5. Snake (19.57%)
    6. Squirtle (13.52%)
    7 Ivysaur (11.74%)
    8. Pichu (6.15%)
    9. Young Link (4.83%)

    Want
    1. Shulk (88.85%)
    2. Ice Climbers (77.65%)
    3. Wolf (77.20%)
    4. Snake (69.13%)
    5. Lucina (58.38%)
    6. Squirtle (50.90%)
    7. Ivysaur (50.63%)
    8. Pichu (30.06%)
    9. Young Link (17.02%)

    Concepts
    Chance
    1. Gen 7 Pokemon Newcomer (84.54%)
    2. Arms Newcomer (70.45%)
    3. Rhythm Heaven Newcomer (49.94%)
    4. Zelda Newcomer (49.33%)
    5. No Cuts (30.73%)
    6. New Story Mode (25.60%)
    Want
    1. Zelda Newcomer (74.48%)
    2. New Story Mode (72.81%)
    3. No Cuts (68.36%)
    4. Gen 7 Pokemon Newcomer (66.92%)
    5. Arms Newcomer (58.12%)
    6. Rhythm Heaven Newcomer (52.88%)
     
    #3 TCT~Phantom, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Apr 22, 2018 at 1:40 PM
  4. Lampy

    Lampy
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    Smash Master

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    3DS FC:
    0963-0942-7168
    We back at it already?
    HYPE

    \(°|°)/
    (Maybe I should drop this emoji... copying it is getting tedious)
     
  5. Blue_Sword_Edge

    Blue_Sword_Edge
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    Smash Lord

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    I wasn't intending on things being this way, but I'll leave the RTC thread to you, @TCT~Phantom . Good luck running this thing. As for participating, I won't do that much, sorry.
     
  6. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Ace

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  7. Lampy

    Lampy
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    Smash Master

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    Are we starting now?
     
    -crump- likes this.
  8. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Ace

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    Yes.
     
    -crump- and Lampy like this.
  9. Lampy

    Lampy
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    Smash Master

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    King K. Rool

    Chance: 60%
    I feel that he's heavily underestimated. Sakurai is aware of the kharacter's popularity and the Mii kostume was defnetly a major bone thrown at his supporters.
    Relevance is the only thing that's holding him back.

    Want: 95%
    I love King K. Rool and I think he could be a very interesting kharakter to play as. However, there are other kharakters I want more, so he's not 100%.

    Nominating Waluigi x5

    Prediction for Ridley: 30% chance, 60% want
    (You'd be surprised at how many people are still holding out hope for him. I feel kinda sorry for them)
     
  10. Xenigma

    Xenigma
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    Excited to see this back! I'll draft my first post in a bit (at work), but want to comment on the safe list. Can anyone confirm if the following are silhouetted in the trailer: Pit, Lucario, Ike, and Little Mac. I think they are all plausibly not safe: the former if Sakurai isn't leading, and the rest due to potential replacements and/or lack of relevance. I'm also admittedly kind of iffy on Olimar, but there's been enough Pikmin over the years that I think that fear is probably unfounded.

    EDIT: Never mind on ZSS, just remembered Metroid Switch is supposed to be a thing.
     
    #10 Xenigma, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    CrusherMania1592 likes this.
  11. Icedragonadam

    Icedragonadam
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    Smash Lord

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    King K. Rool

    70% Chance

    95% Want

    I really like him and he's in my top wanted. He's still got a decent shot.

    Nomination: Lucas x5

    Ridley Prediction: 47.86%
     
    #11 Icedragonadam, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
  12. CrusherMania1592

    CrusherMania1592
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    Smash Champion

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    Chances: 55%

    I'm iffy here but if he got ignored in Brawl and Wii U/3DS, there's a possibility he's gonna get it again unless he comes out of nowhere


    Want: 100%

    More reps for the DK series along with a popular villain and heavyweight? YES PLEASE!


    Nomination: Crash Bandicoot x5


    Prediciton for Ridley: 25% chance, 85% want
     
    -crump- and TCT~Phantom like this.
  13. IanTheGamer

    IanTheGamer
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    Chance: 50%: Sakurai is aware of how popular Rool is, just by the Mii costume. But relevance hurts him

    Want: 75%: Rool has also been a popular request, he could add something unique and Smash needs more baddies anyway.

    Nominations:
    Doomguy/Doom Slayer X5
     
    #13 IanTheGamer, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    -crump- and TCT~Phantom like this.
  14. SonicSmasher1

    SonicSmasher1
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    Smash Lord

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    King K. Rool

    Chance: 80 percent.
    Despite relevance and and being a Mii Costume last game, among some other things, I have great faith that he has a chance to get in.

    Want: 100%
    He is my most wanted newcomer for Smash Bros, and I would love to see him in the next Smash Bros game all the way.

    Nomination: Geno x5
     
    #14 SonicSmasher1, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    -crump- and TCT~Phantom like this.
  15. Troykv

    Troykv
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    Smash Champion

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    Oh wow! I love these threads, it's time to try again... I need to check more opinions before doing my guess, but K. Rool would be in a better position this time.
     
    CrusherMania1592 likes this.
  16. Lampy

    Lampy
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    You're not supposed to rate him right now.
    It's supposed to be a prediction for his overall want and chance.
     
  17. Ghirahilda

    Ghirahilda
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    ♥Smash Beauty♥

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    Marcelinho21
    King K. Rool
    Chances: 80%
    Want: 100%

    My votes:
    Crash Bandicoot x5
     
    #17 Ghirahilda, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    CrusherMania1592 likes this.
  18. ShinyLegendary

    ShinyLegendary
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    I dream to be a true mastermind genius!

    • Premium
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    3DS FC:
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    NNID:
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    Switch FC:
    SW-5600-9194-0917
    King K Rool:
    Chance: 50%
    Mmm.... It is hard to see him likely or unlikely. Sakurai did include a Mii-costume to replace him, and he did lose his chance in the 3DS. Sakurai even heard King K. Rool fans and based him off a Mii costume. So I am sure he has some chance to make it in.

    Want: 65%
    King K. Rool may not be my most favorite pick of them all. King K. Rool does offer uniqueness with a good potential move-set, a nice veteran that deserves more love, and a nice touch to the DK series in Smash for Switch.

    Nomination:
    Waluigi *3
    Crash Bandicoot *2
     
    #18 ShinyLegendary, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    CrusherMania1592 likes this.
  19. Xeno VII

    Xeno VII
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    Fierce Deity

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    SW-4111-4207-8535
    King K. Rool

    Chance: 30%

    A rather popular kharacter from one of Nintendo's most beloved franchises, who even got the Mii kostume treatment in Smash 4, possibly due to his popularity. Minus points for his lack of relevance in the DK series and Mario spin-offs in the past decade or so. That, and unpredictability in general.

    Want: 100%



    Prediction: Ridley - 6.5%

    There will be overrating.

    Nomination: Shulk time! x5
     
  20. Lampy

    Lampy
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    Smash Master

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    You need to be specific
     
    ShinyLegendary likes this.
  21. Deathlightning21

    Deathlightning21
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    Smash Lord

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    1779-0225-2026
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    Chance: 50%-ish

    Realistically, I can't really see him coming in just yet, maybe as DLC later down the line. I do see a new DK character coming in if this is a whole new version of the game, maybe not King K.

    Want: 75%

    Coming from the old days of Smash 4 predictions, King K is very much wanted by a large section of the smash fanbase, both casually and some of the hardcore players. There is a demand.

    Nominations:
    Lyndis x 3
    Impa x 1
    Dark Samus x 1
     
    #21 Deathlightning21, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    andimidna likes this.
  22. KingofPhantoms

    KingofPhantoms
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    The Spook Factor

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    1006-1145-8453
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    Just like old times. It feels great to be back!

    King K. Rool

    Chance: 65%

    K. Rool's kind of in an odd spot right now. On one hand, he hasn't appeared in a game since about 2008, missing out an opportunity to join the last Smash game as well. On the other hand, he's certainly iconic enough as DK's main antagonist, references to the character have been appearing more often in the form a costume (and a trophy of course) and the Kritters returning as enemies in Smash 4, his name being referenced in Super Mario Odyssey, has a high fan demand (don't quote me on this, but I recall some people sharing evidence that he placed rather high on the ballot) and he's also got boatloads of weapons and abilities, so it's not like making a good, unique moveset for him would be impossible.

    I do feel that a lot of things are in his favor this time, and that he may finally get his chance to join the fight. However, and perhaps this is just how I see it, but it does feel a little odd to think that a character who hasn't been in a game in over 10 years would suddenly make a return in Smash of all things, but who knows. Maybe this will be a first in that regard. If we do assume Sakurai is directing the game again, I highly doubt he will ignore or disregard the character at this point. The question then would just be whether he sees something fun and unique in the character that would work well in Smash.

    Want: 100%

    My most wanted newcomer, by far.

    Ridley Prediction: 3%

    Given Sakurai's previous statements on Ridley and the fact that we know hardly anything about the new game so far, I don't expect most people here to think the odds are in his favor, to say the least.

    Nominations: Shovel Knight x5
     
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  23. Zeb~

    Zeb~
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    The next thing you'll say is "Need a hug?"

    • Premium
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    Switch FC:
    SW-7226-9732-8505

    Reminders for RTC because it happens every time

    1. Chances are subjective. So 20% might be 40% for someone else

    2. Argue over chances, but never call someone out over want. That just makes you a jerk.

    3. RTC is always wrong anyway and it's all about popularity bandwagons so none of this is super relevan to anything.


    With that out of the way
    K rool
    frankly, I think it's too early for this since we dont even have gameplay and dont know the extent of what smash for switch is, but whatever.

    Chance: 10%
    Popularity is all he has going for him. Lot's of other factors are in play and it's hard to get by with jsut one.

    Want: 10%
    Prefer Funky and Dixie WAY more.

    Nomination: Palutena x5

    EDIT
    "20% might be 40$"
    No one called me out over this typo? Y'all are too used to me.
    :061:
     
    #23 Zeb~, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
  24. ShinyLegendary

    ShinyLegendary
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    I dream to be a true mastermind genius!

    • Premium
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    Studying to become a true mastermind genius!
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    SW-5600-9194-0917
    Fixed my post, try reading it again.
    Sorry if I continue to make any more errors.
    I kind of agree with this actually.
     
    #24 ShinyLegendary, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
  25. Lampy

    Lampy
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    Smash Master

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    You can only use 5 nominations
     
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  26. Dan

    Dan
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    Smash Ace

    Joined:
    Dec 26, 2013
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    713
  27. Zero Soul

    Zero Soul
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    Smash Master

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    King K. Rool

    Chances: 30%
    I unironically think Sakurai dislikes him for whatever reason and has been avoiding him, if he didn't have anything against him I think he would have gotten in by now and if he's the director (seems likely given the tweet) I don't think he's likely. Still, he's so important that I can't really give him any less of a score than 20 and Sakurai might not actually be the director and if he isn't then I think King K. Rool becomes way likelier.
    Want: 80%
    I don't personally care for the character but he's from a under-represented series and has plenty of fans who've been waiting forever, and it'd make me happy if they got what they wanted.

    Predictions: Ridley 18%
    Nominations: Dark Matter (Kirby) x5
     
    #27 Zero Soul, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
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  28. N. Onymous

    N. Onymous
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    Smash Lord

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    Midnuh
    K. Rool
    Chance - 45%
    The DK series is in dire need of more representation, but I don't see it happening for various reasons. He's popular with the fanbase, but with the dev team, who can say?

    Want - 70%
    I like him, I think he'd make an interesting fighter, but there are other characters I'd like in more than him. (Lip, please, this is all I ask.)
     
    andimidna and TCT~Phantom like this.
  29. Dudery and FAITH forever

    Dudery and FAITH forever
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    Smash Ace

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    The inbetween
    king k.rool

    chance 70%
    feel like nintendo got the message with the mii costume/mario oddysey street name..

    want 100%
    because why not
     
    Llort A. Ton and TCT~Phantom like this.
  30. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Ace

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    1. Wrong day, Ridley is tomorrow
    2. Wrong Format, please check the example format
    3. Please avoid one liners, if you are gonna rate someone as a zero please state why.
     
    Swampasaur likes this.
  31. Sid-cada

    Sid-cada
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    Smash Lord

    Joined:
    Jan 19, 2013
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    Woo, this is back! Let's hope that I can keep my perfect attendance ratting here.

    King K. Rool

    Chance - 40% - A classic, but no relevancy hurts his chances. Unless he comes back soon, I don't see him as even a coin-flip.

    Want - 75% - He's cool, but a lack of connection makes me support him less than most.


    Predicitons

    Ridley - 67.52% - Oh boy... While he's popular, doubt is starting to creep in.



    Nominations

    Anna X5
     
    #31 Sid-cada, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    TCT~Phantom and -crump- like this.
  32. Kirbeh

    Kirbeh
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    Smash Ace

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    Somewhere Else
    King K. Rool

    Want: 100% - I'd love to see more villains overall, and King K. also happens to be my most wanted DK newcomer, though I believe someone like Dixie (who I'd gladly take as well) is more likely.

    Chance: 50% - At this point I think it's known how much many would like to see him, but I just have a feeling that it probably won't happen. I want it to, but I think Sakurai will end up with a lot on his plate as usual and focus on other, newer and/or more relevant characters instead. Given K. Rool's popularity and Sakurai's penchant for surprises though, I'm settling on the 50/50 scenario.

    Ridley Prediction

    Want: 75% - Not big enough
    Chance: 5% - Too small

    Nominations

    Waluigi x1
    Crash x1
    Sophitia x1
    Sol Badguy x1
    Kyo Kusanagi x1
     
    #32 Kirbeh, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    TCT~Phantom likes this.
  33. -crump-

    -crump-
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    Smash Lord

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    On your left
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    1590-4951-5915
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    Nothing like good old character speculation to put me in a good mood :b::b:

    King K. Rool:


    Chance: 40%
    I’m being generous here. King K. Rool hasn’t seen the light of day since Super Sluggers in 2009, and that was a sports spinoff. He isn’t nearly as relevant as he once was, and he’s nowhere near close enough to be on the level of Bowser, Ganon, or even Dedede.

    However, he’s popular, especially among the Smash fan base, and thanks to the little old Smash Ballot, Sakurai and his crew know this. That alone gives him a chance, and it can’t be ignored.

    Want: 100%
    I. LOVE. THIS. CHARACTER.

    I voted for the kroc so many times on that Ballot, and I don’t regret a single vote. If there’s any shred of hope that K. Rool could show up as a fighter this time around, I’m riding it to the very end.

    Predictions: Ridley: Chance 50%, Want 85%

    Nominations: Hector (Fire Emblem) x5
     
    #33 -crump-, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
    Lampy and TCT~Phantom like this.
  34. TCT~Phantom

    TCT~Phantom
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    Smash Ace

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    Just going to throw this out since I have seen plenty of people make this mistake, but the schedule for March has been posted in OP, please do not nominate anyone from there.
     
  35. Xhampi

    Xhampi
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    Smash Ace

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    K Rool
    Chance : 40 %
    He has the moveset and the popularity but he has been missing from his home series for a long time and get to compete with Dixie Kong who would be easier to add with her body shape similar to Diddy, is just as iconic and is more relevent.

    Want : 65 %
    I don't really care about his inclusion myself but I'd like him if at least for his fans.

    Ridley Prediction : 7 %

    Nomination : Marx (Kirby series) X 5
     
    #35 Xhampi, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
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  36. Fuzzy Pickles!

    Fuzzy Pickles!
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    Say, FUZZY PICKLES!!!

    Joined:
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    Switch FC:
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    I actually ran this thread before back during Smash 3DS & Wii U speculation. Twice in fact.

    Since this is a thing, I'm going to introduce a model that I will use for rating chances. It's arbitrary but hey, nothing preventing us from rating whatever, right?

    A: 100%
    B: 75%
    C: 50%
    D: 25%
    F: 0%

    So let's get down to our first character.

    King K. Rool

    Chance
    : D (25%)

    Unless he gets a new game, he's got a large uphill battle to fight for inclusion. By the time the new game comes out, he won't have appeared in ten years and I doubt the sign at Super Mario Odyssey matters much. His only hope is that he ends up performing among the Top 3 Ballot characters (including Bayonetta) and Sakurai actually uses the ballot this time. Otherwise he's out.

    That's said, it's him or no one for a 3rd DK character.

    Want: B (75%)

    Smash should have more villains and K. Rool is a really cool baddie with amazing move set potentials.

    x5 Bomberman

    cuz he's the best.
     
    #36 Fuzzy Pickles!, Mar 8, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 8, 2018
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  37. Deathcarter

    Deathcarter
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    Smash Lord

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    1,106
    Want: 90% Long live the king!

    Chance: 20% Dixie Kong pretty much has any third DK spot on lockdown at this point. It will be up to DLC for the King to get a shot.
     
    TCT~Phantom likes this.
  38. Aussie the Shinobi

    Aussie the Shinobi
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    Smug Weather Vane Dame

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    King K. Rool

    Chance: 60%

    King K Rool is not only one of DK's most famous foes, but a consistently wanted character for Super Smash Bros. But relevance holds him back in the end of the day and he still has that Mii Fighter costume too. Either way, he would have a chance if Sakurai takes his Smash Ballot popularity in consideration.

    Want: 100%

    Easily my most wanted Smash fighter. Once a Kuttthroat, always a Kuttthroat.

    Prediction for Ridley:

    Chance: 18%

    Want: 65%
     
  39. AwesomeCauliflower68

    AwesomeCauliflower68
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    Smash Ace

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    New South Wales, Australia
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    Chance - 45% - K. Rool is a strange character in that Sakurai and Nintendo have referenced and acknowledged him in the past couple of years (Mii Costume and Street Sign) but he hasn't appeared in anything substantially since 2008 and that was a Mario Sports Spinoff. I feel like he has some kind of a chance due to how the Mii Costume proves that Sakurai does know about his popularity (and inklings getting bumped from Costume to character shows that as well) but I think the relevancy really hurts him and I can't really see them adding a character like that. And even if he does get past the relevancy issue we'd have to rely on Sakurai finding him interesting enough to actually put in the game.

    Want - 100% - I will not be buying Smash on Switch if K. Rool isn't in it. It's the only reason I'm sticking around the smash speculation scene and he's been my most wanted character for years. His moveset has sooo much potential and DKC desperately needs more representation based on how popular it is and how big of an impact it has had on gaming. I need K. Rool in this game.
     
    TCT~Phantom likes this.
  40. Yomi's Biggest Fan

    Yomi's Biggest Fan
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    See You Next Year, Baby

    Joined:
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    1375-7346-9605
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    Switch FC:
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    King K. Rool

    Chance: 55%

    I am still not super optimistic on his chances since he has many thinsg again him (relevancy, Sakurai's strange view on Donkey Kong Country, etc), but I won't ignore that he is very popular.

    Want: 90%

    Damn right would love to have him there. Because I am one of him. ~~I won't sing that song here~~

    Prediction for Ridley

    Chance: 9%

    Oooo boy...

    Want: 79%
     
    TCT~Phantom likes this.

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