Rate Their Chances- Smash Ultimate Edition! Day 128 - Primarina

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#1
Day 127- 8/8 Direct Satisfaction






Approved by @NonSpecificGuy

Welcome to Rate Their Chances! This is a reboot of the game played during Smash 4 and Smash 4 DLC Speculation.

How to Play
Each day there will be a focus on a specific character or concept for smash switch. We shall rate these characters both on how likely we view them and how much we desire them from 0-100%. When posting, you also can nominate characters to rate. Each poster is given five nominations per day. The list of nominations will be found in a post below. You also can potentially predict the chance score for the character that will be predicted next, which the closest guess will get an extra 5 noms. An exact guess will get 10 extra noms.

Rules
1. Characters must originate from a video game. It is preferred that they must have been featured on at least one Nintendo console.

2. -You're allowed to debate but please no flame wars. Also please refrain from non explanations, as a spirit of debate is encouraged. Posts lacking at least 2 sentences of reasoning will be invalid and your nominations will be ignored. Abstaining from a rating will not require reasoning, though it would be appreciated.

3. Please do not discuss a character after their day has ended. If you wish to discuss a character again start nominating them for a rerate, however please wait at least two weeks before renominating a character.

4. Please avoid counter votes. You are free to disagree but do not rate something negatively to be a jerk.

5. Explicit character deconfirmation means a character will not be rated again.

6. Any of the following veterans should not be discussed as it is likely that they will return.


Mario (Mario Bros.) Confirmed
Bowser (Mario Bros.)
Luigi (Mario Bros.)
Peach (Mario Bros.)
Donkey Kong (Donkey Kong)
Diddy Kong (Donkey Kong)
Link (The Legend of Zelda) Confirmed
Zelda (The Legend of Zelda)
Samus (Metroid)
Kirby (Kirby)
Fox (Star Fox)
Pikachu (Pokemon)
Pit (Kid Icarus)
Yoshi (Yoshi)
Captain Falcon (F-Zero)
Ness (Mother)
Wario (Wario)
Meta-Knight (Kirby)
King Dedede (Kirby)
Marth (Fire Emblem)
Ganondorf (Zelda)
Zero Suit Samus (Metroid)
Lucario (Pokemon)
Charizard (Pokemon)
Ike (Fire Emblem)
Olimar (Pikmin)
Villager (Animal Crossing)
Little Mac (Punch Out!)
Mr Game and Watch
Jigglypuff (Pokemon)


7. After the day ends, participants will have 60 minutes to get final late votes in. After that point votes will no longer be counted. Nominations will be counted until the new day begins.

8. Although you are encouraged to be creative with your posts, please make sure the chance and want scores and nominations are distinctly visible. If you are concerned about a basic format, see the example below.

Basic post model
Megaman
90% Chance
He's a cool vet but he is third party and capcom can be dumb. However, cutting him would seem super weird given how much people love him.
100% Want
Thank god he was in 4. He is one of my favorites. Also the soundtrack is tight.

9. Starting 5/3/18, a character must have a support thread to be nominated. If you want to do a dumb character like Blue Bowser, then at least make a support thread.

Upcoming Schedule


Top Ten of Chance

Top Ten of Want
 
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Nominations List current as of Day 116

Neku Sakaruba x335
Fawful x299
Tails x290
Ayumi Tachibana x277
Parabo & Satebo x267
Fire Emblem Heroes Summoner x262
Tetra x259

Over 200:

Kamek x252
Wonder Red x252
Primarina x250
Ryu Hayabusa x235
Scorpion x231
Thwomp x226
Linkle x225
Labo Guy/Robot x230
Katrielle Layton x213
Dragonite x202


199-150

Balloon Fighter x190
Concept: Female Announcer x190
Ray x188
DeMille x183
Django x180
Papyrus x175
Concept: Canon Bowser/DK/Diddy voice clips x170
Snip & Clip (Snipperclips) x155
Fire Emblem Three Houses Protagonist x155
Incineroar x155
Concept: Octopath Traveller Character x150
Tsubasa Oribe x150
Louie x150

149-100

Nihilego x130
Rowlet x125
Barbara x122
Concept: Hanafuda character x119
Nikki x115
Pokemon Trainer (Gen 2) x114
2B x111
Neptune x110
Concept: Fire Emblem Spear User x108
Raiden x105
Reinhardt Gets a Trophy x105
Susie x104
Concept: Style Savvy character x103

99-75

Viewtiful Joe x95
Gooey x94
Ninten x93
Viridi x93
Klonoa x87
Concept: Ken Masters alt Costume for Ryu x86
Concept: Pikmin newcomer x85
Tora & Poppi x82
Ken x77
Fjorm x75

74-50


Veronica x73
Rick/Coo/Kine x69
Yu Narakumi x66
Breidablik Item x65
Zeraora (Pokémon) x64
Toon Zelda x64
Concept: All-Star Versus x64
Endou Mamoru x62
9-Volt x62
Concept: Historical Character x60
Concept: Only 4-6 newcomers for base roster x60
Slime x58
Concept: More than five unique newcomers x60
Concept: Wars character x53
Takumi (Fire Emblem) x50

49-26:

Project Zero/Fatal Frame Protagonist x45
[Rerate] Phoenix Wright x45
Edelgard x45
Rhythm Girl x40
Chorus Kids x40
Concept: Chun-Li as an assist trophy x35
Rerate] Spyro x35
Concept: Disconfirmed Characters as DLC x35
Item: Beast Ball x35
Tapu Koko x30
Medusa x30
Saber x30
Daroach x27

Under 25:

Stage: Poke Floats x25
Stage: Brinstar Depths x20
Frank West x20
Stage: Fountain of Dreams x20
Terry Bogard x17
Sub-Zero x17
Adeleine x16
Concept: Custom Alternate Colors x15
Concept: Custom Moves return x15
Dixie Kong & Kiddy Kong x15
Master Chief x10
Xenoblade X Avatar/Cross x10
[Rerate] Concept: Zelda newcomer x10
Jin Kazama x10
Stage: Ultra Space x10
Zero x10
Concept: SR388 stage x5
Alm x5
Nia x5
Earthworm Jim x5
Alexandra Roivas x5
Break the Targets x5
Concept: Shin Megami Tensei character x5
 
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Chance and Want Rankings


Newcomers
Chance
1. Rex and Pyra (64.69%)
2. Decidueye (57.87%)
3. Dixie Kong (57.51%)
4. Bandana Dee (56.64%)
5. Captain Toad (48.60%)
6. King K. Rool (48.49%)
7. Rayman 32.52% Day 10:48.29%
8. Isabelle (46.09%)
9. Elma (42.60%)
10. Celica (37.93%)
11. Mimikyu (37.61%)
12. Lycanroc (37.42%)
13. Ashley (34.00%)
14. Paper Mario (32.74%)
15. Crash Bandicoot (11.25%) Day 21:31.04%
16. Dillon (28.22%)
17. Geno (27.31%)
18. Impa (26.94%)
19. Shovel Knight (22.88%)
20. Steve (22.34%)
21. Chibi Robo (21.26%)
22. Excitebiker (19.33%)
Ridley (18.68%) CONFIRMED
23. Professor Layton (18.11%)
24. Isaac (17.73%)
25. Qbby (17.57%)
26. Banjo and Kazooie (17.35%)
27. Simon Belmont (16.67%)
28. Travis Touchdown (16.54%)
29. Cranky Kong (16.04%)
30. Jibanyan (15.79%)
31. Spyro the Dragon (15.72%)
32. Arle Nadja (15.47%)
Daisy (15.04%) Confirmed Echo
33. Shantae (14.71%)
34. Phoenix Wright (14.49%)
35. Sylux (14.23%)
36. Skull Kid (13.86%)
37. Marx (13.80%)
38. Funky Kong (13.25%)
39. Dark Samus (13.04%)
40. Lara Croft (12.80%)
41. Mipha (12.02%)
42. Dr. Eggman (11.81%)
43. Lip (11.34%)
44. Ganon (9.78%)
45. Anna (9.49%)
46. Andy (8.87%)
47. Doomguy (8.82%)
48. Sora (8.38%)
49. Chrom (8.18%)
50. Hades (8.09%)
51. KOS-MOS (7.05%)
52. Dark Matter (6.63%)
53. Azura (6.28%)
54. Lana (5.91%)
55. Tethu (5.51%)
56. Agumon (4.67%)
57. Henry Fleming (4.14%)
58. Mike Jones (4.02%)
59. Black Shadow (3.80%)
60. Pyra/Mythra wo Rex (3.75%)
61. Gengar (3.05%)
62. Urban Champion (2.92%)
63. Micaiah (2.66%)
64. Sans (2.34%)
65. Bubsy (0.67%)
66. Brash the Friggen Bear (0.27%)
67. Blue Bowser (0.12%)
68. Lucas - The Wizard (0.11%)
69. Yarne/Owain Tag Team (0.09%)

Want
1. King K. Rool (73.57%)
2. Bandana Dee (71.11%)
Ridley (67.36%) Confirmed
4. Decidueye (65.20%)
5. Dixie Kong (62.93%)
6. Banjo and Kazooie (61.29%)
7. Elma (60.18%)
8. Isaac (58.60%)
9. Rayman (56.87%) Day 10: 58.25%
10. Ashley (58.19%)
11. Captain Toad (58.15%)
12. Simon Belmont (55.70%)
13. Chibi Robo (55.47%)
14. Crash Bandicoot (51.10%) Day 21: 51.15%
15. Dillon (50.34%)
16. Andy (50.20%)
17. Impa (49.08%)
18. Phoenix Wright (49.07%)
19. Skull Kid (48.87%)
20. Cranky Kong (48.00%)
21. Spyro the Dragon (47.46%)
22. Lip (47.18%)
23. Mimikyu (46.91%)
24. Funky Kong (46.37%)
25. Marx (46.16%)
26. Rex and Pyra (46.10%)
27. Shovel Knight (45.94%)
28. Sora (45.63%)
29. Paper Mario (44.51%)
30. Shantae (43.94%)
31. Geno (43.75%)
32. Dr. Eggman (42.74%)
33. Gengar (42.17%)
34. Lycanroc (41.85%)
35. Isabelle (41.76%)
36. Hades (40.88%)
37. Dark Samus (40.78%)
38. Excitebiker (40.45%)
39. Lara Croft (39.30%)
40. Arle Nadja (39.07%)
41. Ganon (38.97%)
42. Professor Layton (38.41%)
43. Celica (37.31%)
44. Qbby (35.80%)
45. Azura (34.56%)
46. KOS-MOS (34.24%)
47. Black Shadow (33.37%)
48. Micaiah (32.24%)
49. Mipha (31.89%)
50. Mike Jones (30.91%)
51. Sylux (30.01%)
Daisy (29.94%) Confirmed Echo/Clone
52. Travis Touchdown (29.48%)
53 Anna (28.31%)
54. Doomguy (28.28%)
55. Tethu (27.75%)
56. Chrom (27.51%)
57. Dark Matter (27.50%)
58. Henry Fleming (26.76%)
59. Lana (25.21%)
60. Sans (23.91%)
61. Agumon (23.77%)
62. Jibanyan (17. 88%)
63. Pyra/Mythra wo Rex (17.23%)
64. Steve (14.33%)
65. Urban Champion (10.67%)
66. Lucas - The Wizard (9.93%)
67 Bubsy (9.82%)
68. Yarne/Owain Tag Team
69. Brash the Friggen Bear (6.73%)
70. Blue Bowser (3.22%)

Veterans ALL CONFIRMED
Chance
1. Shulk (97.65%)
2. Mewtwo (91.43%)
3. Ice Climbers (90.69%)
4. Greninja (90.11%)
5. Lucas (78.44%)
6. Lucina (68.89%)
7. Wolf (62.21%)
8. Snake (19.57%)
9. Squirtle (13.52%)
10. Ivysaur (11.74%)
11. Pichu (6.15%)
12. Young Link (4.83%)

Want
1. Mewtwo (91.43%)
2. Shulk (88.85%)
3. Greninja (77.98%)
4. Ice Climbers (77.65%)
5. Lucas (77.42%)
6. Wolf (77.20%)
7. Snake (69.13%)
8. Lucina (58.38%)
9. Squirtle (50.90%)
10. Ivysaur (50.63%)
11. Pichu (30.06%)
12. Young Link (17.02%)

Concepts
Chance
1. Gen 7 Pokemon Newcomer (84.54%)
2. Music - Final Destination V 2 (SSB4) (83.87%)
3. Arms Newcomer (70.45%)
4. Rhythm Heaven Newcomer (49.94%)
5. Zelda Newcomer (49.33%)
6. Marth/Roy Speak English in Smash 5 (43.62%)
No Cuts (30.73%) Confirmed
7. New Story Mode (25.60%)
8. Any Skyrim Representation (18.65%)

Want
1. Music Final Destination V2 (SSB4) (81.21%)
2. Zelda Newcomer (74.48%)
3. New Story Mode (72.81%)
No Cuts (68.36%) Confirmed
4. Gen 7 Pokemon Newcomer (66.92%)
5. Arms Newcomer (58.12%)
6. Marth/Roy Speak English in Smash 5 (55.90%)
7. Rhythm Heaven Newcomer (52.88%)
8. Any Skyrim Representation (36.10%)



The Graveyard: All Deconfirmed Ideas and Characters
Takamaru: Chance 57.56%, Want 58.93%
Waluigi: Chance 34. 21%, Want 60.00%
Bomberman: Chance 22.10%, Want 57.11%
Lyn: Chance 18.23%, Want 42.76%
Decloned Dark Pit: Chance 16.28%, Want 40.21%
Tom Nook: Chance 15.48%, Want 37.87%
Midna: Chance 11.70%, Want 45.48%
Reused Veteran Art : Chance 11.09%, Want 13.18%
Pauline: Chance 10.80%, Want 20.03%
Krystal: Chance 9.99%, Want Krystal 36.54%
 
Last edited:
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#5
I wasn't intending on things being this way, but I'll leave the RTC thread to you, TCT~Phantom TCT~Phantom . Good luck running this thing. As for participating, I won't do that much, sorry.
 
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#6
This post was initially about the default schedule, but has been re purposed into an archive for previous days.

1. King K. Rool
2. Ridley
3. Snake
4. Ice Climbers
5. Wolf
6. Isaac
7. Bandanna Dee
8. Captain Toad and Pauline (Double Day)
9. Takamaru
10. Rayman
11. Krystal
12. Rex and Pyra
13. Squirtle and Ivysaur (Double Day)
14. Shantae
15. Dixie Kong
16. Concept: Gen 7 Pokemon Newcomer
17. Chrom
18. Concept: Arms Character and Concept: Rhythm Heaven Character (Double Day)
19. Daisy and Paper Mario (Double Day)
20. Pichu and Young Link (Double Day)
21. Crash
22. Lyndis
23. Andy and Celica
24. DUNKEY SMASH ANALYSIS APRIL FOOLS
25. Dillon
26. Midna
27. Professor Layton
28. Waluigi
29. Chibi Robo
30. Shovel Knight
31. Concept: Zelda Newcomer
32. Decidueye
33. Shulk
34. Skull Kid
35. Doomguy
36. Anna
37. Phoenix Wright
38. Dr. Eggman
39. Jibanyan
40. Marx
41. Lucina
42. Concept:No Cuts
43. Elma
44. Concept: New Story Mode
45. Hades
46. Banjo and Kazooie
47. Sora
48. Dark Matter (Blade)
49. Henry Fleming
50. Ashley
51. Geno
52. Isabelle
52. Micaiah
53. Lana
54. Blue Bowser
55. Tethu
56. Arle Nadja
57. Lucas...and Lucas
58. Greninja
59. Mewtwo
60. Impa
61. Concept: Reused Veteran Art
62. Ganon
63. Bomberman
64. Black Shadow and Marth/Roy Speaking English
65. Lycanroc
66. Mike Jones
67. Simon Belmont
68. Qbby (Boxboy)
69. Spyro
70. Mimikyu
71. Funky Kong
72. KOS-MOS
73. Azura (Fire Emblem)
74. Sans
75. Tom Nook
76. Lip
77. Agumon
78. Dark Samus & Sylux
79. Concept: Decloned Dark Pit
80. Travis Touchdown
81. Urban Champion
82. Mipha
83. Steve
84. Excitebiker and Pyra/Mythra
85. Any Skyrim Representation and Music:Final Destination V2
86. Lara Croft and Bubsy
87. Cranky Kong and Brash the Bear
88. Gengar and Yarne/Owain Tag Team
89. Masked Link and B. B Bandit Trio
90. Nintendo E3 Predictions
91. Nintendo E3 Reactions
92. Satisfaction Ratings for Inkling, Ridley, Daisy, Ice Climbers, Snake, Pokemon Trainer, Wolf, Pichu, Young Link, and No Cuts
93. Top Four Most Overrated and Underrated Characters we have done voting
94. K. Rool, Ashley, Captain Toad, Chrom, and Impa
95. Rex and Pyra, Simon Belmont, and Dark Samus
96: Decidueye, Lycanroc, and Mimikyu
97: Excitebiker, Mach Rider, and Prince Sable
98: Funky Kong, Isabelle, Octolings, and Shadow
99: Bandana Dee and Elma
100: Dixie Kong and Isaac
101: Rayman and Crash Bandicoot
102: Paper Mario and Celica
103: Shantae and Shovel Knight
104: Geno and Dillon
105: Steve and Chibi Robo
106: Banjo Kazooie and Andy
107: Professor Layton and Skull Kid
108: Lip and Travis Touchdown
109: Arle Nadja and Qbby
110: Concepts: Gen 7 Pokemon Newcomer, ARMS newcomer, and Rhythm Heaven Newcomer
111: Leon S Kennedy
112: Slippy Toad
113: Tingle
114: Concept: Smash Run Returns
115: Lloyd Irving
116: Concept: Monster Hunter Character
117: Sakura Shinguji
118: Neku
119: Fawful
120: Tails
121: Ayumi Tachibani
122: Parabo and Satebo
123: FE Heroes Summoner
124: Tetra
125: Incineroar
126: 8/8 Direct Predictions and Reactions
127: K. Rool, Dark Samus, Chrom, Richter, and Simon Satisfaction Ratings
128: Primarina
129: Labo Man
130: Ryu Hayabusa (Ninja Gaiden)
131: Wonder Red
132: Concept: Female Announcer
133: Kamek
 
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Lampy

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#9
King K. Rool

Chance: 60%
I feel that he's heavily underestimated. Sakurai is aware of the kharacter's popularity and the Mii kostume was defnetly a major bone thrown at his supporters.
Relevance is the only thing that's holding him back.

Want: 95%
I love King K. Rool and I think he could be a very interesting kharakter to play as. However, there are other kharakters I want more, so he's not 100%.

Nominating Waluigi x5

Prediction for Ridley: 30% chance, 60% want
(You'd be surprised at how many people are still holding out hope for him. I feel kinda sorry for them)
 

Xenigma

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#10
Excited to see this back! I'll draft my first post in a bit (at work), but want to comment on the safe list. Can anyone confirm if the following are silhouetted in the trailer: Pit, Lucario, Ike, and Little Mac. I think they are all plausibly not safe: the former if Sakurai isn't leading, and the rest due to potential replacements and/or lack of relevance. I'm also admittedly kind of iffy on Olimar, but there's been enough Pikmin over the years that I think that fear is probably unfounded.

EDIT: Never mind on ZSS, just remembered Metroid Switch is supposed to be a thing.
 
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CrusherMania1592

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#12
Chances: 55%

I'm iffy here but if he got ignored in Brawl and Wii U/3DS, there's a possibility he's gonna get it again unless he comes out of nowhere


Want: 100%

More reps for the DK series along with a popular villain and heavyweight? YES PLEASE!


Nomination: Crash Bandicoot x5


Prediciton for Ridley: 25% chance, 85% want
 

IanTheGamer

Smash Champion
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#13
Chance: 50%: Sakurai is aware of how popular Rool is, just by the Mii costume. But relevance hurts him

Want: 75%: Rool has also been a popular request, he could add something unique and Smash needs more baddies anyway.

Nominations:
Doomguy/Doom Slayer X5
 
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SonicSmasher1

Smash Champion
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Nov 4, 2013
Messages
2,299
#14
King K. Rool

Chance: 80 percent.
Despite relevance and and being a Mii Costume last game, among some other things, I have great faith that he has a chance to get in.

Want: 100%
He is my most wanted newcomer for Smash Bros, and I would love to see him in the next Smash Bros game all the way.

Nomination: Geno x5
 
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Troykv

Smash Master
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Messages
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#15
Oh wow! I love these threads, it's time to try again... I need to check more opinions before doing my guess, but K. Rool would be in a better position this time.
 

ShinyLegendary

Simon, Richter, Chrom, Dark Samus and King K. Rool
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#18
King K Rool:
Chance: 50%
Mmm.... It is hard to see him likely or unlikely. Sakurai did include a Mii-costume to replace him, and he did lose his chance in the 3DS. Sakurai even heard King K. Rool fans and based him off a Mii costume. So I am sure he has some chance to make it in.

Want: 65%
King K. Rool may not be my most favorite pick of them all. King K. Rool does offer uniqueness with a good potential move-set, a nice veteran that deserves more love, and a nice touch to the DK series in Smash for Switch.

Nomination:
Waluigi *3
Crash Bandicoot *2
 
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Xeno VII

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#19
King K. Rool

Chance: 30%

A rather popular kharacter from one of Nintendo's most beloved franchises, who even got the Mii kostume treatment in Smash 4, possibly due to his popularity. Minus points for his lack of relevance in the DK series and Mario spin-offs in the past decade or so. That, and unpredictability in general.

Want: 100%


Prediction: Ridley - 6.5%

There will be overrating.

Nomination: Shulk time! x5
 
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#21
Chance: 50%-ish

Realistically, I can't really see him coming in just yet, maybe as DLC later down the line. I do see a new DK character coming in if this is a whole new version of the game, maybe not King K.

Want: 75%

Coming from the old days of Smash 4 predictions, King K is very much wanted by a large section of the smash fanbase, both casually and some of the hardcore players. There is a demand.

Nominations:
Lyndis x 3
Impa x 1
Dark Samus x 1
 
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KingofPhantoms

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#22
Just like old times. It feels great to be back!

King K. Rool

Chance: 65%

K. Rool's kind of in an odd spot right now. On one hand, he hasn't appeared in a game since about 2008, missing out an opportunity to join the last Smash game as well. On the other hand, he's certainly iconic enough as DK's main antagonist, references to the character have been appearing more often in the form a costume (and a trophy of course) and the Kritters returning as enemies in Smash 4, his name being referenced in Super Mario Odyssey, has a high fan demand (don't quote me on this, but I recall some people sharing evidence that he placed rather high on the ballot) and he's also got boatloads of weapons and abilities, so it's not like making a good, unique moveset for him would be impossible.

I do feel that a lot of things are in his favor this time, and that he may finally get his chance to join the fight. However, and perhaps this is just how I see it, but it does feel a little odd to think that a character who hasn't been in a game in over 10 years would suddenly make a return in Smash of all things, but who knows. Maybe this will be a first in that regard. If we do assume Sakurai is directing the game again, I highly doubt he will ignore or disregard the character at this point. The question then would just be whether he sees something fun and unique in the character that would work well in Smash.

Want: 100%

My most wanted newcomer, by far.

Ridley Prediction: 3%

Given Sakurai's previous statements on Ridley and the fact that we know hardly anything about the new game so far, I don't expect most people here to think the odds are in his favor, to say the least.

Nominations: Shovel Knight x5
 

Planet Zeb(es)~

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#23
Reminders for RTC because it happens every time

1. Chances are subjective. So 20% might be 40% for someone else

2. Argue over chances, but never call someone out over want. That just makes you a jerk.

3. RTC is always wrong anyway and it's all about popularity bandwagons so none of this is super relevan to anything.


With that out of the way
K rool
frankly, I think it's too early for this since we dont even have gameplay and dont know the extent of what smash for switch is, but whatever.

Chance: 10%
Popularity is all he has going for him. Lot's of other factors are in play and it's hard to get by with jsut one.

Want: 10%
Prefer Funky and Dixie WAY more.

Nomination: Palutena x5

EDIT
"20% might be 40$"
No one called me out over this typo? Y'all are too used to me.
:061:
 
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ShinyLegendary

Simon, Richter, Chrom, Dark Samus and King K. Rool
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#24
You need to be specific
Fixed my post, try reading it again.
Sorry if I continue to make any more errors.
Reminders for RTC because it happens every time

1. Chances are subjective. So 20% might be 40$ for someone else

2. Argue over chances, but never call someone out over want. That just makes you a jerk.

3. RTC is always wrong anyway and it's all about popularity bandwagons so none of this is super relevan to anything.


With that out of the way
K rool
frankly, I think it's too early for this since we dont even have gameplay and dont know the extent of what smash for switch is, but whatever.

Chance: 10%
Popularity is all he has going for him. Lot's of other factors are in play and it's hard to get by with jsut one.

Want: 10%
Prefer Funky and Dixie WAY more.

Nomination: Palutena x5
:061:
I kind of agree with this actually.
 
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Zero Soul

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#27
King K. Rool

Chances: 30%
I unironically think Sakurai dislikes him for whatever reason and has been avoiding him, if he didn't have anything against him I think he would have gotten in by now and if he's the director (seems likely given the tweet) I don't think he's likely. Still, he's so important that I can't really give him any less of a score than 20 and Sakurai might not actually be the director and if he isn't then I think King K. Rool becomes way likelier.
Want: 80%
I don't personally care for the character but he's from a under-represented series and has plenty of fans who've been waiting forever, and it'd make me happy if they got what they wanted.

Predictions: Ridley 18%
Nominations: Dark Matter (Kirby) x5
 
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N. Onymous

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#28
K. Rool
Chance - 45%
The DK series is in dire need of more representation, but I don't see it happening for various reasons. He's popular with the fanbase, but with the dev team, who can say?

Want - 70%
I like him, I think he'd make an interesting fighter, but there are other characters I'd like in more than him. (Lip, please, this is all I ask.)
 

Sid-cada

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#31
Woo, this is back! Let's hope that I can keep my perfect attendance ratting here.

King K. Rool

Chance - 40% - A classic, but no relevancy hurts his chances. Unless he comes back soon, I don't see him as even a coin-flip.

Want - 75% - He's cool, but a lack of connection makes me support him less than most.


Predicitons

Ridley - 67.52% - Oh boy... While he's popular, doubt is starting to creep in.



Nominations

Anna X5
 
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Kirbeh

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#32
King K. Rool

Want: 100% - I'd love to see more villains overall, and King K. also happens to be my most wanted DK newcomer, though I believe someone like Dixie (who I'd gladly take as well) is more likely.

Chance: 50% - At this point I think it's known how much many would like to see him, but I just have a feeling that it probably won't happen. I want it to, but I think Sakurai will end up with a lot on his plate as usual and focus on other, newer and/or more relevant characters instead. Given K. Rool's popularity and Sakurai's penchant for surprises though, I'm settling on the 50/50 scenario.

Ridley Prediction

Want: 75% - Not big enough
Chance: 5% - Too small

Nominations

Waluigi x1
Crash x1
Sophitia x1
Sol Badguy x1
Kyo Kusanagi x1
 
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-crump-

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#33
Nothing like good old character speculation to put me in a good mood :b::b:

King K. Rool:


Chance: 40%
I’m being generous here. King K. Rool hasn’t seen the light of day since Super Sluggers in 2009, and that was a sports spinoff. He isn’t nearly as relevant as he once was, and he’s nowhere near close enough to be on the level of Bowser, Ganon, or even Dedede.

However, he’s popular, especially among the Smash fan base, and thanks to the little old Smash Ballot, Sakurai and his crew know this. That alone gives him a chance, and it can’t be ignored.

Want: 100%
I. LOVE. THIS. CHARACTER.

I voted for the kroc so many times on that Ballot, and I don’t regret a single vote. If there’s any shred of hope that K. Rool could show up as a fighter this time around, I’m riding it to the very end.

Predictions: Ridley: Chance 50%, Want 85%

Nominations: Hector (Fire Emblem) x5
 
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Xhampi

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#35
K Rool
Chance : 40 %
He has the moveset and the popularity but he has been missing from his home series for a long time and get to compete with Dixie Kong who would be easier to add with her body shape similar to Diddy, is just as iconic and is more relevent.

Want : 65 %
I don't really care about his inclusion myself but I'd like him if at least for his fans.

Ridley Prediction : 7 %

Nomination : Marx (Kirby series) X 5
 
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Fuzzy Pickles!

Say, FUZZY PICKLES!!!
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#36
I actually ran this thread before back during Smash 3DS & Wii U speculation. Twice in fact.

Since this is a thing, I'm going to introduce a model that I will use for rating chances. It's arbitrary but hey, nothing preventing us from rating whatever, right?

A: 100%
B: 75%
C: 50%
D: 25%
F: 0%

So let's get down to our first character.

King K. Rool

Chance
: D (25%)

Unless he gets a new game, he's got a large uphill battle to fight for inclusion. By the time the new game comes out, he won't have appeared in ten years and I doubt the sign at Super Mario Odyssey matters much. His only hope is that he ends up performing among the Top 3 Ballot characters (including Bayonetta) and Sakurai actually uses the ballot this time. Otherwise he's out.

That's said, it's him or no one for a 3rd DK character.

Want: B (75%)

Smash should have more villains and K. Rool is a really cool baddie with amazing move set potentials.

x5 Bomberman

cuz he's the best.
 
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Joined
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#37
Want: 90% Long live the king!

Chance: 20% Dixie Kong pretty much has any third DK spot on lockdown at this point. It will be up to DLC for the King to get a shot.
 

Aussie the Naturist

Now with more Monster Chest
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#38
King K. Rool

Chance: 60%

King K Rool is not only one of DK's most famous foes, but a consistently wanted character for Super Smash Bros. But relevance holds him back in the end of the day and he still has that Mii Fighter costume too. Either way, he would have a chance if Sakurai takes his Smash Ballot popularity in consideration.

Want: 100%

Easily my most wanted Smash fighter. Once a Kuttthroat, always a Kuttthroat.

Prediction for Ridley:

Chance: 18%

Want: 65%
 
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#39
Chance - 45% - K. Rool is a strange character in that Sakurai and Nintendo have referenced and acknowledged him in the past couple of years (Mii Costume and Street Sign) but he hasn't appeared in anything substantially since 2008 and that was a Mario Sports Spinoff. I feel like he has some kind of a chance due to how the Mii Costume proves that Sakurai does know about his popularity (and inklings getting bumped from Costume to character shows that as well) but I think the relevancy really hurts him and I can't really see them adding a character like that. And even if he does get past the relevancy issue we'd have to rely on Sakurai finding him interesting enough to actually put in the game.

Want - 100% - I will not be buying Smash on Switch if K. Rool isn't in it. It's the only reason I'm sticking around the smash speculation scene and he's been my most wanted character for years. His moveset has sooo much potential and DKC desperately needs more representation based on how popular it is and how big of an impact it has had on gaming. I need K. Rool in this game.
 

Yomi's Biggest Fan

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#40
King K. Rool

Chance: 55%

I am still not super optimistic on his chances since he has many thinsg again him (relevancy, Sakurai's strange view on Donkey Kong Country, etc), but I won't ignore that he is very popular.

Want: 90%

Damn right would love to have him there. Because I am one of him. ~~I won't sing that song here~~

Prediction for Ridley

Chance: 9%

Oooo boy...

Want: 79%
 
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