I'm going to explain my picks. Just doing the AFC for now because I don't have time for the NFC until later. My explanations are likely to be horrible and be filled with holes, but mehh, I enjoy making season picks. I should wait until after the pre-season due to potential injuries like Michael Vick in 2003 when he broke his leg, however I just want to do these now for the heck of it. I also always do this in July, but I've never before done an analysis. In 2011-2012 season I predicted Packers vs. Ravens (actual Giants vs. Patriots), and for the 2012-2013 season predicted Bears vs. Texans (actual Ravens vs. 49ers). I think for the 2010-2011 season I predicted Jets vs. Cowboys (actual Packers vs. Steelers).
[COLLAPSE=1. Denver Broncos] The Denver Broncos likely have angry and motivated psych after their playoff collapse, the Broncos have a lot to play for. Their schedule is one of the easiest as well with a good balance of home and road games. They will win the opener against Baltimore, win in New York against the Gaints, then steamroll the Raiders and Eagles to go 4-0. I can see wins against Dallas, Jacksonville and Indy for a 7-0 start, and even a home win vs. the Redskins to go 8-0 into the bye week. After the bye Denver goes 9-0 after beating San Diego, barely beat KC to go 10-0, and then lose back to back road games to New England and KC to go 10-2. Denver then wins out to go 14-2, but if they lose a game I declared a win, such as in Indy, then the Broncos go 13-3 still with Homefield advantage. Denver then takes on the Bengals inside an energetic Mile High Stadium. The Broncos will go up early and the Bengals by a score of 13-0, and then the two teams will trade scores back in fourth, but Denver holds onto basically a 13 point margin the whole game. Broncos win 27-17. Denver then hosts the Steelers in the AFC Championship game. The Steelers offense is fluid early and will go up 14-0. Denver then answers with a touchdown, only to then be answered with a field goal in return. The score is 17-7 at the half. The Steelers then go up 20-7 before the Broncos make it 20-10 going into the 4th Qtr. The Steelers then kick a FG with 9:27 left. Denver scores a TD with 4:37 left to only trail 23-17. The Steelers do a good job managing the clock before Denver gets the ball back and is on a drive at 22 yard line. Denver is driving and the crowd is getting hyped, but then a costly turnover by a Bronco other than Manning costs Denver the game.[/COLLAPSE]
[COLLAPSE=2. Pittsburgh Steelers] I'm a believer in good team history, and Pittsburgh is good year after year in general. 2013 seems bleak, and I might be giving them way more credit than anything being a #2 seed then going to the Superbowl, but I believer their schedule favors them well, and with a well run organization anything can happen. The Steelers will win their home opener against the Titans, and then eek out a road win on Monday Night football against the Bengals to start 2-0. I'm not sure how they will do at home against Chicago, but a win is probable to start 3-0 and surprise people. Pittsburgh then goes to London to play the Vikings. Minnesota has a very brutal schedule to start the season, let alone losing a true homegame by playing in London. The Vikings might be beat up, and last season might not translate well to this one. Steelers will go 4-0. The Steelers then have the Jets next, and New York in my opinion will be garbage, like 2-14 or 3-13 type of season. The Steelers go 5-0 and then have a tough game against the Ravens. Baltimore could likely win this very tight divisional game, and I will give it to them, so Pit goes 6-1. The Steelers then go to Foxborough and lose to go 6-2. The Steelers then get home wins against the Bills and Lions followed by a road win in Cleveland to be 9-2. The confidence continues to flow, and the Steelers win on Thanksgiving. The Steelers will only lose to Green Bay in Lambeau and close out 13-3. The Steelers then win against the Texans in a very tight Divisional Round Game by a score of 31-24. In the AFC Championship the Steelers offense gets in a grove early, and the defense hangs on to knock out Denver 23-17. I'm calling for someone other than Manning to mess this game up, such as a running back fumbling the ball, or a receiver bobbling an attempted catch that gets picked off, or not caught when it should have been.
The Steelers make it to the Superbowl to take on the San Francisco 49ers. This game is highly anticipated. I'm not going to do a whole analysis on this. I'm just going to say the 49ers win 33-24.[/COLLAPSE]
[COLLAPSE= 3.) Houston Texans] The Houston Texans were a good team last year by basically having the best record in the league until struggling down the stretch in December. The Texans will go 2-0 with wins in San Diego and at home vs. Tennessee. I'm calling 3-0 with a win in Baltimore followed by losses to the Seahawks and 49ers. The Texans then beat St. Louis and KC and go 5-2 into the bye week. Their next game is at home against Indy and could be either a win or loss. I'll call for a win to go 6-2. Houston then rolls through Arizona, Oakland and Jacksonville to go 9-2. Houston then barely wins at home to New England and then destroys the Jags to go 11-2. Houston then falls to the Colts to go 11-3, and then lose a critical game on December 22nd to Denver that could have potentially put them for a bye in the 1st round of the playoffs. Houston then is locked into the 3 seed and rests their starters against Tennessee to close the season. Texans go 11-5. In the Wildcard Round the Texans whip on the Bills, who just got bye to make the playoffs by a score of 33-10. Houston then goes to Hinz Field and will fare well in a close game vs. the Steelers. Pittsburgh will find a way to win this tight game with a late Rothlisburger comeback and end the Texans season in heartbreak. Steelers win 31-24.[/COLLAPSE]
[COLLAPSE=4. New England Patriots] The Patriots will win the AFC East. New England is a great team year after year, however this year they will fall back quite a bit. The Patriots could snag the #1 seed, or #2 seed, but their offense could lack receivers with a potential for Gronk to be hurt and of course the arrest of Hernandez. The Patriots have a somewhat challenging schedule. New England could easily start 3-0, I got a feeling Buffalo upsets New England in week 1 like Arizona did last year to the Patriots in week 2. This game is in Buffalo and a divisional game. New England then plays the Jets at home and will win, followed by a tough home win against Tampa Bay in week 3 to go 2-1. Going into Atlanta and Cincinnati will be a very tough challenge with the potential to lose both and be 2-3, but I think New England will somehow take 1 of the 2 games, and the Bengals game is the one I will call for no apparent reason. New England then is back home against the Saints and will win, followed by a win against the Jets gets two home games against Miami and Pittsburgh, which they will win and be 7-2 at their bye week. After the bye things get tougher for the Patriots, but somehow Brady and Bellichick will get through it alright. Patriots lose against Carolina, then they will win at home to Denver in a thrilling game in Foxborough to be 8-3. New England then wins against Cleveland to go 9-3, then lose to Houston and be 9-4. The next two games are on the road vs. Miami and Baltimore. New England loses to Miami and Baltimore and goes 9-6. New England then finishes with a win against Buffalo to be 10-6. Because the Patriots struggled down the stretch, they will lose at home to a highly motivated Bengals team in the Wildcard Round. Sports reporters will then question the Patriots dynasty. Patriots lose 31-17.[/COLLAPSE]
[COLLAPSE=5. Cincinnati Bengals] The Bengals are a talented team. They have made the playoffs 3 out of the last 4 years, however unfortunately they've been ousted in the 1st round all 3 times for their sake. The Bengals have a brutal schedule and that is why they are a 5th seed. They start on the road against the Bears, which could be a win or a loss. I'm going to give the Bears the win and the Bengals start 0-1. Then they lose a close one at home to the Steelers to go 0-2. The Bengals bounce back to win at home against the Packers in week 3, followed by a win in Cleveland to go 2-2 before losing at home to New England. Cincinnati is now 2-3 and have 4 road games out of 5 coming up (at Bills, at Lions, vs. Jets, at Mia, at Bal) I'm calling for two road losses with the potential for 3. The Bengals will win their homegame vs. the Jets. If the Bengals lose 3 road games, they are 4-6. I'm going to call for losses in Buffalo, Detroit and Miami and then pulling off a desperate win in Baltimore. The schedule then gets easier for the Bengals as they will beat the Browns and be 5-6 going into the bye. The bye will refresh Cincinnati, and the Bengals will then defeat the Chargers on the road and the Colts at home to finally have a winning record for the first time all season at 7-6. The Bengals then lose a very close, amazing game to Pittsburgh on an epic Sunday Night Football game on December 15th to go 7-7. This loss will spark them for the rest of the regular season, as they figure out what they need to do to become hot. The Bengals win out at home to annihilate the Vikings and then win a respectable game against the Ravens to finish 9-7. The Bengals then take momentum into the playoffs and beat the Patriots in New England to finally get over the WildCard Round hump. Unfortunately, the Broncos will end the Bengals season in a much anticipated Bengals/Broncos Divisional Round game. It will be close, but not sensational. Broncos win 27-17. [/COLLAPSE]
[COLLAPSE=6. Buffalo Bills] This pick is basically a throw up in the air pick to choose a 6 seed. I liked the Bills schedule based on them getting off to a good start, but then a dwindling finish that crawls them into the playoffs. I looked at the schedules of other teams as well, and teams like San Diego, Baltimore, and Miami will be in the hunt, but I just threw in the Bills for a surprise. Buffalo is about 6-10 each year......ehh, I just have them going in at 8-8. The Colts and Vikings made a splash last year that not many people expected, so I'll make a splash with the Bills. Basically, the Bills start off 3-0 after defeating the Patriots and Panthers at home, and then the Jets on the road. The Bills then lose to the Ravens at home, then beat the Browns and on the road and Bengals at home to go 5-1. This is a surprise as they lead the division, but then Buffalo just starts to crumble and barely hold on for the most part. Buffalo loses 4 games in a row (at Mia, at NO, vs. KC, at PIT) to go 5-5. The Bills then beat the Jets on the road to be 6-5. Buffalo then loses after their bye to Atlanta in a close game. Buffalo then wins 2 out of 3 against all the Florida teams to be 8-7 and then close out losing to New England at 8-8. Fortunately for Buffalo, the Bengals beat the Ravens in Week 17 to give them the last playoff spot. Then in the WildCard Round the Bills get schallacked by the Texans 33-10. [/COLLAPSE]
Well, here are my crazy AFC picks. I will admit that I really don't believe that between all the other AFC Teams who are likely in the Playoff Hunt (Bal, SD, Mia, Ind, Ten, maybe KC) that all will go 8-8 or below. Oh well, I'm just going to roll with it. I'm locked in and not changing anything. In 2004 the NFC had two 8-8 teams in the playoffs (Vikings, Rams) I think something similar happened in 1999 as well, but the NFL wasn't under the current divisional format. It's just a 6th seed anyways, however the Steelers as a 6th seed in the 2005/2006 season and the Packers as a 6th seed in the 2010/2011 won the Superbowl, so I really shouldn't bash it.
On the NFC side, thanks Berserker Swordsman for the heads-up on my seeding error. It was suppose to be Washington in the 3 seed and Chicago in the 4 seed.