Nintendo themselves aren't even giving this game a chance for a follow-up. They were wanting this to be as successful as Splatoon and it failed to reach that. They got initially invested and were actually willing to make a comic book series out of it with Dark Horse, but that series is in development hell and will mostly likely just be canceled. It was suppose to release in Fall 2018, then say that it will release in January 2019, and never said anything about at all for a whole year. This is a series that just doesn't look to have a future at all.
Well wynn, on one hand you have precedent of every new IP moving 2+ million units getting a sequel, statements from Nintendo regarding what they were looking for commercially out of titles, and people who at least have a vague understanding of what constitutes a commercially successful game, and on the other hand you have people ignoring the actual sales data and making their argument revolve around an extraneous comic book.
Let me tell you that anyone who suggests Nintendo expects five million out of their new IPs, which is Splatoon level, has no absolutely no idea what they're talking about. Breath of the Wild, a AAA title and presumably the most costly game of Nintendo's to develop, only required two million to break even. Success would've been what, four million? And you're suggesting that ARMS needed to outperform that to be considered a success by Nintendo. Ok wynn. Ok.
Oh and before you raise how ARMS DLC ended earlier than Splatoon's, it would probably behoove you to know that Splatoon 1 DLC only lasted one month longer than ARMS DLC did, and that game sold three million more copies. One month.
Literally anybody who would still insist that the level for success is that of Splatoon is doing so simply because they've dug in their heels over an uninformed opinion and refuse to concede. But here's your chance, because what you're saying is just objectively wrong. Not that you've any credibility left to lose, but you could at least gain a bit.