This is so hard to predict because matchups DO matter. For example, I could see Fly placing well if he can avoid elite foxes / Armada in bracket. Obviously, it is impossible to know what Fly's bracket is going to look like. That being said:
1. Mango - He's on a roll as far as major tournies go. I would not feel right about picking any one else over him until someone dethrones him.
2. Hax - This one was tough. I was debating between hax and PPMD. PPMD won the last APEX, so I almost gave him the nod, but hax has been improving quite rapidly. I think hax can beat anyone he faces sans Mango, and that includes PPMD who hasn't, AFAIK, played against Hax's improved fox - perhaps it will catch the doctor by surprise.
3. PPMD, see above. Also, a worry of mine with PPMD is that he has been, AFAIK, MIA from major tournies since EVO, and I wonder how rusty he may be come APEX.
4. Leffen - This was also a tough pick because we don't know what the bracket will look like. We know that leffen historically struggles against mango and mew2king and PPMD's marth did well against him the last time they met up. If leffen can avoid facing these three early in the bracket, I think he can get 4th or better.
5. Armada - I hate putting him here, but I am a believer, albeit a lukewarm one, to hax's 20xx prophecy. I think he is vulnerable (I think it is more fair to say that PEACH is vulnerable) to the elite foxes of the tourney. I would like him to prove me wrong.
5 or 7. Mew2king - I am not sure where his mindset will be once APEX 2015 approaches. He just got 13th place at DYFWI losing to silent wolf and fiction. While I don't think that will necessarily happen again, I think he is vulnerable if times get tough (possibly getting a similar placing.)
5 or 7. Axe - Again, this is dependent on matchups. I think he is more than capable of beating everyone, maybe less so against mango, PPMD, and armada. He does well against spacies, which this tourney will adequately boast. If he could avoid certain people early in bracket, I think 7th is the worst he will do, possibly can get 5th.
I hope he does better and gets top 3 since he is a favorite of mine.
7. Silent Wolf - I think there are many others who can get 7th, but silent wolf has done well recently at a couple of big tournies. To reiterate, I am somewhat of a believer of 20xx so it's only fitting to have an elite fox here. If
Notables
Hungrybox - I DO NOT have hungrybox in the top 8. His character is vulnerable to fox and while he historically does well against Mr. McCloud, he lost to two at his last major tourney, and I think the same will happen here. I see hungrybox finishing anywhere from 9th-17th.
Westballz - I have no idea where to place him. I think he can get anywhere from 5th to 33rd - a glass cannon that is impossible to predict. I went ahead and safely placed him outside of the top 8.