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Super Flygon
Super Flygon
Well, here's the competitors I had planned for the bracket:

First Party: Geno, Pauline, Birdo, Impa, Dixie Kong, Cranky Kong, Bandana Waddle Dee, Marx, Slippy Toad, Peppy Hare, Elma, Wonder Red, Mach Rider, Chorus Kids, Starfy.

Third Party: Banjo & Kazooie, Crash, Spyro, Rayman, Sora, Lloyd Irving, Tails, Dr. Eggman, Neku, Shantae, Professor Layton, Phoenix Wright, Heihachi, Amaterasu, Joker (Persona) and Steve (Minecraft).

These were mostly taken from your brackets (or at least the characters that seemingly still remained). I don't take having a spirit as an outright disconfirmation. Obviously, ATs and Mii Fighter outfits should be disconfirmations.

Actually, I wonder if we should wait until shortly after the game comes out and see if there are any new Mii Fighter costume disconfirmations.
Nimbostratus
Nimbostratus
Well, I'm not 100% sure ATs and costumes are hard disconfirmations (especially costumes considering there were costumes of playable fighters in Smash 4), but I know what you mean. Most of your choices seem reasonable. I don't know if there might be some other stronger first party choices as I don't see Birdo, Slippy, or Peppy having much chance against even the weakest third parties. Starfy is also an Assist. And if you consider stage elements eligible, I'd pick Captain Toad before Pauline. Maybe Andy could work instead of one of the Star Fox characters?
Waiting for more costumes might makes sense, if that is something you consider a disconfirmation. You can run it if you like, as if ATs are out, there's not enough characters in it I care about enough to put in the effort of managing. :p Of course I'd still participate, and you can show me the bracket if you want more input.
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